These are mechanically computed values based on a residual income model. They are not a forecast of market prices or a recommendation of any investment action, and do not predict or guarantee future share prices. Historical values are computed retrospectively using current guidance-achievement statistics.
| Metric | Current Period | Previous Year | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ¥390.2B | ¥390.6B | -0.1% |
| Operating Income | ¥22.4B | ¥27.4B | -18.2% |
| Ordinary Income | ¥26.6B | ¥30.3B | -12.2% |
| Net Income | ¥8.4B | ¥13.9B | -39.9% |
| ROE | 0.6% | 1.0% | - |
The financial results for Q1 of the fiscal year ending March 2027 showed a widening decline in earnings, as higher SG&A expenses coincided with an increase in the tax burden while Revenue remained virtually flat. Revenue was ¥390.2B (¥390.6B in the previous year, YoY -0.1%), essentially in line with the previous year, while Operating Income was ¥22.4B (¥27.4B, YoY -18.2%), Ordinary Income was ¥26.6B (¥30.3B, YoY -12.2%), and Net Income attributable to owners of the parent was ¥8.2B (¥13.5B, YoY -39.4%), with declines at all levels. The primary factors behind the earnings decline were the increase in the SG&A ratio (38.3%, +1.3pt year on year) and the higher effective tax rate (67.6%, versus 55.6% in the previous year), resulting in a wider decline at the Net Income level than at the Operating Income level.
【Revenue】Revenue was ¥390.2B, essentially flat year on year at -0.1%. By segment, the Time Information Systems Business, which accounted for 79.6% of the Revenue mix, secured higher Revenue of ¥310.4B (+1.7%), while the Environment-Related Systems Business, accounting for 20.4% of the mix, recorded lower Revenue of ¥79.7B (-6.5%). The two businesses offset each other, leaving overall Revenue approximately at the previous year’s level.
【Profit and Loss】Operating Income was ¥22.4B (-18.2%), Ordinary Income was ¥26.6B (-12.2%), and Net Income attributable to owners of the parent was ¥8.2B (-39.4%), representing declines at each level. The gross margin improved slightly to 44.1% (44.0% in the previous year, +0.1pt), but the SG&A ratio rose to 38.3% (37.0%, +1.3pt), resulting in lower Operating Income. Segment profit declined in both segments: ¥29.9B (-8.1%) for Time Information Systems and ¥4.7B (-21.0%) for Environment-Related Systems. Corporate expenses not allocated to the reporting segments (adjustments) also increased to ¥12.2B (¥11.1B in the previous year). At the Ordinary Income level, non-operating income, including interest income of ¥2.7B and dividend income of ¥1.3B, provided support. However, the Company recorded income taxes of ¥17.5B against Profit Before Tax of ¥25.9B, causing the effective tax rate to rise to 67.6% (55.6% in the previous year) and widening the decline in Net Income compared with the Operating Income and Ordinary Income levels. Extraordinary losses were limited to a ¥0.7B loss on disposal of fixed assets, and temporary factors were minor. In conclusion, the results represented lower Revenue and lower earnings, with all profit levels deteriorating while Revenue was slightly below the previous year.
The Time Information Systems Business recorded Revenue of ¥310.4B (79.6% of the mix, YoY +1.7%), Operating Income of ¥29.9B (YoY -8.1%), and a profit margin of 9.6% (10.7% in the previous year), resulting in higher Revenue but lower earnings despite being the core business. The Environment-Related Systems Business recorded Revenue of ¥79.7B (20.4% of the mix, YoY -6.5%), Operating Income of ¥4.7B (YoY -21.0%), and a profit margin of 5.9% (6.9% in the previous year), resulting in lower Revenue and lower earnings. Profit margins declined in both segments. Consolidated Operating Income of ¥22.4B was calculated by deducting corporate expenses of ¥12.2B (¥11.1B in the previous year) from the combined segment profit of ¥34.6B, and the increase in corporate expenses also contributed to the decline in Operating Income. The business structure has a high degree of dependence on the Time Information Systems Business for Revenue and profit, while the slowdown in demand related to the Environment-Related Systems Business is weighing on the overall profit margin.
