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49602026 Q3StandardJGAAP

CHEMIPRO KASEI KAISHA (4960) FY2026 Q3 Earnings Report

For FY2026 Q3, revenue came to ¥6.7B (-9.2% year on year) and operating income ¥284.0M (-12.2%). The segment drivers and cash flow follow.

Raw Materials & Chemicals/Chemicals


Quick View

MetricCurrent PeriodSame Period Previous YearYoY
Revenue¥6.73B¥7.41B−9.2%
Operating Income¥0.28B¥0.32B−12.2%
Ordinary Income¥0.12B¥0.14B−16.7%
Net Income¥0.10B¥0.10B+0.0%
ROE1.9%2.0%-

Executive Summary

For the cumulative Q3 period of FY2026, the Company reported declines in operating income and ordinary income due to deteriorating operating leverage associated with lower revenue and an increase in non-operating expenses; however, net income remained at approximately the same level as the same period of the previous year owing to extraordinary income. Revenue was ¥6.73B (¥7.41B in the same period of the previous year, YoY -9.2%), operating income was ¥0.28B (¥0.32B, YoY -12.2%), ordinary income was ¥0.12B (¥0.14B, YoY -16.7%), and net income was ¥0.10B (¥0.10B, YoY +0.0%). The maintenance of net income at the same level as the previous year resulted from the contribution of ¥0.04B in extraordinary income to pre-tax income of ¥0.16B, and does not indicate an improvement in underlying operating earnings power.

Factors Affecting Performance

【Revenue】Revenue was ¥6.73B, down 9.2% year on year. By segment, Chemicals accounted for ¥6.00B (89.2% of total revenue), while HouseholdProducts accounted for ¥0.73B (10.8%). Trends in the core Chemicals segment appear to have driven the overall revenue decline. The Company’s full-year forecast also assumes a 7.3% year-on-year decline, premised on continued weakness in demand or selling prices.

【Profit and Loss】Operating income was ¥0.28B (YoY -12.2%), contracting at a faster pace than the 9.2% revenue decline. This indicates a structure in which profit declines disproportionately during periods of lower revenue due to the significant fixed-cost burden. The operating margin remained low at 4.2%. Ordinary income declined further to ¥0.12B due to non-operating expenses of ¥0.18B, including interest expense of ¥0.06B. However, pre-tax income recovered to ¥0.16B owing to the ¥0.04B contribution from extraordinary income, and net income was ¥0.10B, approximately unchanged from the same period of the previous year. In conclusion, the Company experienced lower revenue and lower profit, while net income remained at approximately the previous year’s level due to extraordinary income.

Segment Analysis

The Company has two segments: Chemicals (revenue of ¥6.00B, operating income of ¥0.59B, and a profit margin of 9.9%) and HouseholdProducts (revenue of ¥0.73B, operating income of ¥0.06B, and a profit margin of 8.0%). Chemicals is the primary contributor to both revenue and profit and constitutes the core of the business portfolio. Both segments have profit margins in the 8–10% range. The difference from the Company-wide operating margin of 4.2% is considered to reflect the burden of corporate expenses and other costs allocated after segment reporting.

Key Financial Metrics

【Profitability】The operating margin of 4.2%, net profit margin of 1.4%, and gross margin of 16.3% were all low, with SG&A expenses of ¥0.81B consuming most of gross profit of ¥1.099B. 【Cash Flow Quality】Annualized DSO was 92 days, DIO was 184 days, and CCC was 219 days, indicating significant working-capital lockup. Finished-goods inventory of ¥3.14B accounted for most of inventories. 【Investment Efficiency】ROE was 1.9%, while the total asset turnover ratio was 0.507x, indicating challenges in the efficiency of asset monetization. 【Financial Soundness】The equity ratio was 37.1% (improving from 35.9% in the previous year), the current ratio was 142.2%, the quick ratio was 85.8%, and interest coverage was 4.67x against interest expense of ¥0.06B. Cash and deposits were ¥1.61B against short-term borrowings of ¥2.29B, resulting in a short-term liabilities ratio of 54.7%.

Cash Flow Analysis

Because figures from the statement of cash flows are not included in the disclosed data, cash trends are analyzed based on changes in the balance sheet. Cash and deposits declined to ¥1.61B from ¥2.15B in the same period of the previous year, while inventories increased from ¥2.54B to ¥3.14B, suggesting that the buildup of finished-goods inventory may have placed pressure on cash. Accounts receivable also increased from ¥2.20B to ¥2.25B. The simultaneous increase in receivables and inventories amid declining revenue suggests that funds were tied up in working capital. Short-term borrowings declined from ¥2.55B to ¥2.29B, while long-term borrowings increased from ¥1.68B to ¥1.90B, indicating a shift in the financing structure from short-term to long-term funding.

