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33592026 Q1GrowthJGAAP

cotta (3359) FY2026 Q1 Earnings Report

For FY2026 Q1, revenue came to ¥4.3B (+44.3% year on year) and operating income ¥339.0M (+30.7%). The segment drivers and cash flow follow.

cotta CO.,LTD

Commercial & Wholesale Trade/Wholesale Trade


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MetricCurrent PeriodSame Period of Previous YearYoY
Revenue¥43.4B¥30.1B+44.3%
Operating Income¥3.4B¥2.6B+30.7%
Ordinary Income¥3.3B¥2.5B+33.7%
Net Income¥1.9B¥1.6B+15.2%
ROE4.0%3.6%-

Executive Summary

In FY2026 Q1, revenue and profit increased substantially against the backdrop of an expanded scope of consolidation through M&A; however, the growth in operating income lagged revenue growth, resulting in a slight decline in the profit margin. Revenue was ¥43.4B (+44.3% YoY), operating income was ¥3.4B (+30.7%), ordinary income was ¥3.3B (+33.7%), and quarterly net income attributable to owners of the parent was ¥1.9B (+16.0%). The primary drivers of revenue growth were the newly consolidated businesses engaged in the sale of beauty-related products and the human resources solutions business. The relatively slower growth in net income was attributable to the recognition of a ¥0.5B extraordinary loss from the disposal of property, plant and equipment.

Factors Affecting Earnings

【Revenue】Revenue totaled ¥43.4B, representing a 44.3% YoY increase. The core business of selling confectionery and bakery materials, sundry goods, and other products accounted for the largest share at ¥28.3B (65.3% of consolidated revenue), followed by the newly consolidated business selling beauty-related products and other items at ¥11.5B (26.4%), and the human resources solutions business at ¥3.3B (7.5%). The primary source of revenue growth was the expansion of the scope of consolidation through M&A, resulting in growth on a scale that cannot be explained solely by the organic growth of existing businesses.

【Profit and Loss】Operating income increased to ¥3.4B (+30.7% YoY), while ordinary income rose to ¥3.3B (+33.7%), securing higher profits. However, compared with revenue growth of 44.3%, operating income growth was 13.6 percentage points lower, and the operating margin remained at 7.8%. The expansion of SG&A expenses to ¥9.3B (SG&A ratio: 21.5%) appears to have contributed to the decline in the profit margin. A ¥0.5B extraordinary loss from the disposal of property, plant and equipment was recorded, causing net income to rise by only 16.0% to ¥1.9B, further below the growth rate of operating income. Although revenue and profit increased, the quality of earnings was somewhat diluted by the impact of the extraordinary loss.

Segment Analysis

The core business of selling confectionery and bakery materials, sundry goods, and other products generated revenue of ¥28.3B, segment profit of ¥3.1B, and a profit margin of 11.0%, making it the most profitable segment and the core contributor to consolidated profit. The business selling beauty-related products and other items generated revenue of ¥11.5B, profit of ¥0.4B, and a profit margin of 3.2%. This business was newly added through M&A and is sizable, but its profit margin is substantially lower than that of the core business. The human resources solutions business generated revenue of ¥3.3B, profit of ¥0.1B, and a profit margin of 3.7%. The profit margins of the two newly consolidated businesses remain at approximately one-third of that of the core business, and the degree to which integration benefits are realized following the expansion of the business portfolio will determine the future consolidated profit margin.

Key Financial Indicators

【Profitability】The operating margin was 7.8% and the net profit margin was 4.2%, with the SG&A ratio of 21.5% weighing on profitability against a gross margin of 29.3%. 【Cash Flow Quality】The ¥0.5B extraordinary loss from the disposal of property, plant and equipment represented 29.7% of net income of ¥1.9B, indicating that current-period profit was meaningfully affected by a non-recurring factor. 【Investment Efficiency】ROE was 4.0%. The primary constraints were the net profit margin of 4.2% and the low total asset turnover of 0.40x, while financial leverage of 2.34x provided a certain boost to ROE. 【Financial Soundness】The equity ratio was 42.7%, the current ratio was 177.5%, and the quick ratio was 108.6%, indicating that short-term liquidity was secured. Meanwhile, inventories accounted for 23.1% of total assets, representing a relatively high inventory level.

