These are mechanically computed values based on a residual income model. They are not a forecast of market prices or a recommendation of any investment action, and do not predict or guarantee future share prices. Historical values are computed retrospectively using current guidance-achievement statistics.
| Metric | Current Period | Same Period Last Year | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ¥72.2B | ¥69.0B | +4.6% |
| Operating Income | ¥5.8B | ¥5.8B | +1.3% |
| Ordinary Income | ¥6.4B | ¥6.5B | -0.4% |
| Net Income | ¥4.6B | ¥1.9B | +145.3% |
| ROE | 1.3% | 0.5% | - |
Despite higher revenue, profit growth was limited, while the substantial increase in net income was primarily attributable to a one-off rebound from special losses recorded in the previous year. Revenue was ¥72.2B (+4.6% YoY), operating income was ¥5.8B (+1.3%), ordinary income was ¥6.4B (-0.4%), and net income was ¥4.6B (+145.3%). The core Refractory segment led growth through higher revenue and profit, but deteriorating profitability in Engineering and the persistently low gross margin constrained overall profit growth.
【Revenue】Revenue was ¥72.2B, representing a +4.6% increase year on year. Refractory generated ¥60.4B (+5.2%), accounting for 83.7% of total revenue and driving growth, while Engineering generated ¥11.8B (+1.8%), indicating a slowdown in growth.
【Profit and Loss】Operating income was ¥5.8B (+1.3%), with an operating margin of 8.1%, essentially flat year on year. The gross margin remained low at 18.7%, while the SG&A expense ratio rose to 10.6%, resulting in limited operating leverage. Ordinary income was ¥6.4B (-0.4%), remaining nearly flat, supported by ¥0.96B in non-operating income, including dividend income. Net income increased substantially to ¥4.6B (+145.3%); however, this was primarily due to the rebound from ¥3.05B in special losses, including losses on the disposal of fixed assets, recorded in the previous year. Accordingly, the results may be characterized as higher revenue and profit, although underlying business profit growth was modest.
Refractory is the core segment, generating revenue of ¥60.4B (+5.2%), operating income of ¥10.4B (+8.5%), and a profit margin of 17.2%, thereby supporting the majority of total company profit. Engineering generated revenue of ¥11.8B (+1.8%), but operating income declined to ¥0.9B (-28.9%), with its profit margin falling to 7.6%, reflecting deteriorating profitability and diluting overall profit growth. The profitability gap between the segments is widening, and improving project profitability in Engineering is a key issue going forward.
【Profitability】The operating margin was 8.1% and the net profit margin was 6.3%. The gross margin remained low at 18.7%, while the SG&A expense ratio increased from the previous year to 10.6%. 【Cash Quality】With cash and deposits of ¥63.1B against interest-bearing debt of ¥8.0B, the company is effectively in a net cash position. The current ratio was approximately 506%, based on current assets of ¥299.7B divided by current liabilities of ¥59.2B, an exceptionally high level. 【Investment Efficiency】ROE was 1.3% on a quarterly basis. Although the improvement in the net profit margin was a positive contributing factor, the total asset turnover ratio was low, limiting asset efficiency. 【Financial Soundness】The equity ratio was high at 79.6%. With net assets of ¥346.7B against long-term borrowings of ¥8.0B, the capital structure is conservative.
Although the cash flow statement was not disclosed, changes in the balance sheet provide insight into funding trends. Cash and deposits amounted to ¥63.1B, an increase of ¥5.6B from the previous year, while investment securities also increased to ¥46.8B (+¥8.5B). Meanwhile, accounts receivable and notes receivable totaled ¥102.4B, and inventory levels were also high, with raw materials at ¥57.8B and finished goods at ¥53.3B, suggesting that funds may be increasingly tied up in working capital. Non-current liabilities increased to ¥29.9B (+¥11.9B), accompanied by an increase in long-term borrowings. However, as cash substantially exceeds interest-bearing debt, the company retains ample financing capacity.
Current-period earnings were primarily recurring in nature, and non-operating income of ¥0.96B, including ¥0.7B in dividend income, represented approximately 1.3% of revenue, indicating no excessive dependence. Special losses were limited to ¥0.12B in losses on the disposal of fixed assets. The absence of the ¥3.05B in special losses, including losses on the disposal of fixed assets, recorded in the previous year was the primary reason for the substantial increase in net income (+145.3%). Accordingly, the increase in net income this period was driven more by the rebound from a one-off factor than by structural improvement in the core business, warranting caution in assessing sustainability. Comprehensive income was ¥10.5B, exceeding net income of ¥4.6B, primarily due to a +¥5.8B valuation difference on securities. It should also be noted that valuation gains not directly linked to cash flow are boosting shareholders’ equity.
