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77342027 Q1PrimeJGAAP

RIKEN KEIKI CO.,LTD. FY2027 Q1 Earnings Report

RIKEN KEIKI CO.,LTD. FY2027 Q1 earnings report and financial analysis

RIKEN KEIKI CO.,LTD.

Electric Appliances & Precision Instruments/Precision Instruments


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MetricCurrent PeriodSame Period of Previous YearYoY
Revenue¥15.20B¥13.55B+12.2%
Operating Income¥3.08B¥2.99B+3.2%
Ordinary Income¥3.43B¥2.97B+15.5%
Net Income¥2.42B¥2.14B+13.2%
ROE2.8%2.5%-

Executive Summary

Revenue increased by double digits, while Operating Income remained sluggish due to rising costs. Ordinary Income and Net Income were boosted by non-operating foreign exchange gains during the quarter. Revenue was ¥15.20B (+12.2% YoY), Operating Income was ¥3.08B (+3.2%), Ordinary Income was ¥3.43B (+15.5%), and Net Income was ¥2.42B (+13.2%). Although the gross margin declined to 45.1% from the previous year, an improvement in the SG&A expense ratio and the contribution of ¥0.21B in foreign exchange gains increased the growth rate from Ordinary Income downward.

Factors Affecting Financial Results

【Revenue】Revenue was ¥15.20B, representing a +12.2% YoY increase. As the Company operates as a single segment—manufacture and sale of industrial measuring instruments—no breakdown by business is disclosed; however, the top line has maintained its growth from the previous year.

【Profit and Loss】Cost of sales increased by +18.4%, exceeding revenue growth, and the gross margin declined to 45.1% from the previous year (-287bp). Meanwhile, the SG&A expense ratio improved to 24.8% (-114bp), and cost control supported Operating Income, which consequently increased by only +3.2%. In non-operating items, ¥0.21B in foreign exchange gains and ¥0.10B in dividend income contributed, resulting in Ordinary Income growth of +15.5%, exceeding Operating Income growth. Extraordinary gains and losses were virtually absent (loss on disposal of fixed assets of ¥0.04 million), and the impact of temporary factors was limited. The effective tax rate was 29.5%, within a standard range, and the gap between Ordinary Income and Net Income was small. Overall, the Company achieved higher revenue and income, but the main drivers of profit growth were non-operating foreign exchange and financial income, while growth at the operating level was limited.

Segment Analysis

The Group’s business consists of the manufacture and sale of various industrial measuring instruments and related services as a single segment, and no segment-specific disclosure is provided.

Key Financial Indicators

【Profitability】The Operating Income margin was 20.3%, contracting by 178bp from the previous year, but remained high in absolute terms. The Net Income margin was 15.9%, improving by +10bp from the previous year, indicating that the decline in the gross margin was offset by non-operating income and cost control.【Cash Flow Quality】Accounts receivable were ¥13.21B and inventories were ¥6.36B, both having increased from the previous year. Accounts payable also increased significantly to ¥4.62B (+71.9%). The expansion of working capital is a point to monitor when assessing earnings quality.【Investment Efficiency】ROE was 2.8%, total asset turnover was 0.143x, and financial leverage was 1.21x, all reflecting a conservative capital structure. ROIC also remained low, indicating room for improvement in asset efficiency.【Financial Soundness】The Equity Ratio was 82.5% and the current ratio was approximately 495%, both extremely high. Interest-bearing debt remained limited at ¥1.98B, indicating a substantial net cash position. The Company’s financial resilience can be evaluated as very high.

Cash Flow Analysis

Although detailed disclosure of the cash flow statement is not available, movements in funds can be inferred from changes in the balance sheet. Cash and deposits increased by +¥1.09B from the previous year to ¥18.52B, indicating that liquidity headroom has been maintained. Meanwhile, accounts receivable (+14.1%) and inventories (+12.3%) accumulated. Although the increase in accounts payable (+71.9%) partially offset these factors, working capital overall was trending toward greater cash absorption. Current securities and investment securities also increased, suggesting that surplus funds are increasingly being invested. Interest-bearing debt was small at ¥1.98B, indicating low dependence on financing through financial activities. Overall, the Company’s ability to generate funds from operating activities has been maintained, although the pace of inventory and receivables growth may affect capital efficiency.

Earnings Quality

The primary factor supporting Ordinary Income during the current period was non-operating income, consisting of ¥0.21B in foreign exchange gains, ¥0.10B in dividend income, and ¥0.04B in interest income. Total non-operating income of ¥0.39B represented 2.6% of revenue and 12.7% of Operating Income, a level that should be evaluated separately from core earnings power, as represented by Operating Income. Since the Company recorded foreign exchange losses in the same period of the previous year, the year-on-year comparison effect of foreign exchange movements is believed to account for a substantial portion of Ordinary Income growth. Extraordinary gains and losses were immaterial, consisting only of a ¥0.04 million loss on disposal of fixed assets, with virtually no impact from temporary factors on Net Income. The effective tax rate was 29.5%, within a standard range, and no distortion was apparent in the conversion from Ordinary Income to Net Income. Based on the above, the current period’s profit growth was more dependent on non-operating foreign exchange and financial income than on an improvement in the profitability of the core business; attention is therefore warranted from the perspective of earnings stability.