Cash Flow Analysis

As detailed figures from the statement of cash flows are not included in the disclosed information, the funding position is assessed based on balance sheet trends. Cash and deposits were ¥25.0B, remaining almost unchanged from ¥25.4B in the same period of the previous year, while interest-bearing debt, comprising the combined total of short-term and long-term borrowings, was ¥33.0B. Inventories were ¥24.8B, accounting for 23.1% of total assets and representing a significant proportion of current assets of ¥63.8B. Trade accounts payable were ¥12.1B, indicating a certain degree of cash tied up in procurement and inventory. Overall, cash levels have been maintained steadily, but the buildup of inventory is a notable use of working capital.

Quality of Earnings

Current-quarter profit comprises both recurring business growth and the impact of non-recurring factors. Growth in revenue and operating income was based on the structural change of an expanded scope of consolidation through M&A and can therefore be viewed as an expansion of the recurring earnings base. On the other hand, a ¥0.5B extraordinary loss from the disposal of property, plant and equipment was recorded, representing 29.7% of net income of ¥1.9B. Non-operating income of ¥0.1B and non-operating expenses of ¥0.1B were almost completely offset, leaving earnings dependent primarily on operating income from the core business. Accordingly, net income attributable to owners of the parent for the current period includes the impact of the extraordinary loss, and when assessing recurring earnings power, it is advisable to confirm the level excluding the impact of the disposal loss.

Earnings Forecast and Guidance

The Q1 progress rates against the full-year forecasts were 28.7% for revenue, 41.9% for operating income, and 40.2% for ordinary income, all exceeding the standard quarterly progress rate of 25%. The full-year forecasts are revenue of ¥151.1B (+10.5% YoY), operating income of ¥8.1B (+8.6%), and ordinary income of ¥8.3B (+11.1%), and no revisions have been made to the earnings or dividend forecasts for the current quarter. Although progress on the profit front is ahead of schedule, post-M&A integration costs and inventory trends may affect the pace of progress going forward.

Shareholder Returns

The dividend forecast is ¥10.00 per share, implying a payout ratio of approximately 21.3% based on forecast EPS of ¥46.93. The payout ratio is conservative relative to the level of profit, and, considering the cash and deposits balance of ¥25.0B, the foundation supporting dividend continuity remains intact. No revision has been made to the dividend forecast during the current quarter.

Risk Factors

  1. Post-M&A business integration and profit margin risk: The profit margins of the business selling beauty-related products and other items (3.2%) and the human resources solutions business (3.7%) are substantially below that of the core business (11.0%). If integration benefits and synergies are not realized, improvement in the consolidated profit margin may be delayed.

  2. Inventory accumulation risk: Inventories were ¥24.8B, accounting for 23.1% of total assets. If the high inventory level persists, it may result in working capital being tied up and a decline in the gross margin due to inventory write-downs and discounted sales.

  3. Goodwill and intangible asset recoverability risk: Goodwill of ¥11.2B and intangible assets of ¥26.1B together account for 34.8% of total assets. If the earnings contribution from customer-related assets and other assets acquired through acquisitions falls below expectations, this could become a potential impairment issue in the future.

Industry Benchmark (Reference; Company Analysis)

Industry Benchmark (trading)

Profitability and Returns

MetricCompanyMedian (IQR)Delta
Operating Margin7.8%
Net Profit Margin4.3%7.4% (6.8%–7.9%)−3.1pt

The net profit margin is 3.1pt below the industry median and is relatively low within the industry.

Growth and Capital Efficiency

MetricCompanyMedian (IQR)Delta
Revenue Growth Rate (YoY)44.3%3.8% (0.9%–6.4%)+40.5pt

The revenue growth rate significantly exceeds the industry median, but the primary driver was the expansion of the scope of consolidation through M&A, and it is necessary to distinguish this from the autonomous growth of existing businesses.

