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63632026 Q3PrimeJGAAP

Torishima Pump Mfg. (6363) FY2026 Q3 Earnings Report

For FY2026 Q3, revenue came to ¥64.9B (+8.7% year on year) and operating income ¥1.7B (-39.6%). The segment drivers and cash flow follow.

Machinery


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MetricCurrent PeriodSame Period Last YearYoY
Revenue¥64.90B¥59.69B+8.7%
Operating Income¥1.69B¥2.80B−39.6%
Ordinary Income¥1.68B¥2.43B−30.8%
Net Income¥3.21B¥2.57B+24.9%
ROE (annualized)7.6%6.1%-

Executive Summary

Despite higher revenue, operating income declined significantly, making the deterioration in core business profitability the key issue in these results. Revenue increased to ¥64.895B (+8.7% YoY), while operating income declined to ¥1.693B (-39.6%) and ordinary income to ¥1.683B (-30.8%). Net income increased to ¥3.215B (+24.9%), but this was driven by the one-time factor of a ¥2.805B gain on the sale of investment securities, contrasting with the deterioration in recurring earning power.

Factors Affecting Results

【Revenue】Revenue increased 8.7% YoY to ¥64.895B. Since the Pumps Business accounts for more than 90% of both revenue and operating income/loss, the consolidated results are almost entirely dependent on the performance of this business.

【Profit and Loss】Despite higher revenue, gross profit decreased 1.8% YoY to ¥15.816B, and the gross profit margin declined by 262bp from 27.0% to 24.4%. Although the SG&A ratio improved by 54bp to 21.8%, this was insufficient to offset the increase in the cost ratio, and the operating margin declined by 208bp from 4.7% to 2.6%. Ordinary income fell to ¥1.683B (-30.8%) due additionally to a ¥0.503B foreign exchange loss. Net income increased to ¥3.183B (+24.9%※ consolidated net income for the period; approximately equal to ¥3.215B attributable to owners of the parent), primarily due to the ¥2.805B gain on the sale of investment securities; however, this was attributable to a one-time factor. In conclusion, the results were characterized by higher revenue but lower profit, with the increase in revenue failing to translate into profit growth.

Segment Analysis

As the Pumps Business accounts for more than 90% of both the Group’s revenue and operating income/loss, detailed segment disclosures have been omitted. Consolidated results are structured to depend almost entirely on project profitability, cost trends, and foreign exchange conditions in this business.

Key Financial Indicators

【Profitability】The operating margin was 2.6%, down 208bp from 4.7% in the same period last year. The gross profit margin deteriorated to 24.4% (24.4% in the same period last year, with the numerical figure declining by 262bp from 27.0%), and increased cost burdens were the primary cause of the decline in profitability. 【Cash Quality】Accounts receivable of ¥38.69B and work in progress of ¥15.55B indicate substantial working capital. Both DSO and DIO are believed to exceed standard levels, suggesting a structure in which revenue growth is likely to be accompanied by cash being tied up. 【Investment Efficiency】Annualized ROE was 7.6%. Since net income includes a one-time gain on the sale of investment securities, recurring capital efficiency is considered to be below this level. 【Financial Soundness】The equity ratio was 51.0%, while current assets of ¥75.89B substantially exceeded current liabilities of ¥32.61B, indicating ample short-term liquidity. Long-term borrowings of ¥16.18B account for the majority of interest-bearing debt, indicating a long-term funding structure.

Cash Flow Analysis

Since individual items in the statement of cash flows are not included in the disclosed data, cash trends are analyzed based on changes in the balance sheet. Cash and deposits declined to ¥14.34B from ¥17.12B in the previous year. Accounts payable fell substantially to ¥7.45B from ¥14.52B in the previous year, suggesting a reduction in funding through trade payables. Meanwhile, short-term borrowings increased to ¥8.95B from the previous year, possibly offsetting part of the decline in accounts payable. Work in progress remained high at ¥15.55B, reflecting the characteristics of a make-to-order business in which funds tend to remain tied up in the manufacturing process for extended periods. Accounts receivable was substantial at ¥38.69B, and confirming the core business’s cash-generating capacity excluding the ¥2.81B gain on the sale of investment securities will be a key focus going forward.

Quality of Earnings

The increase in net income was primarily driven by a boost from extraordinary income rather than an improvement in recurring earning power. Of the ¥2.81B in extraordinary income, the gain on the sale of investment securities accounted for ¥2.81B, corresponding to almost all of the ¥2.81B difference between profit before tax of ¥4.49B and ordinary income of ¥1.68B. Non-operating income of ¥0.75B included dividend income of ¥0.29B, while non-operating expenses of ¥0.76B included a foreign exchange loss of ¥0.50B, making non-operating income and expenses an effective source of deterioration. Comprehensive income was ¥2.50B, below net income of ¥3.22B. The main causes of this difference were deterioration in valuation differences, including foreign currency translation adjustments of -¥0.36B, valuation differences on securities of -¥0.19B, and deferred hedging gains or losses of -¥0.34B. Accordingly, the quality of earnings for the period does not reflect recurring earning power, and evaluation should focus primarily on the levels of operating income and ordinary income.

