Quick View
| Metric | Current Period | Same Period of Previous Year | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ¥4801.2B | ¥4782.5B | +0.4% |
| Operating Income | ¥393.8B | ¥341.0B | +15.5% |
| Ordinary Income | ¥398.1B | ¥350.9B | +13.4% |
| Net Income | ¥236.8B | ¥240.5B | −1.6% |
| ROE (Annualized) | 19.1% | 19.4% | - |
Executive Summary
The key feature of these results was the simultaneous progression of higher operating income and lower earnings quality. Revenue was ¥4801.2B (up +0.4% YoY), remaining virtually flat, while Operating Income rose 15.5% to ¥393.8B (same period, +15.5%) and Ordinary Income increased 13.4% to ¥398.1B (same period, +13.4%), driven by an improvement in the gross margin. Meanwhile, Net Income declined to ¥236.8B (same period, -1.6%), primarily due to extraordinary losses of ¥43.2B, including an impairment loss on investment securities of ¥42.5B. Operating Cash Flow (OCF) was negative ¥411.2B, indicating a divergence between earnings improvement and cash-generation capacity.
Factors Affecting Business Performance
【Revenue】Revenue was ¥4801.2B, virtually flat at +0.4% YoY. The core Real Estate Leasing Business expanded to ¥3108.4B (+4.0%), driven by growth in revenue from the master lease business. Meanwhile, the Construction Business declined to ¥1280.7B (-3.5%), and the Real Estate Development Business fell to ¥301.6B (-10.2%); weakness in flow-based businesses constrained top-line growth.
【Profit and Loss】Operating Income was ¥393.8B (+15.5%), and the Operating Margin improved to 8.2% from 7.1% in the previous year. The gross margin rose to 18.3% due to a decline in the cost-of-sales ratio, absorbing a 4.3% increase in SG&A expenses. By segment, the profit margin of the Real Estate Leasing Business improved to 8.9% (8.0% in the previous year), while that of the Real Estate Development Business improved substantially to 14.0% (8.3% in the previous year), driving the increase in earnings. On the other hand, segment profit in Other Businesses deteriorated to ¥19.0B (-30.5%). Ordinary Income increased 13.4% to ¥398.1B, broadly maintaining the improvement in Operating Income, whereas Net Income declined 1.6% to ¥236.8B. This divergence was caused by extraordinary losses of ¥43.2B, including an impairment loss on investment securities of ¥42.5B, which offset the temporary benefits of higher core operating earnings. In conclusion, these results represent flat earnings growth closer to a de facto decline in revenue than an increase in revenue. The results comprise a mixed pattern of higher earnings at the operating and ordinary income levels but lower earnings at the Net Income level; on a core business basis, however, earnings can be characterized as having increased.
Segment Analysis
The Real Estate Leasing Business recorded external revenue of ¥3108.4B (+4.0%) and segment profit of ¥275.1B (+15.6%), making it the core business and accounting for more than 60% of total segment profit. Its profit margin improved to 8.9%, making the greatest contribution to the improvement in overall profitability. The Real Estate Development Business saw revenue decline to ¥301.6B (-10.2%), but profit increased substantially to ¥42.2B (+52.3%), with the profit margin improving to 14.0%, suggesting improved project profitability. The Construction Business recorded profit of ¥99.0B (+16.9%) against revenue of ¥1280.7B (-3.5%), with its profit margin improving despite a decline in completed construction revenue. In contrast, Other Businesses saw revenue increase to ¥200.5B (+5.6%) while profit deteriorated to ¥19.0B (-30.5%), as costs associated with peripheral businesses pressured earnings.
Key Financial Indicators
【Profitability】The Operating Margin of 8.2% improved from 7.1% in the same period of the previous year, while the Net Profit Margin was 4.9%, broadly in line with the previous year. The gross margin was 18.3%, up from 16.8% in the previous year.【Cash Quality】OCF was negative ¥411.2B, and the OCF-to-Net Income ratio was negative 1.74x, indicating that current-period Net Income has not been converted into cash. Increases in real estate for sale, a decline in the provision for bonuses, and corporate income tax payments pressured cash flow.【Investment Efficiency】Annualized ROE was high at 19.1%, comprising a 4.9% Net Profit Margin, total asset turnover, and financial leverage of 2.80x; the contribution from leverage is significant.【Financial Soundness】The Equity Ratio was 35.7%, slightly down from 36.5% in the previous year. Interest-bearing debt has been trending upward, with short-term borrowings increasing substantially from the previous year.
Cash Flow Analysis
OCF was negative ¥411.2B, worsening from negative ¥251.2B in the same period of the previous year. The primary causes of the cash outflow included an increase in real estate for sale (+¥168.2B), a decline in the provision for bonuses (-¥233.7B), a decrease in advances received on uncompleted construction contracts, and corporate income tax payments of ¥266.5B. Investing CF was negative ¥267.2B, with capital expenditures of ¥69.3B exceeding depreciation and amortization of ¥56.1B. Free cash flow was negative ¥678.4B, indicating that investments and shareholder returns could not be funded solely with internal funds. Financing CF was positive ¥414.5B, as the net increase in short-term borrowings and proceeds from long-term borrowings exceeded dividend payments of ¥267.5B, share repurchases of ¥134.0B, and repayments of long-term borrowings. The structure of covering funding shortfalls in both operating and investing activities through debt financing has become clear.
