Quick View
| Metric | Current Period | Same Period Previous Year | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ¥1.43B | ¥1.43B | −0.5% |
| Operating Income | ¥0.07B | ¥0.10B | −27.1% |
| Ordinary Income | ¥0.07B | ¥0.09B | −27.0% |
| Net Income | ¥0.05B | ¥0.06B | −24.0% |
| ROE (Annualized) | 3.6% | 4.6% | - |
Executive Summary
The Company did not achieve revenue growth with earnings decline in Q1; while revenue was virtually flat, operating income declined significantly. Against revenue of ¥1.427B (¥1.434B in the same period of the previous year, -0.5% YoY), operating income was ¥0.070B (¥0.096B in the previous year, -27.1%), ordinary income was ¥0.068B (-27.0%), and net income was ¥0.046B (-24.0%), with all three declining. While the gross profit margin remained high at 73.0%, SG&A expenses increased to ¥0.972B (¥0.908B in the previous year), putting pressure on operating-level profitability.
Factors Affecting Financial Performance
【Revenue】Revenue was ¥1.427B, virtually flat at -0.5% YoY. By segment, external revenue from the Real Estate Brokerage Business declined from ¥0.759B to ¥0.626B, while the Real Estate Management Business increased from ¥0.515B to ¥0.611B, and the Resident Support Business expanded from ¥0.161B to ¥0.191B, indicating that the business mix is shifting from brokerage toward management and support services.
【Profit and Loss】Gross profit improved to ¥1.042B (gross profit margin: 73.0%) from ¥1.004B in the previous year (gross profit margin: 70.0%); however, SG&A expenses increased to ¥0.972B (¥0.908B in the previous year, +7.1%), and the increase could not be fully absorbed. On a segment profit basis, the Real Estate Brokerage Business also fell from a profit of ¥11.8M to a loss of ¥39.7M, while an increase in allocated corporate expenses (△¥0.185B, compared with △¥0.166B in the previous year) also contributed to the decline in margins. As a result, operating income was ¥0.070B (-27.1%) and net income was ¥0.046B (-24.0%); although revenue did not decline, earnings declined, creating a structure effectively close to revenue growth with earnings decline.
Segment Analysis
The Real Estate Brokerage Business recorded a decline in external revenue to ¥0.626B (¥0.759B in the previous year), while segment profit and loss fell from a profit of ¥11.8M to a loss of ¥39.7M. The Real Estate Management Business secured both revenue and profit growth, with external revenue of ¥0.611B (¥0.515B in the previous year, +18.6%) and segment profit of ¥92.3M (¥75.2M in the previous year). The Resident Support Business also remained solid, with external revenue of ¥0.191B (¥0.161B in the previous year, +18.8%) and segment profit of ¥112.6M (¥103.8M in the previous year). Overall, the underperformance of the brokerage business was offset by the management and support businesses, demonstrating further diversification of revenue sources.
Key Financial Indicators
【Profitability】The operating margin declined to 4.9% (6.7% in the previous year), while the net profit margin declined to 3.2% (4.2% in the previous year). Compared with the high gross profit margin of 73.0%, the decline in profitability below the gross profit level is notable.【Investment Efficiency】Annualized ROE was 3.6%, while total asset turnover remained at 0.155 turns, indicating room for improvement in both asset efficiency and capital efficiency.【Financial Soundness】The equity ratio was 55.6% (at the same level as the previous year), and the current ratio was high at 281.1%. Including cash and deposits of ¥4.076B, the financial foundation remains conservative and stable. Against long-term borrowings of ¥1.636B, the Debt/Capital ratio was low at 24.2%, indicating restrained financial leverage.
Cash Flow Analysis
Although detailed disclosure of the statement of cash flows is not available, an examination of fund movements based on changes in the balance sheet shows that cash and deposits declined to ¥4.076B (¥4.573B in the previous year). Current assets were ¥5.339B (¥5.724B in the previous year), while current liabilities were ¥1.899B (¥2.028B in the previous year), maintaining positive working capital of ¥3.440B. Accounts receivable and notes receivable increased slightly to ¥0.332B (¥0.302B in the previous year); the possibility that the collection period is lengthening relative to the scale of revenue is a monitoring point from the perspective of cash efficiency.
Quality of Earnings
Both non-operating and extraordinary income and expenses for the current period were small, and the difference between ordinary income and net income was primarily attributable to income taxes and other taxes (¥0.025B). Extraordinary income of ¥2.3M and extraordinary losses of ¥0.02M were not material, and the impact of one-time factors boosting or reducing earnings was limited. Comprehensive income was ¥0.046B, approximately at the same level as net income of ¥0.046B. The impact of valuation differences on securities and foreign currency translation adjustments was also small, and the difference attributable to valuation gains and losses on other securities was immaterial. Overall, current-period earnings were generated by recurring operating results without dependence on extraordinary income and expenses. While no significant distortion is evident in the quality of earnings itself, the decline in operating margin due to higher SG&A expenses indicates a substantive deterioration in earnings power.
