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70212026 Q3StandardJGAAP

NITCHITSU (7021) FY2026 Q3 Earnings Report

For FY2026 Q3, revenue came to ¥7.0B (-2.3% year on year) and operating income ¥180.0M (-9.0%). The segment drivers and cash flow follow.

NITCHITSU CO.,LTD.

Machinery


Quick View

MetricCurrent PeriodSame Period Previous YearYoY
Revenue¥7.00B¥7.16B−2.3%
Operating Income¥0.18B¥0.20B−9.0%
Ordinary Income¥0.20B¥0.16B+20.7%
Net Income¥0.10B¥0.24B−57.1%
ROE0.8%2.1%-

Executive Summary

For the cumulative Q3 of the fiscal year ending March 2026, the Company recorded a complex set of results that differed from a simple combination of revenue growth and earnings decline: Revenue and Operating Income decreased, while Ordinary Income increased due to non-operating income, including dividend income. Revenue was ¥6.995B (¥7.160B in the previous year, YoY -2.3%), Operating Income was ¥0.180B (¥0.198B in the previous year, YoY -9.0%), Ordinary Income was ¥0.199B (¥0.165B in the previous year, YoY +20.7%), and Net Income was ¥0.101B (¥0.236B in the previous year, YoY -57.1%). The increase in Ordinary Income was driven by ¥0.088B in dividend income, while the profitability of the core business deteriorated. The sharp decline in Net Income was affected by an extraordinary loss of ¥0.053B.

Factors Behind Earnings Fluctuations

【Revenue】Revenue was ¥6.995B, down 2.3% year on year. By segment, the core Machinery-Related Business increased Revenue to ¥4.882B (same period, +4.6%), while the Resource-Related Business declined to ¥1.448B (same period, -7.1%) and the Materials-Related Business fell significantly to ¥0.561B (same period, -32.4%), contributing to the Company-wide decline in Revenue. The Real Estate-Related Business was largely flat at ¥0.106B (same period, +0.8%).

【Profit and Loss】Operating Income was ¥0.180B, down 9.0% year on year, and the Operating Income Margin remained low at 2.6%. Despite higher Revenue, segment profit in the Machinery-Related Business declined significantly to ¥0.102B (same period, -39.8%), highlighting a structure in which Revenue growth and earnings decline coexisted and profitability deteriorated markedly. The Materials-Related Business also recorded lower Revenue and lower profit. Meanwhile, the Resource-Related Business generated profit of ¥0.039B, turning profitable from a loss of ¥0.032B in the previous year. Supported by non-operating income, including ¥0.088B in dividend income, Ordinary Income increased to ¥0.199B (same period, +20.7%). However, due to an extraordinary loss of ¥0.053B, Profit Before Tax declined to ¥0.150B (same period, -46.4%) and Net Income fell to ¥0.101B (same period, -57.1%). Overall, the Company recorded lower Revenue and lower profit, and the increase in Ordinary Income was attributable to factors outside the core business.

Segment Analysis

The Machinery-Related Business is the core business, with Revenue of ¥4.882B (69.8% of Company-wide Revenue), but segment profit declined to ¥0.102B (same period, -39.8%), reducing its profit margin to 2.1%. The Resource-Related Business recorded Revenue of ¥1.448B (same period, -7.1%) and profit of ¥0.039B (a loss of ¥0.032B in the previous year), turning profitable with a profit margin of 2.7%. Although the Real Estate-Related Business is small, with Revenue of ¥0.106B, it recorded the highest profit margin company-wide at 22.1% and is supporting overall earnings. The Materials-Related Business recorded Revenue of ¥0.561B (same period, -32.4%) and profit of ¥0.015B (same period, -47.8%), representing the most pronounced decline in both Revenue and profit. Overall, the key issue is that Revenue growth in the core business has not translated into earnings growth.

Key Financial Indicators

【Profitability】The Gross Profit Margin was 12.9%, the Operating Income Margin was 2.6%, and the Net Profit Margin was 1.4%, all remaining at low levels. The Cost of Sales Ratio was high at 87.1%, limiting profit-generation capacity at the gross profit level.【Cash Flow Quality】As Operating Cash Flow (OCF) has not been disclosed, a detailed assessment of cash conversion is limited. However, Work in Process accounted for 61.1% of inventory, raising concerns about stagnation in the production process and deterioration in project profitability. Trade receivables of ¥1.438B substantially exceeded Trade Payables of ¥0.553B, requiring continued monitoring of the working capital burden.【Investment Efficiency】ROE was 0.8%. Under the DuPont decomposition, it comprised a Net Profit Margin of 1.4% × Total Asset Turnover of 0.414x × Financial Leverage of 1.41x, with the low Net Profit Margin representing the primary constraint on ROE.【Financial Soundness】The Equity Ratio was 70.8% (69.6% in the previous year), while the Current Ratio was 241.9% and the Quick Ratio was 233.3%, indicating sound short-term payment capacity. However, the Short-Term Debt Ratio was 93.9%, and most of the ¥1.200B in interest-bearing debt was concentrated in Short-Term Borrowings of ¥1.127B, resulting in high sensitivity to changes in the refinancing environment.

