These are mechanically computed values based on a residual income model. They are not a forecast of market prices or a recommendation of any investment action, and do not predict or guarantee future share prices. Historical values are computed retrospectively using current guidance-achievement statistics.
| Metric | Current Period | Same Period Prior Year | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ¥982.3B | ¥863.8B | +13.7% |
| Operating Income | ¥81.4B | ¥79.3B | +2.6% |
| Ordinary Income | ¥86.5B | ¥83.7B | +3.4% |
| Net Income | ¥66.5B | ¥59.9B | +11.1% |
| ROE | 5.3% | 5.0% | - |
The Company reported higher revenue and income, although profit growth failed to keep pace with revenue growth, resulting in a slight decline in profit margins. Revenue was ¥982.3B (+13.7% year on year), Operating Income was ¥81.4B (+2.6%), Ordinary Income was ¥86.5B (+3.4%), and Net Income was ¥66.5B (+11.1%; consolidated net income including the portion attributable to non-controlling interests). The increase in revenue was primarily driven by solid demand in the Valve Business, improving market conditions in the Metal Solutions Business, and the expansion of the consolidation scope through M&A. However, rising costs and M&A-related expenses pressured the Operating Income margin. Net Income growth exceeded that of Operating Income and Ordinary Income because it was boosted by ¥12.7B in extraordinary income, including gains on the sale of fixed assets.
【Revenue】Revenue was ¥982.3B, securing double-digit growth of +13.7% year on year. By segment, the Valve Business generated ¥762.9B (77.6% composition ratio, +10.2%), the Metal Solutions Business generated ¥225.0B (22.9% composition ratio, +27.8%), and Other Businesses generated ¥12.2B (+2.6%), with growth in the Metal Solutions Business lifting overall revenue. The contribution from five newly consolidated companies, including the acquisition of Vtex, was also a factor behind the revenue increase.
【Profit and Loss】Operating Income was ¥81.4B (+2.6%), and the Operating Income margin declined to 8.3% from 9.2% in the prior year. The gross profit margin also deteriorated to 25.5% from 26.8%, indicating that rising costs and M&A-related expenses pressured profitability. By segment, the Valve Business generated ¥93.3B (-4.9%; profit margin of 12.2%), reporting higher revenue but lower income, while the Metal Solutions Business generated ¥10.6B (+243.5%), making a sharp recovery and contributing significantly to the Company-wide increase in income. Against Ordinary Income of ¥86.5B (+3.4%), Net Income was ¥66.5B (+11.1%), including ¥12.7B in extraordinary income from gains on the sale of fixed assets, indicating that temporary factors affected earnings quality despite higher revenue and income.
The Valve Business reported higher revenue but lower income, with revenue of ¥762.9B (+10.2%) and Operating Income of ¥93.3B (-4.9%); its profit margin declined to 12.2% from the prior year. Slowing profitability in the core business is diluting the Company-wide margin. The Metal Solutions Business recorded revenue of ¥225.0B (+27.8%) and Operating Income of ¥10.6B (+243.5%), posting a substantial increase in income as improved market conditions and spreads contributed positively. Other Businesses generated revenue of ¥12.2B (+2.6%) and Operating Income of ¥0.0B (-62.5%), showing a slight deterioration. The significant gap in profit margins between segments indicates that improvement in the Metal Solutions Business offset the slowdown in the Valve Business.
【Profitability】The Operating Income margin was 8.3%, and the Net Income margin was 6.8% (Net Income of ¥66.5B ÷ Revenue of ¥982.3B), with margins declining slightly from the prior year. The gross profit margin was 25.5%, and the SG&A expense ratio was 17.2%. 【Cash Flow Quality】Operating Cash Flow (OCF) was ¥53.3B, representing only 0.80x Net Income of ¥66.5B, while the increase in inventories (-¥43.9B) pressured cash generation. 【Investment Efficiency】ROE was 5.3%, BPS was ¥1,426.30, and EPS was ¥75.30 (+9.7%). 【Financial Soundness】The Equity Ratio was 58.3%, down from 64.9% in the prior year, as the increase in liabilities was relatively larger than the expansion of total assets and net assets. Short-term borrowings increased substantially to ¥198.3B, suggesting that short-term borrowing was used to finance M&A and working capital.
Operating Cash Flow (OCF) was ¥53.3B, remaining at a level similar to the prior year, with the increase in inventories (-¥43.9B) serving as the primary constraint. Investing Cash Flow was a substantial outflow of -¥147.2B, mainly due to the acquisition of shares in subsidiaries, related to the acquisition of Vtex, and capital expenditures of ¥33.0B. Financing Cash Flow was an inflow of ¥132.5B, with increased short-term borrowings covering funding needs related to investing activities. As a result, free cash flow (OCF + Investing Cash Flow) was -¥93.8B, indicating that investment and M&A requirements during the period were supplemented with external financing. Cash and cash equivalents increased from the end of the prior year, but the financing structure shows a greater reliance on short-term debt.
