| Metric | Current Period | Previous-Year Period | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ¥19493.6B | ¥17879.2B | +9.0% |
| Operating Income | ¥1033.9B | ¥983.7B | +5.1% |
| Equity-Method Investment Gain (Loss) | ¥769.2B | ¥970.2B | -20.7% |
| Profit Before Tax | ¥1522.6B | ¥2102.8B | -27.6% |
| Net Income | ¥1972.8B | ¥1844.2B | +7.0% |
| ROE | 4.1% | 3.9% | - |
In Q1, higher revenue and earnings in the Resources and Energy-related businesses drove Revenue, Operating Income, and Net Income attributable to owners of the parent above the previous-year period. However, Profit Before Tax declined substantially due to a decrease in equity-method investment income and deterioration in financial income and expenses. Revenue was ¥19,493.6B (+9.0% YoY), Operating Income was ¥1,033.9B (+5.1%), Profit Before Tax was ¥1,522.6B (-27.6%), and Net Income attributable to owners of the parent was ¥1,900.8B (+11.2%). Despite the decline in Profit Before Tax, Net Income increased because income taxes and other taxes were negative ¥450.2B (effective tax rate: -29.6%), which is an important consideration when assessing earnings quality.
【Revenue】Revenue was ¥19,493.6B, an increase of +9.0% YoY. By segment, Energy Transformation (+21.2%), Chemicals, Electronics & Agriculture (+19.7%), and Resources (+19.0%) recorded substantial growth and drove the increase in Revenue. By contrast, Steel (+1.1%) and Automotive (+0.2%) remained broadly flat.
【Profit and Loss】Operating Income was ¥1,033.9B, an increase of +5.1% YoY, while the Operating Margin declined by 0.2pt to 5.3% from 5.5% in the previous-year period. This was because SG&A expenses increased by +10.2%, exceeding the +8.8% growth in gross profit. Profit Before Tax declined substantially by -27.6% YoY to ¥1,522.6B, primarily because equity-method investment income decreased by -20.7% to ¥769.2B from ¥970.2B in the previous-year period, and because financial income and expenses shifted from approximately balanced in the previous-year period to an expense excess in the current period. Meanwhile, as income taxes and other taxes were negative ¥450.2B (effective tax rate: -29.6%), Net Income attributable to owners of the parent increased to ¥1,900.8B (+11.2%). Revenue, Operating Income, and Net Income all exceeded the previous-year period, making this a quarter of higher revenue and earnings. However, the decline in earnings at the Profit Before Tax level warrants attention when assessing the sustainability of future earnings.
In terms of Revenue, Energy Transformation (¥1,946.0B, +21.2%), Chemicals, Electronics & Agriculture (¥3,198.2B, +19.7%), and Resources (¥973.1B, +19.0%) posted strong growth. In terms of quarterly profit attributable to owners of the parent, Resources recorded a substantial increase to ¥254.4B (+138.9% from ¥106.5B in the previous-year period), while Energy Transformation rose to ¥325.8B (+35.8%), with the Resources and Energy-related businesses driving overall earnings. Lifestyle (¥22.0B, +652.7% YoY), Communication Services (¥63.9B, +86.1%), and Chemicals (¥121.5B, +68.5%) also recorded substantial earnings growth. In contrast, Automotive (¥116.8B, -70.6% from ¥396.9B in the previous-year period), Urban Development (¥279.2B, -22.9%), and Transportation & Construction Equipment (¥161.7B, -22.7%) recorded lower earnings due to the反動 from the high levels in the previous-year period. Results diverged across segments, with strong performance in the Resources and Energy-related businesses absorbing earnings declines in certain non-resource segments.
【Profitability】The Operating Margin was 5.3%, down 0.2pt from 5.5% in the previous-year period, while the Net Profit Margin attributable to owners of the parent improved by 0.2pt to 9.8% from 9.6% in the previous-year period.【Cash Flow Quality】Cash Flow from Operating Activities was ¥547.3B, representing only 0.28x Consolidated Net Income of ¥1,972.9B, indicating a divergence between earnings and cash flow.【Investment Efficiency】ROE was 4.1%, and Basic EPS increased by +13.2% to ¥39.95 from ¥35.29 in the previous-year period.【Financial Soundness】The Equity Ratio improved to 35.2% from 33.9% in the previous-year period, and Cash and Cash Equivalents totaled ¥6,977.4B.
Cash Flow from Operating Activities was ¥547.3B, a substantial decrease of -54.4% from ¥1,200.8B in the previous-year period. The primary factor was a ¥3,950.6B decrease in accounts payable and operating liabilities, which exceeded the ¥1,442.3B cash inflow from the collection of trade receivables. Cash Flow from Investing Activities resulted in a substantial cash outflow of -¥4,230.9B, primarily due to -¥3,728.5B in acquisitions of other investments, while capital expenditures were limited to ¥243.4B. As a result, Free Cash Flow (Operating CF + Investing CF) was -¥3,683.6B. Cash Flow from Financing Activities was positive at ¥581.1B. Proceeds from long-term borrowings of ¥2,038.4B funded part of investment and shareholder-return activities, while dividend payments of ¥954.1B and purchases of treasury shares of ¥573.1B were carried out. Cash and Cash Equivalents decreased by ¥3,102.5B from ¥1兆54.4B at the beginning of the period, resulting in a quarter-end balance of ¥6,977.4B.
