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36402026 Q3StandardJGAAP

DENSAN (3640) FY2026 Q3 Earnings Report

For FY2026 Q3, revenue came to ¥18.0B (+55.8% year on year) and operating income ¥3.6B (+359.1%). The segment drivers and cash flow follow.

DENSAN CO.,LTD.

IT & Services, Others/Information & Communication


Quick View

MetricsCurrent PeriodPrior-year PeriodYoY
Revenue¥179.6B¥115.2B+55.8%
Operating Income¥36.0B¥7.8B+359.1%
Ordinary Income¥36.0B¥7.9B+353.1%
Net Income¥25.5B¥5.9B+334.1%
ROE17.9%4.6%-

Executive Summary

Cumulative results for FY2026 Q3 achieved substantial increases in revenue and profit: Revenue ¥179.6B (YoY +¥64.4B +55.8%), Operating Income ¥36.0B (YoY +¥28.2B +359.1%), Ordinary Income ¥36.0B (YoY +¥28.1B +353.1%), and Net Income ¥25.5B (YoY +¥19.6B +334.1%). Operating margin improved by 13.3pt to 20.1% from 6.8% in the prior-year period, delivering strong profitability. By segment, the Public Sector posted Revenue of ¥145.9B and Operating Income of ¥32.9B, while the Industrial Sector recorded Revenue of ¥33.7B and Operating Income of ¥3.1B, with the Public Sector accounting for approximately 80% of the total. The Full Year forecast calls for Revenue of ¥278.5B (+48.6%) and Operating Income of ¥63.0B (+150.2%), with progress through Q3 at 64.5% for Revenue and 57.2% for Operating Income, indicating steady advancement.

Key Financial Metrics

[Profitability] ROE 17.9% (high relative to historical levels), Operating margin 20.1% (+13.3pt from 6.8% in the prior-year period), Net margin 14.2% (+9.1pt from 5.1% in the prior-year period), and Gross margin of 36.0%. Interest coverage at 246.75x reflects a very light interest burden. [Cash Quality] Cash and deposits ¥29.7B, short-term liability coverage 2.14x. Accounts receivable ¥70.5B (39.3% of revenue), inventories ¥13.0B (YoY +¥9.7B +330.4%), indicating a substantial inventory build. [Investment Efficiency] Total asset turnover 0.807x, ROA 11.5% (improved from 2.7% in the prior-year period). [Financial Soundness] Equity Ratio 64.0% (+4.8pt from 59.2% in the prior year), Current ratio 215.7%, Quick ratio 194.8%, demonstrating solid liquidity. Debt-to-equity ratio 0.56x, Interest-bearing debt ¥16.7B (of which short-term borrowings are ¥13.9B, representing an 83.3% short-term debt ratio). Long-term borrowings ¥2.8B (YoY -¥1.8B), indicating a short-term-concentrated debt profile.

Cash Flow Analysis

Cash and deposits increased by ¥1.5B YoY to ¥29.7B, with higher revenue and profit contributing to a stable funding base. In working capital, accounts receivable rose to ¥70.5B (YoY +¥29.2B +70.8%) alongside top-line expansion, while inventories reached ¥13.0B (YoY +¥9.7B +330.4%), evidencing a notable build potentially reflecting front-loaded procurement for booked orders and timing gaps in sales recognition. Accounts payable increased to ¥15.9B (YoY +¥8.3B +109.5%), suggesting improved funding efficiency through the use of trade payables. Short-term borrowings of ¥13.9B decreased by ¥7.0B from ¥20.9B in the prior-year period, indicating lower reliance on borrowings; however, with short-term borrowings still comprising 83.3% of short-term debt, maturity management remains a consideration. Against total short-term liabilities of ¥13.9B, cash coverage stands at 2.14x, limiting near-term liquidity risk. Retained earnings rose to ¥81.8B (YoY +¥19.7B), bolstering shareholders’ equity.