Cash Flow Analysis

As figures from the statement of cash flows have not been disclosed, funding trends are assessed based on changes in the balance sheet. Cash and deposits declined to ¥2.307B from ¥2.671B in the same period of the previous year, possibly in connection with the increase in investment securities from ¥2.548B to ¥3.574B. Current assets were ¥6.781B and current liabilities were ¥2.803B, resulting in a high Current Ratio of 241.9% and providing sufficient short-term liquidity. Meanwhile, inventories increased from ¥1.929B to ¥2.419B. In particular, Work in Process was ¥0.900B, accounting for 61.1% of inventory, suggesting that stagnation in the production process may have led to the tying up of funds.

Quality of Earnings

The increase in Ordinary Income was driven by non-operating income, particularly ¥0.088B in dividend income. Operating Income, which reflects the earnings power of the core business, declined 9.0% year on year, indicating that Ordinary Income and Operating Income moved in opposite directions. Non-operating income was ¥0.132B, accounting for approximately 1.9% of Revenue and making a substantial contribution to Ordinary Income; it must therefore be evaluated separately from the core business. The extraordinary loss of ¥0.053B significantly compressed Profit Before Tax and Net Income. In contrast to the growth in Ordinary Income, Net Income declined 57.1% year on year. Comprehensive Income was ¥0.818B, substantially exceeding Net Income of ¥0.101B, primarily due to a ¥0.700B change in the valuation difference on other securities. The drivers of operating earnings and valuation gains and losses must therefore be distinguished.

Earnings Forecast and Guidance

Progress against the full-year forecast (Revenue of ¥9.300B, Operating Income of ¥0.230B, Ordinary Income of ¥0.220B, and Net Income of ¥0.150B) was 75.2% for Revenue, 78.6% for Operating Income, 90.5% for Ordinary Income, and 67.3% for Net Income. Revenue and Operating Income were generally above the standard Q3 progress rate of 75%, while the particularly high progress rate for Ordinary Income reflects dependence on non-operating income. Net Income progress was below the standard level due to the ¥0.053B extraordinary loss. The full-year forecast has been revised from the previous forecast (the dividend forecast remains unchanged), and the key focus for the remaining quarters will be whether any extraordinary gains or losses arise.

Shareholder Returns

The Q2 dividend was ¥17 per share, while the full-year dividend forecast is ¥35 per share, implying an expected year-end dividend of ¥18. Compared with the previous year's annual dividend, including a Q2 dividend of ¥15, the Company is moving toward a higher dividend. The Payout Ratio calculated based on Net Income is expected to be relatively high. However, given the financial base consisting of an Equity Ratio of 70.8% and Cash and deposits of ¥2.307B, the immediate impact of annual fluctuations in profit on dividends is considered limited. Nevertheless, the 57.1% year-on-year decline in Net Income warrants attention in terms of the future trend in funds available for dividends.

Risk Factors

  1. Deterioration in profitability of the core business: The Machinery-Related Business increased Revenue to ¥4.882B (same period, +4.6%), but segment profit declined to ¥0.102B (same period, -39.8%), leaving its profit margin at 2.1%. Expansion in Revenue has not translated into improved profitability.

  2. Dependence on short-term funding: The Short-Term Debt Ratio was 93.9%, with ¥1.127B of the ¥1.200B in interest-bearing debt consisting of Short-Term Borrowings. Changes in financial conditions at the time of refinancing could affect funding costs.

  3. Accumulation of Work in Process: Work in Process was ¥0.900B, accounting for 61.1% of inventory. Although this was down from ¥1.043B in the same period of the previous year, the ratio remains high, requiring monitoring of delays in the production process and deterioration in project profitability.

Industry Benchmark (For Reference; Company Analysis)

Industry Benchmark (manufacturing)

Profitability and Returns

MetricCompanyMedian (IQR)Delta
Operating Income Margin2.6%8.6% (4.3%–12.7%)−6.0pt
Net Profit Margin1.4%6.4% (2.8%–10.3%)−5.0pt

Both the Operating Income Margin and Net Profit Margin are significantly below the industry median, placing the Company's profitability in the lower tier of the industry.

