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64072027 Q1PrimeJGAAP

CKD Corporation FY2027 Q1 Earnings Report

CKD Corporation FY2027 Q1 earnings report and financial analysis

CKD Corporation

Machinery


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MetricCurrent PeriodSame Period Last YearYoY
Revenue¥49.11B¥36.25B+35.5%
Operating Income¥8.03B¥3.77B+112.9%
Ordinary Income¥8.24B¥3.70B+122.5%
Net Income¥5.69B¥2.48B+129.6%
ROE3.5%1.6%-

Executive Summary

The company achieved highly profitable growth, with both revenue and profit increasing and the growth rate of operating income significantly exceeding that of revenue. Revenue was ¥49.11B (up +35.5% YoY), operating income was ¥8.03B (up +112.9%), ordinary income was ¥8.24B (up +122.5%), and net income was ¥5.69B (up +129.6%). Expanding demand in the core Machine segment, together with operating leverage from improved gross margin and a lower SG&A ratio, drove the increase in profit growth.

Factors Affecting Performance

【Revenue】Revenue increased to ¥49.11B, up +35.5% YoY. By segment, Machine accounted for the majority at ¥46.09B (93.8% composition ratio, YoY +45.4%) and led overall growth, while AutoMachine contracted to ¥3.04B (6.2% composition ratio, YoY -33.5%). Overall growth is therefore dependent on increased Machine volumes and an improved product mix.

【Profit and Loss】Operating income was ¥8.03B (YoY +112.9%), and the operating margin improved to 16.4% from 10.4% in the same period last year. Both the improvement in gross margin to 31.7% (approximately 29.1% in the prior year) and the decline in the SG&A ratio to 15.3% (approximately 18.7% in the prior year) contributed, with economies of scale taking effect. Ordinary income was ¥8.24B, exceeding operating income due to a net increase in non-operating income and expenses, as dividend income and interest income exceeded interest expense. Extraordinary income was limited to a ¥0.02B gain on the sale of investment securities, resulting in a limited impact on net income of ¥5.69B. The net profit margin improved significantly from the prior year to 11.6%, indicating growth in both revenue and profit.

Segment Analysis

The Machine segment was the primary contributor to company-wide profit, with revenue of ¥46.09B (YoY +45.4%), operating income of ¥8.75B (YoY +112.4%), and a profit margin of 19.0%. AutoMachine contracted, with revenue of ¥3.04B (YoY -33.5%) and operating income of ¥0.74B (YoY -26.3%), but maintained a high margin of 24.3%, exceeding that of Machine. Machine makes the larger contribution to company-wide profit, resulting in a business portfolio heavily weighted toward Machine.

Key Financial Indicators

【Profitability】The operating margin of 16.4% and net profit margin of 11.6% both improved significantly from the same period last year, primarily due to the improvement in gross margin to 31.7% and the decline in the SG&A ratio to 15.3%.【Cash Flow Quality】Accounts receivable of ¥35.52B and inventories of ¥12.09B increased alongside revenue growth, suggesting that working capital may be growing ahead of profit. 【Investment Efficiency】ROE was 3.5% (on a quarterly basis), primarily due to the improvement in net profit margin, while total asset turnover remained low. 【Financial Soundness】The equity ratio was high at 66.3%, and the capital structure was conservative, with cash and deposits of ¥42.49B compared with long-term borrowings of ¥21.98B.

Cash Flow Analysis

As no explicit cash flow statement data is available, cash flow trends are analyzed based on changes in the balance sheet. Cash and deposits were ¥42.49B, a decrease of ¥0.35B from the prior year, while accounts receivable of ¥35.52B and inventories of ¥12.09B increased, suggesting that the buildup of working capital accompanying revenue growth absorbed cash. Accounts payable also increased to ¥11.74B, indicating increased use of funds on the payment side. Long-term borrowings declined slightly to ¥21.98B, indicating limited reliance on debt financing. Overall, working capital is expanding faster than profit, suggesting that attention is warranted regarding the timing of cash generation.

Quality of Earnings

Recurring earnings account for the majority of profit, while extraordinary income consisted of only a ¥0.02B gain on the sale of investment securities, which was immaterial relative to net income; the impact of one-off factors was therefore limited. Non-operating income was ¥0.37B, only approximately 0.7% of revenue, and consisted primarily of dividend income of ¥0.15B and other non-operating income of ¥0.15B, indicating a stable composition. Non-operating expenses consisted primarily of interest expense of ¥0.12B, making the interest burden immaterial. The difference between ordinary income of ¥8.24B and operating income of ¥8.03B was small at +¥0.21B, indicating good structural earnings quality. However, comprehensive income of ¥10.21B exceeded net income of ¥5.69B, as increases in the valuation difference on securities of ¥3.54B and foreign currency translation adjustments of ¥1.04B boosted other comprehensive income. It is therefore important to note that, in addition to the earnings power of the core business, favorable market conditions expanded shareholders’ equity.

