These are mechanically computed values based on a residual income model. They are not a forecast of market prices or a recommendation of any investment action, and do not predict or guarantee future share prices. Historical values are computed retrospectively using current guidance-achievement statistics.
| Metric | Current Period | Same Period Last Year | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ¥263.76B | ¥251.19B | +5.0% |
| Operating Income | ¥3.09B | ¥4.06B | -23.9% |
| Equity-Method Investment Gain/Loss | - | - | - |
| Ordinary Income | ¥3.15B | ¥4.15B | -24.1% |
| Net Income | ¥2.05B | ¥2.79B | -26.7% |
| ROE | 1.7% | 2.2% | - |
Despite higher revenue, the deterioration in gross margin and increase in SG&A expenses put pressure on earnings, resulting in higher revenue but lower profits. Revenue increased to ¥263.76B (+5.0% YoY), while Operating Income fell to ¥3.09B (-23.9%), Ordinary Income to ¥3.15B (-24.1%), and Net Income to ¥2.05B (-26.7%). The gross margin declined to 9.7% from the previous year, while the SG&A ratio rose to 8.6%, causing operating leverage to reverse.
【Revenue】Revenue was ¥263.76B, up +5.0% YoY, securing solid growth despite the company operating as a single segment (wholesale of daily necessities, cosmetics, and related products). The growth rate exceeded the industry average of 3.1%, suggesting that expansion in the transaction volume of the wholesale business contributed to the increase.
【Profit and Loss】Gross profit increased to ¥25.68B (+3.1% YoY), but growth slowed relative to the increase in revenue, and the gross margin contracted to 9.7% from the previous year. SG&A expenses increased to ¥22.59B (+8.4% YoY), outpacing revenue growth, and the SG&A ratio rose to 8.6%. As a result, Operating Income declined significantly to ¥3.09B (-23.9% YoY). Below operating income, interest expense increased to ¥0.25B (¥0.14B in the previous year), resulting in Ordinary Income of ¥3.15B (-24.1% YoY). There were no extraordinary gains or losses, and Net Income of ¥2.05B (-26.7% YoY) largely reflected the deterioration at the operating and ordinary income levels. The results represent a pattern of higher revenue but lower profits, with delayed pass-through of price increases and higher costs weighing on earnings.
The Group operates primarily in the wholesale business for daily necessities, cosmetics, and related products as a single segment, and does not disclose performance by segment.
【Profitability】The Operating Income margin declined to 1.2% (1.6% in the previous year), while the Net Income margin fell to 0.8% (1.1% in the previous year). The decline in the 9.7% gross margin combined with the increase in the SG&A ratio to 8.6%, resulting in a pronounced deterioration in profitability at the operating level. 【Cash Flow Quality】Accounts receivable and notes receivable increased significantly from the previous year to ¥145.27B, while inventories also increased to ¥48.00B. In contrast, accounts payable and notes payable decreased to ¥115.37B, indicating that the increase in working capital absorbed cash. 【Investment Efficiency】ROE was 1.7% and remained low, primarily due to the decline in the Net Income margin. Although the total asset turnover ratio is trending upward, the improvement has not been sufficient to offset the deterioration in the Net Income margin. 【Financial Soundness】The Equity Ratio declined slightly to 34.9% (35.4% in the previous year). Short-term borrowings increased +47.3% YoY, while cash and deposits decreased to ¥25.62B (-35.5% YoY), confirming increased funding needs associated with the increase in working capital.
Although detailed disclosure of the cash flow statement is unavailable, cash flow trends can be inferred from changes in the balance sheet. Accounts receivable and notes receivable increased +¥15.89B from the previous year, and inventories increased +¥1.37B, while accounts payable and notes payable decreased -¥4.97B. This indicates that the expansion of working capital absorbed cash. As a result, cash and deposits declined -¥14.09B (-35.5%) to ¥25.62B, while short-term borrowings increased +¥10.01B (+47.3%) to cover funding needs. Although seasonality associated with revenue growth may be a factor, pressure on cash generation could continue unless the efficiency of collections and inventory management improves.
There were no extraordinary gains or losses in the current period, and non-operating income and expenses primarily consisted of relatively small items such as dividend income of ¥0.11B and interest expense of ¥0.25B. Accordingly, most of the earnings comprised recurring elements derived from the core business. However, comprehensive income of ¥1.59B was below Net Income of ¥2.05B (¥2.04B attributable to owners of the parent), with other comprehensive income items such as the valuation difference on securities of -¥0.37B and adjustments related to retirement benefits of -¥0.08B acting as downward factors. This divergence was attributable to market fluctuations and does not impair the core earnings power of the business itself; however, the difference between Net Income and comprehensive income is a point that investors should monitor. The increase in working capital (higher accounts receivable and inventories and lower accounts payable) created a certain gap between accounting earnings and cash flow from an accrual perspective.
