These are mechanically computed values based on a residual income model. They are not a forecast of market prices or a recommendation of any investment action, and do not predict or guarantee future share prices. Historical values are computed retrospectively using current guidance-achievement statistics.
| Metric | Current Period | Same Period Previous Year | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ¥3773.8B | ¥2619.6B | +44.1% |
| Operating Income | ¥538.1B | ¥84.9B | +533.7% |
| Profit Before Tax | ¥509.6B | ¥36.9B | +1280.9% |
| Net Income | ¥405.1B | ¥21.4B | +1796.5% |
| ROE | 9.5% | 0.6% | - |
UACJ reported higher revenue and earnings in Q1 (April–June 2026), with profitability improving sharply as price pass-through and cost improvements progressed simultaneously. Revenue was ¥3773.8B (+44.1% YoY), Operating Income was ¥538.1B (+533.7% YoY; operating margin of 14.3%), and quarterly Net Income attributable to owners of the parent was ¥358.9B (+2634.5% YoY; EPS of ¥198.18). The primary drivers of earnings growth were the positive operating leverage resulting from the gross margin improving by +870bp from 10.4% to 19.1% and the SG&A ratio declining from 7.5% to 7.1%; additionally, the recognition of ¥88.3B in other income boosted earnings. During the quarter, the Company also announced revisions to its earnings forecast and dividend forecast, including an increase in the expected dividend.
【Revenue】Revenue was ¥3773.8B, representing a +44.1% increase YoY. As the Company operates a single segment, the Aluminum Products Business, no business-level breakdown is disclosed; however, both higher volumes and pricing factors appear to have contributed to top-line growth.
【Profit and Loss】Operating Income was ¥538.1B (¥84.9B in the same period of the previous year, +533.7%), and the operating margin expanded to 14.3%, up +1102bp from 3.2% in the previous year. The gross margin improved by +870bp to 19.1% (10.4% in the previous year) due to the lower cost-of-sales ratio. SG&A expenses were ¥268.6B (+36.2% YoY), growing more slowly than revenue (+44.1%), and the SG&A ratio declined to 7.1% (7.5% in the previous year). Below operating income, other income of ¥88.3B (¥9.9B in the previous year) was recognized and boosted earnings, while financial expenses declined to ¥35.3B (¥53.7B in the previous year), resulting in Profit Before Tax of ¥509.6B (+1280.9% YoY). The effective tax rate declined to 20.5% (42.1% in the previous year; the ratio may have been distorted by the low level of pretax income in the previous year), and quarterly Net Income attributable to owners of the parent reached ¥358.9B (+2634.5% YoY). In conclusion, the Company achieved higher revenue and earnings, with improvements in both pricing and costs progressing simultaneously.
【Profitability】The operating margin improved substantially to 14.3% (3.2% in the previous year), while the net margin, based on net income attributable to owners of the parent, improved to 9.5% (0.5% in the previous year). 【Cash Quality】Cash and cash equivalents were ¥57.9B, largely unchanged from ¥58.4B at the end of the previous fiscal year. However, accounts receivable increased by +¥438.1B and inventories increased by +¥415.5B, while the increase in accounts payable (+¥161.1B) was insufficient to absorb these increases, resulting in a net increase in working capital of approximately ¥692.5B. 【Investment Efficiency】ROE was 9.5% (for the quarter), and EPS was ¥198.18 (¥7.25 in the previous year), both reflecting the improvement in profitability. 【Financial Soundness】The Equity Ratio remained largely unchanged at 31.3% (30.9% in the previous year). Current assets were ¥6887.8B versus current liabilities of ¥5251.3B, resulting in a current ratio of approximately 131%. Meanwhile, bonds and borrowings increased by +¥215.6B from the end of the previous fiscal year on a combined current and non-current basis, suggesting that financing may have been raised to support the increase in working capital.
As detailed line items in the cash flow statement were not disclosed for the quarter, cash trends are analyzed based on changes in the balance sheet. Cash and cash equivalents remained largely unchanged at ¥57.9B versus ¥58.4B at the end of the previous fiscal year. Against increases of +¥438.1B in accounts receivable and +¥415.5B in inventories, accounts payable increased by only +¥161.1B, resulting in a net increase in working capital of approximately ¥692.5B. During this period, bonds and borrowings increased by +¥215.6B on a combined current and non-current basis, suggesting that funding needs, including the expansion of working capital and dividend payments (a total of ¥64.2B, comprising ¥63.4B attributable to owners of the parent and ¥0.8B attributable to non-controlling interests), may have been covered by increased borrowings. Property, plant and equipment was ¥423.9B, largely unchanged from ¥422.8B at the end of the previous fiscal year, suggesting that no large-scale capital investment was undertaken. The Company maintained its cash balance while both working capital and interest-bearing debt expanded; therefore, the extent to which inventories and accounts receivable are reduced from the next quarter onward will determine its cash-generation capacity.
Of the quarter’s Operating Income of ¥538.1B, other income of ¥88.3B (¥9.9B in the previous year) was a contributor, equivalent to 16.4% of Operating Income. As detailed information on its components has not been disclosed, the sustainability of this income should be monitored in subsequent quarters. The effective tax rate, calculated by deducting income taxes of ¥104.5B from Profit Before Tax of ¥509.6B, was 20.5%, significantly down from 42.1% in the previous year. However, it should be noted that the absolute level of pretax income in the same period of the previous year was low, making the ratio prone to fluctuation. Comprehensive income attributable to owners of the parent was ¥402.6B. The difference of +¥43.8B from Net Income of ¥358.9B was primarily attributable to other comprehensive income, including foreign currency translation adjustments of +¥33.7B. In the same period of the previous year, foreign currency translation adjustments were -¥51.1B, causing comprehensive income (-¥37.8B) to fall significantly below Net Income (¥13.1B); the direction of the divergence between comprehensive income and Net Income has therefore reversed due to foreign exchange movements. The fact that working capital, consisting of accounts receivable and inventories, is increasing faster than earnings growth warrants attention when assessing earnings quality from an accruals perspective.
