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64702026 Q3StandardJGAAP

TAIHO KOGYO (6470) FY2026 Q3 Earnings Report

For FY2026 Q3, revenue came to ¥88.2B (+5.8% year on year) and operating income ¥1.8B. The segment drivers and cash flow follow.

TAIHO KOGYO CO.,LTD.

Machinery


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MetricCurrent PeriodSame Period of Previous YearYoY
Revenue¥882.2B¥833.7B+5.8%
Operating Income¥18.5B¥0.0B−99.9%
Ordinary Income¥22.2B¥3.8B+482.7%
Net Income¥14.5B−¥30.1B+148.0%
ROE (Annualized)2.7%−5.8%-

Executive Summary

The key highlight of the quarter was the achievement of a return to net profitability from the net loss recorded in the same period of the previous year, driven by higher revenue and a return to operating profitability. Revenue was ¥882.2B (+5.8% year on year), operating income was ¥18.5B (¥0.0B in the same period of the previous year), ordinary income was ¥22.2B (+482.7%), and net income was ¥14.5B (¥-30.1B in the same period of the previous year). In addition to higher revenue, improvements in gross margin and reductions in SG&A expenses drove the recovery in operating income, although the operating margin of 2.1% remains low.

Factors Affecting Performance

【Revenue】Revenue was ¥882.2B, an increase of +5.8% year on year. By segment, ComponentsForAutomotiveRelatedApplications generated ¥782.8B (88.7% of total revenue), while EquipmentAndToolsForAutomotiveRelatedApplications generated ¥99.6B (11.3% of total revenue). Both segments had profit margins in the low 2% range, with no material difference between them, and the expansion of the Components segment drove overall growth.

【Profit and Loss】The gross profit margin was 14.8%, improving from 13.7% (estimated) in the same period of the previous year. SG&A expenses were ¥112.4B, a decrease of 1.4% year on year, and the SG&A-to-sales ratio declined to 12.7%. As a result, operating income improved substantially to ¥18.5B from approximately the breakeven level in the same period of the previous year. Ordinary income was ¥22.2B, supported by a foreign exchange gain of ¥2.9B. Extraordinary losses amounted to a net loss of ¥0.3B, including an impairment loss of ¥0.5B, but the impact was limited. Net income was ¥14.5B, representing a return to profitability from the ¥30.1B loss in the previous year. In conclusion, the Company achieved both revenue and profit growth.

Segment Analysis

The segment composition comprises ComponentsForAutomotiveRelatedApplications (revenue of ¥782.8B, operating income of ¥16.5B, and a profit margin of 2.1%) and EquipmentAndToolsForAutomotiveRelatedApplications (revenue of ¥99.6B, operating income of ¥2.2B, and a profit margin of 2.2%). The Components segment accounts for approximately 90% of total revenue, but both segments have profit margins in the low 2% range, with no material difference; therefore, no segment stands out in terms of the earnings structure.

Key Financial Indicators

【Profitability】The operating margin was 2.1%, the ordinary income margin was 2.5%, and the net profit margin, based on consolidated net income, was 1.6%. The gross margin of 14.8% improved from the same period of the previous year, but all metrics remain at low levels.【Cash Flow Quality】Against pretax income of ¥21.9B, income taxes and other taxes were ¥7.4B, resulting in an effective tax rate of approximately 33.9%. A foreign exchange gain of ¥2.9B was recorded in non-operating income, indicating that a portion of ordinary income depends on non-recurring foreign exchange factors.【Investment Efficiency】Annualized ROE was 2.7%, BPS was ¥2,458.18, and basic EPS was ¥46.62, a substantial improvement from -¥107.54 in the previous year. Capital efficiency has improved but remains low.【Financial Soundness】The equity ratio was 58.4%, and cash and deposits were ¥192.7B. Long-term borrowings declined substantially from ¥242.4B in the previous year to ¥96.4B, resulting in lower financial leverage.

Cash Flow Analysis

Although detailed disclosure of the cash flow statement is not available, changes in the balance sheet indicate that long-term borrowings decreased by ¥146.0B from ¥242.4B in the previous year to ¥96.4B, indicating progress in reducing interest-bearing debt. Meanwhile, cash and deposits declined slightly from ¥199.5B in the previous year to ¥192.7B, suggesting that some funds may have been allocated to debt repayment. Investment securities increased from ¥50.6B to ¥68.2B, indicating that a portion of surplus funds may have been directed toward securities investments. Current assets of ¥628.1B compared with current liabilities of ¥365.7B resulted in a current ratio of approximately 171.8%, indicating ample short-term liquidity.

Earnings Quality

The recovery in current-period profit was primarily attributable to an improvement in operating income, and earnings quality has improved from the previous year. However, the ¥2.9B foreign exchange gain represented approximately 15.4% of operating income of ¥18.5B, meaning that part of the increase in ordinary income depended on non-recurring foreign exchange factors. Extraordinary losses included an impairment loss of ¥0.5B and a loss on disposal of fixed assets of ¥0.4B, while extraordinary income was limited to ¥0.2B, resulting in a net loss of ¥0.3B; the quantitative impact was minor. Comprehensive income was ¥16.9B, and the difference from net income of ¥14.5B was primarily due to the offset between foreign currency translation adjustments of -¥9.1B and valuation differences on securities of +¥12.1B. Comprehensive income attributable to owners of the parent was ¥15.7B, remaining slightly above net income of ¥13.2B.