Earnings Forecast and Guidance

Progress against the full-year plan was 25.4% for revenue at ¥49.11B/¥193.0B, 28.2% for operating income at ¥8.03B/¥28.50B, and 28.9% for ordinary income at ¥8.24B/¥28.50B. All exceeded the standard Q1 progress rate of 25%, and the fact that progress on profit-related indicators exceeded revenue progress indicates that profitability improvements are proceeding beyond the assumptions incorporated into the plan. Against the full-year forecast of revenue YoY +22.2% and operating income YoY +45.1%, the current period is progressing at a pace exceeding those forecasts.

Shareholder Returns

The company forecasts an annual dividend of ¥112 per share. This represents a planned increase from the dividend of ¥32 in the same period last year (part of the interim or year-end dividend), indicating an upward direction for dividends. Based on approximately 66.83 million issued shares (excluding treasury shares; average during the period), the estimated total annual dividend is approximately ¥7.48B, resulting in an estimated payout ratio of 39.4% against the company’s net income plan of ¥19.0B. Given the financial base of an equity ratio of 66.3% and cash and deposits of ¥42.49B, there appear to be no significant constraints on securing funds for dividends.

Risk Factors

  1. Segment concentration risk: The Machine segment accounts for 93.8% of revenue (¥46.09B/¥49.11B), creating a structure in which demand fluctuations in a single segment directly affect company-wide performance.

  2. Working capital expansion risk: Accounts receivable of ¥35.52B and inventories of ¥12.09B have increased at a pace exceeding revenue growth (YoY +35.5%), creating the possibility of delays in cash conversion.

  3. Foreign exchange and interest rate risk: Non-operating income and expenses include foreign exchange gains of ¥0.00B and interest expense of ¥0.12B, while foreign currency translation adjustments affected comprehensive income by ¥1.04B. Future market fluctuations may affect non-operating income and expenses and shareholders’ equity.

Industry Benchmark (For Reference; Compiled by the Company)

Industry Benchmark (manufacturing)

Profitability and Returns

MetricCompanyMedian (IQR)Delta
Operating Margin16.4%8.7% (4.2%–14.2%)+7.7pt
Net Profit Margin11.6%7.0% (3.2%–10.6%)+4.5pt

Both the operating margin and net profit margin significantly exceed the industry median, placing the company’s profitability among the highest in the industry.

Growth and Capital Efficiency

MetricCompanyMedian (IQR)Delta
Revenue Growth Rate (YoY)35.5%6.2% (-1.1%–14.6%)+29.2pt

The revenue growth rate significantly exceeds the industry median, demonstrating standout growth within the industry.

※Source: Compiled by the Company

Key Takeaways from the Earnings

  1. The operating margin of 16.4% improved significantly from the same period last year and exceeded the industry median of 8.7% by 7.7pt. The simultaneous improvement in gross margin and decline in the SG&A ratio suggests a structural improvement in the profitability trend.

  2. Progress against the full-year plan was 28.2% for operating income and 29.9% for net income, exceeding the standard progress rate of 25%. The faster progress of profit-related indicators than revenue at 25.4% provides evidence of the sustainability of profitability improvements.

  3. Accounts receivable and inventories are increasing at a pace exceeding revenue growth, making working capital trends an important monitoring point when evaluating earnings quality.

Theoretical Share Price (Reference Value)

ScenarioTheoretical Share Price
bear (pessimistic)¥2,528
base (baseline)¥2,602
bull (optimistic)¥2,710
Valuation AssumptionValue
Book Value per Share (BPS)¥2,401
Adjusted Forecast EPS¥304.6
Cost of Equity r9.77% (10-year government bond 2.77% + equity risk premium 6.00% + size premium 1.00%)
Residual Income Persistence Factor ω / Explicit Forecast Period0.62 / 5 years
Assumed Payout Ratio39.4%
Forecast EPS Confidence Adjustment×1.071 (based on the historical guidance achievement rate of comparable companies)
implied PBR / PER1.08x / 8.5x

Sensitivity: ¥2,530–¥2,677 at ±1% for the cost of equity, and ¥2,597–¥2,609 at ±0.1 for ω.

Notes:

  • Net assets as of the end of the quarter are used (there is a timing difference from the full-year forecast).
  • As net assets include non-controlling interests, the theoretical value may be calculated somewhat higher.

(Valuation model: Residual Income Model (Ohlson-type, explicit 5-year fade) / Interest rate reference month: 2026-07 / Mechanically calculated solely from publicly disclosed data; this is not a forecast of the market share price or a recommendation of any specific investment action, and does not predict or guarantee future share prices.)


This report is an earnings analysis document automatically generated by AI through analysis of XBRL earnings summary data. It does not recommend investment in any specific security. The industry benchmarks are reference information compiled by the company based on publicly disclosed earnings data. Investment decisions should be made at your own discretion and responsibility, and after consulting a professional advisor as necessary.

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