Quick View
| Metric | Current Period | Same Period Last Year | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ¥1086.4B | ¥1082.9B | +0.3% |
| Operating Income | ¥61.1B | ¥57.4B | +6.4% |
| Ordinary Income | ¥65.3B | ¥64.5B | +1.3% |
| Net Income | ¥56.7B | ¥49.6B | +14.3% |
| ROE | 5.2% | 4.7% | - |
Executive Summary
The key feature of the current period’s results was that, while revenue remained almost flat, increasing 0.3% year on year, operating income rose 6.4%, securing profit growth that exceeded the rate of revenue growth. Revenue was ¥1086.4B (+0.3% year on year), operating income was ¥61.1B (+6.4%), ordinary income was ¥65.3B (+1.3%), and net income was ¥56.7B (¥49.6B in the same period of the previous year). The operating margin improved to 5.6% from the previous year, indicating that profitability improvements through cost and expense management offset stagnant revenue.
Factors Affecting Performance
【Revenue】Revenue was ¥1086.4B, essentially flat at +0.3% year on year. By segment, the Beads Business generated ¥717.0B (66.0% of total revenue), while the Extrusion Business generated ¥376.2B (34.6%). Revenue in the Extrusion Business increased slightly from ¥374.5B in the previous year, while revenue in the Beads Business also edged up from ¥708.4B. Neither segment achieved significant growth, suggesting that company-wide volume and pricing growth remained limited.
【Profit and Loss】Operating income was ¥61.1B (+6.4% year on year), and the operating margin improved to 5.6% from the previous year. Segment operating income was ¥50.2B for the Beads Business (7.0% margin) and ¥17.7B for the Extrusion Business (4.7% margin). The Extrusion Business grew 15.7% year on year and contributed to overall profit growth. Ordinary income remained at ¥65.3B (+1.3%), slightly below the growth rate of operating income, as the increase in interest expenses, an amount of ¥2.5B compared with ¥1.5B in the previous year, partially offset the improvement. Net income was ¥56.7B (+14.8% year on year), exceeding the growth rates at the operating and ordinary income levels. This included a temporary contribution from extraordinary gains totaling ¥6.8B, including a gain of ¥3.9B from the revision of the retirement benefit plan and a gain of ¥1.2B related to step acquisitions. In conclusion, the current period resulted in higher revenue and higher profit, with revenue increasing only slightly while profit grew; however, temporary factors made a significant contribution to net income growth.
Segment Analysis
The Beads Business remained the earnings pillar, generating revenue of ¥717.0B (66.0% of total revenue) and operating income of ¥50.2B (7.0% margin). The Extrusion Business generated revenue of ¥376.2B (34.6%) and operating income of ¥17.7B (4.7% margin), representing a 15.7% increase in profit from ¥15.3B in the same period of the previous year and becoming one of the primary drivers of overall profit growth. While revenue growth in both businesses remained below 1%, the improvement in the Extrusion Business’s profit margin was relatively notable. The adjustment for company-wide expenses and other items narrowed from negative ¥8.4B in the previous year to negative ¥6.8B, also contributing to the increase in operating income.
Key Financial Metrics
【Profitability】The operating margin of 5.6% and net profit margin of 5.2% both improved from the same period of the previous year. Against a cost structure consisting of a gross margin of 26.4% and an SG&A expense ratio of 20.8%, the company achieved profit growth without revenue growth. Annualized ROE was 5.2%, formed by the combination of a 5.2% net profit margin, total asset turnover of 0.68x, and financial leverage of 1.48x. 【Cash Quality】Operating cash flow (OCF) was ¥94.5B, approximately 1.7x net income of ¥56.7B, indicating strong cash backing for earnings. On the other hand, OCF/EBITDA was 0.78x, leaving room for improvement in cash conversion efficiency due to the increase in accounts receivable. 【Investment Efficiency】Total asset turnover of 0.68x reflects the level of a capital-intensive manufacturing company, with property, plant and equipment of ¥714.0B accounting for 44.5% of total assets. Free cash flow was ¥32.2B, indicating that capital expenditures of ¥62.2B could be funded through operating cash flow. 【Financial Soundness】The equity ratio was 67.6%, while interest-bearing debt remained relatively limited at approximately ¥175.9B in total borrowings. Together with cash and deposits of ¥143.8B, this indicates a stable financial base. However, the ratio of short-term liabilities, including short-term borrowings of ¥95.3B and long-term borrowings due within one year of ¥56.5B, is relatively high, requiring monitoring of refinancing trends.
