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99142026 Q3StandardJGAAP

Uematsu Shokai (9914) FY2026 Q3 Earnings Report

For FY2026 Q3, revenue came to ¥5.1B (+5.4% year on year) and operating income ¥60.0M (+60.1%). The segment drivers and cash flow follow.

Uematsu Shokai Co.,Ltd.

Commercial & Wholesale Trade/Wholesale Trade


Quick View

MetricCurrent PeriodSame Period of Previous YearYoY
Revenue¥50.5B¥47.9B+5.4%
Operating Income¥0.6B¥0.4B+60.1%
Ordinary Income¥1.4B¥1.2B+13.5%
Net Income¥0.9B¥0.8B+11.3%
ROE2.8%2.6%-

Executive Summary

Cumulative results for 2026 FY Q3 showed increases in both revenue and earnings, with operating income growth significantly outpacing revenue growth. Revenue was ¥50.5B (+5.4% YoY), operating income was ¥0.6B (+60.1%), ordinary income was ¥1.4B (+13.5%), and net income was ¥0.9B (+11.3%). The fact that the operating income growth rate significantly exceeded the revenue growth rate was attributable to the effect of operating leverage. However, the gross profit margin of 14.2% and operating margin of 1.2% remain low, indicating a thin absolute profit buffer.

Factors Affecting Performance

【Revenue】Revenue increased 5.4% YoY to ¥50.5B. Expansion in transaction volume in the trading and sales business appears to have been the primary driver of revenue growth. Although detailed disclosure by segment is unavailable, cost of sales also increased broadly in line with revenue, to ¥43.4B from ¥41.0B in the previous year.

【Profit and Loss】Operating income increased 60.1% YoY to ¥0.6B, substantially exceeding the 5.4% revenue growth rate. SG&A expenses were controlled at ¥0.6B, almost unchanged from the previous year (¥0.6B), and the expansion of gross profit to ¥0.72B (gross profit margin: 14.2%) translated directly into operating income. Ordinary income of ¥1.4B significantly exceeded operating income of ¥0.6B, with the difference attributable to non-operating income of ¥0.8B, including ¥0.4B in dividend income. Net income of ¥0.9B represents the level after the tax burden on ordinary income, while the impact of extraordinary gains and losses was negligible, consisting solely of an extraordinary gain of ¥0.0B. In conclusion, the Company achieved increases in both revenue and earnings, with the emergence of operating leverage and support from non-operating income underpinning earnings growth.

Key Financial Indicators

【Profitability】The operating margin was 1.2% and the net profit margin was 1.8%, both indicating thin core-business profitability relative to the scale of revenue. ROE was 2.8% and ROIC was 2.0%, indicating limited profit-generation efficiency relative to invested capital. Under a DuPont decomposition of ROE, net profit margin of 1.8% × total asset turnover of 0.943x × financial leverage of 1.67x demonstrates that the low net profit margin is the constraining factor.【Cash Quality】The balances of accounts receivable at ¥15.0B and electronically recorded monetary claims at ¥8.1B are substantial, and DSO is relatively long at 81 days, highlighting the working capital burden during a period of revenue growth.【Investment Efficiency】Investment securities of ¥12.2B account for 22.8% of total assets, and dividend income of ¥0.4B is lifting ordinary income through non-operating income.【Financial Soundness】The equity ratio of 59.9%, current ratio of 205.2%, and quick ratio of 185.6% are healthy for both short-term and long-term financial stability. With a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.67x and interest coverage ratio of 48.0x, the interest burden is minimal.

Cash Flow Analysis

As cash flow statement figures are not included in the disclosed information, fund movements are reviewed based on changes in the balance sheet. Cash and deposits were ¥5.9B, almost unchanged from ¥5.99B in the previous year, with no significant increase or decrease in funds observed. Meanwhile, accounts receivable were ¥15.0B (¥14.9B in the previous year), and receivables including electronically recorded monetary claims were trending upward, suggesting that working capital may have expanded along with revenue growth. Inventories also increased to ¥3.6B from ¥3.0B in the previous year, indicating that inventory build-up has progressed during the revenue expansion phase. Accounts payable increased to ¥9.8B from ¥7.6B in the previous year, suggesting that part of the funding burden has been absorbed through the use of supplier payment terms.