Quality of Earnings

The reason net income of ¥0.10B remained at approximately the same level as the previous year was the contribution of ¥0.04B in extraordinary income included in pre-tax income of ¥0.16B. This contrasts with the fact that both operating income and ordinary income declined year on year. Non-operating income was limited to ¥0.02B, primarily from dividends received, whereas non-operating expenses reached ¥0.18B, including interest expense of ¥0.06B. Consequently, profit was substantially reduced in the transition from operating income to ordinary income. The effective tax rate was approximately 40.2% (income taxes of ¥0.06B / pre-tax income of ¥0.16B), depressing the conversion rate into profit after tax. Based on the above, a substantial portion of current-period net income depended on temporary extraordinary income. From the perspective of recurring earnings power, the declining trends in operating income and ordinary income should therefore be given greater weight.

Earnings Forecast and Guidance

Progress against the Company’s full-year forecast was 74.7% for revenue, 81.1% for operating income, 91.5% for ordinary income, and 41.7% for net income. Compared with the standard Q3 progress rate of 75%, operating income and ordinary income were progressing ahead of schedule, while net income was substantially below that level. This appears to reflect differences between the extraordinary income and tax burden recognized through the current period and the assumptions underlying the full-year plan. Accordingly, progress toward full-year net income during the remaining quarter (approximately ¥0.13B still required) may be affected by trends in extraordinary gains and losses and the tax burden. The full-year forecast itself does not assume a full-scale recovery in revenue and profit, projecting a 7.3% year-on-year decline in revenue and a 13.0% decline in operating income.

Shareholder Returns

The Q2 dividend was ¥0, while the full-year dividend forecast is ¥5 per share. Based on forecast full-year net income of ¥0.23B and an estimated number of shares after deducting treasury shares (approximately 16.11 million shares), the estimated total dividend is approximately ¥0.08B, implying an estimated payout ratio of approximately 35% based on net income. This figure represents the payout ratio for dividends only relative to net income and should be distinguished from the total return ratio, as no share repurchases have been identified. Although the payout ratio itself is below 60% and appears sustainable from an earnings perspective, operating cash flow figures are not included in the disclosed data. Therefore, the sustainability of dividends from a cash flow perspective requires confirmation in light of the working-capital lockup, including increases in inventories and accounts receivable.

Risk Factors

  1. Working-Capital Lockup Risk: Finished-goods inventory was ¥3.14B, with annualized DIO of 184 days, DSO of 92 days, and CCC of 219 days, indicating a high degree of cash tied up for a manufacturing company. If demand continues to slow, this could lead to inventory write-downs or additional funding requirements.

  2. Risk of Reduced Resilience Due to Low Profitability: The gross margin of 16.3% and operating margin of 4.2% are below industry medians (indicative benchmarks of more than 20% and 8.6%, respectively), leaving limited capacity to absorb fluctuations in raw-material prices and selling prices. Operating income declined by 12.2% while revenue declined by 9.2%, indicating a structure in which fixed costs are likely to place pressure on profit.

  3. Short-Term Financing and Interest-Burden Risk: Cash and deposits were ¥1.61B against short-term borrowings of ¥2.29B, resulting in a short-term liabilities ratio of 54.7%. Interest expense was ¥0.06B and interest coverage was 4.67x. Changes in refinancing conditions or interest-rate trends could affect liquidity.

Industry Benchmark (Reference; Compiled by the Company)

Industry Benchmark (manufacturing)

Profitability and Returns

MetricCompanyMedian (IQR)Delta
Operating Margin4.2%8.6% (4.3%–12.7%)−4.4pt
Net Profit Margin1.4%6.4% (2.8%–10.3%)−5.0pt

Both the operating margin and net profit margin are below the industry median, placing the Company’s profitability toward the lower end of the industry.

Growth and Capital Efficiency

MetricCompanyMedian (IQR)Delta
Revenue Growth Rate (Year on Year)−9.2%3.3% (-2.1%–8.9%)−12.5pt

While the industry median indicates revenue growth, the Company experienced a revenue decline and ranks toward the lower end of the industry in terms of growth.