※Source: Compiled by the Company

Key Points from the Financial Results

  1. The expansion of the business portfolio through M&A is progressing, and the progress rate against the full-year operating income forecast is favorable at 41.9%. However, the profit margins of the newly consolidated businesses remain at approximately one-third of that of the core business, creating a structure in which the degree to which integration benefits are realized will determine the future consolidated profit margin.

  2. A certain proportion of net income (29.7%) corresponds to the non-recurring factor of the disposal loss on property, plant and equipment, and the current-quarter profit level does not directly reflect recurring earnings power.

  3. Inventories account for 23.1% of total assets, making inventory levels and turnover trends ongoing points of focus in evaluating working capital efficiency and cash flow quality.


This report is an earnings analysis document automatically generated by AI based on XBRL earnings release data. It does not recommend investment in any specific security. The industry benchmarks are reference information compiled by the Company based on publicly available earnings data. Investment decisions should be made at your own responsibility, after consulting with professionals as necessary.

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AI Financial Analysis

Executive Summary

FY2026 Q1 was a strong top-line quarter, although margin dilution, acquisition-related accounting effects and inventory intensity moderated the quality of the earnings beat. Revenue increased 44.3% YoY to ¥4.34bn. Operating income rose 30.7% to ¥339m, materially below the rate of sales growth. Ordinary income increased 33.7% to ¥334m. Net income attributable to owners rose 16.0% to ¥181m, or EPS of ¥17.22. The operating margin declined 80bp YoY to 7.8% from 8.6%. Gross margin declined 130bp YoY to 29.3% from 30.6%, indicating that the incremental sales mix carried lower gross profitability. The net margin contracted by approximately 100bp to 4.2% from 5.2%. SG&A increased 41.4% YoY, slightly slower than revenue growth, which provided some operating leverage but was insufficient to offset gross-margin pressure. The principal earnings drag below ordinary income was a ¥54m loss on disposal of fixed assets. This extraordinary loss equaled 29.7% of net income and directly explains the quality alert for high one-time items. The acquired beauty-related business added ¥1.15bn of quarterly revenue and ¥37m of segment profit, making acquisition consolidation the principal source of reported growth. The established confectionery, bread-materials and miscellaneous-goods operation remained the core business, generating ¥2.83bn of revenue and ¥311m of segment profit. Annualized ROE was 15.8%, supported by a 4.2% net margin, 1.617x asset turnover and 2.34x financial leverage. Liquidity remains sound, with a 177.5% current ratio, 108.6% quick ratio and cash equal to 2.06x short-term loans. Q1 progress against full-year guidance is ahead of a normal seasonal run rate for revenue and operating profit, but the lower-margin acquired sales mix makes preservation of gross margin the central issue for the remainder of the year.

Profitability Analysis

The reported annualized DuPont ROE of 15.8% is decomposed into a 4.2% net profit margin, 1.617x asset turnover and 2.34x financial leverage. Asset turnover is the strongest contributor to the return profile, reflecting the annualized Q1 sales run rate relative to the asset base. Financial leverage is meaningful but moderated slightly from approximately 2.38x in the prior-year quarter, as equity grew faster than total assets. The main adverse movement was profitability: operating margin fell to 7.8% from 8.6%, gross margin fell to 29.3% from 30.6%, and net margin fell to 4.2% from 5.2%. This indicates that the 44.3% sales expansion was lower margin than the legacy consolidated mix. SG&A grew 41.4%, below revenue growth, evidencing modest operating leverage; however, gross-profit growth of 38.4% also trailed sales growth. Interest coverage of 27.83x is strong, despite interest expense increasing to ¥12m from ¥5m. The five-factor DuPont tax burden was 0.644, while the interest burden was 0.829; the latter shows that financing costs and non-operating expenses remain a discernible, though manageable, reduction from EBIT to pre-tax profit. The 34.0% effective tax rate is also above a normalized 30%-range benchmark and contributed to the gap between pre-tax income and net income. Under JGAAP, goodwill amortization can reduce operating profit and net income relative to IFRS-reporting peers; the company has ¥1.12bn of goodwill and ¥2.61bn of total intangible assets, so acquisition-accounting charges should remain relevant to comparative profitability analysis.

