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80842027 Q1PrimeJGAAP

RYODEN (8084) FY2027 Q1 Earnings Report

For FY2027 Q1, revenue came to ¥61.1B (+23.5% year on year) and operating income ¥2.0B (+132.8%). The segment drivers and cash flow follow.

RYODEN CORPORATION

Commercial & Wholesale Trade/Wholesale Trade


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MetricCurrent PeriodPrevious Year Same PeriodYoY
Revenue¥610.5B¥494.2B+23.5%
Operating Income¥20.4B¥8.8B+132.8%
Equity-Method Investment Gains/Losses---
Ordinary Income¥21.7B¥10.0B+117.6%
Net Income¥14.3B¥10.0B+42.9%
ROE1.5%1.1%-

Executive Summary

The Q1 of FY ending March 2027 resulted in higher revenue and higher earnings, with profit growth significantly exceeding revenue growth. Revenue was ¥610.5B (+23.5% YoY), Operating Income was ¥20.4B (+132.8%), Ordinary Income was ¥21.7B (+117.6%), and Net Income attributable to owners of the parent was ¥14.2B (+41.7%). The primary drivers of earnings growth were substantial increases in profit in the FA Systems and Electronics segments, while positive operating leverage enabled gross profit expansion to absorb the increase in SG&A expenses.

Factors Affecting Performance

【Revenue】Revenue was ¥610.5B, up +23.5% YoY. By segment, the three major segments recorded higher revenue: FA Systems at ¥151.4B (+33.7%), Electronics at ¥341.4B (+23.9%), and Thermal & Building Systems at ¥99.9B (+15.5%). X-Tech was the only segment to post a revenue decline, at ¥17.9B (-5.5%).

【Profit and Loss】Operating Income was ¥20.4B (+132.8%), and the Operating Income margin improved by approximately 1.6pt YoY to 3.3%. Electronics segment profit was ¥15.3B (+107.0%), making it the largest contributor to company-wide earnings growth, while FA Systems also expanded sharply to ¥4.4B (+431.3%). Thermal & Building Systems maintained the highest profit margin among all segments at 6.5%, contributing to the stability of the earnings mix, while X-Tech’s segment loss widened to ¥0.3B. Company-wide expenses (adjustments) amounted to a deduction of ¥5.5B, increasing from ¥3.7B in the previous year. Ordinary Income was ¥21.7B (+117.6%), reflecting the increase in Operating Income, while Net Income remained at ¥14.3B (+41.7%) due to the impact of extraordinary income, including a ¥0.6B gain on the sale of investment securities, and an effective tax rate of 35.5%. In conclusion, the Company achieved higher revenue and higher earnings.

Segment Analysis

The core Electronics segment recorded Revenue of ¥341.4B (+23.9%) and segment profit of ¥15.3B (+107.0%), accounting for 59.0% of total segment profit of ¥25.9B and serving as the largest source of profit. FA Systems posted Revenue of ¥151.4B (+33.7%) and segment profit of ¥4.4B (+431.3%), resulting in substantial earnings growth and an improved profit margin of 2.9%. Thermal & Building Systems recorded Revenue of ¥99.9B (+15.5%) and segment profit of ¥6.5B (+50.3%), maintaining the highest profitability among the four segments at a 6.5% profit margin. X-Tech recorded Revenue of ¥17.9B (-5.5%) and a segment loss of ¥0.3B, with the loss widening from ¥0.1B in the previous year same period. The recovery of growth investments remains a key area of focus.

Key Financial Indicators

【Profitability】The Operating Income margin was 3.3% (approximately 1.8% in the previous year same period), while the Net Income margin was 2.3% (approximately 2.0%), with both improving, although their absolute levels remain low. The gross profit margin was 13.8%, indicating the continuation of a low-margin structure typical of a trading company and technology distribution model.【Cash Quality】Operating Cash Flow (OCF) was negative at ¥24.7B, resulting in a negative OCF-to-Net Income ratio; the cash backing for current-period earnings was weak. Increases in trade receivables of ¥66.0B, other receivables of ¥76.4B, and inventories of ¥22.7B placed pressure on working capital, while the ¥148.8B increase in trade payables partially offset the impact.【Investment Efficiency】ROE was 1.5% (based on quarterly results), equivalent to approximately 5.9% on an annualized basis. Total asset turnover remained low, and capital efficiency was primarily constrained by the low profit margin.【Financial Soundness】The Equity Ratio was 56.6%, while cash and deposits of ¥271.8B substantially exceeded interest-bearing debt (¥0.3B short-term and ¥17.8B long-term), allowing the Company to maintain a sound financial base in terms of both liquidity and leverage.

Cash Flow Analysis

Operating Cash Flow (OCF) was negative at ¥24.7B, deteriorating substantially from positive OCF of ¥50.9B in the previous year same period. Increases associated with revenue growth in trade receivables of ¥66.0B, other receivables of ¥76.4B, and inventories of ¥22.7B placed pressure on working capital, and even after the offset from the ¥148.8B increase in trade payables, OCF did not turn positive. Investing Cash Flow was negative at ¥24.2B, with the acquisition of intangible assets of ¥10.9B representing the primary use of funds. Financing Cash Flow was negative at ¥19.1B, including dividend payments of ¥14.7B and share repurchases of ¥2.4B. Free Cash Flow was negative at ¥48.9B, indicating that dividends and share repurchases were not funded by internally generated cash during the quarter. However, given cash and deposits of ¥271.8B and the low level of interest-bearing debt, the impact on near-term cash management is expected to be limited.

