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36572027 Q1PrimeJGAAP

Pole To Win Holdings,Inc. FY2027 Q1 Earnings Report

Pole To Win Holdings,Inc. FY2027 Q1 earnings report and financial analysis

IT & Services, Others/Information & Communication


クイックビュー

指標当期前年同期YoY
Revenue / Net Sales¥112.4B¥127.6B−11.9%
Operating Income / Operating Profit¥2.7B−¥0.2B+1309.1%
Ordinary Income¥4.7B−¥4.8B+198.8%
Net Income / Net Profit¥1.8B−¥6.1B+129.6%
ROE2.2%−7.2%-

Executive Summary

2027 FY Q1 results showed Revenue of ¥112.4B (YoY -¥15.2B -11.9%), a decline, but Operating Income of ¥2.7B (improvement of +¥2.9B from ¥-0.2B), Ordinary Income of ¥4.7B (improvement of +¥9.5B from ¥-4.8B, +198.8%), and Net Income of ¥1.8B (improvement of +¥7.9B from ¥-6.1B, +129.6%), turning profitable at all income levels. Gross profit margin improved to 24.3% (up +1.4pt from 22.9% a year earlier), and SG&A ratio improved to 21.9% (down -1.2pt from 23.1%), resulting in Operating Margin improvement from -0.2% to +2.4% (+2.6pt) due to cost optimization. At the ordinary income level, foreign exchange gains of ¥2.5B contributed, while a high effective tax rate of 61.6% (tax expense ¥2.9B on profit before tax ¥4.7B) constrained Net Income growth. Progress toward the Full Year / FY forecasts (Revenue ¥470.8B, Operating Income ¥20.1B, Ordinary Income ¥18.9B, Net Income ¥7.0B) for Q1 is 23.9% of Revenue, 13.2% of Operating Income, 25.0% of Ordinary Income, and 25.7% of Net Income — Revenue is roughly on pace, but Operating Income is behind plan, making capacity utilization and margin improvement from Q2 onward the focus for achieving the full-year targets.

業績変動要因

【売上高】Revenue was ¥112.4B, down ¥15.2B YoY (-11.9%). The company operates a single segment (Service & Lifecycle Solutions Business) so no segmental breakdown is disclosed; the Revenue decline is presumed due to weaker demand and changes in project mix. Gross profit was ¥27.3B, down -6.5% from ¥29.2B a year earlier, a smaller decline than Revenue (-11.9%), with Gross Margin improving to 24.3% (up +1.4pt from 22.9%). Cost controls and a shift to higher-margin projects were effective.

【損益】SG&A was ¥24.7B, down -16.2% from ¥29.4B, a greater reduction than the Revenue decline of -11.9%. SG&A ratio improved to 21.9% (down -1.2pt from 23.1%), showing clear cost discipline. Operating Income turned positive at ¥2.7B (¥-0.2B prior year), with Operating Margin of 2.4% (improved +2.6pt from -0.2%). Non-operating items included non-operating income of ¥2.7B (of which FX gains ¥2.5B) and non-operating expenses of ¥0.7B (of which interest expense ¥0.3B, FX losses ¥4.3B). As a result, Ordinary Income was ¥4.7B (improved ¥9.5B from ¥-4.8B). Note FX losses of ¥4.3B were recorded, so the net FX impact is FX gains ¥2.5B - FX losses ¥4.3B = -¥1.8B, a net negative contribution. After deducting special losses of ¥0.1B, profit before tax was ¥4.7B (¥-4.8B prior year). Corporate taxes and similar totaled ¥2.9B, giving an effective tax rate of 61.6%, a high level that suppressed Net Income growth. Net income attributable to non-controlling interests was negligible, and Net Income was ¥1.8B (improved ¥7.9B from ¥-6.1B), turning positive. In summary, the company posted lower Revenue and higher profits (Revenue -11.9%, Operating Income +1309.1%, Ordinary Income +198.8%, Net Income +129.6%), indicating a troughing in profitability.