Earnings Quality
Operating Income and Ordinary Income increased by double digits YoY, but Net Income declined due to extraordinary losses of ¥43.2B, including an impairment loss on investment securities of ¥42.5B, with temporary factors offsetting the improvement in the core business. Non-operating income was ¥19.8B, equivalent to approximately 0.4% of revenue, indicating low dependence on non-operating income; the primary source of profit remains Operating Income from the core business. Comprehensive Income was ¥232.7B, broadly at the same level as Net Income of ¥236.8B, as a foreign currency translation adjustment of +¥15.8B and a valuation difference on securities of -¥17.3B largely offset each other. Meanwhile, the substantial negative OCF indicates a divergence between accrual-based earnings and actual cash generation, primarily due to an increase in inventories such as real estate for sale.
Earnings Forecast and Guidance
The Full-Year plan calls for Revenue of ¥2兆500B (+3.3% from the previous fiscal year), Operating Income of ¥1420B (+5.0%), and Ordinary Income of ¥1400B (+0.6%). Q1 progress rates were 23.4% for Revenue, 27.7% for Operating Income, and 28.4% for Ordinary Income, all progressing faster than the simple one-quarter benchmark of 25%. Meanwhile, progress toward the Net Income target was relatively slow due to the impact of extraordinary losses. Achieving the Full-Year Net Income plan will require stable extraordinary income and expenses and the maintenance of core business profit margins. No revisions were made to either the earnings forecast or the dividend forecast.
Shareholder Returns
The Full-Year forecast dividend per share is ¥163. The estimated payout ratio, calculated using the average number of shares outstanding during the period, is approximately 49% based on Net Income, within a sustainable range with a target of approximately 60%. The Company conducted share repurchases of ¥134.0B in Q1, and total shareholder returns combining dividends and share repurchases exceeded dividends alone. However, both Q1 OCF and free cash flow were negative, indicating that cash generated during the quarter alone was insufficient to cover dividends, share repurchases, and capital expenditures through internal funds. Cash and deposits of ¥2499.9B provide a certain degree of capacity as a source of returns for the time being, but the sustainability of shareholder returns will depend on the improvement in OCF in subsequent quarters.
Risk Factors
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Cash Flow Quality: OCF was negative ¥411.2B, and the OCF-to-Net Income ratio was negative 1.74x. If investments in real estate for sale and real estate under development continue, dependence on debt financing may increase.
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Increase in Interest-Bearing Debt: Short-term borrowings increased substantially from the previous year, and long-term borrowings also increased. The Equity Ratio has shown a slight downward trend at 35.7%, necessitating monitoring of trends in debt levels.
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Volatility of Extraordinary Income and Expenses: An impairment loss on investment securities of ¥42.5B reduced Net Income. Since fluctuations in securities prices occur independently of core business performance, they require continued monitoring as a factor affecting Net Income volatility.
Industry Benchmark (For Reference; Based on Our Research)
Profitability and Returns
| Metric | Company | Median (IQR) | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Margin | 8.2% | 7.1% (1.9%–16.0%) | +1.1pt |
| Net Profit Margin | 4.9% | 4.4% (2.2%–10.8%) | +0.5pt |
The Company exceeds the industry median in both Operating Margin and Net Profit Margin, positioning its profitability relatively favorably within the industry.
Growth and Capital Efficiency
| Metric | Company | Median (IQR) | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth Rate (YoY) | 0.4% | 4.5% (-12.6%–22.7%) | −4.0pt |
The Revenue Growth Rate is below the industry median, placing the Company at a relative disadvantage in terms of growth within the industry.
※Source: Based on our research
Key Points from the Earnings Results
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While Revenue was virtually flat, the Operating Margin improved to 8.2%, with improved profitability in the Real Estate Leasing and Development Businesses serving as the primary drivers of earnings growth. An improvement in the profit structure of the core business has been confirmed.
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Despite higher Operating Income and Ordinary Income, Net Income declined, primarily due to the impairment loss on investment securities. When evaluating earnings quality, core business profit and extraordinary income and expenses must be considered separately.
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The substantial negative OCF and increase in inventories, including real estate for sale, indicate a divergence between earnings improvement and cash generation. Progress in inventory recovery in future quarters will be a key point to monitor.
Theoretical Share Price (Reference Value)
| Scenario | Theoretical Share Price |
|---|---|
| bear (bearish) | ¥2,090 |
| base (base case) | ¥2,156 |
| bull (bullish) | ¥2,210 |
| Calculation Assumption | Value |
|---|---|
| Book Value Per Share (BPS) | ¥1,524 |
| Adjusted Forecast EPS | ¥350.1 |
| Cost of Equity r | 9.27% (10-year Japanese government bond 2.77% + equity risk premium 6.00% + size premium 0.50%) |
| Persistence Factor of Residual Income ω / Explicit Forecast Period | 0.62 / 5 years |
| Assumed Payout Ratio | 50.0% |
| Forecast EPS Confidence Adjustment | ×1.062 (based on the track record of guidance achievement in the same industry) |
| Implied PBR / PER | 1.41x / 6.2x |
Sensitivity: ¥2,096–¥2,218 at Cost of Equity ±1%; ¥2,140–¥2,179 at ω±0.1.
Notes:
- ¥3.7 per share of goodwill amortization is added back to profit (to account for a non-cash expense and comparability with IFRS companies).
- Net assets as of the quarter-end are used (there is a timing difference from the Full-Year forecast).
(Calculation model: Residual income model (Ohlson-type, explicit 5-year fade) / Interest rate reference month: 2026-07 / Mechanically calculated solely from publicly available data; this is not a forecast of the market share price or a recommendation of any specific investment action, and does not predict or guarantee future share prices.)
This report is an earnings analysis document automatically generated by AI based on XBRL earnings release data. It does not recommend investment in any specific security. The industry benchmarks are reference information compiled by our Company based on publicly available earnings data. Investment decisions should be made at your own discretion and responsibility, after consulting a professional adviser as necessary.
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