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88362026 Q3StandardJGAAP

RISE (8836) FY2026 Q3 Earnings Report

For FY2026 Q3, revenue came to ¥318.0M (+11.7% year on year) and operating income ¥31.0M (-21.9%). The segment drivers and cash flow follow.

RISE Inc.

Real Estate/Real Estate


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MetricCurrentPriorYoY
Revenue¥3.2B¥2.9B+11.7%
Operating Income¥0.3B¥0.4B−21.9%
Ordinary Income¥0.3B¥0.4B−20.1%
Net Income¥0.3B¥0.1B+210.0%
ROE1.8%0.6%-

Executive Summary

FY2026 Q3 results: Revenue 3.2B yen (YoY +11.7%), Operating Income 0.3B yen (YoY -21.9%), Ordinary Income 0.3B yen (YoY -20.1%), Net Income 0.3B yen (YoY +210.0%). The company achieved revenue growth of 11.7% while maintaining a high gross margin of 84.6%, but operating income declined by 21.9% due to increased SG&A expenses. Net income surged 210.0% primarily due to extraordinary gains of 0.3B yen including 0.1B yen from asset sales, which accounted for approximately 36% of net income.

Performance Drivers

Revenue increased 11.7% YoY to 3.2B yen driven by growth in both business segments. Real Estate Management segment contributed 1.9B yen in revenue, growing 19.9% YoY from 1.6B yen, while Real Estate Leasing segment maintained stable revenue of 1.3B yen with minimal YoY change of +0.8%. Despite revenue growth, operating income decreased 21.9% to 0.3B yen as SG&A expenses expanded to 2.4B yen (74.5% of revenue) from a lower base in the prior year. The company maintained a high gross profit margin of 84.6% with gross profit of 2.7B yen, but this could not offset the SG&A burden which grew faster than revenue. Ordinary income declined 20.1% in line with operating income trends, as non-operating items contributed minimally. The gap between ordinary income of 0.3B yen and net income of 0.3B yen was explained by extraordinary gains of 0.3B yen, primarily from fixed asset sales of 0.1B yen, which boosted net income by approximately 0.2B yen on an after-tax basis. Excluding these non-recurring factors, underlying profitability would have been significantly lower. The effective tax rate of approximately 47.5% was elevated, further pressuring bottom-line results. This represents a revenue up, profit down pattern driven by SG&A expense growth outpacing revenue expansion and reliance on extraordinary items to support net income.

Segment Analysis

Real Estate Management is the core business, generating 1.9B yen in revenue (59.7% of total) with operating income of 0.8B yen and a segment margin of 42.8%. This segment showed strong profitability and drove the majority of consolidated operating income. Real Estate Leasing contributed 1.3B yen in revenue (40.3% of total) but recorded a segment loss of 0.1B yen with a negative margin of -9.2%, deteriorating from a loss of 0.04B yen in the prior year. The 36 million yen corporate adjustment represents unallocated general administrative expenses. The significant margin differential between segments highlights the Management business as the profit engine, while the Leasing business faces profitability challenges despite stable revenue.

Key Metrics

[Profitability] ROE of 1.8% indicates weak return on equity, significantly below the company's capital cost. Operating margin of 9.7% declined from higher prior levels due to SG&A expense expansion, while net profit margin of 9.7% was elevated by extraordinary gains. Gross margin of 84.6% remains structurally strong. [Cash Quality] Cash and deposits of 4.2B yen against current liabilities of 0.6B yen provides a cash coverage ratio of 7.0x, indicating substantial liquidity. [Investment Efficiency] Total asset turnover of 0.176 is extremely low, reflecting the capital-intensive nature of the real estate business with 74.1% of assets in property, plant and equipment. ROIC of 1.3% indicates poor capital efficiency. [Financial Health] Equity ratio of 92.9% is exceptionally strong with minimal leverage. Current ratio of 780.0% demonstrates robust short-term solvency. Long-term debt of 0.1B yen results in a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01, reflecting conservative financial management. Net defined benefit liability of 0.1B yen represents pension obligations. Negative retained earnings of 0.3B yen improved from 0.7B yen in the prior year.