The Q1 progress rates against the full-year plan—revenue of ¥300.0B, operating income of ¥38.0B, and ordinary income of ¥39.0B—were 24.1% for revenue, 15.3% for operating income, 16.5% for ordinary income, and 17.5% for net income. While revenue progress was broadly in line with the benchmark of 25% for evenly distributed quarterly progress, profit progress was somewhat behind schedule. The persistently low gross margin and deteriorating profitability in Engineering appear to have been the primary factors restraining profit progress. There were no revisions to either the earnings forecast or the dividend forecast.
The company’s full-year dividend forecast is ¥90 per share, an increase from the previous-year dividend of ¥45 (caution is required when comparing this with the level before the interim and year-end dividends are combined). Based on forecast full-year EPS of ¥140.99, the payout ratio is approximately 63.8%, a somewhat high level. However, given the company’s strong financial position, including an effective net cash position and an equity ratio of 79.6%, as well as the unrealized gains environment for investment securities, the company is considered to have sufficient capacity to pay dividends.
Polarization of segment earnings: Refractory accounts for 83.7% of revenue and is highly profitable, with a profit margin of 17.2%. In contrast, Engineering’s profit margin has declined to 7.6%, with profitability deteriorating by -28.9% year on year. Dependence on a particular segment for profit is increasing.
Working capital tied up: Accounts receivable and notes receivable of ¥102.4B, raw materials of ¥57.8B, and finished goods of ¥53.3B are high relative to the asset base. Efficient collection of funds and inventory reduction may therefore become key issues.
Risk of fluctuations in securities valuations: The company holds ¥46.8B in investment securities, and the primary driver of comprehensive income of ¥10.5B was a +¥5.8B valuation difference on securities. The company’s equity and OCI are therefore susceptible to market fluctuations.
Profitability and Returns
| Metric | Company | Median (IQR) | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Margin | 8.1% | 8.7% (4.2%–14.2%) | -0.6pt |
| Net Profit Margin | 6.3% | 7.0% (3.2%–10.6%) | -0.7pt |
The company’s profitability is slightly below the industry median and is positioned at a middle level.
Growth and Capital Efficiency
| Metric | Company | Median (IQR) | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth Rate (YoY) | 4.6% | 6.2% (-1.1%–14.6%) | -1.7pt |
Revenue growth was also somewhat below the industry median, placing the company’s growth pace in the middle to slightly below-middle range within the industry.
※Source: Company analysis
The substantial increase in net income (+145.3%) was primarily attributable to the one-off rebound from special losses recorded in the previous year, while operating income from the core business increased only modestly by +1.3%, as indicated by the earnings data.
The gross margin of 18.7% was slightly below the industry median, while the SG&A expense ratio increased from the previous year. This suggests a structure in which profit growth has not kept pace with revenue growth.
Accounts receivable and inventory levels are large relative to the asset base, and full-year progress is somewhat behind schedule on the profit side. Working capital efficiency and the profitability trend of the Engineering segment in the second half of the year will be key monitoring points.
This is a mechanically calculated reference range based solely on publicly disclosed data using a residual income model (Ohlson-type model with an explicit five-year fade). It is not a forecast of the market share price or a recommendation to take any specific investment action.
| Scenario | Theoretical Share Price |
|---|---|
| bear | ¥1,765 |
| base | ¥1,809 |
| bull | ¥1,840 |
| Calculation Assumption | Value |
|---|---|
| Book Value Per Share (BPS) | ¥1,880 |
| Adjusted Forecast EPS | ¥157.4 |
| Cost of Equity r | 9.77% (10-year government bond 2.77% + equity risk premium 6.00% + size premium 1.00%) |
| Residual Income Persistence Factor ω / Explicit Forecast Period | 0.62 / 5 years |
| Assumed Payout Ratio | 63.8% |
| Forecast EPS Confidence Adjustment | ×1.117 (based on the track record of guidance achievement in the same industry) |
| Implied PBR / PER |
Sensitivity: ¥1,761–¥1,859 at ±1% for the cost of equity, and ¥1,806–¥1,810 at ±0.1 for ω.
Notes:
(Calculation model: Residual income model / Interest rate reference month: 2026-07 / This value is not a forecast or guarantee of the future share price)
This report is an earnings analysis document automatically generated by AI based on XBRL earnings summary data. It does not recommend investment in any specific security. The industry benchmarks are reference information compiled by the company based on publicly disclosed earnings data. Investment decisions should be made at your own responsibility, after consulting professionals as necessary.
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| 0.96x / 11.5x |