主要財務指標

【収益性】Operating Margin of 2.4% (prior year -0.2%) turned positive due to Gross Margin improvement (+1.4pt) and SG&A ratio improvement (-1.2pt), but remains low. Net Margin of 1.6% (prior year -4.8%) was restrained by high effective tax rate of 61.6%. ROE of 2.2% is decomposed as Net Margin 1.6% × Total Asset Turnover 0.527 × Financial Leverage 2.65; improvement was driven mainly by Net Margin, but absolute levels remain low. 【キャッシュ品質】Accounts receivable ¥71.7B vs. quarterly Revenue ¥112.4B implies an annualized DSO of approximately 233 days, elongated and showing working capital tie-up that delays cash generation. Work in progress ¥1.2B increased ¥0.8B from ¥0.4B a year earlier, suggesting accumulation of in-progress contracts. 【投資効率】Total assets ¥213.2B vs. quarterly Revenue ¥112.4B gives an annualized total asset turnover of about 0.53x, low. ROIC estimated as Operating Income ¥2.7B × (1-0.616) ÷ Invested Capital ¥176.6B ≈ 0.6% (annualized ~1.5%), indicating insufficient returns on invested capital. 【財務健全性】Equity Ratio 37.8% (prior year 37.7%) is flat, maintaining minimum financial stability, but interest-bearing debt ¥76.0B (all short-term borrowings) vs. cash ¥67.1B gives Cash / Short-term Interest-bearing Debt of 0.88x, a thin cushion. Current ratio 120.4% and Quick ratio 120.4% secure minimal liquidity, but high dependence on short-term borrowings warrants attention to refinancing risk.

キャッシュフロー分析

Cash and deposits were ¥67.1B, down ¥2.8B (-4.1%) from ¥68.9B a year earlier. Accounts receivable ¥71.7B decreased ¥5.8B from ¥77.5B, but relative to Revenue decline -11.9% collection progress is insufficient, with DSO around 233 days. Work in progress ¥1.2B increased ¥0.8B from ¥0.4B, indicating continued working capital tie-up. Current assets ¥156.3B and current liabilities ¥129.9B yield working capital of +¥26.4B, but most is concentrated in accounts receivable, requiring time to convert to cash. Short-term borrowings ¥76.0B are flat YoY, and interest expense ¥0.3B vs. Operating Income ¥2.7B gives an interest coverage of about 8.6x, maintaining interest payment resilience. However, low Operating Income limits buffer against profit volatility. Delayed AR collection and rising WIP mean profitability has not yet translated into cash flow; normalization of working capital is key to improving financing.

収益の質

Of Ordinary Income ¥4.7B, Operating Income was ¥2.7B, so non-operating contributions were +¥2.0B. Major non-operating income item was FX gains ¥2.5B; non-operating expenses ¥0.7B include interest expense ¥0.3B and FX losses ¥4.3B, with net FX impact FX gains ¥2.5B - FX losses ¥4.3B = -¥1.8B, a negative contribution. Since FX gains and losses are offset in presentation, the reported FX gains ¥2.5B in non-operating income likely include amounts exceeding FX losses ¥4.3B, and FX volatility is a driver of non-operating item fluctuations. Subsidy income of ¥0.1B was also recorded but immaterial. Comprehensive income was -¥0.8B, below Net Income ¥1.8B, with Other Comprehensive Income -¥2.6B (mainly Foreign Currency Translation Adjustments -¥2.6B) affecting equity. Operating Income ¥2.7B represents core earning power; given FX and tax burdens drive Ordinary and Net Income variability, quality of earnings should be judged on FX-excluded Operating Income. Special gains/losses were ¥0.1B and limited in scale.

業績予想・ガイダンス

Full Year / FY forecasts are Revenue ¥470.8B (YoY -3.6%), Operating Income ¥20.1B, Ordinary Income ¥18.9B, Net Income ¥7.0B. Q1 progress rates are Revenue 23.9% (¥112.4B / ¥470.8B), Operating Income 13.2% (¥2.7B / ¥20.1B), Ordinary Income 25.0% (¥4.7B / ¥18.9B), Net Income 25.7% (¥1.8B / ¥7.0B). Revenue progress is roughly standard, but Operating Income is behind plan; capacity utilization improvements, project price corrections, and margin expansion from Q2 onward are essential to meet full-year targets. Higher progress for Ordinary Income and Net Income reflects contribution of FX gains ¥2.5B; lifting core operating profitability remains a priority. Full-year EPS forecast is ¥19.81, and Q1 EPS of ¥5.10 corresponds to 25.7% progress aligning with Ordinary & Net Income. Dividend forecast is ¥8.00, implying a Payout Ratio of about 40.4% relative to full-year EPS ¥19.81, a reasonable level. No revisions to earnings forecasts have been made.

