- Net Sales: ¥29.62B
- Operating Income: ¥2.37B
- Net Income: ¥1.75B
- EPS: ¥43.47
| Item | Current | Prior | YoY % |
|---|
| Net Sales | ¥29.62B | ¥32.51B | -8.9% |
| Cost of Sales | ¥4.61B | ¥6.45B | -28.5% |
| Gross Profit | ¥25.00B | ¥26.07B | -4.1% |
| SG&A Expenses | ¥22.64B | ¥23.68B | -4.4% |
| Operating Income | ¥2.37B | ¥2.38B | -0.5% |
| Non-operating Income | ¥198M | ¥184M | +7.6% |
| Non-operating Expenses | ¥184M | ¥425M | -56.7% |
| Ordinary Income | ¥2.38B | ¥2.14B | +11.3% |
| Profit Before Tax | ¥2.39B | ¥7.53B | -68.2% |
| Income Tax Expense | ¥636M | ¥2.33B | -72.8% |
| Net Income | ¥1.75B | ¥5.20B | -66.2% |
| Net Income Attributable to Owners | ¥1.75B | ¥5.19B | -66.3% |
| Total Comprehensive Income | ¥865M | ¥5.94B | -85.4% |
| Depreciation & Amortization | ¥1.50B | ¥1.31B | +14.5% |
| Interest Expense | ¥23M | ¥13M | +76.9% |
| Basic EPS | ¥43.47 | ¥127.18 | -65.8% |
| Diluted EPS | ¥42.57 | ¥124.71 | -65.9% |
| Dividend Per Share | ¥0.00 | ¥0.00 | - |
| Item | Current End | Prior End | Change |
|---|
| Current Assets | ¥27.68B | ¥37.09B | ¥-9.41B |
| Cash and Deposits | ¥15.68B | ¥27.48B | ¥-11.80B |
| Accounts Receivable | ¥5.86B | ¥6.44B | ¥-578M |
| Non-current Assets | ¥22.39B | ¥19.85B | +¥2.54B |
| Property, Plant & Equipment | ¥655M | ¥681M | ¥-26M |
| Item | Current | Prior | Change |
|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | ¥1.30B | ¥3.21B | ¥-1.92B |
| Financing Cash Flow | ¥-5.11B | ¥-3.02B | ¥-2.09B |
| Item | Value |
|---|
| Net Profit Margin | 5.9% |
| Gross Profit Margin | 84.4% |
| Current Ratio | 202.7% |
| Quick Ratio | 202.7% |
| Debt-to-Equity Ratio | 0.50x |
| Interest Coverage Ratio | 102.91x |
| EBITDA Margin | 13.1% |
| Effective Tax Rate | 26.6% |
| Item | YoY Change |
|---|
| Net Sales YoY Change | -8.9% |
| Operating Income YoY Change | -0.5% |
| Ordinary Income YoY Change | +11.3% |
| Net Income Attributable to Owners YoY Change | -66.3% |
| Total Comprehensive Income YoY Change | -85.4% |
| Item | Value |
|---|
| Shares Outstanding (incl. Treasury) | 49.72M shares |
| Treasury Stock | 10.06M shares |
| Average Shares Outstanding | 40.32M shares |
| Book Value Per Share | ¥843.25 |
| EBITDA | ¥3.87B |
| Item | Amount |
|---|
| Q2 Dividend | ¥0.00 |
| Year-End Dividend | ¥70.10 |
| Item | Forecast |
|---|
| Net Sales Forecast | ¥62.20B |
| Operating Income Forecast | ¥2.80B |
| Ordinary Income Forecast | ¥2.98B |
| Net Income Attributable to Owners Forecast | ¥2.07B |
| Basic EPS Forecast | ¥50.66 |
| Dividend Per Share Forecast | ¥24.00 |
This data was automatically extracted from XBRL files. Please refer to the original disclosure documents for accuracy.