Growth and Capital Efficiency

MetricCompanyMedian (IQR)Delta
Revenue Growth Rate (Year on Year)−2.3%3.3% (-2.1%–8.9%)−5.6pt

The Revenue Growth Rate is also below the industry median, indicating that the Company is also at a disadvantage within the industry in terms of growth.

※Source: Company analysis

Key Points from the Earnings Results

  1. The core Machinery-Related Business recorded a significant decline in profit despite higher Revenue, indicating that profitability improvement, rather than expansion in Revenue, will determine the quality of earnings.

  2. The increase in Ordinary Income was attributable to non-operating factors, such as dividend income. The earnings structure therefore requires the profitability trend of the core business to be assessed separately based on Operating Income and segment profit.

  3. Comprehensive Income of ¥0.818B diverged substantially from Net Income of ¥0.101B, highlighting the significant impact of valuation differences on securities on net assets and Comprehensive Income.


This report is an earnings analysis document automatically generated by AI based on XBRL earnings release data. It does not recommend investment in any specific security. The industry benchmarks are reference information compiled by the Company based on publicly available earnings data. Investment decisions should be made at your own responsibility, after consulting with professionals as necessary.

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AI Financial Analysis

Executive Summary

FY2026 Q3 performance was operationally softer, although ordinary income grew on stronger dividend income and the balance sheet remained conservatively funded. Revenue declined 2.3% year on year to ¥7.00bn. Operating income fell 9.0% to ¥180m, reducing the operating margin by 18bp to 2.6% from 2.8% a year earlier. Gross profit was essentially flat at ¥905m despite lower sales. Accordingly, gross margin improved by 29bp to 12.9%, indicating that the principal operating-income pressure was below gross profit. SG&A expense increased 2.5% to ¥724m while revenue declined, creating negative operating leverage. Ordinary income nevertheless increased 20.7% to ¥199m. Dividend income rose to ¥88m from ¥63m and accounted for 44% of ordinary income, highlighting the importance of investment-income returns to reported earnings. Net income declined 57.1% to ¥101m, largely because the prior-year period included a ¥130m gain on sale of investment securities, whereas the current period recorded a ¥53m loss on disposal of fixed assets. The current period also included only a ¥3m gain on sale of non-current assets. Comprehensive income rose sharply to ¥819m, driven predominantly by securities valuation gains recognized in OCI rather than by operating earnings. The core machinery-related business expanded sales but experienced a meaningful profit-margin contraction. Resource-related operations returned to profitability, partly offsetting weakness in machinery and materials. Materials-related revenue declined 32.4%, representing the largest segmental demand contraction. The full-year forecast, which has been revised, implies a recovery in Q4 sales and operating profit relative to the year-to-date run rate. However, the ¥35 full-year DPS target remains more dependent on achieving forecast net income than on the Q3 cumulative earnings result. Overall, the central issue is not liquidity but the durability of a sub-3% operating margin amid weak capital efficiency and an elevated work-in-process mix.

Profitability Analysis

The reported annualized DuPont ROE is 1.1%, comprising a 1.4% net profit margin, 0.552x asset turnover, and 1.41x financial leverage. The low net margin is the principal constraint on shareholder returns; leverage is modest and asset turnover is limited by a capital-intensive asset base that includes ¥6.41bn of PPE and ¥3.57bn of investment securities. The annualized 0.552x asset turnover indicates that sales generation from the asset base is modest, but it is the 1.4% net margin that is most directly dilutive to ROE. EBIT margin was 2.6%, below the 5% efficiency threshold and explicitly signals low operating efficiency. Gross margin improved to 12.9% from 12.6%, but SG&A rose to 10.3% of revenue from 9.9%, more than absorbing the gross-margin improvement. This reflects unfavorable operating leverage because SG&A grew while revenue contracted. The five-factor decomposition also shows a tax burden of 0.674 and an interest burden of 0.833. Interest expense itself is manageable, supported by 14.45x interest coverage, but non-operating expenses and the ¥53m fixed-asset disposal loss reduced conversion from EBIT to net income. ROIC of 1.5% is also below the 5% quality-alert threshold, reinforcing that returns on the operating capital base remain weak. The low 12.9% gross margin is a material structural concern for a manufacturing-oriented group because it leaves limited capacity to absorb volume declines, fixed costs, or input-cost volatility. Profitability improvement therefore requires better machinery-segment execution, stabilization in materials demand, and conversion of the improved resource segment profitability into sustained earnings.