Quality of Earnings

With Ordinary Income at ¥36.0B and Operating Income at ¥36.0B, non-operating items are effectively neutral. Non-operating expenses totaled ¥0.15B, including interest expense of ¥0.15B, modestly below non-operating income of ¥0.13B. Non-operating income (loss) accounted for -0.1% of revenue, a minimal impact, so core operating profit largely carries through to Ordinary Income. Extraordinary gains were ¥0.09B and extraordinary losses were ¥0.36B, for a net impact of -¥0.27B. Profit before tax was ¥35.7B, with income taxes and others of ¥10.2B (effective tax rate 29.5%), resulting in Net Income of ¥25.5B. While detailed Operating Cash Flow data are undisclosed, maintaining cash and deposits of ¥29.7B against Net Income of ¥25.5B suggests a certain degree of cash backing to earnings. However, the substantial increase in inventories indicates capital tied up in working capital; monitoring inventory valuation and turnover will be key to assessing earnings quality.

Risk Factors

  1. Risk of rapid inventory buildup: Inventories surged +330.4% YoY, raising the possibility of inventory carryover or valuation losses. At 7.2% of revenue, the level is currently manageable, but further deterioration in inventory turnover could pressure profitability.
  2. Refinancing risk due to short-term debt concentration: Short-term borrowings of ¥13.9B account for 83.3% of interest-bearing debt, with concentrated maturities. Rising interest rates or a deterioration in funding conditions could increase refinancing costs or constrain liquidity. While cash coverage is 2.14x, attention is warranted to potential reduction in headroom from working capital swings or unexpected expenditures.
  3. Order concentration risk: The Public Sector accounts for over 80% of revenue. If dependence on specific customers or large projects is high, order delays or contract changes could materially affect results. The sustainability of the +55.8% revenue growth rate depends on order trends.

Industry Benchmark (Reference; In-house Research)

[Industry Positioning] (Reference information; in-house research) Comparison with 68 IT & Telecommunications companies as of Q3 2025. Profitability: Operating margin of 20.1% significantly exceeds the industry median of 6.4% (IQR 2.0%–13.5%), placing the company in the top 25% in profitability. Net margin of 14.2% also exceeds the industry median of 4.8% (IQR 0.6%–9.4%). ROE of 17.9% far surpasses the industry median of 7.3% (IQR 0.9%–12.1%), indicating top-tier capital efficiency within the industry. Growth: Revenue growth of +55.8% substantially exceeds the industry median of +12.0% (IQR +2.0%–+24.5%), indicating a high-growth phase. Soundness: Equity Ratio of 64.0% is slightly above the industry median of 55.2% (IQR 42.5%–67.3%), which is favorable. Current ratio of 215.7% is roughly in line with the industry median of around 208%, indicating secured liquidity. Efficiency: ROA of 11.5% far exceeds the industry median of 3.8% (IQR 0.5%–6.0%), demonstrating high efficiency in utilizing total assets. Overall, the company ranks among the top in the industry in terms of profitability, growth, and capital efficiency, with sound financials; however, the high ratio of short-term debt warrants attention relative to industry levels (Industry: IT & Telecommunications, N=68 companies, Comparison target: 2025 Q3, Source: In-house aggregation).

Key Highlights from Results

First, a high-profit structure with an Operating margin of 20.1% and a Net margin of 14.2%, maintaining a Gross margin of 36.0% even amid top-line expansion, evidencing economies of scale. Second, the sharp YoY increase of +330.4% in inventories suggests front-loaded procurement and increased product stock in line with order expansion; the timing of revenue recognition and inventory turnover will be key to sustaining performance. Third, funding mix shows short-term borrowings of ¥13.9B accounting for 83.3% of interest-bearing debt; while liquidity coverage is sufficient, monitoring maturity management and refinancing trends is important. Progress toward Full Year guidance through Q3 stands at 64.5% for Revenue and 57.2% for Operating Income, and the pace of order backlog conversion and inventory sell-through in the second half will be central to meeting the plan.


This report is an earnings analysis document automatically generated by AI based on XBRL financial summary data. It does not constitute a recommendation to invest in any specific security. The industry benchmark is reference information aggregated by our company based on publicly available financial data. Investment decisions are your own responsibility; consult a professional as needed before making any investments.

