These are mechanically computed values based on a residual income model. They are not a forecast of market prices or a recommendation of any investment action, and do not predict or guarantee future share prices. Per-share values are adjusted to the latest share basis for stock splits. Historical values are computed retrospectively using current guidance-achievement statistics.
| Metric | Current Period | Same Period Previous Year | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ¥168.2B | ¥160.4B | +4.9% |
| Operating Income | ¥47.4B | ¥46.8B | +1.1% |
| Ordinary Income | ¥49.0B | ¥46.9B | +4.6% |
| Net Income | ¥32.3B | ¥16.5B | +95.2% |
| ROE | 11.8% | 6.4% | - |
For Q2 of the fiscal year ending December 2026, the Company recorded increases in both revenue and profit, with the most notable feature being the substantial increase in net income due to the absence of the extraordinary loss recorded in the previous year. Revenue was ¥168.2B (+4.9% YoY), operating income was ¥47.4B (+1.1%), and ordinary income was ¥49.0B (+4.6%). Net income surged +95.2% to ¥32.3B, compared with ¥16.5B in the same period of the previous year. The operating margin declined to 28.1% from 29.2% in the previous year, indicating that while core earnings remained solid, the impact of front-loaded investments in SG&A expenses was evident.
【Revenue】Revenue increased 4.9% YoY to ¥168.2B. Beginning in Q2, the former three segments—Management Consulting, Logistics, and Digital Solutions—were consolidated into a single Management Consulting Business segment. As a result of business consolidation in line with the medium-term management plan, disclosure of segment-by-segment increases and decreases has been omitted.
【Profitability】Operating income increased 1.1% YoY to ¥47.4B, while ordinary income increased 4.6% to ¥49.0B, indicating moderate growth in core earnings. Cost of sales was ¥94.8B, and the gross margin remained roughly in line with the previous year at 43.7%. However, SG&A expenses increased 34.7% to ¥26.1B from ¥19.4B in the previous year, causing the operating margin to decline to 28.1% from 29.2%, a decrease of approximately 1.0pt. The increase is believed to have been driven by front-loaded investments in personnel and digital initiatives. Net income rose substantially by 95.2% to ¥32.3B, primarily because extraordinary losses, including impairment losses of approximately ¥22.0B recorded in the same period of the previous year, declined to ¥1.7B in the current period. This temporary factor resulted in growth substantially exceeding that at the ordinary income level. Overall, the Company recorded increases in both revenue and profit.
Beginning in Q2, the reporting segments were changed to a single Management Consulting Business segment, and disclosure of segment revenue and profit has been omitted. The consolidation reflects the judgment that the former three businesses—Management Consulting, Logistics, and Digital Solutions—each showed similar performance trends centered on the consulting field, and appears intended to improve the explanatory value of the business structure.
【Profitability】The operating margin declined slightly to 28.1% from 29.2% in the previous year, while the gross margin was broadly unchanged at 43.7%. The net margin improved substantially to 19.2% from 10.3%, primarily due to the temporary uplift from the absence of the extraordinary loss recorded in the previous year. 【Cash Flow Quality】Operating Cash Flow (OCF) was ¥28.5B against net income of ¥32.3B, representing somewhat low coverage of 0.89x and indicating a delay in cash conversion. 【Investment Efficiency】ROE was 11.8%, mainly due to the improvement in the net margin. Total asset turnover was broadly unchanged. 【Financial Soundness】The equity ratio was extremely high at 80.2% (approximately 74.9% in the previous year), with a substantial positive gap between current assets of ¥194.3B and current liabilities of ¥64.5B. Long-term borrowings were only ¥0.2B, indicating minimal reliance on interest-bearing debt and a sound financial structure.
Operating Cash Flow was ¥28.5B, down 23.2% YoY; investing cash flow was -¥15.6B, financing cash flow was -¥19.9B, and free cash flow was ¥13.0B. The decline in OCF was affected by a smaller change in trade receivables than in the previous year and an increase in income taxes paid (¥19.9B). Investing cash flow included capital expenditures of ¥7.8B as well as purchases of investment securities and other items. Investment securities increased 37.5% YoY to ¥43.7B. Financing cash flow primarily consisted of dividend payments of ¥19.5B, with virtually no share repurchases conducted. Free cash flow of ¥13.0B was below dividend payments of ¥19.5B, indicating that shareholder returns during the period were partly supported by the ample cash base of ¥136.7B in cash and deposits.
Extraordinary losses were limited to ¥1.7B in the current period. The absence of impairment losses and other items totaling approximately ¥22.0B recorded in the same period of the previous year was the primary cause of the substantial increase in net income, and the impact of temporary factors has considerably diminished from the previous year. Non-operating income was ¥2.1B, or 1.2% of revenue, indicating low reliance; the core source of earnings was operating income from the primary business. The gap between ordinary income of ¥49.0B and net income of ¥32.3B was primarily attributable to income taxes of ¥15.0B (an effective tax rate of approximately 31.8%), and no structural issues were identified. However, OCF coverage of net income remained at 0.89x, and the fact that trends in working capital, including trade receivables and work in process, are somewhat delaying the conversion of earnings into cash should be noted when assessing earnings quality.