Verdict: mixed quarter with resilient operating profit but materially weaker bottom line quality and cash conversion. Revenue fell 8.9% YoY to 296.2, reflecting demand softness and/or portfolio pruning, yet operating income was broadly flat at 23.7 (-0.5% YoY). Gross profit remained high at 250.1 with an 84.4% gross margin, underpinning the defensiveness of the model. SG&A was 226.4, equating to 76.4% of sales; cost control versus revenue decline supported operating margin stability. Operating margin improved to about 8.0%; using implied prior-period levels, this is a ~+67 bps expansion as revenue fell faster than operating income. Ordinary income rose 11.3% YoY to 23.8, as non-operating items were modestly positive (1.98 income vs 1.84 expense), leaving ordinary margin near 8.0%. Net income dropped 66.3% YoY to 17.5, compressing net margin to 5.9% and implying a steep ~-1,007 bps YoY margin contraction, likely driven by prior-year one-offs and/or tax normalization given PBT stability and a 26.6% effective tax rate this term. Cash conversion weakened: operating CF of 13.0 is only 0.74x net income, triggering an earnings quality flag. Liquidity is strong with a 203% current ratio and cash of 156.8 exceeding current liabilities (coverage ~1.15x). Leverage appears conservative with a reported D/E of 0.50x and interest coverage of 102.9x. Intangible assets are sizable (intangible 123.9 and goodwill 33.0, together ~31% of assets), implying some impairment sensitivity if growth stalls. ROE is 5.2% via DuPont (5.9% margin × 0.592 turnover × 1.50x leverage), below typical mid- to high-single-digit targets, though reported ROIC of 9.8% is healthy. Shareholder returns were front-loaded via financing cash outflows of -51.1, including -20.7 in buybacks, outpacing internal cash generation. The calculated payout ratio of 198.9% suggests an aggressive capital return posture that is unlikely to be sustainable without stronger FCF. Forward-looking, stabilizing operating margins and strong liquidity provide a base, but revenue headwinds, earnings quality (OCF lag), and elevated intangibles warrant caution on the durability of EPS and dividends.
ROE decomposition (DuPont): ROE 5.2% = Net Profit Margin 5.9% × Asset Turnover 0.592 × Financial Leverage 1.50x. The largest YoY swing is at the net margin level: net income fell 66.3% YoY while revenue declined 8.9%, implying ~-1,007 bps compression in net margin, despite a roughly +67 bps expansion in operating margin. Business drivers: operating resilience reflects SG&A discipline amid lower sales; the net margin collapse likely relates to non-recurring items and/or tax normalization versus a high prior-year base, as PBT was steady while ordinary income rose. Sustainability: operating margin improvement from cost control is moderately sustainable if revenue stabilizes, but the net margin is unlikely to recover to prior-year levels if last year benefited from one-offs. Efficiency: asset turnover at 0.592 indicates a capital-light model but slowed with the revenue decline; leverage is modest at 1.50x, limiting ROE amplification. Watch for SG&A growth relative to revenue; currently, revenue declined faster than SG&A in absolute terms, but SG&A discipline helped lift operating margin—if SG&A re-accelerates ahead of sales, margin gains could reverse.
Top-line contracted 8.9% YoY to 296.2, indicating demand softness or deliberate business mix shifts. Operating income held at 23.7 (-0.5% YoY), demonstrating operating leverage containment. Ordinary income improved 11.3% YoY on balanced non-operating items, but net income plunged 66.3% YoY to 17.5, pointing to non-recurring effects or tax/base effects below ordinary income. EBITDA was 38.7 (13.1% margin), supporting ongoing investment capacity. With ROIC at 9.8% (above a 7–8% benchmark), the core investment returns remain solid despite near-term revenue pressure. Outlook hinges on stabilizing client hiring demand and maintaining SG&A discipline; absent a revenue re-acceleration, further margin expansion will be challenging. Given OCF lag (0.74x NI) and elevated capital returns, near-term EPS growth will likely depend on organic demand recovery rather than additional financial engineering.