Earnings Quality

Ordinary income of ¥1.4B significantly exceeded operating income of ¥0.6B, with the primary factor behind the difference being non-operating income of ¥0.8B, particularly dividend income of ¥0.4B. This dividend income arises from the holding of ¥12.2B in investment securities and represents recurring income rather than a one-time factor; however, it should be evaluated separately from the earning power of the core business. Extraordinary gains and losses were negligible, consisting only of an extraordinary gain of ¥0.03B, and no one-time factors that materially distorted the current-period earnings level were identified. The increase in accounts receivable and electronically recorded monetary claims, as well as the extension of DSO to 81 days, warrants attention from an accrual perspective. Further confirmation is required as to whether revenue growth is translating smoothly into increased operating cash flow.

Earnings Forecast and Guidance

Progress against the full-year forecast was 74.3% for revenue, 76.9% for operating income, 90.0% for ordinary income, and 88.3% for net income. Progress for the profit items exceeded the standard 75% progress rate for cumulative Q3 results. In particular, the high progress rates for ordinary income and net income suggest that the contribution from non-operating income, including dividend income, has accumulated ahead of the full-year plan. Meanwhile, cumulative operating income was ¥0.6B against the full-year operating income forecast of ¥0.8B, requiring an additional accumulation of approximately ¥0.18B in Q4. As the revenue progress rate is below the standard level, revenue trends in Q4 will be key to achieving the full-year target.

Shareholder Returns

The Q2 dividend was ¥0, indicating a policy of concentrating dividend payments at the fiscal year-end. The full-year dividend forecast is ¥32.5 per share, and the payout ratio based on the full-year forecast EPS of ¥45.94 is approximately 70.7%. This payout ratio is relatively high, and the achievement of full-year net income may affect whether the year-end dividend is paid. No disclosure regarding share repurchases has been made, and no assessment has been conducted in terms of the Total Return Ratio.

Risk Factors

  1. Low gross margin structure: The gross profit margin of 14.2% is below the industry median, making operating income particularly sensitive to increases in procurement prices and sales competition. With a thin operating margin buffer of 1.2%, a decline in revenue or an increase in costs could easily become a factor driving lower earnings.

  2. Prolonged collection period for accounts receivable and electronically recorded monetary claims: The balances of accounts receivable at ¥15.0B and electronically recorded monetary claims at ¥8.1B are substantial, and DSO has reached 81 days. If revenue growth continues, expansion in working capital could add to the funding burden.

  3. Low capital efficiency: ROIC of 2.0% and ROE of 2.8% are both low, and improving the profitability of assets, including ¥12.2B in investment securities, remains a challenge. In combination with the approximately 70.7% full-year forecast payout ratio, the potential decline in shareholder return capacity in the event of earnings downside also warrants attention.

Industry Benchmark (For Reference; Compiled by the Company)

Industry Benchmark (trading)

Profitability and Return

MetricCompanyMedian (IQR)Delta
Operating Margin1.2%3.3% (1.8%–5.0%)−2.1pt
Net Profit Margin1.8%3.1% (1.4%–6.3%)−1.3pt

Both the operating margin and net profit margin are below the industry median, placing the Company’s profitability toward the lower end of the industry.

Growth and Capital Efficiency

MetricCompanyMedian (IQR)Delta
Revenue Growth Rate (YoY)5.4%5.2% (-4.1%–8.6%)+0.2pt

The revenue growth rate is slightly above the industry median, placing the Company approximately at the industry average in terms of growth.

※Source: Compiled by the Company

Key Points in the Earnings Results

  1. Operating income improved substantially, increasing 60.1% YoY, and progress against the full-year forecast was also above the standard level at 76.9%. However, the operating margin itself was 1.2%, below the industry median of 3.3%.

  2. Ordinary income and net income benefited significantly from non-operating income, including dividend income of ¥0.4B. The gap between core operating income of ¥0.6B and ordinary income of ¥1.4B is an important consideration in evaluating the quality of the earnings structure.