Earnings Quality

Pretax Income of ¥22.3B included the one-time factor of a ¥0.6B gain on the sale of investment securities and therefore needs to be distinguished from recurring operating business earnings. Non-operating income of ¥2.2B primarily consisted of dividend income of ¥1.2B, while non-operating expenses of ¥0.9B included a ¥0.2B foreign exchange loss. The effective tax rate was approximately 35.5%, constraining the conversion of Pretax Income into Net Income and serving as the primary reason for the gap between Ordinary Income of ¥21.7B and Net Income of ¥14.3B. From an accrual perspective (the difference between accrual-basis and cash-basis accounting), OCF was negative at ¥24.7B while Net Income was positive at ¥14.3B, indicating a substantial divergence. This divergence was primarily attributable to working capital factors, namely increases in trade receivables and inventories, rather than major changes in accounting estimates, and may therefore represent a temporary phenomenon during a period of revenue growth.

Earnings Forecast and Guidance

The full-year Company plan calls for Revenue of ¥2,520.0B (+18.4% YoY), Operating Income of ¥75.0B (+43.0%), and Ordinary Income of ¥75.0B (+30.0%). Q1 progress rates were 24.2% for Revenue, 27.2% for Operating Income, 28.9% for Ordinary Income, and 23.7% for Net Income. Operating Income and Ordinary Income both exceeded the standard quarterly progress rate of 25%. As of the end of the quarter, no revision had been made to the earnings forecast, and Q1 results are generally tracking in line with the full-year plan.

Shareholder Returns

Dividend payments during the quarter were ¥14.7B, and share repurchases amounted to ¥2.4B. As Free Cash Flow was negative at ¥48.9B, shareholder returns during the quarter were funded by cash on hand rather than cash generated from operating activities. A 2-for-1 stock split of common shares is scheduled to take effect on October 1, 2026. Without considering the impact of the stock split, the forecast annual dividend for FY ending March 2027 is ¥170 (¥85 year-end dividend). It should be noted that the dividend forecast has been revised in connection with the stock split.

Risk Factors

  1. Segment Concentration Risk: Electronics accounts for 59.0% of total segment profit, creating a structure in which demand cycles for electronic components and FA-related products, as well as customers’ capital investment trends, have a significant impact on company-wide performance.

  2. Working Capital and Cash Quality Risk: OCF was negative at ¥24.7B, primarily due to increases of ¥66.0B in trade receivables and ¥22.7B in inventories. It is necessary to monitor subsequent quarters to determine whether this reflects a temporary working capital burden associated with revenue growth or a change in collection terms.

  3. Low-Margin Structure Risk: With a gross profit margin of 13.8% and an Operating Income margin of 3.3%, even modest fluctuations in procurement prices, logistics costs, and foreign exchange rates (including the ¥0.2B foreign exchange loss in the current period) are likely to have a relatively large impact on profit margins.

Industry Benchmark (For Reference; Prepared by the Company)

Industry Benchmark (trading)

Profitability and Returns

MetricCompanyMedian (IQR)Delta
Operating Income Margin3.3%4.3% (1.7%–6.9%)−0.9pt
Net Income Margin2.4%3.8% (1.5%–5.1%)−1.4pt

Profitability is somewhat below the industry median.

Growth and Capital Efficiency

MetricCompanyMedian (IQR)Delta
Revenue Growth Rate (YoY)23.5%3.1% (-0.6%–11.7%)+20.4pt

Revenue growth is substantially above the industry median, demonstrating a high growth rate within the industry.

※Source: Prepared by the Company

Key Points from the Earnings Results

  1. Revenue increased +23.5%, while Operating Income increased +132.8%, confirming profit growth that exceeded the rate of revenue growth. The primary drivers were earnings growth in Electronics and FA Systems, making this a quarter in which positive operating leverage was realized.

  2. OCF was negative at ¥24.7B, creating a substantial divergence from current-period Net Income of ¥14.3B. The primary factor was working capital, namely increases in trade receivables and inventories. The cash backing for earnings growth needs to be confirmed through developments in subsequent quarters.

  3. Progress against the full-year Company plan was 27.2% for Operating Income and 28.9% for Ordinary Income, both exceeding the standard 25%. Q1 results are generally tracking in line with the full-year plan.

Theoretical Share Price (Reference Value)

ScenarioTheoretical Share Price
bear (bearish)¥3,632
base (base case)¥3,645
bull (bullish)¥3,668
Calculation AssumptionValue
Book Value per Share (BPS)¥4,423
Adjusted Forecast EPS¥144.4
Cost of Equity r9.77% (10-year Japanese government bond 2.77% + equity risk premium 6.00% + size premium 1.00%)
Residual Income Persistence Factor ω / Explicit Forecast Period0.62 / 5 years
Assumed Payout Ratio30.0%
Forecast EPS Confidence Adjustment×1.037 (based on the industry’s historical guidance achievement rate)
Implied PBR / PER0.82x / 25.2x

Sensitivity: ¥3,544–¥3,750 at Cost of Equity ±1%, and ¥3,619–¥3,661 at ω±0.1.

Notes:

  • As forecast ROE is below the Cost of Equity, the theoretical value is below Book Value per Share.
  • Net assets as of the end of the quarter are used (there is a timing difference relative to the full-year forecast).

(Calculation model: Residual Income Model (Ohlson type, explicit 5-year fade) / Interest rate reference month: 2026-07 / Mechanically calculated using only publicly disclosed data; this is not a forecast of the market share price or a recommendation of any specific investment action, and does not predict or guarantee future share prices.)


This report is an earnings analysis document automatically generated by AI based on XBRL earnings summary data. It does not recommend investment in any specific security. The industry benchmarks are reference information compiled by the Company based on publicly disclosed earnings data. Investment decisions should be made at your own discretion and responsibility, after consulting with professionals as necessary.

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