These are mechanically computed values based on a residual income model. They are not a forecast of market prices or a recommendation of any investment action, and do not predict or guarantee future share prices. Historical values are computed retrospectively using current guidance-achievement statistics.
| Metric | Current Period | Same Period of Previous Year | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ¥2016.0B | ¥1690.4B | +19.3% |
| Operating Income | ¥210.3B | ¥114.2B | +84.1% |
| Ordinary Income | ¥234.7B | ¥100.2B | +134.3% |
| Net Income | ¥163.9B | ¥-54.1B | +402.9% |
| ROE | 3.8% | -1.3% | - |
Mitsui Kinzoku reported increases in revenue and earnings for Q1 of the fiscal year ending March 2027, primarily driven by high-margin growth in the Functional Materials segment, achieving a significant earnings recovery from the loss recorded in the previous year. Revenue was ¥2016.0B (+19.3% YoY), Operating Income was ¥210.3B (+84.1% YoY), Ordinary Income was ¥234.7B (+134.3% YoY), and Net Income was ¥163.9B, turning profitable from a loss of ¥54.1B in the previous year. The gross margin improved to 20.9%, while the Operating Income margin expanded to 10.4% despite higher SG&A expenses. An increase in equity-method investment income also contributed to the improvement in Ordinary Income.
【Revenue】Revenue was ¥2016.0B (+19.3% YoY), led by Functional Materials (external revenue of ¥980.3B, +41.1%) and Metals (¥747.8B, +32.7%). Other Businesses declined to ¥252.9B (△28.9%) due to changes in the business portfolio associated with the transfer of shares in an automotive parts subsidiary. Functional Materials benefited from a recovery in demand and higher volumes for copper foil, battery materials, rare materials, and other products.
【Profit and Loss】Operating Income was ¥210.3B (+84.1% YoY), supported by an improvement in the gross margin (approximately +2.9pt from the previous year) and restrained growth in SG&A expenses, resulting in the Operating Income margin expanding to 10.4%. Ordinary Income increased to ¥234.7B (+134.3% YoY), including a ¥28.3B increase in equity-method investment income. Although a gain on the sale of investment securities of ¥10.4B was recorded under extraordinary income, its contribution to Net Income of ¥163.9B was limited to approximately 6%, indicating that the recovery in core earnings was the primary driver. Revenue and earnings increased.
The Functional Materials segment reported segment income of ¥182.4B (+74.0% from ¥104.9B in the previous year), accounting for approximately 71% of total company segment income and serving as the largest source of earnings. The Metals segment posted a substantial increase in segment income to ¥68.3B (+105.0% YoY), reflecting higher market prices and improved recycling spreads. Other Businesses turned profitable, improving from a loss of ¥5.4B in the previous year to ¥5.8B. The segment mix has become increasingly concentrated in Functional Materials, creating a structure in which demand trends in this business have a significant impact on overall company performance.
【Profitability】The Operating Income margin was 10.4%, a significant improvement from 6.8% in the previous year, while the Net Income margin also recovered to approximately 8.1%. ROE was 3.8%, representing a normalized level following the return to profitability from the previous year’s loss (negative ROE). 【Cash Flow Quality】Accounts receivable and notes receivable were ¥1249.9B, and inventories were ¥715.1B, indicating an expansion in asset scale. If inventories and receivables increase more rapidly than sales, this could affect capital efficiency. 【Investment Efficiency】Net assets were ¥4304.6B against total assets of ¥7192.7B, leaving room for more active utilization of assets, while equity-method income of ¥28.3B contributed to the increase in Ordinary Income. 【Financial Soundness】The Equity Ratio was high at 59.8%. The liability structure was conservative, comprising long-term borrowings of ¥378.5B and bonds of ¥400.0B (including ¥100.0B redeemable within one year), and the financial foundation was generally stable.
Although detailed disclosure of the statement of cash flows is not available, cash trends based on changes in the balance sheet indicate that accounts receivable and notes receivable were ¥1249.9B, while raw materials and work in process within inventories were ¥1009.6B and ¥667.8B, respectively, showing an upward trend. Working capital investment associated with sales expansion is progressing. Cash and deposits were ¥536.0B, slightly down from ¥582.7B in the previous year, suggesting increased funding needs associated with business expansion. Meanwhile, short-term borrowings were reduced from ¥307.7B to ¥361.6B, indicating progress in reviewing the short-term funding structure. Retained earnings continued to accumulate, reaching ¥3415.3B, confirming that the capital base was strengthened through the retention of current-period earnings.
Recurring earnings accounted for the majority of profit, while total non-operating income of ¥36.8B (including dividend income of ¥3.1B and equity-method income of ¥28.3B) was limited to approximately 1.8% of revenue. Extraordinary income of ¥10.8B (including a gain on the sale of investment securities of ¥10.4B) contributed only approximately 6.6% of Net Income of ¥163.9B. The impact of one-off factors on Net Income was limited as this was offset by extraordinary losses of ¥6.0B (including a loss on disposal of fixed assets of ¥2.6B and disaster losses of ¥2.0B). The adjustment from Ordinary Income of ¥234.7B to Profit Before Tax of ¥239.5B can be explained by the net extraordinary gain of +¥4.8B, and consistency with Net Income of ¥163.9B is confirmed after deducting income taxes and other taxes of ¥75.6B from Profit Before Tax. Comprehensive income was ¥180.4B, exceeding Net Income of ¥163.9B. Foreign currency translation adjustments of ¥22.6B and the share of OCI of equity-method affiliates of ¥22.1B were positive contributors, while deferred hedge gains and losses of △¥20.9B had a negative impact.
