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59282026 Q3StandardJGAAP

ALMETAX MANUFACTURING (5928) FY2026 Q3 Earnings Report

For FY2026 Q3, revenue came to ¥6.1B (-5.4% year on year) and operating income ¥4.0M. The segment drivers and cash flow follow.

Construction & Materials/Metal Products


Quick View

MetricCurrent PeriodSame Period Previous YearYoY
Revenue¥61.4B¥65.0B−5.4%
Operating Income¥0.0B−¥0.9B-
Ordinary Income¥1.4B¥0.3B+307.0%
Net Income¥1.7B−¥0.0B+277.7%
ROE1.8%−0.0%-

Executive Summary

Although revenue declined, Ordinary Income and Net Income increased significantly during the period. It should be noted, however, that the primary drivers were not the core business but dividends received and gains on the sale of investment securities. Revenue was ¥61.4B (down 5.4% year on year), Ordinary Income was ¥1.4B (up 307.0%), and Net Income was ¥1.7B (up 277.7%). Operating Income remained at ¥0.04B (Operating Margin of 0.1%), indicating that the increase in profit was primarily driven by non-operating factors.

Factors Affecting Results

【Revenue】Revenue was ¥61.4B, down 5.4% year on year. Progress against the full-year forecast of ¥83.0B was 74.0%, broadly in line with a standard pace of progress. Cost of sales was ¥49.6B, accounting for 80.8% of revenue, while the gross margin was 19.2%. This improved from approximately 16.2% in the previous year, but remained below 20%.

【Profit and Loss】Operating Income was ¥0.04B (Operating Margin of 0.1%), marking a return to profitability from ¥-0.9B in the previous year, although the level remained extremely low. Ordinary Income of ¥1.4B was boosted by ¥1.4B in non-operating income, primarily consisting of ¥1.3B in dividends received. In addition, extraordinary income of ¥0.8B (gain on the sale of investment securities) contributed to Profit Before Tax of ¥2.2B, resulting in Net Income of ¥1.7B. The combination of improved Operating Income and increases in dividends received and gains on sales resulted in an increase in profit despite lower revenue.

Key Financial Indicators

【Profitability】The Operating Margin was 0.1%, the Ordinary Income Margin was 2.3%, and the Net Profit Margin was 2.7%, all indicating weak earnings power in the core business. ROE was 1.8%. Under a decomposition into a Net Profit Margin of 2.7%, total asset turnover of 0.522x, and financial leverage of 1.25x, the low profit margin was the primary factor behind the low ROE.【Cash Quality】Operating Cash Flow (OCF) cannot be confirmed because it is not included in the disclosed data. However, given the structure in which Ordinary Income and Net Income were boosted by non-operating factors while Operating Income remained marginal, a cautious view of the company’s ability to convert earnings into cash is warranted.【Investment Efficiency】ROIC was approximately 0.1%, a low level, indicating limited earnings generation relative to total assets of ¥117.7B. Investment securities of ¥16.9B accounted for 14.3% of total assets and contributed to profit through dividends received and gains on sales.【Financial Soundness】The Equity Ratio was high at 79.8%, while the current ratio was 391.8%. Cash and deposits of ¥15.7B exceeded current liabilities of ¥13.9B, indicating ample short-term liquidity.

Cash Flow Analysis

Because data from the statement of cash flows is not included in the disclosed information, cash trends are assessed based on movements in the balance sheet. Cash and deposits declined to ¥15.7B from ¥18.8B in the previous year, while investment securities and property, plant and equipment increased to ¥16.9B and ¥23.6B, respectively, suggesting that a portion of the funds may have been directed toward investments and fixed assets. Trade receivables (accounts receivable and electronically recorded monetary claims) increased from the previous year, and raw materials also increased, suggesting that an accumulation of working capital affected the cash balance. While Operating Income remained marginal, dividends received and gains on the sale of investment securities may have served as the substantive sources of funds. Confirmation using actual disclosed CF data regarding cash generation from the core business is therefore desirable.

Earnings Quality

The increase in Ordinary Income and Net Income during the period depended heavily on non-recurring factors rather than recurring business activities. Most of the ¥1.4B in non-operating income (¥1.3B) consisted of dividends received. While this represents stable income from investment securities, its nature differs from business profit. In addition, the ¥0.8B in extraordinary income consisted of gains on the sale of investment securities and should clearly be classified as a temporary factor. Excluding this gain, Profit Before Tax would have remained at approximately ¥1.4B, indicating a divergence in earnings quality from reported Net Income of ¥1.7B. Viewed together with the fact that Operating Income was only ¥0.04B, the increase in profit during the period was generated more by returns from assets than by improvements in the core business. Attention should therefore be paid to the recurrence and sustainability of earnings.