【Profitability】The Operating Income margin declined 1.3pt to 5.7% from 7.0% in the previous year, while the Net Income margin based on Net Income attributable to owners of the parent declined 1.4pt to 2.1% from 3.5%. Increased SG&A expenses and the higher tax burden are weighing on profitability. 【Cash Flow Quality】Operating Cash Flow (OCF) was ¥65.7B, approximately 8.0 times Net Income attributable to owners of the parent of ¥8.2B, indicating strong cash generation. However, the increase in inventories and decrease in trade payables were headwinds from a working capital perspective. 【Investment Efficiency】ROE was 0.6% (quarterly actual, before annualization), down from the previous-year period level (approximately 1.0% based on equity), primarily due to the deterioration in the Net Income margin. 【Financial Soundness】The Equity Ratio was 70.9% (net assets of ¥131.4B ÷ total assets of ¥1854.0B), slightly down from 72.1% in the previous year. However, interest-bearing debt, consisting of short-term borrowings of ¥5.1B, was minimal relative to cash and deposits of ¥560.6B, and the financial foundation remains strong.
Operating Cash Flow (OCF) was ¥65.7B, an increase of +19.5% from ¥54.96B in the previous year, maintaining a high level of cash generation at approximately 8.0 times Net Income attributable to owners of the parent of ¥8.2B. However, a breakdown shows that the decrease in trade receivables (+¥66.1B) supported OCF, while the increase in inventories (-¥17.1B) and decrease in trade payables (-¥10.4B) were negative factors, suggesting the impact of timing differences in working capital. Investing Cash Flow was -¥36.2B, of which capital expenditures were -¥10.7B, only approximately 40% of depreciation and amortization expense of ¥26.9B, indicating restrained renewal and growth investment. Financing Cash Flow was -¥97.6B, primarily due to dividend payments of ¥87.4B. Although Free Cash Flow (OCF + Investing Cash Flow) was secured at ¥29.5B, cash and cash equivalents declined by ¥67.4B to ¥421.4B at period-end.
Extraordinary gains and losses were minor, comprising extraordinary income of ¥0.02B and extraordinary losses of ¥0.70B (loss on disposal of fixed assets), with most earnings generated from recurring business activities. Non-operating income was ¥5.2B, equivalent to only 1.3% of Revenue, and consisted primarily of interest income of ¥2.7B and dividend income of ¥1.3B. The primary reason for the significant gap between Ordinary Income of ¥26.6B and Net Income attributable to owners of the parent of ¥8.2B was the increase in the effective tax rate to 67.6% (55.6% in the previous year) following the recognition of income taxes of ¥17.5B. The impact of the tax burden was more significant than non-operating or extraordinary gains and losses. OCF was approximately 8.0 times Net Income, providing strong cash backing; however, the positive impact of the decrease in trade receivables coexisted with the negative impacts of the increase in inventories and decrease in trade payables. From an accruals perspective, working capital timing differences require monitoring. Comprehensive Income was ¥10.7B, exceeding Net Income attributable to owners of the parent of ¥8.2B, primarily due to an increase of +¥2.9B in valuation differences on securities.
The full-year forecast calls for Revenue of ¥1840.0B (YoY +4.3%), Operating Income of ¥240.0B (YoY +6.4%), Ordinary Income of ¥256.0B (YoY +5.1%), forecast EPS of ¥254.07, and forecast dividends of ¥55.00. There were no revisions to the earnings or dividend forecasts during the quarter. Q1 progress rates were 21.2% for Revenue, 9.3% for Operating Income, 10.4% for Ordinary Income, and 4.7% for Net Income attributable to owners of the parent (¥8.2B ÷ ¥176.0B), all below the 25% benchmark based on simple quarterly allocation. The pace of recovery in the second half will depend on the recording of projects in the Time Information Systems Business, demand trends for Environment-Related Systems, and the level of the tax burden. Accordingly, profit progress from Q2 onward requires close monitoring to assess the achievement of the full-year plan.
The annual dividend forecast is ¥55.00, unchanged from the previous-year actual dividend of ¥55. The Payout Ratio based on forecast EPS of ¥254.07 is 21.6%, remaining at a sustainable level relative to the full-year Net Income plan. No share repurchases were conducted during Q1 (¥2.37B was repurchased in the same period of the previous year), indicating that the current shareholder return policy is centered on dividends. Dividend payments of ¥87.4B during the quarter exceeded OCF of ¥65.7B for the quarter; however, given the substantial cash and deposits balance of ¥560.6B, there appears to be no significant concern regarding the sustainability of shareholder returns.