Growth Assessment

Revenue growth was primarily acquisition-led: the beauty-related products segment contributed ¥1.15bn, or 26.4% of consolidated Q1 sales, after its consolidation. The core confectionery, bread-materials and miscellaneous-goods segment grew revenue 4.7% YoY to ¥2.83bn and segment profit 12.2% to ¥311m, with its segment margin improving to 11.0% from 10.2%. The human-resources solutions segment grew revenue 24.0% to ¥326m and segment profit more than fourfold to ¥12m, although its 3.7% margin remained well below the core business. The beauty-related products segment produced a 3.2% segment margin, making it dilutive to the core operation's margin at the current stage. Other businesses generated ¥33m of revenue and ¥7m of segment profit. Consolidated operating income guidance is ¥812m, implying Q1 progress of 41.7% versus a standard 25% Q1 pace; revenue progress is 28.7%, also 3.7 percentage points ahead of the standard pace. Ordinary-income progress is 40.2%, while profit attributable to owners progress is 37.9%, both ahead of a normal first-quarter run rate. Full-year guidance calls for 10.5% revenue growth and 8.6% operating-income growth, substantially below Q1 reported growth rates, which embeds either normalizing acquisition contribution, seasonality, or a prudent expectation for margin pressure. There was no forecast revision, so execution against the existing plan rather than raised guidance is the near-term benchmark. Growth sustainability depends on converting the acquired beauty business from a low initial segment margin toward the profitability of the established core business.

Financial Health

Liquidity is healthy. Current assets of ¥6.38bn exceeded current liabilities of ¥3.59bn, producing working capital of ¥2.79bn and a current ratio of 177.5%. The quick ratio of 108.6% indicates that liquid assets excluding inventories also cover current liabilities. Cash and deposits of ¥2.50bn covered short-term loans of ¥1.21bn by 2.06x. Including the ¥455m current portion of long-term loans, near-term debt obligations remain substantially supported by cash and current assets. Interest-bearing debt totaled ¥3.30bn, comprising ¥1.21bn of short-term loans and ¥2.09bn of long-term loans. Debt-to-equity was 1.34x and debt-to-capital was 41.8%; these measures are above conservative benchmarks but remain below the 2.0x D/E level that would indicate aggressive balance-sheet leverage. Net debt was approximately ¥804m after deducting cash, equivalent to about 0.18x total equity. Accounts receivable increased 30.4% YoY to ¥868m, but the increase was below the 44.3% sales increase, which is favorable relative to revenue growth. Inventories were ¥2.48bn, representing 23.1% of total assets and nearly the same amount as cash. Inventory days were 74 days, above the 60-day quality-alert threshold; this is the principal working-capital risk and requires monitoring for sell-through, discounting pressure and inventory obsolescence. Goodwill represented 24.5% of equity and 10.5% of assets, within the stated healthy goodwill-to-equity benchmark of below 30%. Total intangibles represented 24.3% of assets, placing the balance sheet in an IP-heavy range and increasing the importance of successful post-acquisition earnings delivery. Deferred tax liabilities of ¥372m principally reflect acquisition purchase-price allocation effects.

Notable B/S Changes

Accounts receivable: +¥2.02bn (+30.4%) to ¥8.68bn - receivables rose with the enlarged revenue base, but growth remained below the 44.3% sales increase; collection discipline should remain under review.

Cash Flow Quality

Earnings quality is moderated by the ¥54m extraordinary loss on disposal of fixed assets, which equaled 29.7% of net income and was classified as a high one-time item. The loss reduced reported net income but does not indicate a recurring operating-cost increase by itself. Conversely, ordinary income of ¥334m was only ¥5m below operating income, so non-operating items were not a major contributor to Q1 profitability. Foreign-exchange gains were immaterial at ¥2m, while interest expense was ¥12m. Working-capital quality is mixed: receivables grew more slowly than sales, but inventory days of 74 are elevated. Inventory of ¥2.48bn requires continued revenue conversion to avoid future markdowns or write-down pressure. The positive working-capital balance of ¥2.79bn and cash balance of ¥2.50bn provide a liquidity buffer while the newly consolidated businesses are integrated.