Earnings Forecast and Guidance

Progress for cumulative Q3 results against the full-year forecast was 74.0% for revenue, 82.9% for Ordinary Income, and 159.0% for Net Income. While revenue was broadly progressing at a standard pace, Net Income had already exceeded the full-year forecast of ¥1.1B at the cumulative quarterly stage, largely due to the contribution of non-recurring factors such as gains on the sale of investment securities. Progress against the Operating Income forecast of ¥0.1B was ¥0.04B (40.0%), indicating that the pace of recovery in the core business was relatively slow. Going forward, key points to monitor will be whether full-year results continue to exceed the Net Income forecast while remaining dependent on non-recurring factors, and whether a reversal of these factors occurs in the second half of the year.

Shareholder Returns

The Q2 dividend was ¥4.00 per share, and the full-year dividend forecast is ¥8.00 per share (assuming an interim dividend of ¥4 and a year-end dividend of ¥4). The Payout Ratio based solely on dividends was 28.5%, remaining at a reasonable level based on reported Net Income. However, current-period Net Income includes a ¥0.8B gain on the sale of investment securities. When dividend capacity is assessed based on recurring earnings, it may be lower than the headline Payout Ratio suggests. Information regarding share buybacks is not included in the disclosed data.

Risk Factors

  1. Low core business earnings power: Operating Income was only ¥0.04B, with an Operating Margin of 0.1%. The gross margin of 19.2% also indicates substantial room for improvement when viewed against the industry median Operating Margin level of 8.6%. As revenue declined 5.4% year on year, SG&A expenses of ¥11.8B nearly absorbed gross profit of ¥11.8B, creating a structure in which Operating Income is easily pressured when revenue declines.

  2. Non-recurring nature of earnings: The primary factors boosting Net Income of ¥1.7B were the ¥0.8B gain on the sale of investment securities and ¥1.3B in dividends received. The level of core-business earnings excluding these factors would be substantially different. These non-operating revenues may fluctuate going forward due to the performance of investee companies, their dividend policies, and changes in market prices.

  3. Insufficient cash flow visibility: Operating Cash Flow data is not included in the disclosed information, preventing verification of whether reported earnings have been converted into actual cash generation. While increases in working capital (trade receivables, raw materials, etc.) have been observed, cash and deposits declined from the previous year.

Industry Benchmark (For Reference; Compiled by the Company)

Industry Benchmark (manufacturing)

Profitability and Returns

MetricCompanyMedian (IQR)Delta
Operating Margin0.1%8.6% (4.3%–12.7%)−8.5pt
Net Profit Margin2.7%6.4% (2.8%–10.3%)−3.7pt

The company’s profitability was significantly below the industry median for both metrics, placing it toward the lower end of the manufacturing benchmark.

Growth and Capital Efficiency

MetricCompanyMedian (IQR)Delta
Revenue Growth Rate (year on year)−5.4%3.3% (-2.1%–8.9%)−8.7pt

The company’s revenue growth rate was also below the industry median, indicating an inferior position relative to peers in terms of growth.

※Source: Compiled by the Company

Key Takeaways from the Earnings Results

  1. The significant increases in Ordinary Income and Net Income were driven by non-recurring and non-operating factors, namely dividends received and gains on the sale of investment securities. This contrasts with the weak earnings power of the core business, reflected in an Operating Margin of 0.1%.

  2. The high level of financial soundness, represented by an Equity Ratio of 79.8% and a current ratio of 391.8%, provides support for the business. At the same time, the company faces the challenge of low earnings generation relative to invested capital, with estimated ROIC of 0.1%.

  3. The Payout Ratio of 28.5% is sustainable based on reported Net Income. However, the fact that the funding source includes a temporary gain on sale is an important consideration when assessing the quality of the dividend.


This report is an earnings analysis document automatically generated by AI based on XBRL earnings summary data. It does not recommend investment in any specific security. The industry benchmarks are reference information compiled by the Company based on publicly available earnings data. Investment decisions should be made at your own responsibility, and after consulting with professionals as necessary.