Progress against the full-year Company forecast in Q1 was 27.0% for revenue (¥3773.8B/¥14000.0B), 63.3% for Operating Income (¥538.1B/¥850.0B), and 85.4% for Net Income attributable to owners of the parent (¥358.9B/¥420.0B). Compared with standard quarterly progress of 25%, Operating Income and Net Income are significantly ahead of schedule, and the full-year Company forecasts (Operating Income +10.6% YoY and Net Income +8.0% YoY) remain conservative relative to the Q1 results. During the quarter, the Company announced revisions to its earnings forecast and dividend forecast, including an increase in the expected dividend, confirming an upward revision trend at the Company level.
A 4-for-1 stock split of common shares was implemented effective October 1, 2025. Taking the stock split into account, the annual dividend for the previous fiscal year (FY ending March 2026) was ¥55.00. The dividend forecast for the current fiscal year (FY ending March 2027) is ¥70.00, representing an expected +27.3% increase from the previous fiscal year on a post-split basis. The Payout Ratio against forecast EPS of ¥231.96 is 30.2% (¥70.00/¥231.96), and no share repurchases were conducted (¥0.0B during the quarter).
Cash-generation risk from working capital expansion: Accounts receivable increased by +¥438.1B and inventories by +¥415.5B, while accounts payable increased by only +¥161.1B, resulting in a net increase in working capital of approximately ¥692.5B. Cash and cash equivalents were largely unchanged, while interest-bearing debt increased by +¥215.6B, suggesting that the expansion of working capital may have been funded through borrowings.
Risk concerning the sustainability of earnings improvement: Other income of ¥88.3B (¥9.9B in the previous year) contributed to Operating Income of ¥538.1B, equivalent to 16.4% of Operating Income. The sustainability of the components of this income cannot be confirmed from the disclosed information, and the level in subsequent periods should be monitored.
Foreign exchange risk: Foreign currency translation adjustments fluctuated significantly, at +¥33.7B in the current period versus -¥51.1B in the previous year, and comprehensive income was strongly affected by foreign exchange movements. Changes in foreign exchange rates could also affect future financial results and comprehensive income.
Profitability and Returns
| Metric | Company | Median (IQR) | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Margin | 14.3% | 8.7% (4.2%–14.2%) | +5.6pt |
| Net Margin | 10.7% | 7.0% (3.2%–10.6%) | +3.7pt |
| Both profitability metrics exceed the industry median and rank at a high level within the industry. |
Growth and Capital Efficiency
| Metric | Company | Median (IQR) | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth Rate (YoY) | 44.1% | 6.2% (-1.1%–14.6%) | +37.9pt |
| The revenue growth rate significantly exceeds the industry median, representing an outstanding growth rate within the industry. |
Source: Company compilation
Full-year progress was 63.3% for Operating Income and 85.4% for Net Income, significantly exceeding the 27.0% progress for revenue. The full-year Company forecast (Operating Income +10.6% YoY) may remain conservative relative to the Q1 results. During the quarter, the Company also announced revisions to its earnings and dividend forecasts, including an increase in the expected dividend.
The gross margin and operating margin improved by +870bp and +1102bp, respectively, with operating leverage from the lower cost ratio and controlled SG&A ratio serving as the primary drivers. At the same time, the recognition of ¥88.3B in other income also contributed, meaning that structural and temporary factors coexist in the earnings improvement.
Accounts receivable and inventories increased faster than earnings, resulting in an increase in working capital (approximately ¥692.5B net). Cash levels were unchanged, while interest-bearing debt increased by +¥215.6B; cash-generation trends from the next quarter onward will therefore be a key monitoring point.
This is a mechanically calculated reference range based solely on publicly disclosed data using a residual income model (Ohlson type with an explicit 5-year fade). It is not a forecast of the market share price or a recommendation to take any specific investment action.
| Scenario | Theoretical Share Price |
|---|---|
| bear | ¥2,149 |
| base | ¥2,282 |
| bull | ¥2,317 |
| Calculation Assumption | Value |
|---|---|
| Book Value Per Share (BPS) | ¥2,104 |
| Adjusted Forecast EPS | ¥266.8 |
| Cost of Equity r | 9.77% (10-year Japanese government bond 2.77% + equity risk premium 6.00% + size premium 1.00%) |
| Residual Income Persistence Coefficient ω / Explicit Forecast Period | 0.62 / 5 years |
| Assumed Payout Ratio | 30.2% |
| Forecast EPS Confidence Adjustment | ×1.150 (based on the peer industry’s historical guidance achievement rate) |
| Implied PBR / PER |
Sensitivity: ¥2,218–¥2,349 at ±1% for the cost of equity, and ¥2,278–¥2,289 at ±0.1 for ω.
Notes:
(Calculation model: Residual Income Model / Interest rate reference month: 2026-07 / This value does not forecast or guarantee the future share price)
This report is an earnings analysis document automatically generated by AI based on XBRL earnings release data. It does not recommend investment in any specific security. The industry benchmarks are reference information compiled by the Company based on publicly available earnings data. Investment decisions should be made at your own responsibility, after consulting a professional where necessary.
---End of Report---
| 1.08x / 8.6x |