Growth Assessment

Revenue declined 2.3% year on year, with growth highly uneven across segments. Machinery-related sales, the largest business by both revenue and operating-profit contribution, increased 4.6% to ¥4.88bn, but segment profit declined 39.8% to ¥102m and its margin compressed to 2.1% from 3.6%. Resource-related sales declined 7.1% to ¥1.45bn, while segment profit improved to ¥39m from a ¥32m loss, lifting margin to 2.7%. Real-estate-related sales were broadly stable at ¥106m, while segment profit declined 13.7% to ¥23m and margin eased to 22.1% from 25.8%. Materials-related sales declined 32.4% to ¥561m and segment profit fell 47.7% to ¥15m, with margin declining to 2.7% from 3.5%. The machinery-related business is the core business because it generated ¥102m of segment profit, or approximately 57% of aggregate segment profit, despite its margin decline. The resource segment's turnaround is favorable, but it does not fully counter the decline in machinery profitability and the sharp materials contraction. The revised full-year forecast calls for sales of ¥9.30bn, operating income of ¥230m, ordinary income of ¥220m, and net income of ¥150m. Q3 cumulative progress is 75.2% for sales versus the standard 75%, 78.6% for operating income, 90.5% for ordinary income, and 67.6% for net income. Operating and ordinary income progress exceed the standard pace by less than 10 percentage points, while net-income progress trails by 7.4 percentage points. The forecast therefore requires Q4 sales of approximately ¥2.31bn, operating income of ¥50m, ordinary income of ¥21m, and net income of ¥49m. The implied Q4 operating margin is about 2.2%, below the Q3 cumulative 2.6% margin, making the operating-income target arithmetically achievable if revenue is delivered. In contrast, the Q4 net-income requirement is relatively demanding given the Q3 cumulative earnings base and will depend on maintaining ordinary profitability while avoiding further extraordinary losses.

Financial Health

Liquidity is strong, with a current ratio of 241.9%, quick ratio of 233.3%, and working capital of ¥3.98bn. Cash and deposits of ¥2.31bn cover short-term borrowings of ¥1.13bn by 2.05x. Interest-bearing debt totals ¥1.20bn, equivalent to approximately 10% of total equity, while debt/capital is only 9.1%. The reported debt-to-equity ratio is 0.41x, well below the 2.0x warning threshold. Interest coverage of 14.45x provides substantial headroom for current financing costs. The principal financial-structure issue is refinancing concentration: 93.9% of interest-bearing debt is short term. This maturity mismatch is mitigated by cash exceeding short-term debt and by current assets of ¥6.78bn relative to current liabilities of ¥2.80bn, but the company remains exposed to rollover conditions and short-term rate movements. Investment securities increased ¥1.03bn, or 40.3%, to ¥3.57bn and now represent 21.1% of total assets. The portfolio generated ¥88m of dividend income during the period and contributed to ordinary-income resilience, but its size also increases exposure to market-value volatility. Securities valuation differences lifted accumulated OCI to ¥1.87bn and were the major reason comprehensive income substantially exceeded net income. Trade receivables declined ¥707m, or 32.9%, to ¥1.44bn; including electronically recorded monetary claims, operating receivables were ¥2.77bn versus ¥2.90bn a year earlier, indicating a more moderate 4.7% decline in the broader collection balance. Inventories on the balance sheet increased ¥49m, or 25.4%, to ¥242m. The manufacturing inventory detail shows raw materials of ¥332m, WIP of ¥900m, and finished goods of ¥242m, with WIP representing 61.1% of this production inventory pool. PPE rose ¥532m to ¥6.41bn and represents 37.9% of total assets, consistent with a capital-intensive operating structure. Net defined benefit liability was ¥597m, and asset retirement obligations were ¥45m, or less than 1% of total liabilities.

Notable B/S Changes

Investment securities: +¥1.03bn (+40.3%) to ¥3.57bn - now 21.1% of total assets; supports ¥88m dividend income but increases exposure to market-value and OCI volatility. Accounts receivable: -¥707m (-32.9%) to ¥1.44bn - trade receivables declined sharply, although electronically recorded monetary claims increased to ¥1.33bn; broader operating receivables declined more moderately. Inventories: +¥49m (+25.4%) to ¥242m - finished-goods inventory increased; separately disclosed production inventory is WIP-heavy, with WIP at 61.1% of raw materials, WIP, and finished goods. Property, plant and equipment: +¥532m (+9.0%) to ¥6.41bn - PPE represents 37.9% of assets, reinforcing the need for improved return on invested capital.

