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40512026 Q3PrimeIFRS

GMO Financial Gate,Inc. FY2026 Q3 Earnings Report

GMO Financial Gate,Inc. FY2026 Q3 earnings report and financial analysis

IT & Services, Others/Information & Communication


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MetricCurrent PeriodSame Period of Previous YearYoY
Revenue¥16.17B¥13.19B+22.6%
Operating Income¥2.24B¥1.81B+23.6%
Profit Before Tax¥2.22B¥1.80B+23.1%
Net Income¥1.52B¥1.33B+13.7%
ROE21.1%20.6%-

Executive Summary

Both revenue and profit achieved double-digit growth, and the trend of higher revenue and earnings continues. Revenue was ¥16.17B (+22.6% YoY), Operating Income was ¥2.24B (+23.6%), Profit Before Tax was ¥2.22B (+23.1%), and Net Income was ¥1.52B (+13.7%; of which ¥1.50B was attributable to owners of the parent, up 11.2%). Although the gross profit margin declined to 34.8% from the previous year, the Operating Income margin improved slightly to 13.8% as SG&A expenses were contained below the rate of revenue growth. Meanwhile, Operating Cash Flow (OCF) was substantially below Net Income, with inventory and trade receivables increasing behind the revenue growth.

Factors Driving Performance Changes

【Revenue】Revenue was ¥16.17B, maintaining strong growth at +22.6% YoY. The Company operates as a single segment, Face-to-Face Payment Services, and the revenue increase appears to have been primarily driven by growth in transaction volume and the number of installations. Other income also increased to ¥0.16B from ¥0.02B in the previous year, but accounted for less than 1% of total revenue and was not a primary growth driver.

【Profit and Loss】Gross profit was ¥5.63B, with a gross profit margin of 34.8%, down from 37.6% in the previous year, as changes in the cost structure pressured margins. Meanwhile, SG&A expenses were ¥3.54B, with an SG&A ratio of 21.9%, improving from 23.9% in the previous year. Expenses were contained below the pace of revenue growth, allowing the Operating Income margin to remain at 13.8%, compared with 13.7% in the previous year. Against Profit Before Tax of ¥2.22B, income taxes and other taxes amounted to ¥0.70B, representing an effective tax rate of 31.6%, resulting in Net Income of ¥1.52B. No special one-time gains or losses were identified, indicating that the earnings increase was within the scope of the ordinary earnings structure. In conclusion, the Company achieved higher revenue and earnings.

Segment Analysis

The Company operates as a single segment, the Face-to-Face Payment Services Business, and does not disclose results by segment.

Key Financial Metrics

【Profitability】The Operating Income margin was 13.8%, a slight improvement from 13.7% in the previous year, while the Net Income margin was 9.4%. The gross profit margin was 34.8%, down from the previous year, with changes in the cost structure determining the profitability trend.【Cash Flow Quality】Operating Cash Flow was ¥0.49B, only approximately 0.3x Net Income of ¥1.52B. The increase in inventory (-¥1.34B) and the increase in trade receivables (-¥0.196B) pressured cash generation.【Investment Efficiency】ROE remained high at 21.1%, supported by the combination of the Net Income margin, total asset turnover, and financial leverage.【Financial Soundness】The Equity Ratio was 40.5%, slightly down from 45.2% in the previous year, reflecting a change in the liability structure following new short-term borrowings of ¥2.40B. With current assets of ¥13.77B and current liabilities of ¥7.93B, the current ratio was approximately 174%, indicating that liquidity was secured.

Cash Flow Analysis

Operating Cash Flow was ¥0.49B, a significant decrease from ¥0.996B in the previous year, and the gap relative to Net Income of ¥1.52B was notable. The main factors were a ¥1.34B increase in inventories and a ¥0.20B increase in trade receivables, as the expansion of working capital accompanying revenue growth pressured cash generation. Investing Cash Flow was -¥1.08B, primarily consisting of ¥0.95B for the acquisition of intangible assets and ¥0.13B for business combination expenditures, while investment in property, plant and equipment was limited to ¥0.01B. As a result, free cash flow was -¥0.59B. Financing Cash Flow was +¥1.47B, due to new short-term borrowings of ¥2.40B, covering funding requirements including ¥0.82B in dividend payments. Consequently, cash and cash equivalents increased to ¥5.14B; however, it should be noted from the perspective of funding structure quality that the source of the increase was borrowings rather than cash generation from the core business.

Earnings Quality

Most of the profit and loss was generated by recurring business activities. Other income of ¥0.16B represented less than 1% of revenue and was not a one-time factor with a significant impact on earnings. The difference between Profit Before Tax of ¥2.22B and Net Income of ¥1.52B was attributable to income taxes and other taxes of ¥0.70B, with the effective tax rate rising to 31.6% from 26.0% in the previous year. Comprehensive income was ¥1.52B, broadly in line with Net Income, and no other comprehensive income items were recognized. Accordingly, there was no structural divergence between Net Income and comprehensive income. On the other hand, Operating Cash Flow remaining at approximately 0.3x Net Income indicates an expansion in accruals caused by working capital factors, namely increases in inventory and trade receivables. The fact that the earnings increase reported on the income statement has not translated directly into cash generation is an important consideration in evaluating earnings quality.