Dividend Sustainability

The full-year dividend forecast is ¥10.00 per share. Against forecast EPS of ¥46.93, the implied dividend payout ratio is approximately 21.3%, well below the 60% sustainability benchmark. The payout burden is therefore modest relative to forecast earnings. Q1 EPS of ¥17.22 represents 36.7% of forecast full-year EPS, broadly consistent with the 37.9% progress rate of profit attributable to owners. Retained earnings of ¥3.52bn provide additional balance-sheet capacity, while the current ratio of 177.5% supports near-term financial flexibility. Dividend sustainability is primarily dependent on preserving the guided ¥477m full-year profit attributable to owners while managing inventory and acquisition-integration requirements.

Risk Assessment

Business risks include Margin dilution risk: the beauty-related products segment generated a 3.2% segment margin, substantially below the 11.0% margin of the core confectionery, bread-materials and miscellaneous-goods business. A larger revenue mix from this business could continue to compress consolidated margins., Inventory risk: inventory days of 74 exceed the 60-day alert threshold. For a consumer and specialty-material distribution business, slower sell-through can lead to discounting, obsolescence or inventory valuation losses., Acquisition integration risk: the beauty-related business and TERAZ consolidation expanded the operating perimeter. Realizing planned procurement, cross-selling and overhead synergies is necessary to improve acquired-business profitability., Industry-specific demand risk: demand for confectionery and bread materials, related supplies and beauty products can be affected by consumer spending, small-business activity, input-cost inflation and product-fashion cycles..

Financial risks include Leverage risk: debt-to-equity of 1.34x and debt-to-capital of 41.8% are manageable but above conservative levels, leaving earnings more exposed to borrowing costs than a net-cash peer., Intangible-asset risk: intangible assets account for 24.3% of total assets and goodwill is ¥1.12bn. The value of these assets depends on sustained profitability from acquired businesses., Interest-cost risk: interest expense more than doubled YoY to ¥12m, although interest coverage remains strong at 27.83x..

Key concerns include HIGH_ONE_TIME_ITEMS: the ¥54m fixed-asset disposal loss represented 29.7% of net income. The immediate impact was lower reported profit and a weaker net-margin conversion; recurrence of asset-disposal charges would weaken confidence in earnings predictability., HIGH_INVENTORY_DAYS: 74 inventory days indicate capital tied up in stock and potential markdown exposure. While inventory was slightly lower YoY, it remains high relative to the expanded sales base and should be evaluated against demand conversion in subsequent quarters., Purchase-price-allocation risk: the finalization of the Works Group acquisition allocation reduced provisional goodwill by ¥918m to ¥1.11bn, while recognizing ¥1.38bn of customer-related assets and ¥355m of deferred-tax liabilities. Future amortization of identified customer-related assets may weigh on JGAAP operating and net profit..

Investment Implications

Key takeaways include Q1 sales and operating-profit progress were ahead of the full-year plan, at 28.7% and 41.7% of guidance respectively., The core business remained the largest earnings contributor, delivering ¥311m of segment profit and an 11.0% margin., Acquisition consolidation drove most reported growth but lowered consolidated margin quality because the beauty-related business operated at a 3.2% segment margin., The balance sheet has adequate liquidity, but elevated inventory and acquisition-related intangible assets increase execution sensitivity., Annualized ROE of 15.8% is attractive, though it relies on meaningful asset turnover and 2.34x financial leverage rather than a high net margin..

Metrics to watch include Core-business gross margin and consolidated operating margin, Beauty-related products segment revenue, segment margin and synergy realization, Inventory days and inventory value relative to sales growth, Receivables growth relative to revenue, Interest-bearing debt, net debt and interest coverage, Goodwill and customer-related intangible amortization or impairment charges, Progress against ¥15.11bn revenue, ¥812m operating income and ¥477m profit attributable to owners guidance.

Regarding relative positioning, The company combines a profitable, higher-margin specialty e-commerce and distribution core with newly consolidated lower-margin businesses. Its annualized ROE is above the 15% excellent benchmark and liquidity is sound, but its 7.8% operating margin is below the 8% threshold for a broadly good profitability profile. Relative positioning will be determined by whether management can lift acquired-business margins without sacrificing the core business's current profitability.