※Source: Compiled by the Company

Key Points in the Financial Results

  1. The primary reason net income remained at approximately the same level as the previous year was extraordinary income of ¥0.04B, while both operating income and ordinary income declined by double digits. When evaluating changes in earnings power at the operating level, priority should be given to trends in operating income and ordinary income rather than net income.

  2. The working-capital lockup represented by finished-goods inventory of ¥3.14B, annualized DIO of 184 days, and CCC of 219 days, together with the low gross margin of 16.3% for the current period, constitutes a structural issue affecting both profitability and cash generation.

  3. Full-year progress appears favorable, with operating income at 81.1% and ordinary income at 91.5% of the forecast, but net income progress was only 41.7%. When assessing earnings quality, attention should be paid to the disparity among the various progress-rate indicators.


This report is an earnings analysis document automatically generated by AI based on XBRL financial results release data. It does not recommend investment in any specific security. The industry benchmarks are reference information compiled by the Company based on publicly available financial results data. Investment decisions should be made at your own responsibility, and you should consult a professional as necessary.

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AI Financial Analysis

Executive Summary

FY2026 Q3 performance was soft at the operating level, with declining sales and earnings, while reported net income was stabilized by extraordinary income. Revenue declined 9.2% year on year to ¥6.727bn. Operating income fell 12.2% to ¥284m, underperforming the sales decline modestly. The operating margin compressed by 14bp year on year to 4.2% from 4.4%. Gross margin improved materially by approximately 135bp to 16.3%, indicating that the decline in sales did not translate into equivalent gross-profit pressure. However, the SG&A-to-sales ratio rose by approximately 150bp to 12.1%, more than offsetting the gross-margin improvement. This points to negative operating leverage as the lower revenue base absorbed a relatively higher fixed-cost burden. Ordinary income declined 16.7% to ¥119m, and its 1.8% margin remained below the operating margin because net non-operating expenses were substantial. Interest expense rose 15.3% year on year to ¥61m and consumed a meaningful portion of operating earnings. The interest-burden factor was 0.57, meaning that financing costs and other non-operating items reduced EBIT by roughly 43% before tax. Net income was unchanged year on year at ¥96m, but this resilience was not fully operational in nature. Extraordinary income of ¥42m lifted profit before tax to ¥162m, exceeding ordinary income by ¥43m. The effective tax rate was elevated at 40.2%, leaving a tax-burden factor of 0.594. The balance sheet remains inventory-intensive, with inventories representing 23.6% of total assets and finished goods reported at ¥3.137bn. Liquidity is adequate on a current-ratio basis at 142.2%, but the quick ratio of 85.8% shows that liquidity depends materially on inventory realization. Debt remains significant at ¥4.187bn, equivalent to 1.69x equity, and 54.7% of debt is short term. Full-year sales progress is broadly on track at 74.7% of forecast, while operating-income progress of 81.1% is moderately ahead of the 75% seasonal benchmark. In contrast, net-income progress is only 41.7% of the full-year forecast, implying that the forecast requires a substantially stronger Q4 contribution, including items below operating income. The central issues for the remaining quarter are sales recovery, inventory monetization, collection discipline and the ability to manage financing costs.

Profitability Analysis

Annualized DuPont ROE is 2.6%, comprising a 1.4% net profit margin, 0.676x asset turnover and 2.69x financial leverage. The low net margin is the principal constraint on shareholder returns: the annualized asset-turnover level is modest and leverage boosts ROE, but neither is sufficient to compensate for weak earnings conversion. EBIT margin was 4.2%, below the 5% operating-efficiency threshold cited in the quality alerts. Gross margin improved to 16.3% from approximately 15.0% in the prior-year period, but the benefit was outweighed by SG&A growth relative to revenue: SG&A increased 3.6% to ¥814m while revenue declined 9.2%. This adverse cost-jaw reduced operating income by 12.2% and indicates limited cost flexibility over the reported period. The low gross-margin alert is therefore relevant even after the year-on-year improvement, as a 16.3% gross margin leaves limited room to absorb selling, administrative and financing costs. Interest coverage was 4.67x, below the 5x strong-credit benchmark but above the 3x concern threshold. The high-interest-burden alert is material because ¥61m of interest expense represents about 21% of operating income and contributes to the low 0.57 interest-burden factor. The high-tax-burden alert is also valid: the 40.2% effective tax rate reduced the tax-burden factor to 0.594, below the 0.70 normal benchmark. Reported net income was additionally supported by ¥42m of extraordinary income, equal to roughly 44% of reported net income before considering tax effects. Accordingly, the stable net-income outcome does not indicate stable recurring profitability. Capital efficiency is weak, with reported annualized ROE of 2.6% and the quality-alert ROIC of 3.0%, both below conventional cost-of-capital-oriented return expectations.