Cash Flow Analysis

Cash and deposits increased 0.1B yen YoY to 4.2B yen, supported by net income generation including extraordinary gains. Total assets declined modestly by 0.2B yen to 18.1B yen while equity increased 0.3B yen to 16.8B yen, indicating internal capital accumulation. The improvement in retained earnings from negative 0.7B yen to negative 0.3B yen reflects the net income contribution of 0.3B yen. With current liabilities of 0.6B yen and cash holdings of 4.2B yen, the company maintains a cash coverage ratio of 7.0x for short-term obligations. The asset-heavy balance sheet with 13.4B yen in non-current assets, primarily property at 12.7B yen, results in capital being locked in long-lived real estate assets. Working capital stood at 4.1B yen, predominantly consisting of cash, demonstrating ample operational liquidity buffer.

Earnings Quality

Ordinary income of 0.3B yen versus operating income of 0.3B yen shows minimal non-operating impact, with non-operating net contribution near zero. The company recorded extraordinary income of 0.3B yen including fixed asset sale gains of 0.1B yen, representing approximately 36% of net income of 0.3B yen. This significant contribution from non-recurring items raises concerns about earnings sustainability. Interest expense was minimal at near-zero levels consistent with low debt levels. The elevated effective tax rate of approximately 47.5% applied to profit before tax of 0.6B yen resulted in tax expense of 0.3B yen, compressing net margins. Non-operating income represented less than 1% of revenue. While cash generation appears adequate based on improving cash balances, the lack of cash flow statement data prevents direct assessment of operating cash flow quality versus reported earnings.

Guidance Update

Progress against full-year guidance shows revenue of 3.2B yen representing 74.2% of the 4.3B yen annual forecast, which is below the standard Q3 benchmark of 75.0%. Operating income of 0.3B yen represents 124.0% of the 0.2B yen full-year forecast, exceeding the Q3 benchmark and suggesting potential for upward revision. Ordinary income of 0.3B yen represents 128.0% of the 0.2B yen forecast, similarly ahead of plan. The company has not revised its full-year guidance this quarter despite operating performance trending above expectations. The full-year forecast implies Q4 revenue of 1.1B yen to reach 4.3B yen total, representing a 25.8% sequential contribution. Full-year operating income forecast of 0.2B yen implies Q4 will see significantly negative operating income or a major decline from Q3 levels, warranting close monitoring of cost trends and business seasonality.

Shareholder Returns

The company pays no dividends, with both interim and year-end dividends at 0.00 yen. Full-year dividend forecast remains 0.00 yen. With net income of 0.3B yen and no dividend payments, the payout ratio is 0.0%. The company has not disclosed any share buyback programs. Given negative retained earnings of 0.3B yen despite recent profitability improvements, the no-dividend policy appears appropriate as the company prioritizes strengthening its equity base. Return of capital to shareholders is not currently part of the capital allocation strategy.

Risk Factors

Real estate market risk poses the primary concern as the Leasing segment operates at negative margins of -9.2%, vulnerable to occupancy rate declines or rental price pressure which could expand losses beyond the current 0.1B yen segment loss. Asset productivity risk is material given the 12.7B yen property base generating only 0.176x asset turnover and 1.3% ROIC, indicating potential impairment risk if cash flows deteriorate or need for strategic asset rationalization to improve returns. Profitability sustainability risk stems from 36% of net income derived from extraordinary gains of 0.3B yen, while operating income declined 21.9% YoY, suggesting core business profitability pressure from SG&A expenses growing at 2.4B yen (74.5% of sales) which if unchecked will erode margins further.

Industry Benchmark (Reference - Proprietary Data)

[Industry Position] (Reference - Proprietary Analysis) Profitability: ROE 1.8% substantially underperforms the industry median of 11.4% (2025-Q3, n=13), ranking near the bottom quartile. Operating margin 9.7% exceeds the industry median of 8.0%, positioning in the upper half of the distribution. Net profit margin 9.7% significantly outperforms the industry median of 4.4%, though this is inflated by extraordinary gains. Financial Health: Equity ratio 92.9% far exceeds the industry median of 31.0%, reflecting an ultra-conservative capital structure with minimal leverage utilization. Current ratio 780.0% substantially exceeds the industry median of 2.15x. Efficiency: Asset turnover 0.176x significantly underperforms the industry median of 0.68x, indicating poor asset utilization relative to peers. ROIC of 1.3% substantially trails the industry median of 6.0% (0.06 converted), confirming weak capital efficiency. Growth: Revenue growth 11.7% YoY underperforms the industry median of 18.5%, placing in the lower half of the growth distribution. ※ Industry: Real Estate (13 companies), Comparison: 2025-Q3 period, Source: Proprietary analysis