Cash Flow Analysis
Operating cash flow was ¥94.5B, an increase of +52.2% from ¥62.1B in the previous year, exceeding net income of ¥56.7B and indicating strong cash backing for earnings. In terms of working capital, the increase in accounts receivable of ¥68.0B was a factor reducing operating cash flow, while the decrease in inventories of ¥27.6B and increase in trade payables of ¥15.6B partially offset this effect. Investing cash flow was an outflow of ¥62.2B, primarily attributable to the acquisition of property, plant and equipment of ¥75.7B, indicating that capital investment continues. As a result, free cash flow (operating cash flow + investing cash flow) was positive at ¥32.2B, maintaining a position in which capital expenditures could be funded through operating activities. Financing cash flow was an outflow of ¥18.9B, with repayments of long-term borrowings of ¥43.9B and dividend payments of ¥20.9B, among others, contributing to cash outflows. Cash and cash equivalents increased by ¥16.0B during the period, and liquidity on hand expanded even after investing and financing activities.
Quality of Earnings
Profit before tax of ¥71.4B included extraordinary gains of ¥6.8B, consisting of a gain of ¥3.9B from the revision of the retirement benefit plan, a gain of ¥1.2B related to step acquisitions, insurance proceeds of ¥1.0B, and other items, as well as extraordinary losses of ¥0.7B, resulting in a net temporary profit contribution of ¥6.1B. This represents approximately 10.8% of net income attributable to owners of the parent of ¥56.3B. Accordingly, part of the +14.8% year-on-year growth in net income was driven by these temporary factors in addition to improvements in recurring earnings power. Non-operating income and expenses consisted of income of ¥7.4B and expenses of ¥3.2B, resulting in a net gain of ¥4.2B, with interest income of ¥3.4B exceeding interest expenses of ¥2.5B. Comprehensive income was ¥48.3B, below net income of ¥56.7B, primarily due to foreign currency translation adjustments of negative ¥7.1B. This divergence represents valuation differences arising from the translation of overseas assets and foreign subsidiaries into yen. Although it does not directly reflect the substance of operating activities, it indicates that the pace of capital accumulation during the period was somewhat restrained on a comprehensive-income basis. The fact that operating cash flow exceeded net income supports earnings quality from an accruals perspective, while continued increases in accounts receivable could affect the cash conversion rate going forward.
Earnings Forecast and Guidance
The progress rates for cumulative Q3 results against the full-year forecast of revenue of ¥1430.0B, operating income of ¥70.0B, ordinary income of ¥74.0B, and EPS of ¥221.31 are 76.0% for revenue, 87.3% for operating income, and 88.2% for ordinary income. Revenue progress is standard at approximately 75%, in line with the passage of time, while operating income and ordinary income are ahead of standard progress, establishing a solid foundation for achieving the full-year forecast. Net income attributable to owners of the parent had already reached 97.1% of the full-year forecast of ¥58.0B. However, extraordinary gains, including the gain from the revision of the retirement benefit plan, contributed to this figure, and it should be noted that this level does not directly represent recurring earnings power.
Shareholder Returns
The Q2 dividend was ¥40 per share, and the full-year dividend forecast is ¥90. Based on forecast full-year net income of ¥58.0B and the average number of shares outstanding during the period of 26.2 million shares, the expected payout ratio calculated from the estimated annual total dividend of approximately ¥23.6B is approximately 40.7%. Free cash flow of ¥32.2B exceeded cash dividends paid during the period of ¥20.9B, securing sufficient cash capacity as a source of dividends. No share repurchases were recorded during the period, and the assessment here is based solely on the payout ratio from dividends. Considering the financial base consisting of retained earnings of ¥760.3B and cash and deposits of ¥143.8B, the continuation of the current dividend level appears to have relative stability.
Risk Factors
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Prolonged collection period for trade receivables: Accounts receivable increased 16.2% year on year to ¥356.2B, becoming a factor that reduced operating cash flow. If the collection cycle remains prolonged, it could affect the company’s ability to generate operating cash flow.
