These are mechanically computed values based on a residual income model. They are not a forecast of market prices or a recommendation of any investment action, and do not predict or guarantee future share prices. Per-share values are adjusted to the latest share basis for stock splits. Historical values are computed retrospectively using current guidance-achievement statistics.
| Metric | Current Period | Same Period of Previous Year | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ¥51810.0B | ¥42187.1B | +22.8% |
| Operating Income | ¥1503.2B | ¥779.8B | +92.8% |
| Equity-Method Investment Gain/Loss | ¥1508.8B | ¥1387.2B | +8.8% |
| Profit Before Tax | ¥3880.1B | ¥2529.2B | +53.4% |
| Net Income | ¥3143.5B | ¥2206.3B | +42.5% |
| ROE | 3.0% | 2.2% | - |
The quarter posted substantial increases in both revenue and earnings, primarily driven by a recovery in market conditions in the Metals Resources segment and an increase in equity-method investment gains. Revenue was ¥51,810.0B (+22.8% YoY), while reference Operating Income (gross profit minus SG&A expenses) was ¥1,503.2B (+92.8%), Profit Before Tax was ¥3,880.1B (+53.4%), and quarterly Net Income attributable to owners of the parent was ¥2,985.2B (+47.0%). Consolidated quarterly Net Income was ¥3,143.5B (+42.5%). EPS increased to ¥81.53 (¥51.59 in the same period of the previous year). The increase in revenue was attributable to substantial revenue growth in the Metals Resources segment accompanying higher resource prices, while earnings growth was driven by higher segment profit as well as increases in equity-method investment gains and financial income.
【Revenue】Consolidated revenue was ¥5,178,470 million (+22.8% YoY). By segment, Metals Resources showed particularly strong growth at ¥13,961.95B (¥7,931.23B in the previous year, +76.0%), reaching a 27.0% share of total revenue. Mobility (+28.3%), Food Industry (+23.0%), and Materials Solutions (+12.4%) also secured revenue growth, while Social Infrastructure was the only segment to post a decline, at ¥1,959.16B (¥2,010.07B in the previous year, -2.5%). The sharp increase in Metals Resources was the primary driver of consolidated revenue growth.
【Profit and Loss】The gross profit margin improved to 9.6% (8.7% in the previous year), while the SG&A ratio declined to 6.7% (6.9% in the previous year). As a result, reference Operating Income nearly doubled to ¥1,503.2B (¥779.8B in the previous year, +92.8%). Equity-method investment gains/losses were ¥1,508.8B (¥1,387.2B in the previous year, +8.8%), and financial income was ¥949.5B (¥601.5B in the previous year, +57.9%), with non-operating items also contributing to the increase. Profit Before Tax was ¥3,880.1B (+53.4%). Income taxes were ¥736.6B (effective tax rate: 19.0%), and Net Income attributable to owners of the parent reached ¥2,985.2B (+47.0%), resulting in higher revenue and earnings.
Metals Resources was the largest earnings driver, with Net Income attributable to owners of the parent of ¥865.82B (¥249.94B in the previous year, +246.6%), increasing its share of total segment Net Income of ¥2,938.32B to 29.5%. Energy & Power Solution also posted substantial earnings growth, reaching ¥719.34B (¥393.31B in the previous year, +82.9%) and accounting for 24.5%. The top two segments therefore accounted for a combined 54.0% of total profit. Food Industry secured double-digit earnings growth at ¥362.08B (+72.5%), while Mobility reached ¥312.16B (+17.9%). In contrast, Social Infrastructure declined to ¥296.10B (¥358.29B in the previous year, -17.4%), and S.L.C. declined to ¥204.81B (¥260.82B in the previous year, -21.5%). A key feature of the segment structure this quarter was the increased dependence on resource- and energy-related segments for profit generation.