Key Takeaways from Earnings

The company demonstrates a conservative financial foundation with equity ratio of 92.9% and substantial cash reserves of 4.2B yen, providing downside protection and financial flexibility. However, capital efficiency metrics of ROE 1.8% and ROIC 1.3% indicate significant underutilization of the asset base, with asset turnover of 0.176x far below industry standards. The divergence between revenue growth of 11.7% and operating income decline of 21.9% reflects structural profitability challenges as SG&A expenses at 74.5% of revenue outpace top-line expansion. The Real Estate Management segment with 42.8% margins represents a strong franchise, while the Real Estate Leasing segment's negative 9.2% margin signals need for operational restructuring or strategic review. Net income growth of 210.0% is predominantly driven by extraordinary gains contributing 36% of earnings, indicating limited sustainability without addressing core operating margin compression. Progress tracking shows Q3 operating income at 124% of full-year guidance, suggesting conservative forecasting or potential for meaningful Q4 deterioration that management anticipates.


This report was automatically generated by AI analyzing XBRL earnings data as an earnings analysis tool. This is not a recommendation to invest in any specific security. Industry benchmarks are reference information compiled from publicly available earnings data. Please make investment decisions at your own responsibility and consult professionals as needed.


AI Financial Analysis

Executive Summary

FY2026 Q3 performance was mixed: revenue expanded, but recurring operating profitability weakened and reported net income relied materially on extraordinary income. Revenue rose 11.7% year on year to ¥318 million. Gross profit increased 13.0% to ¥269 million, lifting the gross margin by approximately 110bp to 84.6%. However, SG&A expenses increased 19.7% to ¥237 million, faster than revenue growth. Consequently, operating income declined 21.9% to ¥31 million. The operating margin compressed by approximately 430bp to 9.8% from 14.0% in the prior-year period. Ordinary income similarly fell 20.1% to ¥32 million. Property management was the core earnings contributor, generating segment profit of ¥80 million despite a slight ¥1 million year-on-year decline. Its revenue increased 19.9% to ¥187 million, while real estate rental revenue was broadly flat at ¥130 million. The rental segment loss widened to ¥12 million from ¥4 million, indicating weaker profitability in the recurring property-income operation. Consolidated operating income was additionally reduced by ¥36 million of unallocated corporate expenses, unchanged year on year. Net income nevertheless increased 208.9% to ¥31 million, supported by ¥27 million of extraordinary income, including a ¥11 million gain on sale of fixed assets and ¥15 million of insurance income. This makes the increase in bottom-line earnings less representative of underlying operating momentum. The effective tax rate was elevated at 47.5%, leaving a tax burden of 0.525 versus a more normal level above 0.70. The balance sheet remains highly liquid and conservatively financed, with a 780.0% current ratio, 92.9% equity ratio, and 0.08x debt-to-equity ratio. Full-year guidance implies revenue broadly tracks a normal Q3 run rate, but operating and ordinary income already exceed the full-year forecasts, implying management expects a weak or loss-making fourth quarter at the operating level. The main forward-looking issue is whether property management growth can offset the rental segment loss and elevated corporate-cost burden without dependence on asset-sale-related gains.