株主還元

Dividend forecast is ¥8.00 per share, Payout Ratio about 40.4% relative to full-year EPS forecast ¥19.81. Q1 EPS ¥5.10 (quarterly Net Income ¥1.8B / weighted average shares outstanding 35,360 thousand) annualized equates to ¥7.2B, slightly above the full-year Net Income forecast ¥7.0B, but given slow progress in Operating Income, securing dividend resources presupposes improvement at the operating level. Prior-year dividend was also ¥8.00, indicating a policy of stable dividends. No share buybacks have been disclosed; shareholder returns are provided solely via dividends. Given cash ¥67.1B and short-term borrowings ¥76.0B, dividend capacity is limited, and normalization of working capital (Accounts receivable ¥71.7B, DSO ~233 days) and improved operating cash generation are prerequisites for dividend sustainability.

リスク要因

  1. Liquidity risk from working capital tie-up: Accounts receivable ¥71.7B and DSO ~233 days show elongated collection periods; relative to Revenue decline -11.9%, AR decreased only -7.6%, indicating insufficient collection progress. WIP increased to ¥1.2B from ¥0.4B (+¥0.8B), and with cash ¥67.1B vs. short-term borrowings ¥76.0B giving Cash / Short-term Interest-bearing Debt 0.88x, the cushion is thin; continued delays in AR collection could strain liquidity.

  2. Dependence on short-term interest-bearing debt and refinancing risk: Interest-bearing debt ¥76.0B is entirely short-term borrowings, creating concentration risk at maturity and refinancing risk. Current ratio 120.4% and interest coverage 8.6x provide minimal resilience, but low Operating Income ¥2.7B means that profit volatility could deteriorate borrowing terms or complicate refinancing.

  3. Volatility risk in non-operating items due to FX: Both FX gains ¥2.5B and FX losses ¥4.3B were recorded, with net FX impact -¥1.8B equating to -69.7% relative to Ordinary Income. Foreign currency translation adjustment is -¥2.6B (OCI), compressing comprehensive income, and FX volatility is a short-term driver of P&L and equity fluctuations. Given Operating Income ¥2.7B, FX effects are large relative to core earnings; stability of core Operating Income is a precondition for earnings quality.

業種ベンチマーク(参考・当社調べ)

収益性・リターン

指標自社中央値 (IQR)Delta
Operating Income Margin2.4%8.0% (2.2%–15.8%)−5.7pt
Net Margin1.6%5.8% (1.5%–10.7%)−4.2pt

Operating Income Margin 2.4% is -5.7pt below the industry median of 8.0%, placing the company in the lower tier on profitability.

成長性・資本効率

指標自社中央値 (IQR)Delta
Revenue Growth Rate (YoY)−11.9%9.3% (0.2%–16.9%)−21.2pt

Revenue growth -11.9% is -21.2pt below the industry median +9.3%, indicating significant underperformance in growth.

※Source: Company aggregation

決算上の注目ポイント

  1. Profitability turned positive due to cost optimization, but Operating Income Margin 2.4% lags the industry median 8.0% by -5.7pt, placing profitability in the lower tier. Full-year Operating Income progress at 13.2% is behind plan, and capacity utilization improvement and price corrections from Q2 onward are prerequisites for achieving full-year targets. Whether the trends of Gross Margin +1.4pt improvement and SG&A ratio -1.2pt improvement continue is a key monitorable.

  2. Working capital tie-up (Accounts receivable ¥71.7B, DSO ~233 days, WIP +¥0.8B) is impeding cash generation, creating structural risk where operating profitability has not translated into liquidity improvement. Heavy reliance on short-term borrowings ¥76.0B and Cash / Short-term Interest-bearing Debt 0.88x mean the cushion is thin; monitoring AR collection normalization and refinancing strategy is important. FX loss net impact -¥1.8B (FX / Operating Income -69.7%) and high tax burden (effective tax rate 61.6%) cause Net Income volatility, so FX-excluded Operating Income and tax normalization will determine future earnings stability.