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AI Financial Analysis

Executive Summary

FY2026 Q3 was a very strong earnings period, with substantial sales growth translating into outsized operating-profit and net-profit expansion. Revenue rose 55.8% YoY to ¥17.96bn. Operating income increased 359.1% YoY to ¥3.60bn. Net income rose 334.1% YoY to ¥2.55bn. Gross profit increased to ¥6.47bn, producing a 36.0% gross margin. The gross margin expanded approximately 250bp from 33.5% in the prior-year period. Operating margin widened approximately 1330bp to 20.1% from 6.8%. Net margin expanded approximately 910bp to 14.2% from 5.1%. The margin result reflects strong operating leverage, as SG&A declined 6.7% YoY to ¥2.87bn while revenue grew 55.8%. Ordinary income of ¥3.60bn was essentially aligned with operating income, indicating that profit was predominantly generated by core operations rather than non-operating items. Non-operating income was only ¥25m, or about 0.1% of revenue, and principally comprised dividend income. A ¥13m gain on sale of fixed assets was immaterial relative to pre-tax profit of ¥3.61bn. The effective tax rate was 29.5%, leaving a normal tax burden factor of 0.704. Annualized ROE was 23.8%, exceeding the 15% benchmark for excellent profitability. The balance sheet remained liquid, with a 215.7% current ratio and ¥2.97bn of cash against ¥1.39bn of short-term loans. However, accounts receivable reached ¥7.05bn and DSO was elevated at 107 days, making collections and project billing conversion a key near-term monitoring point. Q3 progress versus full-year guidance was behind the standard 75% seasonal benchmark, at 64.5% for revenue, 57.2% for operating income, and 56.6% for net income. Achieving guidance therefore requires a Q4 contribution of ¥9.89bn in revenue, ¥2.70bn in operating income, and ¥1.95bn in net income, implying a meaningful year-end concentration.

Profitability Analysis

The reported annualized DuPont ROE of 23.8% decomposes into a 14.2% net profit margin, 1.075x asset turnover, and 1.56x financial leverage. Profitability, rather than leverage, is the principal contributor to the high return profile: the 14.2% net margin is above the 10% excellent benchmark, while leverage is moderate. Asset turnover was solid at 1.075x on an annualized basis, supported by the sharp revenue increase. The largest YoY improvement was in operating profitability, with operating income growing 359.1%, materially faster than 55.8% revenue growth. Gross margin improved by around 250bp, indicating that the earnings expansion was not solely a fixed-cost absorption effect. Operating margin expansion of approximately 1330bp also demonstrates powerful operating leverage. SG&A fell 6.7% YoY despite the revenue increase, reducing the SG&A-to-sales ratio to 16.0% from 26.7% in the prior-year period. The five-factor analysis shows an EBIT margin of 20.1%, a tax burden of 0.704, and an interest burden of 1.003. Interest coverage of 246.75x indicates that financing costs have no material effect on current profitability. The small difference between operating income of ¥3.60bn and ordinary income of ¥3.60bn supports the recurring nature of reported earnings. The ¥13m extraordinary gain was only 0.4% of pre-tax profit and does not materially distort net income. Sustainability of the current margin level will depend on maintaining gross-margin gains and cost discipline while delivering the material Q4 earnings implied by guidance.

Growth Assessment

Revenue growth of 55.8% YoY to ¥17.96bn was accompanied by gross-profit growth of 67.7% and operating-income growth of 359.1%, demonstrating unusually strong incremental profitability. The growth quality is favorable at the income-statement level because core operating income accounted for virtually all ordinary income. Full-year company guidance calls for revenue of ¥27.85bn, up 48.6% YoY, and operating income of ¥6.30bn, up 150.2% YoY. Q3 revenue progress was 64.5%, which is 10.5 percentage points below the standard 75% Q3 run rate. Operating-income progress was 57.2%, 17.8 percentage points below the standard pace. Net-income progress was 56.6%, also below the standard pace. The implied Q4 operating margin is approximately 27.3%, compared with the 20.1% Q3 cumulative margin, so the forecast embeds both revenue concentration and further margin expansion. This creates a high execution bar for the final quarter, notwithstanding the strong Q3 result. Inventory increased 330.4% YoY to ¥1.30bn, consistent with greater operating activity but requiring conversion into completed deliveries and cash collection. The expansion in treasury stock also reduced the share base, supporting per-share earnings, with Q3 basic EPS reaching ¥449.20 versus ¥101.12 in the prior-year period.

