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72762026 Q3PrimeJGAAP

KOITO MANUFACTURING (7276) FY2026 Q3 Earnings Report

For FY2026 Q3, revenue came to ¥690.0B (+2.2% year on year) and operating income ¥33.7B (+11.8%). The segment drivers and cash flow follow.

Electric Appliances & Precision Instruments/Electric Appliances


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MetricCurrent PeriodSame Period of Previous YearYoY
Revenue¥6900.1B¥6751.7B+2.2%
Operating Income¥337.0B¥301.3B+11.8%
Ordinary Income¥391.1B¥342.2B+14.3%
Net Income¥262.1B¥324.0B−19.1%
ROE3.8%4.8%-

Executive Summary

Operating Income and Ordinary Income both increased by double digits, indicating improved profitability in the core business; however, Net Income declined due to the recognition of extraordinary losses. Revenue was ¥6,900.1B (+2.2% YoY), Operating Income was ¥337.0B (+11.8%), and Ordinary Income was ¥391.1B (+14.3%), while Net Income attributable to owners of the parent was ¥230.6B, down from ¥291.8B in the previous year (Note: XBRL Net Income of ¥324.0B is the consolidated figure including the portion attributable to non-controlling interests). The Operating Income margin improved to 4.9%, but extraordinary losses of ¥61.1B exceeded extraordinary gains of ¥37.4B, weighing on Net Income.

Factors Affecting Performance

【Revenue】Revenue increased 2.2% YoY to ¥6,900.1B. By segment, Japan was the largest contributor at ¥2,822.0B, representing 40.9% of the total, and secured Operating Income of ¥172.4B, corresponding to a 6.1% margin. Asia maintained high profitability, with revenue of ¥1,209.2B and an 11.6% margin, while the Americas and Europe posted operating losses of ¥-6.4B and ¥-2.1B, respectively, resulting in a significant profitability gap across regions.

【Profit and Loss】Operating Income increased 11.8% YoY to ¥337.0B, outpacing revenue growth, and the Operating Income margin improved to 4.9%. Ordinary Income increased 14.3% YoY to ¥391.1B, supported by non-operating income of ¥70.0B, including interest income of ¥35.9B and dividend income of ¥16.1B. However, extraordinary losses of ¥61.1B, including impairment losses of ¥14.8B and losses on the disposal and sale of fixed assets of ¥23.1B, exceeded extraordinary gains of ¥37.4B, resulting in a decline in Net Income. Although revenue and profit increased through the Operating Income and Ordinary Income stages, Net Income declined due to extraordinary income and loss factors.

Segment Analysis

Japan was the largest earnings contributor, with Revenue of ¥2,822.0B and Operating Income of ¥172.4B. Asia was the most profitable region, with revenue of ¥1,209.2B and an 11.6% margin. The Americas, with revenue of ¥2,343.6B, fell into an operating loss of ¥-6.4B, becoming a drag on company-wide performance. China generated ¥477.9B in revenue with a low 2.4% margin, while Europe recorded ¥271.1B in revenue and a -0.8% margin, resulting in a loss. By region, Japan and Asia are the earnings pillars, while structurally improving profitability in the Americas and Europe remains a challenge.

Key Financial Indicators

【Profitability】The Operating Income margin of 4.9%—improved from approximately 4.5% in the previous year—the gross margin of 11.3%, and ROE of 3.8% are all relatively low in absolute terms. In particular, the gross margin of 11.3% indicates a low value-added ratio.【Cash Flow Quality】Operating Cash Flow (OCF) was ¥753.0B, approximately 3.3 times Net Income attributable to owners of the parent of ¥230.6B, indicating strong cash conversion. OCF remained at a sufficient level relative to depreciation and amortization of ¥329.3B.【Investment Efficiency】Capital expenditures of ¥446.9B were 1.36 times depreciation and amortization, indicating continued proactive investment exceeding maintenance and replacement investment. Free Cash Flow (OCF + Investing CF) was ¥1,188.4B.【Financial Soundness】The Equity Ratio was 76.0% (Note: there is a definitional difference from the converted XBRL figure of 69.6%; the disclosed figure of 76.0% is used). With cash and deposits of ¥2,616.0B and minimal interest-bearing debt, the financial foundation is extremely strong.

Cash Flow Analysis

OCF was ¥753.0B, a solid 12.8% increase YoY. A decrease in trade receivables of ¥108.4B contributed to cash inflows, while a decrease in trade payables of ¥87.6B was a negative factor. Investing CF was positive at ¥435.4B; although capital expenditures of ¥446.9B were recorded, proceeds from the collection of time deposits and other items exceeded the outflows. Financing CF was negative at ¥594.6B, with share repurchases of ¥362.5B representing the primary outflow. Cash flow after capital expenditures (OCF - capital expenditures) was positive at ¥306.1B, demonstrating the capacity to fund growth investment and shareholder returns with internal funds.