Profitability Analysis

The reported annualized ROE is 2.5%, decomposed into a 9.8% net profit margin, 0.235x annualized asset turnover, and 1.08x financial leverage. Low asset turnover is the principal constraint on shareholder returns, reflecting an asset base heavily concentrated in real estate fixed assets, including ¥1,171 million of land and ¥1,273 million of total PPE. Financial leverage is deliberately low and therefore neither supports nor materially threatens ROE. The 9.8% net margin is enhanced by extraordinary income and should not be treated as a fully recurring margin. Gross-margin performance was constructive, with the margin rising to 84.6% from approximately 83.5% a year earlier. The principal deterioration occurred below gross profit: SG&A rose ¥39 million, or 19.7%, versus revenue growth of 11.7%. This created negative operating leverage and compressed the operating margin to 9.8% from approximately 14.0%. Property management is the core business by segment profit contribution, with a 42.8% segment margin on ¥187 million of revenue, although its profit was marginally lower year on year. Real estate rental reported a negative 9.2% segment margin and a ¥12 million loss, versus a ¥4 million loss previously. The unchanged ¥36 million corporate-cost adjustment absorbed 53% of aggregate segment profit, reinforcing that overhead absorption is a material constraint. Capital efficiency remains weak, as flagged by the 1.7% ROIC, below the 5% caution threshold. Improving returns requires a recovery in rental profitability, better conversion of property management revenue growth into segment profit, and tighter SG&A discipline.

Growth Assessment

Revenue growth was led by property management, where sales increased ¥31 million year on year to ¥187 million. Real estate rental revenue increased only ¥1 million to ¥130 million, providing limited top-line support while the segment loss widened by ¥8 million. Revenue therefore grew faster than operating profit, indicating that current growth has not translated into operating leverage. Gross profit growth exceeded revenue growth, but this benefit was more than offset by SG&A expansion. Reported net-income growth is not a reliable indicator of recurring profit growth because extraordinary income totaled ¥27 million, equal to 45.8% of profit before tax. Against full-year guidance, Q3 cumulative revenue represents 74.1% of the ¥429 million target, broadly in line with the standard 75% progress rate. Operating income is 124.0% of the ¥25 million full-year forecast, while ordinary income is 128.0% of forecast. Net income has reached 86.1% of the ¥36 million forecast. The forecast arithmetic implies approximately ¥111 million of Q4 revenue, operating loss of roughly ¥6 million, ordinary loss of roughly ¥7 million, and ¥5 million of net income. This outlook appears to embed a substantial fourth-quarter cost burden or weaker operating contribution, while retaining a positive net-income expectation. The sustainability of earnings growth will depend more on recurring management and rental margins than on extraordinary gains.

Financial Health

Liquidity is exceptionally strong, with current assets of ¥468 million against current liabilities of ¥60 million, producing a 780.0% current ratio and ¥408 million of working capital. Cash and deposits of ¥424 million alone cover current liabilities by more than seven times. Total liabilities were only ¥128 million against total equity of ¥1,679 million, supporting a 92.9% equity ratio. Debt-to-equity of 0.08x indicates conservative financing and no balance-sheet leverage concern under the 2.0x warning threshold. The ¥18 million current portion of long-term loans is modest relative to cash and current assets, limiting maturity-mismatch and refinancing risk. Total assets declined modestly by ¥18 million year on year to ¥1,808 million, while equity increased ¥31 million. The asset base remains concentrated in noncurrent real estate-related assets: PPE accounts for 70.4% of total assets and land alone is ¥1,171 million, or 64.8% of assets. This concentration makes economic value and returns sensitive to property utilization, rental profitability, and real-estate market conditions. Retained earnings improved by ¥31 million to negative ¥34 million, a 47.7% year-on-year reduction in the accumulated deficit. The improvement reflects current-period profitability, but the remaining deficit means internally generated capital remains limited relative to the large capital-surplus balance. Investments and other assets increased ¥46 million to ¥66 million, while cash decreased ¥38 million to ¥424 million. Provisions for directors' retirement benefits increased ¥3 million to ¥24 million and the net defined-benefit liability increased ¥1 million to ¥5 million, modestly increasing long-term obligations.

Notable B/S Changes

Retained earnings: +¥31 million to negative ¥34 million (+47.7%) - current-period profit reduced the accumulated deficit, though retained earnings remain negative. Investments and other assets: +¥46 million to ¥66 million (+230.0%) - a material increase from a low base that warrants monitoring for the nature and return profile of invested assets. Cash and deposits: -¥38 million to ¥424 million (-8.2%) - liquidity remains ample, but the movement partly explains the reduction in current assets. Current liabilities: -¥37 million to ¥60 million (-38.1%) - lower short-term obligations materially strengthened the already high current ratio. Property, plant and equipment: -¥35 million to ¥1,273 million (-2.7%) - the absolute balance remains substantial and continues to concentrate assets in real estate-related fixed assets.