  3. The payout ratio against the full-year dividend forecast of ¥32.5 per share is relatively high at approximately 70.7%. Together with the prolongation of DSO to 81 days and low ROIC of 2.0%, sustainable improvements in cash-generation capacity and capital efficiency will be areas to monitor going forward.


This report is an earnings analysis document automatically generated by AI based on XBRL earnings release data. It does not recommend investment in any specific security. The industry benchmarks are reference information compiled by the Company based on publicly available earnings data. You should make investment decisions at your own responsibility and consult a professional advisor as necessary.

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AI Financial Analysis

Executive Summary

FY2026 Q3 performance was positive, with revenue growth translating into materially stronger operating profit, although underlying profitability remains thin. Cumulative Q3 revenue increased 5.4% YoY to ¥5.053bn. Operating income rose 60.1% YoY to ¥60m, materially outpacing sales growth. Ordinary income increased 13.5% to ¥135m and net income grew 11.3% to ¥91m. The operating margin improved by approximately 42bp YoY to 1.2% from roughly 0.8%. The net margin improved by approximately 11bp YoY to 1.8% from roughly 1.7%. Gross margin nevertheless declined by approximately 30bp YoY to 14.2% from roughly 14.5%, indicating that the operating-profit improvement was driven primarily by SG&A discipline rather than gross-margin expansion. SG&A expenses were effectively flat YoY at ¥657m despite the 5.4% revenue increase. This generated favorable operating leverage, but the 1.2% EBIT margin remains well below the 5% profitability threshold. Non-operating income of ¥78m exceeded operating income and was important to the ¥135m ordinary-income result. Dividend income of ¥43m accounted for 55.7% of non-operating income, highlighting the relevance of investment income to earnings. A ¥3m gain on sales of investment securities also supported pre-tax profit, although it was not material to the overall result. The effective tax rate was 34.1%, resulting in a tax burden factor of 0.659. Liquidity is robust, with a 205.2% current ratio and a 185.6% quick ratio. The balance sheet is conservatively funded, reflected in a 0.67x debt-to-equity ratio and ¥3.207bn of equity. Full-year sales progress is 74.3% against the ¥6.8bn forecast, broadly in line with the standard 75% Q3 run rate. Operating-income progress is 76.9%, also broadly in line with the annual plan. Ordinary-income and net-income progress are ahead of the normal Q3 pace at 90.0% and 88.3%, respectively, supported by non-operating income. The principal forward implication is that the company is positioned to achieve its full-year profit plan, but sustainable earnings improvement requires a higher gross margin, better operating efficiency and less dependence on investment-related income.

Profitability Analysis

Annualized DuPont ROE is 3.8%, comprising a 1.8% net profit margin, 1.258x asset turnover and 1.67x financial leverage. The central constraint on shareholder returns is the low net margin rather than a lack of balance-sheet leverage. Asset turnover is reasonable for a distribution-oriented business, while financial leverage is moderate and does not appear to be the source of returns. The largest favorable change was operating income, which rose 60.1% YoY versus 5.4% sales growth. This reflects operating leverage because SG&A was essentially unchanged at ¥657m while revenue increased by ¥259m. Gross profit increased 3.3% YoY to ¥718m, slower than revenue growth, causing gross margin to fall to 14.2%. The decline in gross margin is a concern because it limits the durability of the operating-profit recovery. The operating margin improved to 1.2%, but it remains categorized as low operating efficiency and leaves limited protection against price competition, procurement-cost inflation or a sales slowdown. Ordinary income was more than double operating income because non-operating income totaled ¥78m against only ¥4m of non-operating expenses. Dividend income of ¥43m represented 31.9% of ordinary income and materially supplements the core trading business. The five-factor analysis shows an interest burden of 2.302 because income below EBIT, notably investment income, lifts pre-tax income above EBIT; this should not be interpreted as financial leverage generated by borrowing. Interest expense was only ¥1m and interest coverage was strong at 48.0x. The tax burden of 0.659 is moderately below the 0.70 normal reference level, consistent with the 34.1% effective tax rate. Annualized ROE of 3.8% remains below the 8% benchmark, and the reported annualized ROIC of 2.0% is also below the 5% warning level. Profitability improvement is therefore evident, but capital efficiency remains weak.