Earnings Quality

The increase in profit at the Operating Income and Ordinary Income stages primarily reflects recurring factors associated with improved profitability in the core business, while the decline in Net Income was mainly attributable to temporary factors, including extraordinary losses such as impairment losses of ¥14.8B and losses on the disposal and sale of fixed assets of ¥23.1B. Non-operating income primarily consisted of stable financial income, including interest income of ¥35.9B and dividend income of ¥16.1B, indicating high quality. Comprehensive Income was ¥647.3B, substantially exceeding Net Income of ¥262.1B, primarily due to foreign currency translation adjustments of ¥325.7B. This divergence reflects accounting fluctuations arising from the translation of overseas subsidiaries into yen and does not indicate a deterioration in operating conditions.

Earnings Forecast and Guidance

Progress toward the full-year forecast was 75.6% for Revenue, 74.9% for Operating Income, and 76.7% for Ordinary Income, broadly in line with standard levels (approximately 75% after nine months). The full-year forecast calls for Revenue of ¥9,130.0B (-0.4% from the previous fiscal year) and Operating Income of ¥450.0B (+0.3%), representing a modest plan. Compared with the cumulative nine-month trend of revenue and profit growth, the conservative plan incorporates a decline in both revenue and profit in Q4 compared with the same period of the previous year.

Shareholder Returns

The annual dividend forecast is ¥56.00 (Q2 actual: ¥28.00), implying an expected Payout Ratio of approximately 53.5% against forecast EPS of ¥104.75. Separately, the company conducted share repurchases of ¥362.5B; combined total shareholder returns therefore exceed the level indicated by the dividend payout ratio alone. The ample financial base, consisting of OCF of ¥753.0B and cash and deposits of ¥2,616.0B, supports shareholder returns through both dividends and share repurchases.

Risk Factors

  1. Regional profitability gap: The Americas, with Operating Income of ¥-6.4B, and Europe, with Operating Income of ¥-2.1B, are loss-making. Changes in vehicle production trends and local cost structures could affect the company-wide profit margin.

  2. Low-margin structure: The gross margin of 11.3% and Operating Income margin of 4.9% are both low. If the pass-through of increases in raw material, logistics, and labor costs is delayed, margins may face further pressure.

  3. Extraordinary losses: The company recorded extraordinary losses of ¥61.1B, including impairment losses of ¥14.8B and losses on the disposal and sale of fixed assets of ¥23.1B. Temporary losses associated with future asset reviews may continue to arise.

Industry Benchmark (For Reference; Compiled by the Company)

Industry Benchmark (manufacturing)

Profitability and Returns

MetricCompanyMedian (IQR)Delta
Operating Income Margin4.9%8.6% (4.3%–12.7%)−3.7pt
Net Income Margin3.8%6.4% (2.8%–10.3%)−2.6pt

The company's profitability is below the industry median and is at a level close to the lower bound of the IQR.

Growth and Capital Efficiency

MetricCompanyMedian (IQR)Delta
Revenue Growth Rate (YoY)2.2%3.3% (-2.1%–8.9%)−1.1pt

The revenue growth rate is also slightly below the industry median but remains within the IQR range.

※Source: Compiled by the company

Key Points from the Earnings Results

  1. The Operating Income margin improved from the previous year, achieving an 11.8% increase in Operating Income; however, it remains low compared with the industry median of 8.6%. The sustainability of the improvement trend will be a key focus going forward.

  2. Net Income attributable to owners of the parent declined due to the impact of extraordinary losses, including impairment losses. However, OCF was approximately 3.3 times Net Income, indicating strong cash-generation capacity and good earnings quality.

  3. The full-year plan assumes a decline in revenue and profit in Q4. The performance of the loss-making Americas and Europe segments will be closely watched for both downside and upside risks to full-year results.

Theoretical Share Price (Reference Value)

ScenarioTheoretical Share Price
bear (bearish)¥2,061
base (base case)¥2,083
bull (bullish)¥2,111
Calculation AssumptionValue
Book Value per Share (BPS)¥2,360
Adjusted Forecast EPS¥116.8
Cost of Equity r9.27% (10-year government bond 2.77% + equity risk premium 6.00% + size premium 0.50%)
Persistence Factor of Residual Income ω / Explicit Forecast Period0.62 / 5 years
Assumed Payout Ratio53.5%
Forecast EPS Confidence Adjustment×1.080 (based on the industry's historical guidance achievement rate)
Implied PBR / PER0.88x / 17.8x

Sensitivity: ¥2,026–¥2,142 at ±1% for the cost of equity, and ¥2,074–¥2,089 at ±0.1 for ω.

Notes:

  • Goodwill amortization of ¥3.7 per share is added back to earnings (to account for a non-cash expense and comparability with IFRS companies).
  • As forecast ROE is below the cost of equity, the theoretical value is below book value per share.
  • Net assets as of the quarter-end are used (there is a timing difference relative to the full-year forecast).

(Calculation model: Residual Income Model (Ohlson-type, explicit 5-year fade) / Interest rate reference month: 2026-07 / Mechanically calculated solely from publicly disclosed data; this is not a forecast of the market share price or a recommendation of any specific investment action, and does not predict or guarantee future share prices.)


This report is an earnings analysis document automatically generated by AI based on XBRL earnings release data. It does not recommend investment in any specific security. The industry benchmarks are reference information compiled by the company based on publicly disclosed earnings data. Investment decisions should be made at your own discretion and responsibility, after consulting with a professional as necessary.

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