Equity-method investment income accounted for ¥769.2B of Profit Before Tax of ¥1,522.6B, representing a high proportion of approximately 50.5%, indicating an earnings structure with a significant contribution from non-operating factors. Financial income and expenses shifted from approximately balanced in the previous-year period to an expense excess of approximately ¥288.0B in the current period, weighing on Profit Before Tax. Meanwhile, income taxes and other taxes were negative ¥450.2B (effective tax rate: -29.6%), resulting in an increase in Net Income attributable to owners of the parent despite the decline in Profit Before Tax. This tax factor may include temporary elements, and it is necessary to monitor whether it normalizes over the full year. In addition, Cash Flow from Operating Activities (¥547.3B) was substantially below Consolidated Net Income (¥1,972.9B), warranting attention from the perspective of the cash backing of earnings.
The full-year forecast for Net Income attributable to owners of the parent is ¥630.0B (forecast EPS: ¥132.54). Actual Net Income of ¥1,900.8B in Q1 represents a progress rate of 30.2%, exceeding the 25% benchmark for evenly distributed quarterly progress. However, the increase in Net Income includes the effects of equity-method income and tax factors; therefore, the operating performance of the remaining three quarters should be closely monitored when assessing full-year earnings progress. No revisions were made to the earnings forecast during the quarter.
Dividend payments during Q1 totaled ¥954.1B, representing a Payout Ratio of 50.2% against quarterly Net Income attributable to owners of the parent of ¥1,900.8B. Including purchases of treasury shares of ¥573.1B, the Total Return Ratio was 80.4%. The full-year dividend forecast is ¥40.00 per share, after the stock split effective July 1, 2026, whereby one share was split into four shares. Without taking the split into account, the total annual dividend would be equivalent to ¥160.00. No revisions were made to the dividend forecast during the quarter.
Dependence on equity-method investment income: Equity-method investment income accounted for ¥769.2B, or 50.5% of Profit Before Tax of ¥1,522.6B, and declined by -20.7% YoY. The performance fluctuations of equity-method affiliates in the Resources and Energy-related businesses have a significant impact on overall earnings.
Cash-generation capacity and working-capital movements: Cash Flow from Operating Activities was ¥547.3B, only 0.28x Consolidated Net Income of ¥1,972.9B. Accounts payable and operating liabilities decreased by -¥3,950.6B, and changes in working capital are affecting cash management.
Fluctuations in financial income and expenses and taxes: Financial income and expenses shifted from approximately balanced in the previous-year period to an expense excess of approximately ¥288.0B in the current period, while income taxes and other taxes were negative ¥450.2B (effective tax rate: -29.6%). How these fluctuations normalize over the full year requires close monitoring.
Profitability and Return
| Metric | Company | Median (IQR) | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net Profit Margin | 10.1% | 3.8% (1.5%–5.1%) | +6.3pt |
The Net Profit Margin is substantially above the industry median and ranks among the higher levels within the industry.
Growth and Capital Efficiency
| Metric | Company | Median (IQR) | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth Rate (YoY) | 9.0% | 3.1% (-0.6%–11.7%) | +5.9pt |
The Revenue Growth Rate also exceeds the industry median and ranks among the higher growth rates within the industry.
Source: Compiled by the Company
While Profit Before Tax declined by -27.6% YoY, Net Income attributable to owners of the parent increased by +11.2% due to the negative recognition of income taxes and other taxes (effective tax rate: -29.6%). This divergence is an important point to verify when assessing earnings quality, and the trend in the normalization of the tax burden over the full year will be a key focus going forward.
The Operating Margin declined by 0.2pt YoY to 5.3%, while the growth rate of SG&A expenses (+10.2%) exceeded the growth rate of gross profit (+8.8%). The impact of cost increases on the profit margin will be monitored as a trend from the next quarter onward.
While the Total Return Ratio, including purchases of treasury shares, reached 80.4% against a Payout Ratio of 50.2%, Cash Flow from Operating Activities was ¥547.3B, substantially below Net Income. Part of the funding for shareholder returns was supplemented through external financing, including borrowings, and consistency with cash-generation capacity will be a monitoring point.
This is a reference range mechanically calculated solely from publicly disclosed data using a residual income model (Ohlson-type model with an explicit five-year fade). It is not a forecast of the market share price or a recommendation of any specific investment action.
| Scenario | Theoretical Share Price |
|---|---|
| bear (bearish) | ¥1,069 |
| base (base case) | ¥1,140 |
| bull (bullish) | ¥1,147 |
| Calculation Assumption | Value |
|---|---|
| Book Value Per Share (BPS) | ¥999 |
| Adjusted Forecast EPS | ¥133.3 |
| Cost of Equity r | 8.65% (10-year Japanese government bond 2.65% + equity risk premium 6.00% + size premium 0.00%) |
| Residual Income Persistence Coefficient ω / Explicit Forecast Period | 0.62 / 5 years |
| Assumed Payout Ratio | 30.2% |
| Forecast EPS Confidence Adjustment | ×1.006 (based on the Company’s historical track record of achieving guidance) |
| Implied PBR / PER |
Sensitivity: ¥1,108–¥1,174 at a ±1% change in the Cost of Equity, and ¥1,137–¥1,146 at a ±0.1 change in ω.
Notes:
(Calculation model: Residual Income Model / Interest Rate Reference Month: 2026-06 / This value does not forecast or guarantee future share prices)
This report is an earnings analysis document automatically generated by AI based on XBRL earnings release data. It does not recommend investment in any specific security. The industry benchmarks are reference information compiled by the Company based on publicly available earnings data. Investment decisions should be made at your own responsibility, after consulting with a professional as necessary.
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| 1.14x / 8.6x |
These are mechanically computed values based on a residual income model. They are not a forecast of market prices or a recommendation of any investment action, and do not predict or guarantee future share prices. Historical values are computed retrospectively using current guidance-achievement statistics.