This report is an AI-generated earnings analysis document produced by analyzing XBRL financial statement data. It does not constitute a recommendation to invest in any specific security. Industry benchmarks are reference information compiled by our firm based on publicly disclosed financial statements. Investment decisions are your own responsibility; please consult a professional advisor as needed.


AI Financial Analysis

Executive Summary

FY2027 Q1 showed a clear operating turnaround, although the recovery remains incomplete given the 11.9% year-on-year revenue decline. Revenue was ¥11.24bn, down from ¥12.76bn in the prior-year quarter. Operating income recovered to ¥0.27bn from a ¥0.02bn operating loss. The operating margin improved by approximately 254bp year on year to 2.4%, from negative 0.2%. Gross profit declined 6.4% to ¥2.73bn, materially less than the revenue decline. Consequently, gross margin expanded by approximately 143bp to 24.3%. SG&A expenses fell 9.4% to ¥2.47bn, and the SG&A-to-sales ratio improved by roughly 110bp to 21.9%. The reduction in overhead more than offset the lower gross profit and was the principal driver of the return to operating profitability. Ordinary income rose to ¥0.47bn, aided materially by ¥0.25bn of foreign-exchange gains. FX gains were equivalent to 93.3% of operating income, meaning reported pre-tax earnings were significantly exposed to currency movements. Net income was ¥0.18bn, compared with a ¥0.61bn loss in the prior-year quarter. However, the effective tax rate was elevated at 61.6%, limiting conversion of pre-tax income into net income. Annualized ROE was 8.9%, supported by 2.65x financial leverage and 2.108x annualized asset turnover, while the 1.6% net margin remains modest. The balance sheet retains positive working capital of ¥2.65bn and a 120.4% current ratio. Nevertheless, all ¥7.60bn of interest-bearing debt is short term, making refinancing execution and cash management important. Q1 sales progress versus the full-year plan was broadly normal at 23.9%, but operating-income progress was only 13.2%, requiring a substantial margin improvement in subsequent quarters. The full-year outlook therefore depends on stabilizing revenue, sustaining the lower SG&A base, and reducing reliance on favorable FX gains.

Profitability Analysis

The annualized DuPont ROE of 8.9% is decomposed into a 1.6% net profit margin, 2.108x annualized asset turnover, and 2.65x financial leverage. The weakest component is net margin, which remains below the 3% threshold generally associated with a robust earnings profile. Asset turnover is relatively strong for the asset base and supports returns despite the low margin. Financial leverage meaningfully amplifies equity returns, but it also raises sensitivity to earnings volatility and short-term funding conditions. The largest year-on-year improvement was in operating profitability: operating margin rose to 2.4% from negative 0.2%, a gain of about 254bp. Gross margin increased to 24.3% from approximately 22.9%, demonstrating improved gross-profit retention despite lower sales. SG&A declined 9.4%, faster than the 6.4% decline in gross profit and the 11.9% fall in revenue. This indicates favorable cost flexibility and reduced fixed-cost absorption pressure. However, revenue contraction means the operating recovery has been achieved primarily through cost discipline and margin repair rather than top-line growth. Ordinary income of ¥0.47bn exceeded operating income of ¥0.27bn because of ¥0.25bn in FX gains. The interest burden was favorable on a mechanical basis, with pre-tax profit exceeding EBIT due to non-operating income, but this does not represent underlying operating leverage. Interest coverage of 8.60x remains adequate, although it is calculated on a low EBIT base. The 61.6% effective tax rate reduced the tax burden factor to 0.384, materially below the normal benchmark of above 0.70. Operating-margin expansion is constructive, but its sustainability depends on whether SG&A reductions can be maintained without impairing delivery capacity and whether revenue resumes growth.