Earnings Forecast and Guidance

Progress toward the full-year revenue forecast of ¥89.00B was 72.9%, close to the standard progress rate of 75%, indicating that the revenue plan is generally progressing smoothly. In contrast, progress toward the full-year operating income forecast of ¥5.80B was 29.2%, while progress toward the ordinary income forecast of ¥5.10B was 33.0%; both were substantially behind schedule. In Q4, approximately ¥4.11B in operating income and ¥3.42B in ordinary income will need to be generated, making profit improvement substantially exceeding the cumulative actual results a prerequisite for achieving the plan. It should be noted that the progress rate for net income is relatively high as a result of the inclusion of the gain on the sale of investment securities.

Shareholder Returns

The full-year dividend forecast is ¥62.00 per share. A dividend of ¥31.00 was paid in Q2, and a year-end dividend of ¥31.00 is planned. The Payout Ratio calculated from forecast full-year net income and the average number of shares outstanding during the period is approximately in the 29% range, below the level generally regarded as an indicator of sustainability. However, since net income for the period includes a gain on the sale of investment securities, confirming a recovery in recurring profits from the core business is important when assessing the sustainability of dividend funding. Treasury shares increased to ¥2.64B from ¥1.80B in the previous year.

Risk Factors

  1. Concentration risk in a single business: Since the Pumps Business accounts for more than 90% of revenue and operating income/loss, deterioration in project profitability in this business directly affects consolidated results. In fact, operating income declined -39.6% despite revenue increasing +8.7%, highlighting the high sensitivity.

  2. Risk of working capital remaining tied up: Work in progress of ¥15.55B accounts for most of manufacturing inventories, while accounts receivable of ¥38.69B is also substantial. Delays in the progress of make-to-order projects or collection delays could affect both capital efficiency and profit recognition.

  3. Foreign exchange risk: The Company recorded a foreign exchange loss of ¥0.50B during the period, equivalent to approximately 30% of operating income of ¥1.69B. The business has a structure in which foreign exchange fluctuations through overseas projects and foreign-currency-denominated transactions significantly affect ordinary income.

Industry Benchmark (Reference; Company Analysis)

Industry Benchmark (manufacturing)

Profitability and Returns

MetricCompanyMedian (IQR)Delta
Operating Margin2.6%8.6% (4.3%–12.7%)−6.0pt
Net Profit Margin5.0%6.4% (2.8%–10.3%)−1.5pt

The Company’s profitability is below the industry median, with its operating margin ranking particularly low within the industry.

Growth and Capital Efficiency

MetricCompanyMedian (IQR)Delta
Revenue Growth Rate (YoY)8.7%3.3% (-2.1%–8.9%)+5.4pt

Revenue growth is at a high level within the industry, but this growth has not translated into improved margins.

※Source: Company analysis

Key Points from the Results

  1. While revenue increased 8.7% YoY, representing high growth even within the industry, the operating margin declined by 208bp to 2.6%. A defining feature of the period was that higher revenue did not lead to improved profitability.

  2. The increase in net income depended on the ¥2.81B gain on the sale of investment securities, creating a substantial gap from the core business profit levels represented by ordinary income of ¥1.68B and operating income of ¥1.69B. This one-time factor must be taken into account when assessing the quality of the results.

  3. Progress toward the full-year earnings forecast was generally on track for revenue at 72.9%, while operating income at 29.2% and ordinary income at 33.0% were substantially behind schedule. The extent to which profitability improves in Q4 will determine whether the full-year plan is achieved.

Theoretical Stock Price (Reference Value)

ScenarioTheoretical Stock Price
bear (Bearish)¥2,150
base (Base)¥2,204
bull (Bullish)¥2,284
Calculation AssumptionValue
Book Value per Share (BPS)¥2,154
Adjusted Forecast EPS¥228.0
Cost of Equity r9.77% (10-year government bond 2.77% + equity risk premium 6.00% + size premium 1.00%)
Persistence Coefficient of Residual Income ω / Explicit Forecast Period0.62 / 5 years
Assumed Payout Ratio29.1%
Forecast EPS Confidence Adjustment×1.071 (based on the industry’s historical guidance achievement rate)
Implied PBR / PER1.02x / 9.7x

Sensitivity: ¥2,143–¥2,269 at ±1% in the cost of equity, and ¥2,203–¥2,206 at ±0.1 in ω.

Notes:

  • Net assets as of the quarter-end were used (there is a timing difference from the full-year forecast).
  • Since net assets include non-controlling interests, the theoretical value may be calculated somewhat higher.

(Calculation model: Residual Income Model (Ohlson-type, explicit 5-year fade) / Interest rate reference month: 2026-07 / This is a mechanically calculated value based solely on publicly disclosed data; it is not a forecast of the market stock price or a recommendation of any specific investment action, and does not predict or guarantee future stock prices.)


This report is an earnings analysis document automatically generated by AI through analysis of XBRL earnings summary data. It does not recommend investment in any specific security. The industry benchmarks are reference information compiled by the Company based on publicly disclosed earnings data. Investment decisions should be made at your own responsibility, after consulting with a professional as necessary.

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