Quick View
| Metric | Current Period | Previous Year | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ¥46.2B | ¥42.4B | +9.2% |
| Operating Income | ¥5.5B | ¥4.3B | +28.5% |
| Ordinary Income | ¥5.1B | ¥4.9B | +3.5% |
| Net Income | ¥3.7B | ¥3.5B | +5.1% |
| ROE | 1.8% | 1.7% | - |
Executive Summary
The current Q1 results featured higher revenue and earnings, with a notable improvement in operating-level profitability. Revenue was ¥46.2B (¥42.4B in the previous year, YoY+9.2%), Operating Income was ¥5.5B (¥4.3B in the previous year, YoY+28.5%), Ordinary Income was ¥5.1B (¥4.9B in the previous year, YoY+3.5%), and Net Income was ¥3.7B (¥3.5B in the previous year, YoY+5.1%). Although the Operating Income margin improved to 12.0%, the recognition of equity-method investment losses and an increase in non-operating expenses limited the growth of Ordinary Income, resulting in a difference in the magnitude of improvement between the operating and bottom-line levels.
Factors Affecting Earnings
【Revenue】Revenue was ¥46.2B (YoY+9.2%), driven by both the Systems Development and Sales segment (¥21.9B, YoY+10.5%) and the Recurring segment (¥24.6B, YoY+7.7%). The revenue mix was 53.2% for Recurring and 47.4% for Systems Development and Sales (before intersegment adjustments), making Recurring, the stable earnings base, the core business.
【Profit and Loss】Operating Income was ¥5.5B (YoY+28.5%), with profit margins improving in both segments. The Operating Income margin was 11.3% for Systems Development and Sales (improved from the previous year) and 12.6% for Recurring, supported by improvements in pricing and mix. Meanwhile, Ordinary Income remained at ¥5.1B (YoY+3.5%), weighed down by the recognition of ¥1.1B in non-operating expenses and equity-method investment losses. Net Income was ¥3.7B (YoY+5.1%), reflecting ¥1.4B in income taxes and other taxes. Although the results showed higher revenue and earnings, the growth of Ordinary Income and Net Income was relatively subdued compared with the growth of Operating Income.
Segment Analysis
Recurring is a high-profitability segment, with revenue of ¥24.6B (YoY+7.7%), Operating Income of ¥3.1B (YoY+25.6%), and a profit margin of 12.6%. Systems Development and Sales generated revenue of ¥21.9B (YoY+10.5%), Operating Income of ¥2.5B (YoY+31.6%), and a profit margin of 11.3%, exceeding Recurring in both growth and earnings growth rates. Recurring contributed approximately 55.6% of total segment profit, while Systems Development and Sales contributed approximately 44.4%. Both businesses posted higher revenue and earnings, indicating a well-balanced business portfolio.
Key Financial Indicators
【Profitability】The Operating Income margin was 12.0%, while the gross margin improved from the previous year to 38.8%. The Net Income margin was 8.1%; the reduction from Ordinary Income to Net Income was attributable to ¥1.4B in income taxes and other taxes and the impact of equity-method investment losses.【Cash Quality】The Company held ¥62.7B in cash and deposits and ¥61.9B in marketable securities (current), resulting in an exceptionally high current ratio of approximately 391% (current assets of ¥167.0B/current liabilities of ¥42.7B). Accounts receivable were ¥30.0B and inventories were ¥8.4B; both levels warrant monitoring from a working capital management perspective.【Investment Efficiency】ROE was 1.8%, indicating somewhat diluted capital efficiency under a conservative capital structure with an Equity Ratio of 79.9%. EPS was ¥13.51 (¥13.42 in the previous year, YoY+0.7%), and BPS was ¥757.82.【Financial Soundness】The Equity Ratio was 79.9%, while interest-bearing debt remained low, with long-term borrowings of ¥1.3B, indicating a financial position close to being debt-free on a net basis. Total assets were ¥256.9B (¥280.7B in the previous year), and net assets were ¥205.2B (¥211.5B in the previous year), with both declining from the previous year.
Cash Flow Analysis
As detailed data from the statement of cash flows has not been disclosed, cash trends are analyzed based on changes in the balance sheet. Cash and deposits were ¥62.7B, down from ¥78.1B in the previous year, likely reflecting a shift into current marketable securities and an increase in investment securities. Accounts receivable declined significantly to ¥30.0B, indicating progress in the early collection of funds, while inventories increased to ¥8.4B, resulting in funds being tied up as projects progressed. Contract liabilities (advances received) increased, and the expansion of deferred revenue is providing some support for the cash position. Overall, although Operating Income has expanded, movements in working capital are affecting capital efficiency due to the increase in inventories and timing fluctuations in accounts receivable and accounts payable.
Quality of Earnings
The majority of current-period earnings were derived from operating activities, while non-operating income was minor at approximately 1.3% of revenue, indicating an earnings structure reflecting recurring business activities. However, equity-method investment losses were recorded, serving as a temporary factor that restrained the growth of Ordinary Income (YoY+3.5%) compared with the growth of Operating Income (YoY+28.5%). Ordinary Income was ¥5.1B versus Net Income of ¥3.7B, with the difference primarily attributable to ¥1.4B in income taxes and other taxes; the effective tax rate was approximately at a standard level. Interest expense was ¥0.0B and immaterial, limiting distortion of earnings from financing costs. The increase in operating earnings was supported by an improved gross margin and expanded margins in both business segments and is considered to have relatively high sustainability. However, equity-method gains and losses are prone to volatility, warranting caution when evaluating Ordinary Income and Net Income.