Recurring earnings primarily consisted of Operating Income of ¥81.4B and non-operating income of ¥8.8B, including stable sources such as dividend income of ¥0.8B and foreign exchange gains of ¥0.1B. Meanwhile, the Company recorded ¥12.7B in extraordinary income, comprising gains on the sale of fixed assets, and ¥0.2B in extraordinary losses; the contribution of extraordinary income to Net Income of ¥66.5B was material. The difference between Ordinary Income of ¥86.5B and pretax income of ¥99.1B was primarily attributable to this extraordinary income, which boosted Net Income. The fact that OCF was below Net Income (0.80x) reflects the accrual impact of the increase in inventories, indicating that the pace of earnings conversion into cash was somewhat slow.
The full-year forecasts are Revenue of ¥2,100B (+18.9% year on year), Operating Income of ¥180.0B (+16.5%), and Ordinary Income of ¥184.0B (+14.5%). First-half progress rates were 46.8% for Revenue, 45.2% for Operating Income, and 47.0% for Ordinary Income, each several percentage points below the simple 50% benchmark for the first half. Operating Income progress was particularly slow in relative terms, making improved profitability in the Valve Business and sustained market conditions in the Metal Solutions Business prerequisites for achieving the plan in the second half. It should also be noted that the earnings forecast and dividend forecast were revised during the current quarter.
The full-year dividend forecast is ¥62.00, including an interim dividend of ¥29. The interim dividend was ¥21 in the prior year, representing an increase. Based on forecast full-year Net Income of ¥134.0B and the average number of shares outstanding during the period of 86,967 thousand shares, the implied Payout Ratio is approximately 40%. First-half free cash flow was -¥93.8B, indicating that cash generation did not cover the dividend; the dividend funding base therefore relied on cash on hand and borrowings. Share repurchases remained small at ¥1.0B.
Risk of declining profitability in the core business: The Valve Business reported higher revenue but lower income, with revenue up +10.2% while Operating Income declined -4.9%, and its profit margin fell to 12.2%. If rising costs and changes in product mix persist, they may weigh on the Company-wide profit margin.
Increased reliance on short-term debt: Short-term borrowings increased substantially to ¥198.3B, while the Equity Ratio declined to 58.3% from 64.9% in the prior year. The structure, in which Investing Cash Flow and M&A funding were covered by short-term borrowings, makes extending the maturity of funding a future challenge.
Weak cash conversion: OCF of ¥53.3B was below Net Income of ¥66.5B, primarily due to the increase in inventories (-¥43.9B). If inventory reduction does not progress, the recovery of free cash flow may be delayed.
Profitability and Returns
| Metric | Company | Median (IQR) | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Income Margin | 8.3% | 9.7% (5.4%–23.7%) | -1.4pt |
| Net Income Margin | 6.8% | 5.4% (1.3%–20.1%) | +1.4pt |
The Operating Income margin is slightly below the industry median, while the Net Income margin exceeds the median, indicating a relatively favorable position within the industry at the bottom-line level, including extraordinary income and other items.
Growth and Capital Efficiency
| Metric | Company | Median (IQR) | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth Rate (YoY) | 13.7% | 10.6% (-3.4%–25.4%) | +3.1pt |
The Revenue growth rate exceeds the industry median, placing the Company at a relatively high level within the industry in terms of growth.
※Source: Compiled by the Company
Behind the higher revenue and income, profit margins are trending downward, with the Operating Income margin narrowing to 8.3% from the prior year. The sharp recovery in the Metal Solutions Business (Operating Income +243.5%) supported the Company-wide increase in income, while declining profitability in the core Valve Business remains a structural issue.
The increase in Net Income (+11.1%) includes a boost of ¥12.7B in extraordinary income from gains on the sale of fixed assets; therefore, the difference from the business-based income growth rate (Operating Income +2.6%) warrants attention.
M&A, including the acquisition of Vtex, increased intangible assets and goodwill, while funding was supplemented through short-term borrowings. The realization of integration benefits and reduction of working capital will be key to improving cash flow from the second half onward.
This is a mechanically calculated reference range based solely on publicly disclosed data using a residual income model (Ohlson-type, explicit 5-year fade). It is not a forecast of the market stock price or a recommendation of any specific investment action.
| Scenario | Theoretical Stock Price |
|---|---|
| bear (bearish) | ¥1,460 |
| base (base case) | ¥1,499 |
| bull (bullish) | ¥1,557 |
| Calculation Assumption | Value |
|---|---|
| Book Value per Share (BPS) | ¥1,426 |
| Adjusted Forecast EPS | ¥165.1 |
| Cost of Equity r | 9.77% (10-year Japanese Government Bond 2.77% + Equity Risk Premium 6.00% + Size Premium 1.00%) |
| Residual Income Persistence Coefficient ω / Explicit Forecast Period | 0.62 / 5 years |
| Assumed Payout Ratio | 40.2% |
| Forecast EPS Confidence Adjustment | ×1.071 (based on the track record of guidance achievement in the same industry) |
| Implied PBR / PER |
Sensitivity: ¥1,458–¥1,543 at Cost of Equity ±1%, and ¥1,498–¥1,502 at ω±0.1.
Notes:
(Calculation model: Residual Income Model / Interest Rate Reference Month: 2026-07 / This value does not predict or guarantee future stock prices)
This report is an earnings analysis document automatically generated by AI based on XBRL earnings release data. It does not recommend investment in any specific security. The industry benchmarks are reference information compiled by the Company based on publicly available earnings data. Investment decisions should be made at your own responsibility, after consulting professionals as necessary.
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| 1.05x / 9.1x |