Progress against the full-year forecast was 45.5% for revenue, at ¥168.2B against a forecast of ¥370.0B; 52.1% for operating income, at ¥47.4B against a forecast of ¥91.0B; and 53.9% for ordinary income, at ¥49.0B against a forecast of ¥91.0B. Compared with the standard first-half progress benchmark of 50%, revenue was below the benchmark, while profit was slightly ahead, indicating somewhat front-loaded progress from the perspectives of cost control and margins. Neither the earnings forecast nor the dividend forecast was revised during the quarter.
The dividend for the first half was ¥24 per share, an increase from the effective level in the same period of the previous year, based on an interim comparison using an annual dividend of ¥42.50 after accounting for the stock split. The payout ratio based on first-half net income was relatively high. Based on the full-year forecast dividend of ¥48 and forecast EPS of ¥72.07, the implied payout ratio is expected to be in the high-60% range. Share repurchases were negligible during the period, and shareholder returns consisted primarily of dividends, resulting in a dividend-centered total return ratio. Dividend payments of ¥19.5B exceeded free cash flow of ¥13.0B, but the high level of cash and deposits of ¥136.7B provides a foundation supporting continued dividend payments.
Declining cash conversion efficiency: OCF of ¥28.5B was only 0.89x net income of ¥32.3B, while OCF declined 23.2% YoY. Changes in trade receivables and work in process may be delaying cash conversion, making working capital management a key monitoring point.
Increased market sensitivity due to the expansion of investment securities: Investment securities increased 37.5% from ¥31.8B in the previous year to ¥43.7B, raising their proportion of total assets. Valuation difference on securities was positive at ¥0.9B, but valuation amounts may fluctuate with market conditions.
Margin pressure from higher SG&A expenses: SG&A expenses increased 34.7% YoY to ¥26.1B, and the operating margin declined slightly to 28.1% from 29.2% in the previous year. If front-loaded investments in personnel and digital initiatives continue, trends in the operating margin from the second half onward will warrant attention.
Profitability and Returns
| Metric | Company | Median (IQR) | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Margin | 28.1% | 17.3% (4.1%–24.5%) | +10.9pt |
| Net Margin | 19.2% | 13.0% (2.0%–16.2%) | +6.2pt |
Profitability is substantially above the industry median and ranks at a high level within the industry.
Growth and Capital Efficiency
| Metric | Company | Median (IQR) | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth Rate (YoY) | 4.9% | 22.5% (16.2%–26.8%) | -17.6pt |
Revenue growth is substantially below the industry median, placing the Company relatively low within the industry in terms of growth speed.
※Source: Company analysis
Although core earnings remained solid, the substantial increase in net income (+95.2%) was primarily attributable to the temporary effect of the absence of the large extraordinary loss recorded in the previous year. The difference from the recurring earnings growth rate, represented by the 4.6% increase in ordinary income, should be recognized.
The operating margin remained high at 28.1%, substantially above the industry average, but declined approximately 1.0pt from the previous year. SG&A expenses increased 34.7% YoY, and the key focus for margin trends will be whether these investments are recovered through improved utilization and pricing from the second half onward.
OCF coverage of net income remained at 0.89x, leaving room for improvement in cash conversion efficiency. Financial soundness is extremely high, with an equity ratio of 80.2% and cash and deposits of ¥136.7B, providing structural support for continued dividends and investment capacity over the near term.
This is a reference range mechanically calculated solely from publicly disclosed data using a residual income model (Ohlson-type model with an explicit 5-year fade period). It is not a forecast of the market share price or a recommendation of any specific investment action.
| Scenario | Theoretical Share Price |
|---|---|
| bear | ¥428 |
| base | ¥444 |
| bull | ¥464 |
| Calculation Assumption | Value |
|---|---|
| Book Value Per Share (BPS) | ¥299 |
| Adjusted Forecast EPS | ¥79.5 |
| Cost of Equity r | 9.77% (10-year Japanese government bond 2.77% + equity risk premium 6.00% + size premium 1.00%) |
| Residual Income Persistence Factor ω / Explicit Forecast Period | 0.62 / 5 years |
| Assumed Payout Ratio | 66.6% |
| Forecast EPS Confidence Adjustment | ×1.049 (based on the track record of guidance attainment among companies in the same industry) |
| Implied PBR / PER |
Sensitivity: ¥433–¥457 at cost of equity ±1%, and ¥441–¥449 at ω±0.1.
Notes:
(Calculation model: Residual Income Model / Interest Rate Reference Month: 2026-07 / This value does not predict or guarantee the future share price.)
This report is an earnings analysis document automatically generated by AI based on XBRL earnings report data. It does not recommend investment in any specific security. The industry benchmarks are reference information compiled by the Company based on publicly disclosed earnings data. Investment decisions should be made at your own responsibility, after consulting with a professional where necessary.
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| 1.49x / 5.6x |