Earnings Forecasts and Guidance
Progress against the Full-Year earnings forecasts was 16.5% for revenue (¥46.2B against ¥280.0B), 11.6% for Operating Income (¥5.5B against ¥48.0B), and 10.4% for Ordinary Income (¥5.1B against ¥49.0B). As a simple progress rate as of Q1, these levels are below the quarterly average of 25%. However, given the business characteristics of earnings being weighted toward the second half and the expansion of advance revenue recognition due to increased contract liabilities, further progress in revenue recognition will be a prerequisite for achieving the plan. No revisions were made to the earnings forecasts or dividend forecasts during the quarter.
Shareholder Returns
The Company plans to pay a Full-Year dividend of ¥80.00 per share. Based on the Full-Year EPS forecast of ¥128.48, the Payout Ratio is approximately 62.3%, representing a relatively generous level of shareholder returns. Given cash and deposits of ¥62.7B and a financial position close to being debt-free on a net basis, the Company appears to have sufficient capacity to pay this dividend. No disclosure regarding share repurchases was identified, and the current shareholder return policy is centered on dividends.
Risk Factors
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Inventory and project progress management risk: Inventories increased significantly to ¥8.4B, up +111.9% year on year, and inventory accumulation due to fluctuations in project progress timing could become a factor tying up funds going forward.
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Volatility of equity-method investment gains and losses: Equity-method investment losses were recorded in the current period, restraining the growth of Ordinary Income (YoY+3.5%) compared with the growth of Operating Income (YoY+28.5%). These gains and losses are susceptible to temporary fluctuations and may affect the future trend of Ordinary Income.
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Valuation fluctuation risk associated with the asset composition: Investment securities were ¥55.0B, accounting for approximately 21.4% of total assets of ¥256.9B, while valuation difference on securities of ¥3.4B was included in comprehensive income. Market fluctuations may affect financial indicators through changes in unrealized gains and losses.
Industry Benchmark (Reference; Compiled by the Company)
Industry Benchmark (it_telecom)
Profitability and Returns
| Metric | Company | Median (IQR) | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Income margin | 12.0% | 8.1% (2.3%–15.9%) | +3.9pt |
| Net Income margin | 8.1% | 5.9% (1.6%–10.7%) | +2.2pt |
Both the Operating Income margin and Net Income margin exceed the industry median, indicating that profitability is relatively high within the industry.
Growth and Capital Efficiency
| Metric | Company | Median (IQR) | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth rate (year on year) | 9.2% | 9.3% (0.4%–16.9%) | -0.1pt |
The revenue growth rate is approximately in line with the industry median, positioning the Company in the middle of the industry in terms of growth.
※Source: Compiled by the Company
Key Takeaways from the Financial Results
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Trend of improving profitability: The Operating Income margin of 12.0% and gross margin of 38.8% both improved from the previous year, with margin expansion confirmed in both the Recurring and Systems Development and Sales segments. Compared with the industry median, both the Operating Income margin and Net Income margin are also at advantageous levels.
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Difference in growth rates across profit levels: Operating Income grew YoY+28.5%, compared with growth of YoY+3.5% for Ordinary Income and YoY+5.1% for Net Income, indicating that the growth rate contracted as earnings progressed through each level. This difference was caused by equity-method investment losses and an increase in non-operating expenses, and the gap between the earnings power of the core businesses and bottom-line profit is a notable characteristic evident from the financial results.
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Changes in the balance sheet: A significant increase in inventories (+111.9%) and a significant decrease in accounts receivable (-53.3%) occurred simultaneously, confirming a change in the working capital composition associated with project progress and the timing of the reporting period. The increase in contract liabilities (advances received) is observed as a factor supporting future revenue recognition.
Theoretical Share Price (Reference Value)
| Scenario | Theoretical Share Price |
|---|---|
| bear (bearish) | ¥901 |
| base (base case) | ¥929 |
| bull (bullish) | ¥963 |
| Calculation Assumption | Value |
|---|---|
| Net assets per share (BPS) | ¥758 |
| Adjusted forecast EPS | ¥134.7 |
| Cost of equity r | 9.77% (10-year government bond 2.77% + equity risk premium 6.00% + size premium 1.00%) |
| Persistence coefficient of residual income ω / explicit forecast | 0.62 / 5 years |
| Assumed Payout Ratio | 62.3% |
| Forecast EPS confidence adjustment | ×1.049 (based on the track record of guidance achievement rates for comparable companies) |
| implied PBR / PER | 1.23x / 6.9x |
Sensitivity: ¥904–¥955 at cost of equity ±1%, and ¥925–¥935 at ω±0.1.
Note:
- Net assets as of the end of the quarter are used (there is a timing gap relative to the Full-Year forecast).
(Calculation model: Residual Income Model (Ohlson-type; explicit 5-year fade) / Interest rate reference month: 2026-07 / Mechanically calculated values based solely on publicly disclosed data; these are not forecasts of the market share price or recommendations for specific investment actions, and do not forecast or guarantee future share prices.)
This report is an earnings analysis document automatically generated by AI based on XBRL earnings release data. It does not recommend investment in any specific security. The industry benchmarks are reference information compiled by the Company based on publicly disclosed earnings data. Investment decisions should be made at your own discretion and responsibility, after consulting a professional advisor as necessary.
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