AI Financial Analysis

Executive Summary

FY2026 Q3 results show a return to nominal operating profitability, but the underlying earnings base remains exceptionally thin and reported net income is materially supported by investment-related income. Revenue declined 5.4% year on year to ¥6.141bn. Gross profit increased to ¥1.180bn from ¥1.055bn despite lower sales. The gross margin expanded by approximately 298bp to 19.2%, reflecting a cost-of-sales decline of about 8.8%, faster than the revenue contraction. SG&A expense rose 2.6% to ¥1.176bn, and its ratio to sales increased by roughly 150bp to 19.2%. As a result, operating income improved by ¥95m from a ¥91m loss to a ¥4m profit, but the operating margin was only 0.1%. Dividend income of ¥128m accounted for 90.8% of ordinary income of ¥141m. Ordinary income rose 307.0% year on year, although the comparison benefits from a low prior-year base. Profit before tax was further lifted by an ¥83m gain on sales of investment securities, partly offset by a ¥2m fixed-asset disposal loss. Net income reached ¥167m, compared with a ¥3m loss a year earlier, and EPS was ¥16.04. The ¥83m securities-sale gain alone represented about 50% of Q3 net income, limiting the recurrence quality of reported profit. The annualized ROE was 2.4%, constrained by the 2.7% net margin rather than leverage. Financial resilience remains strong, with a 391.8% current ratio, ¥9.390bn of equity and liabilities representing only 20.2% of assets. At Q3, revenue progress was 74.0% of the ¥8.300bn full-year forecast, broadly in line with the standard 75% seasonal benchmark. Operating-income progress was only 40.0% of the ¥10m forecast, indicating that the full-year plan still requires a meaningful Q4 contribution despite the very low absolute profit target. Net income already equaled 159.0% of the ¥105m full-year forecast, but this overachievement is principally attributable to dividend income and the securities-sale gain rather than a commensurate recovery in operating earnings. The central forward implication is that sustaining the full-year earnings profile depends on preserving the gross-margin recovery while containing SG&A relative to sales and reducing reliance on investment income and asset gains.

Profitability Analysis

Annualized DuPont ROE is 2.4%, decomposed into a 2.7% net profit margin, 0.696x asset turnover and 1.25x financial leverage. The low-return outcome is primarily a margin issue: leverage is conservative and asset turnover is moderate for the asset base, but operating profitability is near break-even. Gross margin improved to 19.2% from approximately 16.2% in the prior-year period, a favorable 298bp change that was the principal improvement in the operating account. However, SG&A increased to ¥1.176bn from ¥1.146bn while sales declined, lifting the SG&A-to-sales ratio to about 19.2% from 17.6%. This approximately 150bp SG&A ratio deterioration absorbed roughly half of the gross-margin improvement. Consequently, the operating margin reached only 0.1%, well below the 5% concern threshold and explicitly consistent with the LOW_OPERATING_EFFICIENCY alert. ROIC of 0.1% is also well below the 5% benchmark, confirming that the operating asset base is generating minimal operating return. The LOW_GROSS_MARGIN alert remains relevant even after the improvement, because the 19.2% gross margin is marginally below the 20% reference level and leaves little room for cost inflation or price pressure. The gross-margin rebound appears operationally constructive, but its sustainability should be judged against future sales volume and the ability to prevent further SG&A deleveraging. Ordinary income quality is weaker than the headline growth rate suggests: ¥128m of dividend income was substantially larger than ¥4m of operating income. The 5-factor DuPont interest burden of 55.784x is not an indicator of debt servicing pressure in this case; it reflects the fact that earnings before tax substantially exceeded the very small EBIT through non-operating and extraordinary investment-related items. The tax burden of 0.748 and effective tax rate of 24.7% are broadly normal. There is no material tax distortion evident in the conversion from pre-tax profit to net income. Overall, profitability has improved from the prior-year operating loss, but the core business has not yet achieved a margin level that supports an efficient return on equity or invested capital.

Growth Assessment

The 5.4% revenue decline indicates that the earnings recovery was not volume-led. Cost of sales fell faster than sales, allowing gross profit to rise by approximately 11.9% year on year and demonstrating favorable gross-profit resilience. However, the increase in SG&A against a contracting revenue base indicates unfavorable operating leverage below gross profit. Q3 sales of ¥6.141bn represent 74.0% of the ¥8.300bn full-year forecast, essentially aligned with normal 75% Q3 progress. Ordinary income of ¥141m represents 82.9% of the ¥170m forecast and is modestly ahead of the seasonal benchmark. Operating income of ¥4m represents just 40.0% of the ¥10m forecast, 35 percentage points below the standard Q3 run rate. This means the forecast requires ¥6m of Q4 operating income, versus ¥4m achieved cumulatively through Q3. Net income of ¥167m exceeds the ¥105m full-year forecast by ¥62m, but the excess is not a signal of underlying operating momentum because it includes the ¥83m gain on sale of investment securities. Dividend income of ¥128m also provides a recurring investment-income component, although its level depends on investee distributions rather than production and sales activity. The manufacturing inventory structure is concentrated in raw materials of ¥1.016bn, with finished goods of ¥196m and work in process of ¥4m. Raw materials were up 42.3% year on year while finished goods fell 5.0% and work in process declined 42.8%, which may reflect procurement timing or an earlier production-stage inventory build rather than finished-goods accumulation. The low finished-goods balance limits immediate evidence of end-market inventory overhang. Product-warranty provision was ¥3m, immaterial relative to revenue, which does not indicate a currently significant warranty-cost burden. Growth quality would improve materially if gross-margin gains are retained while revenue stabilizes and SG&A is held below the pace of gross-profit growth.