Cash Flow Quality

Dividend Sustainability

The company reported no Q2 dividend, and the full-year dividend forecast is also ¥0 per share. Accordingly, no dividend payout commitment currently draws on earnings or liquidity. The absence of a cash dividend preserves balance-sheet flexibility while profitability remains low and recurring operating income is under pressure. With retained earnings still negative at ¥34 million, a conservative distribution stance is consistent with the need to rebuild accumulated earnings. Future shareholder distributions would depend primarily on a sustained recovery in recurring operating profitability rather than the current period's extraordinary-income-supported net profit.

Risk Assessment

Business risks include Real estate rental profitability deteriorated, with the segment loss widening from ¥4 million to ¥12 million despite broadly stable revenue of ¥130 million. This raises the risk of property-level cost inflation, lower utilization, or insufficient rental pricing., The company has substantial property concentration, with land of ¥1,171 million and PPE of ¥1,273 million. Property-market conditions, tenant demand, maintenance requirements, and asset-value changes can materially affect returns., Property management revenue grew 19.9%, but segment profit declined slightly to ¥80 million. Continued revenue growth without profit conversion would weaken the earnings-growth thesis., Construction and maintenance cost inflation, as well as changes in market rents and vacancy conditions, are industry-specific risks for the rental portfolio..

Financial risks include The effective tax rate of 47.5% produced a tax burden of 0.525. The high-tax-burden alert indicates that a large portion of pre-tax income was not retained as net income, reducing earnings conversion., ROIC of 1.7% is below the 5% caution threshold. This is particularly significant given the large fixed-asset and land base, indicating weak returns on invested capital., Cash declined ¥38 million year on year, although liquidity remains very strong and leverage is low., The concentration of assets in land and property increases sensitivity to interest-rate-driven property valuation changes, even though direct debt exposure is currently limited..

Key concerns include High one-time items: the quality alert identifies one-time items at 35.5% of net income, while total extraordinary income was ¥27 million. Asset-sale-related and insurance-related income supported reported earnings and reduces comparability with underlying operating results., High tax burden: the 47.5% effective tax rate exceeds the 40% alert threshold. Unless it normalizes, it will constrain conversion of operating and ordinary profit into net income., Capital efficiency: annualized ROE was only 2.5% and ROIC was 1.7%, reflecting low turnover of a property-heavy asset base and limited operating profitability., Guidance implies a negative Q4 operating contribution because Q3 cumulative operating income of ¥31 million already exceeds the ¥25 million full-year target..

Investment Implications

Key takeaways include Revenue growth of 11.7% was not matched by operating profit growth; operating income fell 21.9% as SG&A increased faster than sales., Property management remains the core earnings engine, contributing ¥80 million of segment profit, whereas rental operations generated a ¥12 million segment loss., Reported net income of ¥31 million was supported by extraordinary income of ¥27 million, limiting the recurrence quality of bottom-line growth., The company has a very strong liquidity and solvency position, with ¥424 million of cash, a 780.0% current ratio, and 0.08x debt-to-equity., Annualized returns remain low, with 2.5% ROE and 1.7% ROIC, so operating improvement must be measured against the substantial real-estate asset base..

Metrics to watch include Real estate rental segment revenue, segment margin, and return to profitability, Property management segment profit conversion relative to revenue growth, SG&A growth relative to consolidated revenue growth, Recurring operating and ordinary income excluding extraordinary gains, Effective tax rate and tax burden normalization, Q4 operating performance relative to the implied operating loss in full-year guidance, ROIC and annualized ROE improvement, Cash balance and changes in investments and other assets.

Regarding relative positioning, RISE is financially conservative relative to leveraged real-estate developers, supported by very high liquidity and minimal debt. However, its annualized ROE of 2.5% and ROIC of 1.7% are weak for a property-owning business, and the loss-making rental segment contrasts with the stronger but only modestly declining property-management profit stream. The near-term profile is therefore characterized by balance-sheet resilience but modest recurring earnings efficiency.