Growth Assessment

Revenue growth of 5.4% YoY demonstrates continued demand expansion through Q3. The full-year revenue forecast implies ¥1.747bn of Q4 sales, compared with a cumulative Q3 average quarterly revenue run rate of approximately ¥1.684bn, making the sales target achievable but requiring a modest sequential acceleration. The full-year operating-income forecast of ¥78m requires ¥18m in Q4 operating income. This is below the cumulative Q3 average quarterly operating-income pace of ¥20m, indicating a manageable operating-profit hurdle. The ordinary-income forecast requires only ¥15m in Q4, while the net-income forecast requires ¥12m. Both thresholds are modest relative to the ¥135m ordinary income and ¥91m net income already earned through Q3. However, progress in ordinary income and net income is substantially ahead of the 75% standard Q3 rate, whereas operating-income progress is only broadly in line. This divergence indicates that the expected full-year result remains sensitive to the continuity of dividend and other non-operating income. Revenue sustainability should be assessed through gross-margin retention, since gross profit rose only 3.3% while sales rose 5.4%. The flat SG&A base provided a meaningful near-term earnings benefit, but SG&A cannot be assumed to remain flat indefinitely if wage, logistics or systems costs rise. The ¥3m gain on sale of investment securities is non-recurring and should not be treated as core earnings. The low 1.2% operating margin means small movements in gross margin can have a disproportionately large impact on earnings.

Financial Health

Financial health is sound from a liquidity and balance-sheet perspective. Current assets of ¥3.778bn exceed current liabilities of ¥1.841bn by ¥1.937bn, producing working capital of ¥1.937bn. The current ratio of 205.2% and quick ratio of 185.6% provide substantial short-term liquidity coverage. Cash and deposits were ¥595m, while receivables and electronically recorded monetary claims totaled ¥2.311bn. Current assets exceed current liabilities by more than two times, so there is no apparent maturity mismatch between short-term obligations and liquid operating assets. Total liabilities were ¥2.149bn against total equity of ¥3.207bn, equivalent to a 0.67x debt-to-equity ratio. This is below the 1.0x conservative benchmark and well below the 2.0x level that would signal aggressive leverage. Trade accounts payable increased ¥225m, or 29.7% YoY, to ¥980m. Electronically recorded obligations increased modestly to ¥729m, resulting in aggregate trade-related payment obligations of approximately ¥1.709bn. The rise in trade accounts payable broadly supports higher purchasing activity and working-capital funding, but it should be monitored against receivable collections. Trade receivables were broadly stable at ¥1.503bn, while electronically recorded monetary claims increased to ¥808m from ¥668m. Inventories increased 20.0% YoY to ¥361m, below the threshold for a notable balance-sheet movement but faster than revenue growth. Investment securities declined ¥335m, or 21.5% YoY, to ¥1.221bn, while valuation differences on securities increased ¥103m to ¥401m. Investment securities remain substantial at 22.8% of total assets, creating sensitivity of equity and other comprehensive income to market-price movements. Deferred tax liabilities increased ¥54m, or 46.9% YoY, to ¥169m, consistent with the increased unrealized valuation surplus on securities.

Notable B/S Changes

Accounts payable: +¥225m (+29.7%) to ¥980m - higher supplier funding supports working capital but should be monitored alongside receivable collections. Investment securities: -¥335m (-21.5%) to ¥1.221bn - the investment portfolio remains material at 22.8% of assets, with market-value movements relevant to equity and investment income. Deferred tax liabilities: +¥54m (+46.9%) to ¥169m - consistent with increased unrealized gains on securities and reinforces exposure of equity to securities valuations. Electronically recorded monetary claims: +¥139m (+20.9%) to ¥808m - receivable growth contributes to the elevated 81-day DSO and makes collection efficiency an important monitoring item.