Financial Health

Liquidity is very strong. Current assets of ¥5.426bn were 3.92 times current liabilities of ¥1.385bn, producing a 391.8% current ratio. The 377.6% quick ratio shows that liquidity is supported predominantly by cash and receivables rather than inventory. Working capital was ¥4.041bn, and cash and deposits were ¥1.574bn. Total equity of ¥9.390bn funded 79.8% of total assets, while total liabilities were ¥2.381bn, or 20.2% of assets. The reported debt-to-equity ratio of 0.25x indicates a conservative balance-sheet structure and is far below the 2.0x warning threshold. Current assets exceeded current liabilities by ¥4.041bn, so there is no evident short-term maturity mismatch. Noncurrent liabilities were ¥996m, including ¥165m of retirement-benefit provision. Trade payables were ¥545m and electronically recorded obligations were ¥532m. Electronically recorded monetary claims were ¥1.381bn; combined with trade receivables of ¥1.115bn, operating receivables were ¥2.497bn. The balance sheet also includes ¥1.689bn of investment securities and ¥1.919bn of shares in subsidiaries and affiliates, making investment assets a meaningful component of capital allocation. Intangible assets rose ¥135m, or 84.0% year on year, to ¥295m, and represented only 2.5% of total assets. This increase warrants monitoring for the strategic benefit and amortization burden of the underlying investment, although the overall intangible concentration remains low. Property, plant and equipment was ¥2.364bn, including ¥1.568bn of land, and PPE represented 20.1% of assets. The company therefore has ample financial capacity, but the more material financial-health issue for equity holders is the low operating return generated on this substantial net asset base.

Notable B/S Changes

Intangible assets: +¥135m (+84.0%) to ¥295m - a significant increase requiring evidence that the underlying investment produces future operating benefits; intangible assets remain only 2.5% of total assets. Property, plant and equipment: +¥218m (+10.2%) to ¥2.364bn - increased fixed-asset deployment raises the importance of improving operating returns. Land: +¥119m (+8.2%) to ¥1.568bn - a material absolute increase within PPE and a contributor to the larger capital base. Cash and deposits: -¥307m (-16.3%) to ¥1.574bn - liquidity remains ample, but cash declined while noncurrent assets expanded. Trade receivables: +¥197m (+21.4%) to ¥1.115bn - collections and credit exposure should be monitored alongside the sales decline. Electronically recorded obligations: +¥210m (+65.4%) to ¥532m - greater use of electronic payables provided working-capital funding. Total liabilities: +¥331m (+16.2%) to ¥2.381bn - the increase is modest relative to equity and does not impair the conservative capital structure.

Cash Flow Quality

Net income quality is constrained by its composition. Operating income was only ¥4m, while dividend income contributed ¥128m and the gain on sale of investment securities contributed ¥83m before tax. The securities-sale gain represented approximately 50% of net income, making period profit sensitive to capital-market transactions rather than only operating execution. The ¥128m dividend-income contribution is more recurring than an asset-sale gain, but it remains dependent on the earnings and distribution policies of portfolio companies. Gross profit improved despite lower revenue, which is a positive operating cash-generation precursor if sustained. The inventory balance declined modestly year on year to ¥196m, driven by a lower finished-goods balance, although raw-material inventory increased substantially to ¥1.016bn. The increase in raw materials can absorb cash if it persists and should be assessed against production plans and input-cost trends. Trade receivables increased by ¥197m year on year, while electronically recorded claims declined by ¥159m; combined operating receivables were broadly stable at approximately ¥2.497bn. Electronically recorded obligations increased by ¥210m and trade payables by ¥86m, providing some supplier-financing support to working capital. The operating earnings base is too small to provide a meaningful cushion against routine working-capital movements. Accordingly, the key earnings-quality issue is not a reported operating-cash-flow divergence, but the limited recurrence of reported profit relative to core EBIT.