Cash Flow Quality

Dividend Sustainability

The company paid an interim DPS of ¥17. The stated payout ratio is 35.9% based on the interim dividend and Q3 cumulative net income, which is within a conservative payout range. The full-year dividend forecast is ¥35 per share, implying a year-end dividend of ¥18 per share. Against forecast EPS of ¥76.35, the full-year dividend payout ratio would be approximately 45.8%. This remains below the 60% sustainability benchmark and is supported by substantial balance-sheet liquidity. Retained earnings were ¥8.48bn, providing a sizeable accumulated earnings buffer. However, dividend sustainability is primarily contingent on delivery of the ¥150m full-year net-income forecast, as Q3 cumulative net income was only ¥101m. The current operating margin of 2.6% and ROE of 1.1% limit internally generated earnings capacity. Dividend income from the investment portfolio supports ordinary income but should not be viewed as a full substitute for operating-profit recovery. No share repurchase data are provided, so assessment is limited to the dividend payout ratio rather than total shareholder return.

Risk Assessment

Business risks include Margin risk in the core machinery-related business: sales rose 4.6%, but segment profit fell 39.8% and margin contracted by approximately 153bp to 2.1%., Materials-related demand risk: segment sales declined 32.4% and profit fell 47.7%, indicating high sensitivity to customer demand, production volumes, or pricing conditions., Manufacturing execution risk: WIP represents 61.1% of the production inventory pool, above the 40% warning threshold and potentially signals longer production cycles, bottlenecks, delayed project completion, or cost-overrun exposure., Low gross-margin risk: the 12.9% gross margin leaves limited buffer against raw-material, energy, labor, logistics, and foreign-exchange cost inflation., Investment-portfolio volatility: investment securities equal 21.1% of total assets, and securities valuation changes materially affect OCI and equity., Industry-specific risk: machinery, resource, and materials operations can be exposed to cyclical industrial capital spending, commodity-price movements, supply-chain disruption, and customer project timing..

Financial risks include Refinancing risk is elevated because 93.9% of interest-bearing debt is short term; cash coverage of 2.05x materially mitigates, but does not eliminate, rollover risk., Low capital efficiency: ROIC of 1.5% and annualized ROE of 1.1% imply limited returns on the sizeable PPE and investment-security base., Non-operating income concentration: dividend income of ¥88m represented 44% of ordinary income, making ordinary earnings partly dependent on portfolio income., Extraordinary-loss risk: the ¥53m loss on disposal of fixed assets was material relative to ¥101m net income and weakened earnings conversion..

Key concerns include The LOW_OPERATING_EFFICIENCY alert is warranted: EBIT margin of 2.6% is below 5%, and SG&A growth exceeded revenue growth, evidencing negative operating leverage., The REFINANCING_RISK alert is warranted: the 94% short-term debt ratio creates maturity concentration, although liquidity ratios and cash coverage are strong., The CAPITAL_EFFICIENCY alert is warranted: ROIC of 1.5% is below 5%, reflecting weak operating returns rather than excessive financial leverage., The HIGH_WIP_RATIO alert is warranted: WIP of ¥900m, or 61.1% of production inventory, requires monitoring for delayed conversion into revenue and cash., The LOW_GROSS_MARGIN alert is warranted: a 12.9% gross margin limits resilience and makes sustained margin recovery in the machinery and materials segments important..

Investment Implications

Key takeaways include Operational earnings weakened, with revenue down 2.3% and operating income down 9.0%, despite a 29bp gross-margin improvement., Ordinary-income growth was driven by higher dividend income and should be distinguished from underlying operating-profit momentum., Net-income decline was heavily influenced by unfavorable year-on-year extraordinary-item comparison, including the absence of the prior-year ¥130m investment-security sale gain and the current ¥53m fixed-asset disposal loss., The company has strong liquidity and low balance-sheet leverage, but its debt maturity profile is heavily short term., The Q4 operating-profit requirement under the revised full-year forecast is modest, whereas delivery of forecast net income requires better conversion after tax and extraordinary items..

Metrics to watch include Machinery-related segment margin and order/progress conversion, Materials-related sales recovery and profitability, WIP balance and conversion into completed deliveries, SG&A growth relative to revenue, Short-term debt refinancing and interest expense, Investment securities valuation movements and dividend-income contribution, Fixed-asset disposal losses or other extraordinary items, Progress toward ¥9.30bn sales, ¥230m operating income, and ¥150m net income forecast.

Regarding relative positioning, The company combines strong liquidity, low leverage, and meaningful investment-security assets with weak operating profitability and very low returns on capital. Relative to healthier manufacturing benchmarks, its 2.6% operating margin, 1.5% ROIC, and elevated WIP mix are unfavorable, while its current ratio, quick ratio, debt/capital ratio, and interest coverage are comparatively strong.