Growth Assessment

Revenue contraction of 9.2% to ¥6.727bn is the key constraint on earnings growth. Gross profit declined only 1.0% to ¥1.099bn because gross-margin improvement partly cushioned the lower sales base. Operating income nevertheless declined 12.2% to ¥284m as SG&A expenses rose to ¥814m from ¥786m. This suggests that sustainable earnings recovery depends on restoring sales volume and improving overhead absorption rather than relying solely on gross-margin management. The full-year revenue forecast is ¥9.0bn, and Q3 cumulative progress of 74.7% is close to the standard 75% progress rate. Operating-income progress is 81.1% against the ¥350m full-year forecast, 6.1 percentage points ahead of the standard pace, although the Q3 year-on-year decline indicates that the company has limited room for further operating slippage. Ordinary-income progress is 91.5% against the ¥130m forecast, but this is partly a consequence of a low full-year ordinary-income target relative to operating income. Net-income progress is only 41.7% against the ¥230m forecast, 33.3 percentage points below the standard 75% pace. Achieving the net-income forecast would require ¥134m in Q4 net income, compared with ¥96m cumulatively through Q3. The Q3 extraordinary gain demonstrates one potential source of below-the-line volatility, but recurring operating recovery is the more important determinant of earnings sustainability. Inventory increased 23.3% year on year to ¥3.137bn while revenue declined, creating a risk that production and stock levels are not aligned with demand. For a chemical manufacturer, demand cyclicality, raw-material cost movements, customer inventory adjustments and product-mix changes can all affect the pace of revenue normalization.

Financial Health

The current ratio is 142.2%, so current assets exceed current liabilities and there is no current-ratio warning below 1.0x. Working capital was ¥2.348bn. However, the quick ratio was 85.8%, below 1.0x, indicating that the liquidity position is dependent on conversion of inventories into cash rather than being fully covered by cash and receivables. Cash and deposits declined 25.0% year on year to ¥1.611bn, or 12.1% of total assets. Current liabilities were ¥5.565bn, including ¥2.289bn of short-term loans and the current portion of long-term loans. Cash covered only 0.70x short-term debt, reinforcing refinancing and liquidity-management sensitivity. The refinancing-risk alert is justified because 54.7% of interest-bearing debt is short term, materially above the 40% alert threshold. This maturity profile creates a mismatch risk because a large part of assets is tied up in inventories and property, plant and equipment rather than immediately liquid resources. Interest-bearing debt totaled ¥4.187bn, while debt-to-equity was 1.69x and debt-to-capital was 45.9%. D/E is below the explicit 2.0x aggressive-leverage warning threshold, but it remains elevated for a company generating a 4.2% EBIT margin and 2.6% annualized ROE. Total debt decreased slightly from ¥4.233bn a year earlier, as short-term loans declined by ¥261m, but long-term loans increased by ¥215m to ¥1.898bn. The shift toward longer-term loans modestly improves maturity structure, although short-term financing remains the majority of debt. Total equity increased 3.1% to ¥4.926bn, aided by retained earnings and valuation gains on securities. Investment securities increased 56.2% to ¥398m, including valuation differences on securities of ¥251m, which introduces some market-value sensitivity within equity. Intangible assets increased 74.5% to ¥174m but remain only 1.3% of total assets. No impairment loss or goodwill-related impairment was reported in the supplied qualitative disclosure.

Notable B/S Changes

Inventories: +¥593m (+23.3%) to ¥3.137bn - inventory increased despite a 9.2% revenue decline, heightening stock-turn, demand-alignment and liquidity risk. Intangible assets: +¥74m (+74.5%) to ¥174m - the increase is notable in percentage terms, although intangibles remain limited at 1.3% of total assets. Investment securities: +¥143m (+56.2%) to ¥398m - increased securities exposure and valuation differences add market-value sensitivity to equity. Cash and deposits: -¥538m (-25.0%) to ¥1.611bn - lower cash reduces the buffer against short-term debt, for which cash coverage is 0.70x.