Financial Health

Liquidity is strong, with current assets of ¥13.44bn against current liabilities of ¥6.23bn, resulting in a 215.7% current ratio and ¥7.21bn of working capital. The quick ratio of 194.8% confirms that liquidity remains robust even without reliance on inventory liquidation. Cash and deposits of ¥2.97bn cover short-term loans of ¥1.39bn by 2.14x. Total interest-bearing debt was ¥1.67bn, while debt/capital was a conservative 10.5% and the reported debt-to-equity ratio was 0.56x. Interest coverage of 246.75x further indicates very limited debt-service pressure. The short-term debt ratio was 83.3%, which triggers a refinancing-risk alert because most borrowings require renewal or repayment within one year. The root cause is the predominance of ¥1.39bn in short-term loans relative to total interest-bearing debt of ¥1.67bn. The liquidity context substantially mitigates this concern because current assets exceed current liabilities by ¥7.21bn and cash alone exceeds short-term loans. Nevertheless, the impact is that funding flexibility depends on maintaining bank access and timely collection of the sizable receivables balance. Accounts receivable represented 31.7% of total assets at ¥7.05bn, making working-capital management important despite the strong headline liquidity ratios. Net defined-benefit liability was ¥1.00bn, equivalent to 7.0% of equity, and remains a meaningful long-term obligation. Intangible assets declined 36.8% YoY to ¥1.27bn, while PPE remained substantial at ¥5.98bn, including ¥3.74bn of buildings. The capital adequacy ratio improved to 63.9% from 59.2%, supported by earnings retention and lower liabilities.

Notable B/S Changes

Treasury stock: increased by ¥0.78bn to negative ¥0.84bn from negative ¥0.06bn (1,304.6% increase in balance magnitude) - materially reduces equity and supports per-share metrics; shareholder-return and capital-allocation effects warrant monitoring. Inventories: +¥1.00bn (+330.4%) to ¥1.30bn - a substantial build relative to the asset base, increasing the importance of delivery execution and inventory conversion. Long-term loans: -¥0.18bn (-39.1%) to ¥0.28bn - reduces long-dated debt but increases the relative concentration of debt in short-term borrowings. Intangible assets: -¥0.74bn (-36.8%) to ¥1.27bn - primarily reflects lower software assets; the decline reduces intangible-asset concentration, which stands at a modest 5.7% of total assets.

Cash Flow Quality

Operating profitability was strong, with EBIT of ¥3.60bn and net income of ¥2.55bn generated primarily from core operations. Ordinary income was only ¥2m below operating income, indicating limited dependence on non-operating earnings. The small ¥13m gain on sale of fixed assets had an immaterial effect on the ¥3.61bn pre-tax profit base. Working-capital conversion is the principal quality issue evident from the balance sheet: accounts receivable were ¥7.05bn and DSO was 107 days, above the 60-day alert threshold. The root cause of the high-receivable-days alert is that the receivables balance is large relative to annualized revenue. The business context is consistent with a project-oriented IT-services model, where acceptance, billing milestones, and customer payment cycles can lengthen collection periods. The impact is that reported profit quality and near-term liquidity conversion are sensitive to timely customer acceptance and collections. Inventories increased by ¥1.00bn YoY to ¥1.30bn, adding a second working-capital item to monitor. Inventory represented 5.8% of total assets and should be assessed alongside delivery schedules and the pace of revenue recognition. Cash of ¥2.97bn and strong quick liquidity provide a buffer against normal collection timing variability.