【Profitability】The consolidated Net Profit Margin improved to 6.1% (5.2% in the previous year), while the Net Profit Margin attributable to owners of the parent improved to 5.8% (4.8% in the previous year). The reference Operating Profit Margin also rose to 2.9% (1.8% in the previous year). ROE was 3.0% (quarterly result, before annualization), and the ratio of equity-method investment gains/losses to Profit Before Tax declined slightly to 38.9% (54.8% in the previous year), although earnings contributions from unconsolidated businesses remained substantial. 【Cash Quality】Operating Cash Flow (OCF) was ¥4,317.6B, or 1.37 times consolidated Net Income of ¥314,347 million. The ratio to simplified EBITDA of ¥2,604.6B—Operating Income of ¥1,503.2B plus depreciation and amortization of ¥1,101.4B—was 1.66 times, indicating favorable cash conversion. 【Investment Efficiency】Capital expenditures of ¥930.8B were limited to 0.85 times depreciation and amortization of ¥1,101.4B, suggesting that capital allocation emphasized maintenance and renewal of existing assets rather than aggressive expansion. The balance of investments in equity-method affiliates was ¥5,364.68B, representing a significant portion of total fixed assets. 【Financial Soundness】The Equity Ratio improved to 41.1% (39.1% in the previous year, +2.0pt). Bonds and borrowings, including current and non-current liabilities, totaled ¥57,198.9B. After deducting cash and cash equivalents of ¥17,207.5B, net interest-bearing debt was approximately ¥39,991.4B. Current assets of ¥94,449.5B exceeded current liabilities of ¥64,863.3B, indicating that short-term payment capacity was secured.
Operating Cash Flow (OCF) increased substantially to ¥4,317.6B (+299.1% YoY), exceeding consolidated Net Income of ¥3,143.5B and demonstrating strong cash-generating capacity. In terms of working capital, progress in collecting trade receivables contributed positively by ¥2,155.5B, while an increase in inventories absorbed ¥1,129.4B and a decrease in trade payables absorbed ¥807.7B. Dividends received of ¥1,827.0B supported OCF. Investing Cash Flow was -¥2,464.8B, with capital expenditures of -¥930.8B and expenditures related to business disposals, net of cash held, of -¥2,087.4B serving as downward pressures. Financing Cash Flow was -¥3,234.6B, primarily due to a net decrease in short-term borrowings of -¥1,472.9B and dividend payments of -¥2,013.9B. Free Cash Flow ended positive at ¥1,852.7B.
On the income statement, securities gains/losses of +¥254.3B, gains/losses on the disposal and sale of fixed assets of +¥58.1B, and other gains/losses—net of +¥122.5B are non-recurring items linked to market conditions and individual transactions. Excluding these items, the underlying earnings power of the business is reflected in the improvement in the gross profit margin to 9.6% and the reference Operating Profit Margin to 2.9%. Financial income of ¥949.5B and equity-method investment gains/losses of ¥1,508.8B together accounted for 63.4% of Profit Before Tax of ¥3,880.1B, indicating continued high dependence on non-operating items. Comprehensive income was ¥4,453.1B, including ¥4,086.3B attributable to owners of the parent, exceeding quarterly Net Income of ¥3,143.5B by ¥1,309.6B. The primary cause of the divergence was foreign currency translation adjustments for foreign operations of +¥1,182.3B (−¥783.8B in the previous year). OCF remained above Net Income, indicating favorable accruals—the difference between accrual and cash accounting—and high earnings quality.
The Full-Year earnings forecast remains unchanged from the latest forecast, comprising Net Income attributable to owners of the parent of ¥11,000B, EPS of ¥300.42, and dividends of ¥125. Net Income attributable to owners of the parent for Q1 of ¥2,985.2B represented 27.1% progress against the full-year plan, slightly exceeding the simple quarterly allocation level of 25%.
The dividend forecast is ¥125, with no revision from the previous fiscal year’s actual result. The Payout Ratio against the full-year EPS forecast of ¥300.42 is 41.6%. Dividend payments during the quarter were ¥2,013.9B (¥1,988.9B in the previous year), reflecting the payment of the year-end dividend based on the previous fiscal year’s results; therefore, caution is required as this does not directly correspond to current-period earnings. In terms of capital policy, the Company canceled ¥998,043 million of treasury shares, substantially reducing the treasury share balance from ¥11,134.9B to ¥1,122.4B. Meanwhile, treasury share purchases during the quarter were only ¥0.05B, indicating that new share repurchases were limited.