Dividend Sustainability

The company paid an interim Q2 dividend of ¥4.00 per share. The stated calculated payout ratio for the interim distribution is 28.5% of Q3 cumulative net income. The full-year forecast specifies DPS of ¥8.00 and EPS of ¥10.02, implying a forecast dividend payout ratio of approximately 79.8%. This prospective payout is above the 60% sustainability reference point, though below 100%. The forecast dividend commitment is supported by a strong net-cash/liquidity position, a 391.8% current ratio and ¥9.390bn of equity. However, forecast net income of ¥105m is below Q3 reported net income of ¥167m because the latter includes an ¥83m securities-sale gain. Core operating income is forecast at only ¥10m for the full year, so the dividend is not covered by operating earnings alone. Dividend income from investments provides an additional profit source, but distributions from portfolio holdings may vary. Retained earnings of ¥3.234bn provide balance-sheet flexibility. Dividend sustainability therefore rests more on accumulated capital and investment income than on current operating profitability. The relevant metric is the dividend payout ratio; no share repurchase information is provided for calculating a total return ratio.

Risk Assessment

Business risks include Operating-margin risk: EBIT margin was 0.1%, and even a small deterioration in sales price, raw-material costs, labor costs or utilization could return the business to an operating loss., Demand and volume risk: revenue declined 5.4% year on year; continued volume weakness would further worsen fixed-cost absorption because SG&A already increased against lower sales., Raw-material and procurement risk: raw-material inventory increased to ¥1.016bn from ¥714m while sales declined, increasing exposure to input-price movements and the risk that purchasing does not align with production demand., Manufacturing execution risk: the modest 19.2% gross margin leaves limited capacity to absorb quality costs, production inefficiencies, energy inflation, or supplier disruptions., Portfolio-income risk: dividend income of ¥128m accounted for 90.8% of ordinary income, exposing earnings to investee performance and dividend-policy changes..

Financial risks include Capital-efficiency risk: ROIC of 0.1% and annualized ROE of 2.4% are materially below standard return hurdles despite the strong capital base., Non-recurring earnings risk: the ¥83m gain on sale of investment securities represented about half of net income and cannot be assumed to recur., Investment-asset valuation risk: investment securities of ¥1.689bn and shares in subsidiaries and affiliates of ¥1.919bn are material balance-sheet assets whose value and income contribution can fluctuate., Dividend-coverage risk: the implied full-year payout ratio of about 79.8% is elevated relative to forecast EPS and depends on non-core earnings support..

Key concerns include Highest priority — core earnings durability: operating profit of ¥4m through Q3 is insufficiently robust relative to the ¥6.141bn revenue base and must improve independently of portfolio income., High priority — Q4 operating delivery: operating-income forecast progress is 40.0% versus the normal 75% Q3 benchmark, requiring a positive Q4 despite weak year-to-date operating profitability., High priority — margin preservation: gross-margin expansion was offset substantially by SG&A deleveraging; sustained profitability requires that SG&A growth not exceed sales and gross-profit growth., Moderate priority — intangible-asset increase: intangible assets rose 84.0% to ¥295m; management execution needs to justify the investment through future operating benefits., Moderate priority — inventory mix: the raw-material build should be monitored for procurement exposure and alignment with expected production volumes..

Investment Implications

Key takeaways include The company returned to a small operating profit, with a ¥95m year-on-year improvement in operating income, but its 0.1% operating margin remains the defining weakness., Gross-margin improvement of approximately 298bp is the main positive operational development; SG&A deleveraging prevented this from translating into a more meaningful operating margin., Reported net income of ¥167m materially exceeds the ¥105m full-year forecast, but the result includes ¥128m of dividend income and an ¥83m gain on sale of investment securities., The balance sheet is highly liquid and conservatively financed, providing resilience but also highlighting the low return earned on capital., The forecast ¥8.00 DPS implies an approximately 79.8% dividend payout ratio based on forecast EPS, increasing reliance on balance-sheet strength and investment income..

Metrics to watch include Quarterly revenue trend and gross margin relative to the 19.2% Q3 cumulative level, SG&A expense growth and SG&A-to-sales ratio, Operating income versus the ¥10m full-year forecast and the required ¥6m Q4 operating profit, Dividend income and the recurrence of gains from investment-security transactions, Raw-material inventory level relative to sales and production activity, Returns on capital, particularly EBIT margin, ROIC and annualized ROE, Intangible-asset growth, amortization and evidence of associated operating benefits.

Regarding relative positioning, Relative to standard profitability benchmarks, the company is positioned as financially conservative but operationally under-earning: liquidity and equity capitalization are strong, whereas the 0.1% EBIT margin, 0.1% ROIC and 2.4% annualized ROE are well below typical return thresholds. Its investment portfolio is currently more consequential to reported earnings than its core manufacturing operation.