Cash Flow Quality

Dividend Sustainability

The FY2026 full-year dividend forecast is ¥5.00 per share, while the Q2 dividend was ¥0. Using forecast EPS of ¥14.28, the implied dividend payout ratio is approximately 35.0%, which is within the stated sub-60% sustainability benchmark. On forecast net income of ¥230m, the implied aggregate cash dividend is approximately ¥80m based on average shares of 16.09m, also consistent with a moderate earnings payout. The forecast dividend is therefore supported by the stated full-year earnings target on an accounting-profit basis. Dividend capacity nevertheless remains linked to the company’s ability to release cash from elevated inventories and manage short-term debt refinancing. The relatively low annualized ROE of 2.6%, low ROIC of 3.0%, and weak Q3 net-income progress versus forecast reduce the margin of safety around the forecast. The absence of an interim dividend concentrates the planned shareholder distribution in the year-end payment.

Risk Assessment

Business risks include Demand and operating-leverage risk: revenue declined 9.2% while SG&A increased 3.6%, causing SG&A deleveraging and a 12.2% decline in operating income., Chemical-manufacturing margin risk: raw-material, energy and product-mix changes can pressure the already low 16.3% gross margin and 4.2% EBIT margin., Inventory-management risk: reported annualized inventory days were 153 days, while an additional quality alert cites 184 days; both are materially above the 90-day warning threshold. Inventory also increased 23.3% year on year despite lower sales, raising obsolescence, pricing and inventory-correction risk., Collection-cycle risk: annualized DSO of 92 days exceeds the 60-day warning level, tying liquidity to customer collections., Working-capital risk: the reported annualized cash conversion cycle of 219 days exceeds the 120-day warning benchmark, amplifying funding needs during periods of weak demand..

Financial risks include Refinancing risk: 54.7% of interest-bearing debt is short term, above the 40% quality-alert threshold, while cash covers only 0.70x short-term debt., Interest-cost risk: interest expense increased to ¥61m and the interest-burden factor of 0.57 indicates that approximately 43% of EBIT was absorbed before tax by interest and other non-operating items., Moderate leverage risk: D/E of 1.69x is below the explicit 2.0x warning level but is high relative to low annualized ROE and ROIC., Liquidity-composition risk: the 142.2% current ratio is adequate, but the 85.8% quick ratio is below 1.0x because inventories form a substantial portion of current assets., Tax-rate risk: the 40.2% effective tax rate triggered the high-tax-burden alert and reduced conversion of pre-tax earnings into net income..

Key concerns include The low-operating-efficiency alert is substantiated by a 4.2% EBIT margin, below the 5% threshold., The capital-efficiency alert is substantiated by annualized ROE of 2.6% and reported ROIC of 3.0%, both indicating returns below typical capital-cost expectations., Q3 cumulative net income represents only 41.7% of the ¥230m full-year forecast, requiring a disproportionately strong Q4 outcome., Extraordinary income of ¥42m supported Q3 profit before tax, reducing the comparability of reported net-income stability with recurring ordinary earnings., Investment securities rose 56.2% year on year and associated valuation differences increased, introducing greater exposure of equity to securities-market movements..

Investment Implications

Key takeaways include Gross-margin improvement was offset by SG&A deleveraging, leaving EBIT margin at a low 4.2%., Stable net income was supported by extraordinary income rather than a recovery in ordinary earnings., Revenue and operating-income progress are near or modestly ahead of the Q3 seasonal benchmark, but net-income progress is materially behind the full-year target., Inventory, receivables and the reported 219-day annualized cash conversion cycle are central balance-sheet and cash-conversion variables., The company has adequate current-asset coverage, but short-term debt dependence and sub-1.0x quick liquidity elevate refinancing sensitivity..

Metrics to watch include Quarterly revenue trajectory and SG&A-to-sales ratio, Gross margin and EBIT margin, Finished-goods inventory balance and annualized inventory days, Annualized DSO and cash conversion cycle, Short-term debt balance, cash-to-short-term-debt coverage and interest expense, Q4 net income required to meet the ¥230m full-year forecast, Extraordinary gains or losses and the effective tax rate.

Regarding relative positioning, Relative to the supplied manufacturing and credit benchmarks, the company screens weakly on operating margin, net margin, ROE, ROIC, receivable days, inventory days and cash conversion cycle. Its current ratio remains above 1.0x and D/E remains below the explicit 2.0x aggressive-leverage threshold, but the combination of working-capital intensity, short-term debt reliance and low operating profitability leaves financial flexibility more constrained than that of a higher-margin, faster-converting manufacturer.