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63312027 Q1PrimeJGAAP

Mitsubishi Kakoki Kaisha (6331) FY2027 Q1 Earnings Report

For FY2027 Q1, revenue came to ¥18.8B (+18.9% year on year) and operating income ¥2.0B (+40.3%). The segment drivers and cash flow follow.

Machinery


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MetricCurrent PeriodSame Period Last YearYoY
Revenue¥18.81B¥15.81B+18.9%
Operating Income¥2.02B¥1.44B+40.3%
Ordinary Income¥2.09B¥1.75B+19.2%
Net Income¥1.94B¥1.17B+66.5%
ROE (Annualized)17.3%10.4%-

Executive Summary

Revenue and profit increased, driven by the rapid expansion of the GX Business and improved profitability in the Engineering Business; however, the growth in net income was significantly supported by one-time factors. Revenue was ¥18.81B (+18.9% YoY), Operating Income was ¥2.02B (+40.3%), Ordinary Income was ¥2.09B (+19.2%), and Net Income was ¥1.94B (+66.5%). While the growth rate of Operating Income exceeded the revenue growth rate, indicating operating leverage, Net Income included ¥0.77B in extraordinary income, equivalent to 39.9% of Net Income.

Factors Affecting Results

【Revenue】Revenue increased 18.9% YoY to ¥18.81B. The GX Business expanded rapidly to ¥5.87B (+211.5%), with its revenue mix rising to 31.2% from 11.9% in the same period of the previous year. Meanwhile, the Engineering Business declined to ¥7.89B (-10.2%), and the Standalone Machinery Business declined to ¥5.04B (-1.8%); the expansion of the GX Business led company-wide revenue growth.

【Profit and Loss】Operating Income increased 40.3% YoY to ¥2.02B. The gross margin improved to 22.4% from 21.6%, while the SG&A ratio declined to 11.6% from 12.5%, confirming the presence of operating leverage. Ordinary Income increased 19.2% YoY to ¥2.09B, but growth did not reach the level of Operating Income because foreign exchange gains declined from ¥0.26B in the same period of the previous year to ¥0.04B. Net Income increased 66.5% YoY to ¥1.94B; however, because this included ¥0.77B in extraordinary income, one-time factors made a significant contribution in addition to improvements in the core business. By segment, the GX Business shifted from an Operating Loss of ¥0.12B in the same period of the previous year to a profit of ¥0.35B, becoming the primary driver of company-wide profit growth. Despite lower revenue, the Engineering Business increased Operating Income from ¥0.14B to ¥0.29B, while the Standalone Machinery Business maintained a high profit margin of 27.4%. Overall, the company achieved higher revenue and profit. The quality of profit growth was favorable at the Operating Income level, but the impact of extraordinary income must be considered at the Net Income level.

Segment Analysis

The Standalone Machinery Business generated Revenue of ¥5.04B (-1.8% YoY) and Operating Income of ¥1.38B (-3.1%), maintaining a high Operating Income margin of 27.4%. It is the core business, accounting for 68.3% of consolidated Operating Income. The Engineering Business recorded lower revenue of ¥7.89B (-10.2%), but Operating Income increased to ¥0.29B (+110.3%), and its Operating Income margin improved to 3.6%. The GX Business expanded rapidly, with Revenue of ¥5.87B (+211.5%), shifting from an Operating Loss of ¥0.12B in the same period of the previous year to Operating Income of ¥0.35B, resulting in an Operating Income margin of 6.0%. Although the GX Business is increasing its share as a growth driver, its profit margin remains significantly below that of the Standalone Machinery Business, making profitability improvement a key future challenge.

Key Financial Indicators

【Profitability】The Operating Income margin was 10.8%, improving from 9.1% in the same period of the previous year, while the Net Income margin rose to 10.3% from 7.4%. Annualized ROE was 17.3%, supported by the combination of the Net Income margin, total asset turnover, and financial leverage. 【Cash Flow Quality】Profit Before Tax of ¥2.86B included ¥0.77B in extraordinary income, while the divergence between Ordinary Income of ¥2.09B and Net Income of ¥1.94B was limited to 7.1%. 【Investment Efficiency】BPS was ¥1,974.43, and EPS was ¥85.25 (+66.5% from ¥51.20 in the previous year); the Equity Ratio rose significantly to 64.9% from 57.5% in the previous year. 【Financial Soundness】Current Assets of ¥48.27B substantially exceeded Current Liabilities of ¥18.57B, resulting in a current ratio of approximately 260%. Although long-term borrowings increased to ¥3.30B, the debt ratio relative to Net Assets of ¥44.98B remained low, indicating a conservative financial foundation.

Cash Flow Analysis

Although detailed disclosure of the statement of cash flows is unavailable, the balance sheet changes provide insight into funding trends. Cash and deposits were ¥7.15B, down from ¥9.03B in the previous year. While accounts receivable declined significantly YoY to ¥25.10B, work in process increased 30.7% to ¥4.50B, representing 85.3% of total inventories. Accounts payable declined YoY to ¥6.37B, reducing the scope for financing through trade payables. Contract liabilities amounted to ¥5.27B, with cash received before project commencement providing a certain degree of support for working capital. Based on the balance composition of receivables and work in process, whether improvements in Operating Income will reliably translate into cash generation depends on the progress of project completion, acceptance, and receivables collection.