Growth Assessment

Q1 revenue fell 11.9% year on year to ¥11.24bn, indicating that demand normalization remains the principal constraint on earnings growth. The full-year revenue forecast is ¥47.08bn, down 3.6% year on year. Q1 revenue progress was 23.9% of the full-year forecast, only 1.1 percentage points below the standard 25% Q1 run rate. This suggests the revenue plan is broadly consistent with quarterly seasonality, provided the year-on-year sales decline moderates. The full-year operating-income forecast is ¥2.01bn, and Q1 progress was 13.2%, 11.8 percentage points below the standard Q1 progress rate. The company therefore needs ¥1.75bn of operating income over the remaining three quarters, compared with ¥0.27bn in Q1. The implied full-year operating margin is 4.3%, versus 2.4% in Q1. This requires a roughly 190bp improvement in the operating margin over the balance of the year relative to Q1. Ordinary-income progress was 25.1% of the ¥1.89bn forecast, but this stronger progress reflects FX gains rather than operating performance. Net-income progress was 25.7% of the ¥0.70bn forecast, slightly ahead of a standard Q1 pace, despite the high tax rate. Earnings quality would improve if future progress is led by operating income rather than non-operating FX gains. The single reported segment is Service Lifecycle Solution, so group-level sales trends determine the overall growth outcome. For an IT-services and game-support-oriented business, client development schedules, outsourcing budgets, project timing, skilled labor availability, and service pricing are central drivers of revenue recovery.

Financial Health

Liquidity is adequate but not conservative. Current assets totaled ¥15.63bn against current liabilities of ¥12.99bn, producing a current ratio of 120.4%. The quick ratio was also 120.4%, indicating that liquidity is supported by cash and receivables rather than inventory conversion. Cash and deposits were ¥6.71bn and trade receivables were ¥7.17bn, together covering current liabilities by approximately 1.07x. Working capital was positive at ¥2.65bn. Total interest-bearing debt was ¥7.60bn, all of which was classified as short-term debt. The short-term debt ratio of 100% is a material refinancing-risk flag because funding must be rolled over or repaid within the next twelve months. Cash covered 0.88x of short-term loans, leaving the company dependent on receivable collection, operating cash generation, and/or bank refinancing to meet debt maturities. Debt-to-equity was 1.65x, below the 2.0x aggressive-leverage warning threshold but still elevated relative to a conservative capital structure. Debt represented 48.5% of capital, above the 40% investment-grade benchmark but below the 60% concern level. Equity declined to ¥8.06bn from ¥8.42bn, mainly alongside a ¥2.63bn reduction in accumulated other comprehensive income, particularly foreign-currency translation adjustments. Goodwill was only ¥0.11bn, or 1.3% of equity, and does not create a material acquisition-related impairment concentration. Deferred tax assets were ¥1.16bn, representing a meaningful 5.5% of total assets and requiring continued taxable-profit generation to support recoverability.

Notable B/S Changes

Total assets: -¥10.07bn (-4.5%) to ¥213.21bn, primarily reflecting lower current assets and foreign-currency translation movements. Trade receivables: -¥5.86bn (-7.6%) to ¥71.66bn, reducing working-capital deployment and partly mitigating short-term liquidity needs. Current assets: -¥8.96bn (-5.4%) to ¥156.35bn, while current liabilities declined by ¥7.66bn (-5.6%); the current ratio remained at 120.4%. Accumulated other comprehensive income: -¥2.63bn (-21.8%) to ¥9.46bn, principally reflecting a ¥2.60bn decline in foreign-currency translation adjustments and demonstrating FX-related equity volatility. Total equity: -¥3.66bn (-4.4%) to ¥80.56bn, despite Q1 net income, with the decline largely associated with negative other comprehensive income. Short-term loans: unchanged at ¥76.00bn, representing 35.6% of total assets; the unchanged debt balance means the refinancing burden remains concentrated in the short term.

Cash Flow Quality

Dividend Sustainability

The full-year dividend forecast is ¥16.00 per share, unchanged from the disclosed forecast. Based on forecast EPS of ¥19.81, the prospective dividend payout ratio is approximately 80.8%. This is above the 60% level generally considered conservative for dividend-only distributions. The payout ratio leaves a limited earnings buffer if full-year profit falls short of plan. Q1 EPS was ¥5.10, representing 25.7% of the full-year EPS forecast, broadly in line with the full-year earnings target. The dividend outlook therefore relies on achieving the forecast ¥0.70bn of profit attributable to owners. The planned dividend is also being supported by a capital structure with ¥7.60bn of entirely short-term debt, making preservation of liquidity and refinancing capacity relevant to capital-allocation flexibility. Treasury shares totaled 2.80 million shares, but no current-period repurchase amount was provided; the analysis therefore uses dividend payout ratio rather than total return ratio.