The full-year forecasts are Revenue of ¥8500.0B (+12.1% YoY), Operating Income of ¥940.0B (△28.2%), and Ordinary Income of ¥1000.0B (△26.9%). Q1 progress rates were 23.7% for Revenue, 22.4% for Operating Income, and 23.5% for Ordinary Income. Although all were slightly below the simple 25% benchmark, the deviations were not significant. Full-year Operating Income and Ordinary Income are expected to decline from the previous year, with the company anticipating a reversal in profitability following the substantial earnings growth in Q1. The Company has revised its earnings and dividend forecasts and has also resolved to conduct a stock split (from 1 share to 10 shares).
The Company resolved to conduct a stock split at a ratio of 10 shares for every 1 common share, with an effective date of October 1, 2026. Without reflecting the split, the forecast year-end dividend per share for the fiscal year ending March 2027 is ¥140, and the full-year dividend is ¥280. The annual dividend for the previous fiscal year was ¥100 (based on the same-period data for the previous year), meaning that the full-year dividend of ¥280 (on a pre-split basis) represents an increase in dividends. The dividend forecast was also revised, indicating a review of the shareholder return policy reflecting the earnings recovery.
Decline in working capital efficiency: Accounts receivable and notes receivable were ¥1249.9B, while inventories were ¥715.1B (including raw materials of ¥1009.6B), indicating an expansion in asset scale. If inventories and receivables continue to accumulate faster than sales growth, this could delay cash generation.
Metal market and foreign exchange risks: Earnings in the Metals segment are highly correlated with market conditions and recycling spreads, and a foreign exchange loss of ¥3.8B was recorded. Fluctuations in market conditions and foreign exchange rates could affect non-operating income and expenses as well as Metals segment earnings.
Concentration of segment earnings: The Functional Materials segment accounts for approximately 70% of total segment income, creating a structure with a high degree of dependence on demand trends in this segment, including semiconductors and electronic materials.
Profitability and Return
| Metric | Company | Median (IQR) | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Income Margin | 10.4% | 8.7% (4.2%–14.2%) | +1.7pt |
| Net Income Margin | 8.1% | 7.0% (3.2%–10.6%) | +1.1pt |
The Company’s Operating Income margin and Net Income margin both exceeded the industry median, representing relatively high profitability within the manufacturing sector.
Growth and Capital Efficiency
| Metric | Company | Median (IQR) | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth Rate (YoY) | 19.3% | 6.2% (-1.1%–14.6%) | +13.1pt |
The Revenue growth rate exceeded the upper limit of the industry IQR, placing the Company among the high-growth group within the manufacturing sector.
※Source: Prepared by the Company
The Operating Income margin expanded to 10.4% due to margin improvement led by the Functional Materials segment, exceeding the industry median of 8.7%. This earnings structure is characterized by its low dependence on extraordinary gains and losses and its foundation in the recovery of core businesses.
Full-year Operating Income and Ordinary Income are both expected to decline from the previous year, representing a progress profile contrasting with the substantial earnings growth in Q1. Whether the high profitability in the first half can be maintained throughout the full year will depend on trends in metal market conditions and demand for Functional Materials from the second half onward.
Accounts receivable and inventories appear to be increasing faster than sales, making working capital efficiency an area to monitor going forward. The stock split and revision of the dividend forecast have also been resolved, warranting attention to changes in the shareholder return policy.
This is a reference range mechanically calculated solely from publicly disclosed data using a residual income model (Ohlson-type model with an explicit 5-year fade period). It is not a forecast of the market share price or a recommendation of any specific investment action.
| Scenario | Theoretical Share Price |
|---|---|
| bear | ¥6,000 |
| base | ¥6,070 |
| bull | ¥6,087 |
| Calculation Assumption | Value |
|---|---|
| Book Value Per Share (BPS) | ¥7,524 |
| Adjusted Forecast EPS | ¥160.8 |
| Cost of Equity r | 9.27% (10-year government bond 2.77% + equity risk premium 6.00% + size premium 0.50%) |
| Residual Income Persistence Coefficient ω / Explicit Forecast Period | 0.62 / 5 years |
| Assumed Payout Ratio | 30.0% |
| Forecast EPS Confidence Adjustment | ×1.150 (based on the industry’s historical guidance achievement rate) |
| implied PBR / PER |
Sensitivity: ¥5,902–¥6,245 at Cost of Equity ±1%, and ¥6,022–¥6,101 at ω±0.1.
Notes:
(Calculation model: Residual Income Model / Interest Rate Reference Month: 2026-07 / This value does not forecast or guarantee the future share price)
This report is an earnings analysis document automatically generated by AI based on XBRL earnings release data. It does not recommend investment in any specific security. The industry benchmarks are reference information compiled by the Company based on publicly disclosed earnings data. Investment decisions should be made at your own discretion and responsibility, after consulting professionals as necessary.
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| 0.81x / 37.7x |