Resource Price and Market Volatility Risk: Revenue in the Metals Resources segment surged +76.0% YoY (¥7,931.23B→¥13,961.95B), while Net Income increased +246.6% (¥249.94B→¥865.82B), raising the segment’s share of total segment profit to 29.5%. Dependence on this segment has increased, and an adverse impact on earnings may be relatively significant if market conditions reverse.
Foreign Exchange Risk: Foreign currency translation adjustments for foreign operations turned positive at +¥1,182.3B (−¥783.8B in the previous year), boosting Comprehensive Income and equity. Translation gains during periods of yen depreciation were the primary driver of changes in equity and could become a factor compressing equity in the opposite direction if the yen appreciates.
Cash Flow Volatility Associated with Business Portfolio Rebalancing: Investing Cash Flow included expenditures related to business disposals, net of cash held, of -¥2,087.4B, resulting in total Investing Cash Flow of -¥2,464.8B (−¥1,894.6B in the previous year). The scale of asset rebalancing is increasing volatility in Investing Cash Flow.
Profitability and Returns
| Metric | Company | Median (IQR) | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net Profit Margin | 6.1% | 3.8% (1.5%–5.1%) | +2.3pt |
The Net Profit Margin exceeds the industry median and is also above the upper end of the IQR (5.1%).
Growth and Capital Efficiency
| Metric | Company | Median (IQR) | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth Rate (YoY) | 22.8% | 3.1% (-0.6%–11.7%) | +19.7pt |
The Revenue Growth Rate substantially exceeds the industry median and represents exceptional growth above the upper end of the IQR (11.7%).
※Source: Compiled by the Company
Profit Structure Driven by the Metals Resources Segment: Net Income in this segment was ¥865.82B, up +246.6% YoY, accounting for most of the ¥955.4B increase in consolidated Net Income attributable to owners of the parent (¥2,031.2B→¥2,985.2B). Increased dependence on a specific segment for earnings is evident.
Improved Efficiency of the Equity Capital Structure: The Equity Ratio improved to 41.1% (39.1% in the previous year), while the cancellation of ¥998,043 million of treasury shares reduced the balance from ¥1,113.5B to ¥112.2B. Although the capital structure became more efficient, retained earnings declined to ¥6,092.2B (¥6,954.0B in the previous year).
Dependence on Equity-Method Investment Gains: Equity-method investment gains/losses of ¥150,880 million accounted for 38.9% of Profit Before Tax of ¥388,009 million. Although the ratio declined from 54.8% in the previous year, the earnings structure continues to feature a substantial contribution from unconsolidated businesses.
This is a reference range mechanically calculated solely from publicly disclosed data using a residual income model (Ohlson model with an explicit five-year fade). It is not a forecast of the market share price or a recommendation of any specific investment action.
| Scenario | Theoretical Share Price |
|---|---|
| bear | ¥2,842 |
| base | ¥2,861 |
| bull | ¥2,945 |
| Calculation Assumption | Value |
|---|---|
| Book Value Per Share (BPS) | ¥2,631 |
| Adjusted Forecast EPS | ¥306.6 |
| Cost of Equity Capital r | 8.65% (10-year government bond 2.65% + equity risk premium 6.00% + size premium 0.00%) |
| Residual Income Persistence Coefficient ω / Explicit Forecast Period | 0.62 / 5 years |
| Assumed Payout Ratio | 41.6% |
| Forecast EPS Confidence Adjustment | ×1.021 (based on the Company’s historical guidance achievement rate) |
| implied PBR / PER |
Sensitivity: ¥2,781–¥2,945 at ±1% for the cost of equity capital, and ¥2,855–¥2,869 at ±0.1 for ω.
Notes:
(Calculation model: Residual income model / Interest rate reference month: 2026-06 / This value does not forecast or guarantee the future share price)
This report is an earnings analysis document automatically generated by AI based on XBRL earnings release data. It does not recommend investment in any specific security. The industry benchmarks are reference information compiled by the Company based on publicly disclosed earnings data. Investment decisions should be made at your own responsibility, after consulting with professionals as necessary.
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| 1.09x / 9.3x |