Dividend Sustainability

The reported Q2 dividend was ¥17.00 per share. Based on Q3 basic EPS of ¥449.20, the calculated dividend payout ratio was 3.9%, indicating very substantial earnings coverage. Full-year guidance specifies DPS of ¥140.00 and forecast EPS of ¥797.95. The implied full-year dividend payout ratio is approximately 17.5%, well below the 60% sustainability benchmark. At the current issued-share count, the indicated full-year dividend commitment is approximately ¥817m before considering treasury shares, materially below forecast attributable profit of ¥4.50bn. Retained earnings rose to ¥12.30bn, strengthening the capacity to support shareholder distributions. The low indicated payout leaves broad financial flexibility for working capital, capital investment, debt repayment, and potential additional shareholder returns. The increase in treasury stock to ¥842m from ¥60m in the prior-year period indicates a meaningful reduction in equity through treasury-share accumulation, which should be considered separately from the dividend-only payout ratio. Dividend sustainability is therefore supported by earnings coverage, retained earnings, and conservative debt metrics, while final distribution capacity will depend on delivery of the back-end-loaded full-year earnings plan.

Risk Assessment

Business risks include IT-services project execution risk: the full-year forecast requires Q4 revenue of ¥9.89bn and operating income of ¥2.70bn, implying a 27.3% Q4 operating margin and a high reliance on timely delivery, acceptance, and billing., Receivables collection risk: DSO of 107 days exceeds the 60-day quality-alert threshold, and accounts receivable of ¥7.05bn account for 31.7% of total assets., Working-capital risk: inventories rose 330.4% YoY to ¥1.30bn; slower project completion or demand changes could defer conversion into revenue and cash., Technology and cybersecurity risk: as an IT-services provider, the company faces risks from technology obsolescence, service disruption, cybersecurity incidents, and the need to retain skilled technical personnel..

Financial risks include Refinancing risk: 83.3% of interest-bearing debt is short term, with ¥1.39bn of short-term loans versus ¥1.67bn total debt. Strong cash coverage of 2.14x and a 215.7% current ratio mitigate, but do not eliminate, rollover dependence., Margin normalization risk: Q3 operating margin reached 20.1%, up approximately 1330bp YoY; any reversal in gross-margin improvement or SG&A discipline would have a meaningful effect on earnings., Defined-benefit obligation risk: net defined-benefit liability of ¥1.00bn is a material long-term obligation relative to the debt balance..

Key concerns include The 64.5% revenue progress rate and 57.2% operating-income progress rate are below the standard 75% Q3 pace, placing substantial weight on Q4 performance., High receivable days may delay conversion of reported earnings into cash and should be monitored through collection trends., The short maturity profile of borrowings merits monitoring even though leverage, cash coverage, and interest coverage are currently strong..

Investment Implications

Key takeaways include Revenue increased 55.8% YoY, while operating income and net income grew 359.1% and 334.1%, respectively., Profitability was excellent, with a 36.0% gross margin, 20.1% operating margin, 14.2% net margin, and annualized ROE of 23.8%., Operating leverage was pronounced: SG&A declined 6.7% YoY while revenue expanded 55.8%., The balance sheet is liquid and conservatively financed, with a 215.7% current ratio, 10.5% debt/capital, and 246.75x interest coverage., The principal execution issues are elevated DSO, sharply higher inventory, short-term debt concentration, and the unusually large Q4 contribution embedded in guidance..

Metrics to watch include Q4 revenue, operating income, and operating margin versus the implied ¥9.89bn, ¥2.70bn, and 27.3%, Accounts receivable balance and DSO, currently ¥7.05bn and 107 days, Inventory conversion following the 330.4% YoY increase to ¥1.30bn, Short-term loan renewal or repayment, given the 83.3% short-term debt ratio, Gross-margin retention and SG&A-to-sales ratio, Progress toward the full-year ¥140.00 DPS target.

Regarding relative positioning, On the disclosed financial metrics, the company screens as highly profitable and well capitalized: operating margin, net margin, and annualized ROE exceed the stated excellent benchmarks, while liquidity and interest coverage are strong. Its relative risk profile is driven less by leverage than by project timing, receivables conversion, and the need for substantial Q4 delivery to meet guidance.