Risk Assessment

Business risks include Revenue declined 11.9% year on year, and a slower-than-planned recovery in client development activity, outsourcing demand, or project volumes would challenge the full-year sales plan., The business is exposed to labor-market conditions for specialized testing, localization, and service-delivery personnel; wage inflation, hiring difficulty, or reduced utilization could reverse recent margin gains., Customer project timing and budget changes in IT, digital entertainment, and related service markets can cause quarterly volatility in demand and resource utilization., Cybersecurity, data-privacy, and confidentiality incidents could damage customer relationships and increase compliance costs in outsourced service operations..

Financial risks include All ¥7.60bn of interest-bearing debt is short term. The 100% short-term debt ratio creates material refinancing risk even though the current ratio is above 1.0x., Cash covered only 0.88x of short-term loans, increasing dependence on collection of ¥7.17bn in receivables and continued access to funding lines., D/E of 1.65x is not above the 2.0x aggressive threshold, but leverage remains meaningful given the low 2.4% EBIT margin., Foreign-currency translation adjustments reduced comprehensive income to negative ¥0.83bn despite positive net income, highlighting foreign-exchange sensitivity in equity..

Key concerns include HIGH_TAX_BURDEN: the effective tax rate was 61.6%, resulting in a 0.384 tax-burden factor. This materially reduced conversion of ¥0.47bn pre-tax income into ¥0.18bn net income and creates risk to full-year EPS if the elevated rate persists., LOW_OPERATING_EFFICIENCY: EBIT margin was 2.4%, below the 5% concern threshold. Although this improved sharply from the prior-year operating loss, a low margin leaves limited protection against further revenue pressure or wage inflation., REFINANCING_RISK: the 100% short-term debt ratio means all ¥7.60bn of borrowings require near-term repayment or rollover. This is the most important capital-structure risk because cash alone does not fully cover the debt balance., HIGH_WIP_RATIO: work in process of ¥0.12bn comprises the reported inventory balance. The absolute amount is small relative to total assets, but its concentration in unfinished work increases sensitivity to project completion timing and recoverability., FX_EXPOSURE: ¥0.25bn of FX gains equaled 93.3% of operating income. The contribution boosted ordinary income in Q1, but it is market-driven rather than a recurring operating earnings source..

Investment Implications

Key takeaways include The Q1 operating loss reversed to a ¥0.27bn operating profit through gross-margin expansion and a ¥0.28bn reduction in SG&A expenses., The recovery is cost-led rather than growth-led, as revenue declined ¥1.52bn year on year., Q1 operating-income progress of 13.2% is materially below a standard 25% Q1 run rate, implying significant second-half margin delivery is required., Reported ordinary income benefited from ¥0.25bn of FX gains, which are not a substitute for recurring operating-profit expansion., Liquidity is positive, but the entire ¥7.60bn debt balance is short term and cash coverage of that debt is only 0.88x., The prospective ¥16.00 DPS implies an approximately 80.8% payout ratio on forecast EPS, reducing the margin for earnings underperformance..

Metrics to watch include Quarterly revenue growth and evidence that the year-on-year sales decline is narrowing, Operating margin progression toward the 4.3% full-year implied margin, SG&A-to-sales ratio and whether cost reductions remain sustainable, FX gains or losses relative to operating income, Effective tax rate and net-income conversion from pre-tax profit, Receivable collection relative to ¥7.17bn trade receivables, Short-term debt rollover, cash balance, and cash-to-short-term-debt coverage, Progress toward the ¥2.01bn full-year operating-income forecast.

Regarding relative positioning, The company combines a low operating margin with reasonable annualized asset turnover and leverage-supported ROE. Its limited goodwill exposure compares favorably with M&A-heavy service peers, but the short-term debt concentration, revenue contraction, and earnings sensitivity to FX gains make the financial profile less resilient than that of higher-margin, recurring-revenue IT-services businesses.