Quality of Earnings

Ordinary Income was ¥2.09B against Operating Income of ¥2.02B, resulting in net non-operating income of ¥0.07B. Of the ¥0.13B in non-operating income, dividend income accounted for ¥0.08B, more than half, while foreign exchange gains were limited to ¥0.03B, down from ¥0.26B in the previous year. Profit Before Tax of ¥2.86B included ¥0.77B in extraordinary income, equivalent to 39.9% of Net Income of ¥1.94B. The divergence between Ordinary Income and Net Income was 7.1% and cannot be considered substantial; however, when evaluating the high 66.5% YoY growth in Net Income, it is necessary to distinguish the boosting effect of extraordinary income by considering the difference from the progressive growth rates of Operating Income (+40.3%) and Ordinary Income (+19.2%).

Earnings Forecast and Guidance

The full-year company forecast is Revenue of ¥80.00B (-5.0% YoY), Operating Income of ¥8.80B (-4.2%), and Ordinary Income of ¥8.90B (-5.9%); an earnings forecast revision was made in Q1. Q1 progress rates were 23.5% for Revenue, 23.0% for Operating Income, 23.5% for Ordinary Income, and 28.4% for Net Income. Progress in Revenue, Operating Income, and Ordinary Income was slightly below the standard 25%. Meanwhile, the relatively advanced progress of Net Income was attributable to the recognition of ¥0.77B in extraordinary income; therefore, progress in Operating Income and Ordinary Income should be emphasized when assessing full-year achievement. The company expects lower revenue and profit YoY for the full year, and future progress will depend on the execution of GX Business projects and the recovery of revenue in both the Standalone Machinery and Engineering Businesses.

Shareholder Returns

The full-year dividend forecast is ¥120 per share, with no revision to the dividend forecast. The Payout Ratio against the full-year EPS forecast of ¥300.69 is approximately 39.9%, below 60%. Basic EPS for Q1 was ¥85.25, up 66.5% from ¥51.20 in the same period of the previous year; however, because this includes the contribution from extraordinary income, recurring profit levels must be considered when assessing sustainability as a source of dividends. The capital and liquidity positions, including an Equity Ratio of 64.9% and a current ratio of approximately 260%, provide a foundation supporting the current dividend forecast.

Risk Factors

  1. Receivables collection efficiency: Annualized DSO was 122 days, substantially exceeding the generally cautionary level of 60 days. Total receivables reached ¥30.62B, and delays in collection could tie up funds in working capital.

  2. Accumulation of work in process: Work in process was ¥4.50B, up 30.7% YoY, accounting for 85.3% of total inventories. The accuracy of construction progress management and cost estimates during the GX Business’s rapid growth phase will affect future profitability and capital efficiency.

  3. Increase in long-term borrowings: Long-term borrowings were ¥3.30B, up 153.8% from ¥1.30B in the previous year. The Debt/Capital ratio was low at 6.8%, and immediate leverage concerns are limited; nevertheless, the use of funds and trends in borrowings require ongoing monitoring.

Industry Benchmark (Reference; Compiled by the Company)

Industry Benchmark (manufacturing)

Profitability and Returns

MetricCompanyMedian (IQR)Delta
Operating Income margin10.8%8.7% (4.2%–14.3%)+2.1pt
Net Income margin10.3%7.1% (3.2%–10.6%)+3.2pt

Both the Company’s Operating Income margin and Net Income margin exceed the industry median, positioning its profitability favorably.

Growth and Capital Efficiency

MetricCompanyMedian (IQR)Delta
Revenue growth rate (YoY)18.9%6.2% (-1.1%–14.6%)+12.7pt

The Revenue growth rate significantly exceeded the industry median and demonstrated high growth above the upper bound of the IQR.

※Source: Compiled by the Company

Key Takeaways from the Earnings

  1. The Operating Income margin was 10.8%, improving by approximately 1.6 percentage points YoY, with operating leverage confirmed through an improved gross margin and lower SG&A ratio. The GX Business’s shift from an Operating Loss to profit in the same period of the previous year was the primary driver of this improvement.

  2. The 66.5% YoY growth in Net Income included ¥0.77B in extraordinary income, equivalent to 39.9% of Net Income. The difference from the progressive growth rates of Operating Income (+40.3%) and Ordinary Income (+19.2%) indicates that part of the profit increase was attributable to one-time factors.

  3. While the Standalone Machinery Business accounted for 68.3% of consolidated Operating Income, the GX Business’s revenue mix surged to 31.2%. The center of gravity of the business portfolio is shifting, and the profitability improvement of the growth business is increasingly likely to determine the company-wide profit structure going forward.

Theoretical Share Price (Reference Value)

ScenarioTheoretical Share Price
bear¥2,273
base¥2,354
bull¥2,475
Calculation AssumptionValue
Book value per share (BPS)¥1,974
Adjusted forecast EPS¥322.2
Cost of equity r9.77% (10-year government bond 2.77% + equity risk premium 6.00% + size premium 1.00%)
Residual income persistence coefficient ω / explicit forecast period0.62 / 5 years
Assumed Payout Ratio39.9%
Forecast EPS confidence adjustment×1.071 (based on the same-industry track record of achieving guidance)
implied PBR / PER1.19x / 7.3x

Sensitivity: ¥2,289–¥2,423 at cost of equity ±1%; ¥2,346–¥2,368 at ω±0.1.

Notes:

  • Net Assets as of the quarter-end are used (there is a timing mismatch with the full-year forecast).

(Calculation model: Residual Income Model (Ohlson-type; explicit 5-year fade) / Interest rate reference month: 2026-07 / Mechanically calculated solely from publicly disclosed data; this is not a forecast of the market share price or a recommendation of any specific investment action, nor does it predict or guarantee future share prices.)


This report is an earnings analysis document automatically generated by AI through analysis of XBRL earnings release data. It does not recommend investment in any specific security. The industry benchmarks are reference information compiled by the Company based on publicly disclosed earnings data. Investment decisions should be made at your own discretion and responsibility, after consulting professionals as necessary.

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