Earnings Forecast and Guidance

The full-year plan calls for Revenue of ¥60.00B (+8.7% YoY), Operating Income of ¥12.70B (+2.2%), and Ordinary Income of ¥13.00B (-3.3%). Q1 progress rates were 25.3% for Revenue, 24.3% for Operating Income, 26.4% for Ordinary Income, and 25.2% for Net Income, broadly consistent with the standard quarterly progress rate of 25%. Ordinary Income was progressing slightly ahead of plan due to the contribution of non-operating income, while Operating Income was progressing slightly below plan due to the impact of the lower gross margin. No significant divergence from the plan has been identified at this stage. No revisions were made to either the earnings forecast or the dividend forecast during the quarter.

Shareholder Returns

The Company’s annual dividend plan is ¥60 per share, compared with an interim dividend of ¥25 in the previous year. Based on the full-year Net Income plan of ¥9.60B, the Payout Ratio is approximately 28%. Based on the average number of shares outstanding during the period of 45,455,770 shares, the annual total dividend is estimated at approximately ¥2.73B, representing a level sufficiently covered by the Net Income plan. With an Equity Ratio of 82.5% and cash and deposits of ¥18.52B, the Company has a strong financial base and can be evaluated as having substantial capacity to sustain dividend payments. No specific data on share repurchases has been disclosed.

Risk Factors

  1. Working capital expansion: Accounts receivable were ¥13.21B (+14.1% YoY), and inventories were ¥6.36B (+12.3%). Although these increases were partially offset by the sharp rise in accounts payable (+71.9%), signs of deterioration in the cash conversion cycle are evident.

  2. Gross margin pressure: Cost of sales increased by +18.4%, exceeding revenue growth of +12.2%, and the gross margin declined by 287bp from the previous year to 45.1%. Changes in raw material costs and product mix are believed to be factors, making progress in passing through costs a key focus going forward.

  3. Dependence on non-operating income: Ordinary Income growth (+15.5%) exceeded Operating Income growth (+3.2%), with non-operating income, including ¥0.21B in foreign exchange gains, serving as a contributing factor. If foreign exchange conditions reverse, the volatility of Ordinary Income may increase.

Industry Benchmark (Reference; Compiled by the Company)

Industry Benchmark (manufacturing)

Profitability and Returns

MetricCompanyMedian (IQR)Delta
Operating Income Margin20.3%8.7% (4.2%–14.2%)+11.6pt
Net Income Margin15.9%7.0% (3.2%–10.6%)+8.9pt

Both the Company’s Operating Income margin and Net Income margin significantly exceed the industry median, placing its profitability in the upper tier of the industry.

Growth and Capital Efficiency

MetricCompanyMedian (IQR)Delta
Revenue Growth Rate (YoY)12.2%6.2% (-1.1%–14.6%)+5.9pt

The Revenue growth rate exceeds the industry median but remains within the upper bound of the IQR (14.6%) and is not at an exceptional level.

※Source: Compiled by the Company

Key Takeaways from the Earnings Results

  1. Revenue increased by +12.2%, but the gross margin declined by 287bp, limiting Operating Income growth to +3.2%. The trade-off between revenue growth and profit margins was a defining feature of the current period.

  2. The double-digit growth in Ordinary Income and Net Income was highly dependent on non-operating income, including foreign exchange gains. Together with the high Operating Income margin of 20.3%, this requires distinguishing between the profitability of the core business and temporary non-operating contributions.

  3. Accounts receivable and inventories increased alongside a sharp rise in accounts payable (+71.9%). Trends in working capital will be a structural point of observation that affects the Company’s future ability to generate cash.

Theoretical Stock Price (Reference Value)

ScenarioTheoretical Stock Price
bear (bearish)¥1,989
base (baseline)¥2,039
bull (bullish)¥2,102
Calculation AssumptionValue
Book Value per Share (BPS)¥1,922
Adjusted Forecast EPS¥228.0
Cost of Equity r9.77% (10-year Government Bond 2.77% + Equity Risk Premium 6.00% + Size Premium 1.00%)
Persistence Factor of Residual Income ω / Explicit Forecast Period0.62 / 5 years
Assumed Payout Ratio28.4%
Forecast EPS Confidence Adjustment×1.080 (based on the historical guidance achievement rate of companies in the same industry)
Implied PBR / PER1.06x / 8.9x

Sensitivity: ¥1,982–¥2,099 at ±1% for the Cost of Equity, and ¥2,036–¥2,043 at ±0.1 for ω.

Note:

  • Net assets as of the quarter-end are used (there is a timing difference from the full-year forecast).

(Calculation model: Residual Income Model (Ohlson-type; explicit 5-year fade) / Interest rate reference month: 2026-07 / Mechanically calculated using only publicly disclosed data; this is not a forecast of the market stock price or a recommendation of any specific investment action, and does not predict or guarantee future stock prices.)


This report is an earnings analysis document automatically generated by AI through analysis of XBRL earnings release data. It does not recommend investment in any specific security. The industry benchmarks are reference information compiled by the Company based on publicly disclosed earnings data. Investment decisions should be made at your own responsibility, after consulting with professionals as necessary.

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