Earnings Forecast and Guidance
The Company’s full-year forecast is revenue of ¥6.778B (+6.2% YoY), operating income of ¥1.107B (+8.3%), ordinary income of ¥1.090B (+6.8%), and net income of ¥0.718B. Q1 actual operating income of ¥0.070B represented only 6.3% progress against the full-year forecast, a low level even after considering seasonality. Significant earnings improvement from Q2 onward will therefore be necessary to achieve the full-year plan. In particular, if the upward trend in SG&A expenses continues, progress will need to be monitored to assess consistency with the full-year operating income growth forecast of +8.3%.
Shareholder Returns
The Company has disclosed a year-end dividend forecast of ¥70.00 per share. Based solely on Q1 net income of ¥0.046B (EPS: ¥13.26), the payout ratio calculated on a simple basis exceeds 500%, a level at which quarterly net income alone cannot fund the dividend. However, dividends are determined based on full-year performance; based on forecast full-year net income of ¥0.718B (EPS: ¥200.30), the payout ratio would be approximately 35.0% (¥70.00 ÷ ¥200.30). No share buyback has been disclosed, and shareholder returns are evaluated solely on the basis of dividends.
Risk Factors
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Profitability deterioration risk: The operating margin declined to 4.9% (6.7% in the previous year), and the increase in SG&A expenses has exceeded the growth in gross profit. If this trend continues, it may hinder achievement of the full-year plan.
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Accounts receivable collection risk: Accounts receivable and notes receivable increased to ¥0.332B (¥0.302B in the previous year). The increase despite virtually flat revenue is a sign that the collection period may be lengthening, and its impact on cash flow needs to be monitored.
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Changes in segment earnings structure: The core Real Estate Brokerage Business fell into a segment loss (△¥39.7M), making the earnings recovery trend of this business a significant factor affecting overall Company performance.
Industry Benchmark (Reference; Compiled by the Company)
Profitability and Return
| Metric | Company | Median (IQR) | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Margin | 4.9% | – | – |
| Net Profit Margin | 3.2% | – | – |
As industry median data has not been obtained, the Company’s relative positioning cannot currently be determined.
Growth and Capital Efficiency
| Metric | Company | Median (IQR) | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth Rate (YoY) | −0.5% | – | – |
As industry median data has not been obtained, the relative assessment of growth cannot currently be determined.
※Source: Compiled by the Company
Key Takeaways from the Financial Results
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While the core Real Estate Brokerage Business turned to a segment loss, the Real Estate Management and Resident Support Businesses achieved both revenue and profit growth. A key feature of the results is that the center of gravity of the earnings mix is shifting from brokerage toward management and support services.
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The gross profit margin remained high at 73.0%, but the increase in SG&A expenses (+7.1%) exceeded revenue growth, and a trend decline in the operating margin was observed. The future progression of the cost structure will be a key focus.
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Q1 operating income progress against the full-year forecast was only 6.3%, and earnings improvement in the second half of the year will be necessary to achieve the full-year plan (operating income +8.3%).
Theoretical Share Price (Reference Value)
| Scenario | Theoretical Share Price |
|---|---|
| bear (Bearish) | ¥1,592 |
| base (Base) | ¥1,628 |
| bull (Bullish) | ¥1,658 |
| Calculation Assumption | Value |
|---|---|
| Book Value per Share (BPS) | ¥1,473 |
| Adjusted Forecast EPS | ¥212.8 |
| Cost of Equity r | 10.77% (10-year Japanese Government Bond 2.77% + Equity Risk Premium 6.00% + Size Premium 2.00%) |
| Persistence Coefficient of Residual Income ω / Explicit Forecast Period | 0.62 / 5 years |
| Assumed Payout Ratio | 34.9% |
| Forecast EPS Confidence Adjustment | ×1.062 (based on the industry’s historical guidance achievement rate) |
| Implied PBR / PER | 1.11x / 7.7x |
Sensitivity: ¥1,583–¥1,675 at cost of equity ±1%; ¥1,625–¥1,633 at ω±0.1.
Notes:
- Net assets as of the quarter-end are used (there is a timing difference from the full-year forecast).
- Because net assets include non-controlling interests, the theoretical value may be calculated somewhat higher.
(Calculation model: Residual Income Model (Ohlson-type, explicit 5-year fade) / Interest rate reference month: 2026-07 / Mechanically calculated value based solely on publicly disclosed data; this is not a forecast of the market share price or a recommendation of any specific investment action, and does not predict or guarantee the future share price.)
This report is an earnings analysis document automatically generated by AI based on XBRL earnings release data. It does not recommend investment in any specific security. Industry benchmarks are reference information compiled by the Company based on publicly disclosed earnings data. Investment decisions should be made at your own responsibility, after consulting a professional as necessary.
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