Cash Flow Quality

Dividend Sustainability

The full-year dividend forecast is ¥32.50 per share, compared with forecast EPS of ¥45.94. The implied dividend payout ratio is approximately 70.7%. This is above the 60% sustainability reference level, although it remains below 100% and is therefore covered by forecast accounting earnings. Based on 2,242,142 average shares, the implied full-year dividend commitment is approximately ¥72.9m. This represents a significant portion of the ¥103m full-year net-income forecast. The prospective dividend is also equivalent to approximately 2.3% of book value per share of ¥1,430.61. The company has a solid equity base and strong liquidity, which supports the capacity to maintain shareholder distributions. Nevertheless, the elevated payout ratio reduces retained earnings available to improve the low 2.0% annualized ROIC or fund operating investment. Sustainability will depend principally on delivery of the full-year net-income plan and preservation of non-operating dividend income that contributes meaningfully to ordinary profit.

Risk Assessment

Business risks include Low operating efficiency: the 1.2% EBIT margin is below the 5% concern threshold; even a modest deterioration in pricing, product mix or procurement costs could materially reduce operating profit., Low gross margin: gross margin declined to 14.2% from approximately 14.5% despite revenue growth, indicating limited pricing power or unfavorable product mix., Receivables risk: DSO of 81 days exceeds the 60-day alert threshold, and trade plus electronic receivables totaled ¥2.311bn, or 43.1% of total assets; slower customer collections could pressure liquidity and increase credit-loss exposure., Distribution-industry risk: competitive pricing and supplier cost inflation can be difficult to pass through in a trading/distribution model with a narrow gross margin..

Financial risks include Capital efficiency: annualized ROIC of 2.0% and ROE of 3.8% are below respective warning and benchmark levels, limiting value creation from the capital base., Investment-security exposure: investment securities represent 22.8% of total assets, and ¥401m of valuation differences are recorded within equity; market declines could reduce net assets and investment-derived income., Earnings composition: non-operating income of ¥78m exceeded ¥60m of operating income, and dividend income alone represented 31.9% of ordinary income, making reported profit partly dependent on investment returns., Dividend coverage: the forecast 70.7% payout ratio is above the 60% reference level and leaves a smaller earnings buffer if profits underperform..

Key concerns include The most material issue is whether operating-margin expansion can persist despite gross-margin compression., Receivable collection discipline is important given the 81-day DSO and the scale of receivables relative to total assets., The full-year ordinary-income and net-income targets are substantially ahead of the standard Q3 progress rate, so Q4 profit may be less demanding than the core operating result implies., A sustained improvement in annualized ROIC from 2.0% is needed to demonstrate more productive use of the company’s equity and investment-asset base..

Investment Implications

Key takeaways include Revenue increased 5.4% YoY and operating income increased 60.1% YoY, demonstrating favorable SG&A leverage., Operating profitability remains structurally low at a 1.2% EBIT margin, while gross margin fell to 14.2%., Ordinary income of ¥135m was supported by ¥78m of non-operating income, including ¥43m of dividend income., Liquidity is strong, with current and quick ratios of 205.2% and 185.6%, respectively, and D/E of 0.67x., Full-year sales and operating-income progress are broadly on schedule at 74.3% and 76.9%, respectively., The forecast dividend payout ratio is approximately 70.7%, making earnings delivery important for distribution continuity..

Metrics to watch include Gross margin and EBIT margin, Revenue growth versus the ¥6.8bn full-year sales target, Q4 operating income versus the ¥18m amount required to meet guidance, Dividend income and total non-operating income contribution, DSO and trade plus electronic receivable balances, Inventory growth relative to sales growth, Annualized ROIC and ROE, Investment-security valuation changes and the related accumulated other comprehensive income.

Regarding relative positioning, The company combines a conservative balance sheet and ample short-term liquidity with weak core profitability and low capital efficiency. Relative to a typical distribution business, asset turnover is reasonable and leverage is restrained, but the 1.2% operating margin, 14.2% gross margin, 81-day DSO and 2.0% annualized ROIC indicate that operational improvement and working-capital discipline are more important than balance-sheet repair.