Earnings Forecast and Guidance

Progress against the full-year forecast was approximately 82% for Revenue at ¥16.17B/¥19.73B, approximately 80% for Operating Income at ¥2.24B/¥2.80B, and approximately 80% for Net Income at ¥1.52B/¥1.87B. No revisions were made to the earnings or dividend forecasts. Progress is ahead of the simple time-based progress rate of 75% for the cumulative Q3 period, indicating steady progress toward the full-year forecast of Revenue of ¥19.73B, Operating Income growth of +25.5%, and Net Income growth of +14.6%. Basic EPS for the cumulative Q3 period was ¥182.03, approximately 80% of the forecast EPS of ¥226.5.

Shareholder Returns

The full-year dividend forecast is ¥125 per share, resulting in a Payout Ratio of approximately 55% against forecast full-year EPS of ¥226.5. Dividends paid during the cumulative Q3 period totaled ¥0.82B, up from ¥0.52B in the previous year. Share repurchases of ¥0.50B conducted during the same period of the previous year were not carried out in the current period. No revision was made to the dividend forecast, and the dividend policy appears to remain centered on a Payout Ratio of approximately 55%.

Risk Factors

  1. Working capital expansion and cash conversion risk: Inventory increased +41.8% YoY (+¥1.34B), while trade receivables increased +7.9% (+¥0.196B), leaving Operating Cash Flow at approximately 0.3x Net Income. If inventory and receivables continue to build alongside revenue growth, improvements in cash generation will be an area to monitor going forward.

  2. Dependence on short-term funding: Short-term borrowings, which were zero at the end of the previous fiscal year, were recorded at ¥2.40B and represent a significant portion of total current liabilities of ¥7.93B. Refinancing costs could rise if the interest rate environment changes, making trends in the funding mix a monitoring focus.

  3. Downward trend in gross profit margin: The gross profit margin was 34.8%, down from 37.6% in the previous year. Although the improvement in the SG&A ratio is supporting the Operating Income margin, if the decline in the gross profit margin continues, it may become difficult to maintain profitability through expense controls alone.

Industry Benchmark (Reference; Compiled by the Company)

Industry Benchmark (it_telecom)

Profitability and Returns

MetricCompanyMedian (IQR)Delta
Operating Income Margin13.8%8.3% (3.6%–18.6%)+5.5pt
Net Income Margin9.4%6.1% (2.3%–12.8%)+3.3pt

The Company’s profitability significantly exceeds the industry median and is positioned in the upper range of the IQR.

Growth and Capital Efficiency

MetricCompanyMedian (IQR)Delta
Revenue Growth Rate (YoY)22.6%10.4% (-0.9%–19.9%)+12.2pt

The revenue growth rate also significantly exceeds the industry median, indicating high growth near the upper limit of the IQR.

※Source: Compiled by the Company

Key Points from the Earnings Results

  1. The increase in revenue and earnings is at a high level even compared with the industry. The Operating Income margin of 13.8% (+5.5pt versus the industry median) and revenue growth rate of 22.6% (+12.2pt versus the industry median) indicate a competitive advantage within the industry in both profitability and growth.

  2. A gap has emerged between improvements in profit and loss and cash generation. Operating Cash Flow remains at approximately 0.3x Net Income, while inventory and trade receivables have expanded behind the revenue growth. The extent to which this divergence is resolved will be a structural point to verify in future earnings results.

  3. The funding mix has changed due to the new recognition of short-term borrowings. The Equity Ratio declined to 40.5% from 45.2% in the previous year, while investments have focused on intangible assets and business combinations rather than property, plant and equipment. Continued monitoring of medium-term growth investments and changes in the capital structure will be useful.

Theoretical Share Price (Reference Value)

ScenarioTheoretical Share Price
bear¥1,257
base¥1,312
bull¥1,379
Calculation AssumptionValue
Book Value per Share (BPS)¥842
Adjusted Forecast EPS¥237.5
Cost of Equity r9.77% (10-year Japanese government bond 2.77% + equity risk premium 6.00% + size premium 1.00%)
Persistence Factor of Residual Income ω / Explicit Forecast Period0.62 / 5 years
Assumed Payout Ratio55.2%
Forecast EPS Confidence Adjustment×1.049 (based on the historical guidance achievement rate of companies in the same industry)
Implied PBR / PER1.56x / 5.5x

Sensitivity: ¥1,276–¥1,349 at ±1% for the cost of equity, and ¥1,300–¥1,329 at ±0.1 for ω.

Note:

  • Net assets as of the end of the quarter are used (there is a timing difference relative to the full-year forecast).

(Calculation model: Residual Income Model (Ohlson-type, explicit 5-year fade) / Interest rate reference month: 2026-07 / Mechanically calculated values based solely on publicly disclosed data; these are not forecasts of the market share price or recommendations for specific investment actions, nor do they predict or guarantee future share prices.)


This report is an earnings analysis document automatically generated by AI based on XBRL earnings summary data. It does not recommend investment in any specific security. The industry benchmarks are reference information compiled by the Company based on publicly disclosed earnings data. Investment decisions should be made at your own responsibility, after consulting professionals as necessary.

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