Liquidity is strong: current ratio 202.7% and quick ratio 202.7%, with cash of 156.8 covering current liabilities 1.15x. No warning thresholds triggered (Current Ratio >> 1.0; D/E 0.50x well below 2.0). Working capital stands at 140.3, reducing refinancing risk. Maturity mismatch risk appears low given high cash and modest payables (11.2); short-term debt is unreported, so we cannot assess reliance on ST borrowings. Solvency is robust: interest coverage 102.9x and equity of 334.4 versus total assets of 500.7 (leverage 1.50x). Balance sheet composition shows intangibles of 123.9 and goodwill of 33.0 (~31% of assets), implying sensitivity to impairment if growth or profitability in acquired units weakens. Off-balance sheet obligations are not disclosed in the provided data.
OCF of 13.0 vs net income of 17.5 yields 0.74x, below the >1.0 comfort threshold and flagged as a quality concern. FCF can’t be fully computed due to missing investing CF, but reported capex is light at -0.87, suggesting that absent working capital swings, the business should be structurally cash generative. Financing CF of -51.1 (including -20.7 of buybacks) exceeded OCF, implying shareholder returns funded partly by cash on hand or undisclosed financing/investing flows. Without period-on-period working capital detail, we cannot isolate whether receivables or other current items drove OCF shortfall, but the OCF/NI ratio suggests timing or accrual effects. Sustainability: to maintain current capital returns, OCF must improve (closer to NI) or returns must moderate.
Dividend data are unreported; however, the calculated payout ratio is 198.9%, indicating that total shareholder returns (likely including buybacks) exceeded earnings. With OCF/NI at 0.74x and investing CF unreported, FCF coverage of dividends cannot be verified but appears tight if the elevated payout persists. Balance sheet liquidity (cash 156.8, low leverage) provides near-term flexibility, but sustaining a near-200% payout would be unsound without a rebound in earnings and cash conversion. Policy outlook: expect normalization of payout toward cash generation unless earnings and OCF recover; buyback pace may moderate given this quarter’s cash outflow profile.
Business Risks:
- Revenue decline of 8.9% YoY indicates demand softness in core HR services and recruitment solutions.
- Operating leverage risk if SG&A re-accelerates ahead of sales, compressing the ~8% operating margin.
- High intangible asset base (~31% of assets) elevates impairment risk if growth underperforms.
- Client hiring cycles and macro employment conditions could prolong top-line weakness.
- Competitive intensity in online recruitment/HR tech could pressure pricing and acquisition costs.
Financial Risks:
- OCF/NI at 0.74x signals weaker cash conversion and potential working capital volatility.
- Shareholder returns (-51.1 financing CF, -20.7 buybacks) outpaced OCF, raising sustainability concerns.
- Potential earnings volatility from tax normalization or non-recurring items affecting net income.
- Limited visibility on debt structure and investing CF due to unreported items.
Key Concerns:
- Net margin compressed by ~1,007 bps YoY despite steady operating profit, highlighting bottom-line volatility.
- Payout ratio at 198.9% is unlikely to be sustainable if OCF does not improve.
- Revenue pressure may cap further operating margin expansion absent incremental cost actions.
Key Takeaways:
- Operating margin improved to ~8.0% despite a near-9% revenue decline, evidencing cost discipline.
- Net income fell 66.3% YoY, likely reflecting non-recurring or tax effects; core profitability above the line is steadier.
- Cash conversion is soft (OCF/NI 0.74x); watch for normalization to support capital returns.
- Balance sheet strength (current ratio ~203%, cash > current liabilities) provides resilience.
- ROIC at 9.8% remains healthy relative to benchmarks, but ROE is subdued at 5.2% due to lower net margin and modest leverage.
Metrics to Watch:
- Revenue trajectory and bookings/pipeline indicators for HR services
- SG&A-to-sales ratio and operating margin sustainability
- OCF/NI and working capital turns (AR collections)
- Effective tax rate and any extraordinary gains/losses below ordinary income
- Buyback/dividend pace relative to OCF and available cash
- Intangible asset impairment testing outcomes
Relative Positioning:
Within HR/recruitment peers, the company shows strong gross margins and liquidity with disciplined operating costs, but weaker cash conversion and a sharp YoY decline in net income leave its earnings quality and dividend capacity less robust near term.
This analysis was auto-generated by AI. Please note the following:
- No Guarantee of Accuracy: The accuracy and completeness of this analysis are not guaranteed. For accurate financial data, please refer to the original disclosure documents published on TDnet or other official sources
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