Earnings Forecast and Guidance

The full-year Company forecasts are revenue of ¥1,170.0B (+3.7% year on year), operating income of ¥23.0B (+276.5%), and ordinary income of ¥25.0B (+174.4%). Q3 year-to-date progress was broadly in line with a standard trajectory for revenue, at 75.4%, while operating income and ordinary income were progressing ahead of plan at 80.3% and 88.8%, respectively. Net income attributable to owners of the parent was ¥13.2B as of Q3 year to date, already exceeding the full-year forecast of ¥13.0B. Accordingly, the full-year plan assumes a modest decline in profit or a loss in Q4.

Shareholder Returns

The Q2 dividend was ¥10.00 per share, and the full-year dividend forecast is ¥20.00 per share. Based on forecast full-year EPS of ¥45.90, the forecast payout ratio is approximately 43.6%, which is a reasonable level. Although historical data indicating a trend of consecutive dividend increases is not available, net income attributable to owners of the parent was ahead of the full-year forecast as of Q3 year to date, and there appears to be no obstacle to securing funds for dividends.

Risk Factors

  1. Profitability vulnerability: The operating margin of 2.1% and gross margin of 14.8% are low, creating a structure in which rising raw material prices and labor costs, as well as delays in passing through costs, can readily pressure profits.

  2. Foreign exchange dependence risk: The non-operating foreign exchange gain of ¥2.9B represented approximately 15.4% of operating income of ¥18.5B, and a reversal in the yen exchange rate could reduce ordinary income.

  3. Equipment aging risk: Accumulated depreciation of machinery and equipment of ¥913.7B is high relative to acquisition cost. Delays in equipment renewal could create productivity and quality risks, while accelerating renewal investment could increase the financial burden.

Industry Benchmark (For Reference; Compiled by the Company)

Industry Benchmark (manufacturing)

Profitability and Returns

MetricCompanyMedian (IQR)Delta
Operating Margin2.1%8.6% (4.3%–12.7%)−6.5pt
Net Profit Margin1.6%6.4% (2.8%–10.3%)−4.8pt

The Company's profitability is substantially below the industry median and ranks toward the lower end of the industry.

Growth and Capital Efficiency

MetricCompanyMedian (IQR)Delta
Revenue Growth Rate (Year on Year)5.8%3.3% (-2.1%–8.9%)+2.5pt

The revenue growth rate exceeds the industry median, indicating a relatively favorable position in terms of top-line growth.

※Source: Compiled by the Company

Key Takeaways from the Results

  1. The primary feature of the results was the return to profitability from the net loss recorded in the same period of the previous year, with both operating income and ordinary income progressing faster than revenue against the full-year Company plan.

  2. The operating margin of 2.1% and gross margin of 14.8% are substantially below the industry median. Following the return to profitability, the focus will be on the potential for structural and sustained improvement in profitability.

  3. Financial soundness is relatively strong, as evidenced by the substantial reduction in long-term borrowings, a current ratio of 171.8%, and an equity ratio of 58.4%. Financial capacity as a foundation for improving profitability has been secured.

Theoretical Share Price (Reference Value)

ScenarioTheoretical Share Price
bear (bearish)¥1,940
base (base case)¥1,953
bull (bullish)¥1,965
Calculation AssumptionValue
Book Value per Share (BPS)¥2,458
Adjusted Forecast EPS¥50.5
Cost of Equity r9.77% (10-year government bond 2.77% + equity risk premium 6.00% + size premium 1.00%)
Persistence Coefficient of Residual Income ω / Explicit Forecast Period0.62 / 5 years
Assumed Payout Ratio43.6%
Forecast EPS Confidence Adjustment×1.100 (based on progress ahead of the full-year forecast)
implied PBR / PER0.79x / 38.7x

Sensitivity: ¥1,900–¥2,009 at a ±1% change in the cost of equity, and ¥1,937–¥1,964 at a change of ±0.1 in ω.

Notes:

  • Because net income progress against the full-year forecast (102%) exceeds the standard level (75%), forecast EPS has been adjusted upward within a maximum range of +10% (because companies progressing ahead of plan tend to exceed their forecasts. The adjustment may be excessive for businesses with strong seasonality).
  • Because forecast ROE is below the cost of equity, the theoretical value is below book value per share.
  • Net assets as of the quarter-end are used (there is a timing difference from the full-year forecast).

(Calculation model: Residual income model (Ohlson-type; explicit 5-year fade) / Interest rate reference month: 2026-07 / Mechanically calculated value based solely on publicly disclosed data; this is not a forecast of the market share price or a recommendation of any specific investment action, and does not predict or guarantee future share prices.)


This report is an earnings analysis document automatically generated by AI through analysis of XBRL earnings summary data. It does not recommend investment in any specific security. The industry benchmarks are reference information compiled by the Company based on publicly disclosed earnings data. Investment decisions should be made at your own discretion and responsibility, after consulting with a professional as necessary.

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