Progress against the full-year forecast was 25.6% for Revenue, 28.1% for Operating Income, 30.0% for Ordinary Income, and 29.1% for Net Income (Net Income of ¥2.039B in Q1 against the company forecast of ¥7.000B), all exceeding the simple 25% benchmark based on an assumption of even quarterly distribution. However, comparisons must also take into account the high progress recorded in the same period of the previous year. Attention is required because the decline in the Operating Income margin caused by the deterioration in gross margin and increase in SG&A expenses has continued during the current period. The company forecasts full-year Operating Income of ¥11.00B (-16.7% YoY) and Ordinary Income of ¥10.50B (-22.4% YoY), implying a smaller decline than the Q1 decreases of -23.9% for Operating Income and -24.1% for Ordinary Income. Neither the earnings forecast nor the dividend forecast was revised during the quarter.
The company’s annual dividend plan is ¥112 per share (the previous year’s actual annual dividend is recorded as ¥56 as of the interim period), resulting in a Payout Ratio of approximately 53.5% based on the company’s forecast EPS of ¥209.19. Returns are provided solely through dividends, and no information on share repurchases has been disclosed. Interest coverage remains high, and financial constraints on maintaining dividends in the near term are not considered significant. However, as short-term borrowings increase and cash and deposits decline, working capital management will be a factor determining future capacity for shareholder returns.
Risk of continued gross margin deterioration: The gross margin has contracted from the previous year to 9.7%. If higher procurement prices, price competition, and changes in product mix become structurally entrenched, margin pressure may continue going forward.
Risk of cash absorption due to increased working capital: Accounts receivable and notes receivable increased +¥15.89B and inventories increased +¥1.37B, while accounts payable and notes payable decreased -¥4.97B and cash and deposits decreased -¥14.09B. As a result, short-term borrowings increased +¥10.01B, and continued deterioration in capital efficiency could lead to higher financial costs.
Risk of increased dependence on short-term liabilities: Increased short-term borrowings have raised dependence on short-term liabilities, resulting in relatively higher sensitivity to changes in the interest-rate environment. Interest expense increased from ¥0.25B in the previous year to ¥0.25B (+83% approximately YoY), and the impact on earnings may expand if borrowing rates rise going forward.
Profitability and Returns
| Metric | Company | Median (IQR) | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Income Margin | 1.2% | 4.3% (1.7%–6.9%) | -3.1pt |
| Net Income Margin | 0.8% | 3.8% (1.5%–5.1%) | -3.0pt |
The company’s profitability metrics are significantly below the industry median, indicating a particularly low-margin business structure even within the wholesale industry.
Growth and Capital Efficiency
| Metric | Company | Median (IQR) | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth Rate (YoY) | 5.0% | 3.1% (-0.6%–11.7%) | +1.9pt |
The Revenue growth rate exceeds the industry median, indicating that the expansion phase of the top line is relatively favorable compared with peers.
※Source: Company research
Although higher revenue was secured, the Operating Income margin declined to 1.2% (1.6% in the previous year). The simultaneous contraction in gross margin and increase in SG&A expenses are structural factors behind the deterioration in profitability. Progress in passing through price increases and improving cost efficiency will determine future margin trends.
Working capital expanded due to increases in accounts receivable and inventories and a decrease in accounts payable, causing cash and deposits to decline -35.5% and short-term borrowings to increase +47.3%. Changes in cash generation capacity may affect the future funding structure.
Full-year progress rates for both revenue and earnings exceed the simple quarterly equal-distribution benchmark. However, the company’s plan assumes that the full-year decline in earnings will be smaller than in Q1, making a recovery in gross margin and restraint in the growth of SG&A expenses during the second half important prerequisites for achieving the plan.
This is a mechanically calculated reference range based solely on publicly available data using a residual income model (Ohlson-type model with an explicit 5-year fade period). It is not a forecast of the market stock price or a recommendation of any specific investment action.
| Scenario | Theoretical Stock Price |
|---|---|
| bear (bearish) | ¥3,283 |
| base (base case) | ¥3,303 |
| bull (bullish) | ¥3,339 |
| Calculation Assumption | Value |
|---|---|
| Book Value Per Share (BPS) | ¥3,693 |
| Adjusted Forecast EPS | ¥216.9 |
| Cost of Equity r | 9.77% (10-year government bond 2.77% + equity risk premium 6.00% + size premium 1.00%) |
| Residual Income Persistence Coefficient ω / Explicit Forecast Period | 0.62 / 5 years |
| Assumed Payout Ratio | 53.5% |
| Forecast EPS Confidence Adjustment | ×1.037 (based on the track record of industry peers in achieving guidance) |
| implied PBR / PER |
Sensitivity: ¥3,214–¥3,396 at ±1% for the cost of equity, and ¥3,291–¥3,311 at ±0.1 for ω.
Notes:
(Calculation model: residual income model / Interest-rate reference month: 2026-07 / This value does not predict or guarantee the future stock price.)
This report is an earnings analysis document automatically generated by AI through analysis of XBRL earnings flash report data. It does not recommend investment in any specific issue. The industry benchmarks are reference information compiled by the company based on publicly disclosed earnings data. Investment decisions should be made at your own discretion and responsibility, after consulting a professional where necessary.
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| 0.89x / 15.2x |