Segment concentration risk: The Time Information Systems Business accounts for 79.6% of Revenue and most of segment profit, indicating a high degree of dependence on the core business. The Environment-Related Systems Business was soft, with Revenue down -6.5% and Operating Income down -21.0%, and its profit margin was relatively low at 5.9%. Consequently, changes in the business mix can readily affect the overall profit margin.
Risk of Net Income volatility due to a higher-than-expected tax burden: The effective tax rate rose to 67.6% from 55.6% in the previous year, and the recognition of income taxes of ¥17.5B against Profit Before Tax of ¥25.9B was a factor that caused the decline in Net Income attributable to owners of the parent (-39.4%) to be greater than the decline in Operating Income (-18.2%).
Working capital timing risk: Inventories increased by ¥17.1B, while trade payables decreased by ¥10.4B, creating downward pressure on OCF. Together with the positive impact of the decrease in trade receivables (+¥66.1B), changes in inventory and trade payable turnover require monitoring as factors that may cause fluctuations in cash flow.
Profitability and Return
| Metric | Company | Median (IQR) | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Income Margin | 5.7% | 8.8% (4.4%–14.3%) | -3.1pt |
| Net Income Margin | 2.1% | 7.3% (3.3%–10.6%) | -5.1pt |
Both the Operating Income margin and Net Income margin are below the manufacturing industry median, placing profitability at a relatively low level within the industry.
Growth and Capital Efficiency
| Metric | Company | Median (IQR) | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth Rate (Year on Year) | -0.1% | 6.6% (-0.3%–14.8%) | -6.7pt |
The Revenue growth rate is significantly below the industry median and remains close to the lower bound of the IQR.
Source: Compiled by the Company
The increase in the SG&A ratio (+1.3pt) and the higher-than-expected effective tax rate (67.6%) were the primary factors behind the earnings decline. In particular, the fact that the level of the tax burden widened the decline in Net Income attributable to owners of the parent is a key monitoring point for achieving the full-year plan of ¥176B.
The financial foundation is strong, with OCF approximately 8.0 times Net Income attributable to owners of the parent, an Equity Ratio of 70.9%, and cash and deposits of ¥560.6B. Cash generation and financial soundness demonstrate resilience against fluctuations in business performance.
Q1 progress rates were 9.3% for Operating Income and 4.7% for Net Income attributable to owners of the parent, below the standard progress benchmark of 25%. Progress from Q2 onward against the back-loaded plan will be a key focus going forward.
This is a mechanically calculated reference range based solely on publicly disclosed data using a residual income model (Ohlson-type model with an explicit five-year fade). It is not a forecast of the market share price or a recommendation of any specific investment action.
| Scenario | Theoretical Share Price |
|---|---|
| bear | ¥2,142 |
| base | ¥2,214 |
| bull | ¥2,321 |
| Calculation Assumption | Value |
|---|---|
| Book Value per Share (BPS) | ¥1,891 |
| Adjusted Forecast EPS | ¥278.8 |
| Cost of Equity r | 9.15% (10-year government bond 2.65% + equity risk premium 6.00% + size premium 0.50%) |
| Persistence Coefficient of Residual Income ω / Explicit Forecast | 0.62 / 5 years |
| Assumed Payout Ratio | 21.6% |
| Forecast EPS Confidence Adjustment | ×1.071 (based on the track record of guidance achievement in the same industry) |
| Implied PBR / PER |
Sensitivity: ¥2,150–¥2,281 for Cost of Equity ±1%; ¥2,206–¥2,227 for ω ±0.1.
Notes:
(Calculation model: Residual income model / Interest rate reference month: 2026-06 / This value is not a forecast or guarantee of the future share price)
This report is an earnings analysis document automatically generated by AI based on XBRL earnings summary data. It does not recommend investment in any specific security. The industry benchmarks are reference information compiled by the Company based on publicly available financial results data. Investment decisions should be made at your own responsibility, after consulting with a professional as necessary.
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| 1.17x / 7.9x |