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Fluctuations in raw material and energy prices and price pass-through: The cost of revenue ratio remained broadly flat at 73.6% compared with 73.7% in the previous year. However, if fluctuations in costs arising from petrochemical raw materials cannot be passed through to selling prices in a timely manner, the gross margin of 26.4% and operating margin of 5.6% could come under pressure.
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Refinancing trends for short-term liabilities: The proportion of short-term liabilities, comprising short-term borrowings of ¥95.3B and long-term borrowings due within one year of ¥56.5B, is relatively high. The high financial soundness represented by a current ratio of 214.1% and an equity ratio of 67.6% provides mitigation, but refinancing costs should be closely monitored when interest-rate conditions change.
Industry Benchmark (For Reference; Compiled by the Company)
Industry Benchmark (manufacturing)
Profitability and Returns
| Metric | Company | Median (IQR) | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Margin | 5.6% | 8.6% (4.3%–12.7%) | −3.0pt |
| Net Profit Margin | 5.2% | 6.4% (2.8%–10.3%) | −1.2pt |
The company’s profitability metrics are both below the industry median, placing it at a relatively low level within the industry.
Growth and Capital Efficiency
| Metric | Company | Median (IQR) | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth Rate (Year on Year) | 0.3% | 3.3% (-2.1%–8.9%) | −3.0pt |
The revenue growth rate is also below the industry median, placing the company in the low-growth group within the industry.
※Source: Compiled by the Company
Key Points from the Earnings Results
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While revenue was essentially flat, increasing 0.3% year on year, operating income rose 6.4% and the operating margin improved from the previous year. The sustainability of margin improvement in a low-growth environment will be a key focus going forward.
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The +14.8% year-on-year growth in net income was supported by extraordinary gains totaling ¥6.1B net, including the gain from the revision of the retirement benefit plan. Performance must be assessed by distinguishing recurring earnings power from temporary factors.
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Operating cash flow was ¥94.5B, approximately 1.7x net income, indicating strong cash backing for earnings. However, accounts receivable continued to increase (+¥68.0B), making future trends in working capital efficiency and the cash conversion rate important areas for monitoring.
Theoretical Share Price (Reference Value)
| Scenario | Theoretical Share Price |
|---|---|
| bear (pessimistic) | ¥3,497 |
| base (baseline) | ¥3,567 |
| bull (optimistic) | ¥3,597 |
| Calculation Assumption | Value |
|---|---|
| Book Value per Share (BPS) | ¥3,961 |
| Adjusted Forecast EPS | ¥243.4 |
| Cost of Equity r | 9.77% (10-year government bond 2.77% + equity risk premium 6.00% + size premium 1.00%) |
| Persistence Factor for Residual Income ω / Explicit Forecast Period | 0.62 / 5 years |
| Assumed Payout Ratio | 40.7% |
| Forecast EPS Confidence Adjustment | ×1.100 (based on progress ahead of the full-year forecast) |
| Implied PBR / PER | 0.90x / 14.7x |
Sensitivity: ¥3,469–¥3,669 at ±1% for the cost of equity, and ¥3,554–¥3,575 at ±0.1 for ω.
Notes:
- As net income progress against the full-year forecast (97%) exceeds the standard level (75%), forecast EPS has been adjusted upward within a maximum range of +10% (because companies ahead of forecast progress tend to outperform their forecasts. Adjustments may be excessive for businesses with strong seasonality).
- As forecast ROE is below the cost of equity, the theoretical value is below book value per share.
- Net assets as of the quarter-end have been used (there is a timing difference relative to the full-year forecast).
(Calculation model: Residual Income Model (Ohlson type; explicit 5-year fade) / Interest-rate reference month: 2026-07 / Mechanically calculated value based solely on publicly disclosed data; this is not a forecast of the market share price or a recommendation of any specific investment action, and does not predict or guarantee future share prices.)
This report is an earnings analysis document automatically generated by AI based on XBRL earnings release data. It does not recommend investment in any specific security. The industry benchmarks are reference information compiled by the company based on publicly disclosed earnings data. Investment decisions should be made at your own responsibility, and you should consult a professional as necessary.
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