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19482026 Q3StandardJGAAP

The Kodensha (1948) FY2026 Q3 Earnings Report

For FY2026 Q3, revenue came to ¥31.0B (+14.1% year on year) and operating income ¥1.9B (+13.9%). The segment drivers and cash flow follow.

The Kodensha,Co.,Ltd.

Construction & Materials/Construction


Quick View

MetricCurrent PeriodPrior-year periodYoY
Revenue¥310.1B¥271.8B+14.1%
Operating Income¥18.9B¥16.6B+13.9%
Ordinary Income¥19.8B¥17.1B+15.7%
Net Income¥13.3B¥12.3B+5.9%
ROE5.9%5.6%-

Executive Summary

FY2026 Q3 results maintained an increasing revenue and profit trend with Revenue of ¥310.1B (YoY +¥38.3B +14.1%), Operating Income of ¥18.9B (YoY +¥2.3B +13.9%), Ordinary Income of ¥19.8B (YoY +¥2.7B +15.7%), and Net Income of ¥13.3B (YoY +¥1.0B +8.1%). Completed Construction Revenue of ¥243.4B and Contract Assets of ¥65.1B supported the revenue base, showing steady progress toward the full-year forecast (Revenue ¥420.0B, Operating Income ¥31.0B, Net Income ¥20.5B). The Operating Margin was 6.1%, nearly unchanged from the prior year’s 6.1%, but absolute profit expanded on higher sales. Net Income growth of +8.1% was more muted than Operating Income growth of +13.9%, partly due to a 33.1% effective tax rate.

Key Financial Metrics

[Profitability] ROE 5.7% (nearly flat from 5.8% in the prior year), Operating Margin 6.1% (unchanged from 6.1% in the prior year), Net Margin 4.3% (slightly down from 4.5% in the prior year), Gross Margin 18.9%, ROA 3.8%. In the DuPont decomposition, ROE 5.7% is formed by Net Margin 4.2% × Total Asset Turnover 0.901 × Financial Leverage 1.52x, indicating a structure in which sales growth underpins profit. [Cash Quality] Cash and cash equivalents ¥9.1B and cash coverage of short-term liabilities at 1.8x indicate secured liquidity. As Operating Cash Flow information is not disclosed, confirmation of profit cash conversion is required. [Investment Efficiency] Total Asset Turnover 0.901x; asset efficiency remains high with sales growth of +14.1%. Investment Securities increased to ¥19.6B, up +36.2%, confirming an expansion of the investment portfolio. [Financial Soundness] Equity Ratio 65.9% (65.6% in the prior year), Current Ratio 241.0%, and Quick Ratio 236.5% are at favorable levels. Interest-Bearing Debt is low at ¥5.0B, but a short-term debt ratio of 100% raises a quality alert, necessitating attention to the short-term funding structure. Debt-to-Equity Ratio is 0.52x, maintaining a conservative capital structure.

Cash Flow Analysis

Cash and deposits declined slightly from ¥9.4B in the prior year to ¥9.1B, but remained broadly flat, with stable funding. Contract Assets of ¥65.1B and Electronically Recorded Monetary Claims of ¥97.0B, accumulated along with construction progress, constitute the main components of working capital of ¥153.4B, making management of the collection cycle critical. Investment Securities increased by +¥5.6B from ¥14.4B in the prior year to ¥19.6B, suggesting expanded securities management of surplus funds or strategic investments. Short-term borrowings are ¥5.0B and small, keeping funding costs limited; however, with a short-term debt ratio of 100%, transparency in refinancing plans is required. With current assets of ¥262.2B versus current liabilities of ¥108.8B, short-term debt coverage is 2.4x, indicating ample short-term repayment capacity. Operating profit growth and accumulation of Contract Assets are proceeding in parallel, and progress in collections on a progress-billing basis will influence future funding trends.

Quality of Earnings

Against Ordinary Income of ¥19.8B, Operating Income was ¥18.9B, with a net increase of approximately ¥0.9B in non-operating items. The breakdown is mainly Dividend Income of ¥0.5B and Interest Income of ¥0.3B, with non-operating income limited to about 0.4% of Revenue. Operating Income is the core of the earnings structure, and the earnings power of the core business underpins Ordinary Income. With Net Income of ¥13.3B and Profit Before Tax of ¥19.9B, there is a tax burden with an effective tax rate of 33.1%, making tax control key to net profit growth. As Operating Cash Flow information is not disclosed, the divergence between Operating Cash Flow and Net Income cannot be assessed; however, based on the balance of Contract Assets and Completed Construction Revenue, there may be a certain level of accruals (uncollected revenue). Liquidity is sufficient and Interest-Bearing Debt is small, so there are no major concerns about the short-term quality of earnings, but future disclosure of Operating Cash Flow will be important to confirm the degree of profit cash conversion.

Risk Factors

Risk of margin pressure from construction delays, material prices, and rising labor costs. Given the size of Completed Construction Revenue at ¥243.4B and Contract Assets at ¥65.1B, delays in progress or collection on large projects could affect revenue and cash flow. Refinancing risk from a short-term debt ratio of 100%. Interest-Bearing Debt of ¥5.0B consists of short-term borrowings, and at refinancing timing, rising interest rates or a deterioration in credit conditions could increase funding costs or impose liquidity constraints. Valuation and liquidity risks associated with a +36.2% increase in Investment Securities. The breakdown and fair value measurement of ¥19.6B in Investment Securities are unclear, raising concerns that market fluctuations or deteriorating performance at investees could generate valuation losses and pressure Net Income.

Industry Benchmark (Reference; Our Research)

[Positioning within the Industry] (Reference information; our research) Profitability: ROE 5.7% exceeds the industry median of 3.7% by +2.0pt, ranking high within the industry. Operating Margin 6.1% exceeds the industry median of 4.1% by +2.0pt, indicating an efficient profit generation structure. Net Margin 4.3% exceeds the industry median of 2.8% by +1.5pt. Growth: Revenue growth rate of +14.1% significantly exceeds the industry median of -3.5%, achieving high growth within the industry. Soundness: Equity Ratio 65.9% exceeds the industry median of 60.5% by +5.4pt, indicating a solid financial base. Current Ratio 241.0% exceeds the industry median of 207.0% by +34.0pt, indicating good liquidity. Efficiency: ROA 3.8% exceeds the industry median of 2.2% by +1.6pt, maintaining high asset efficiency. *Industry: Construction (n=4 companies), Comparison: 2025 Q3 results, Source: our compilation While relative superiority within the industry is clear, the short-term debt structure and growth in Investment Securities warrant attention even compared with industry averages.

Key Highlights from Results

Sustained revenue growth and industry outperformance. Revenue growth of +14.1% is outstanding within the construction industry, and Contract Assets of ¥65.1B provide a backlog that will support future revenue. The Operating Margin of 6.1% exceeds the industry median of 4.1%, confirming a structural advantage in profitability. Progress toward achieving the full-year forecast is steady, and the short- to medium-term growth trend appears sustainable. Need to monitor short-term funding structure. A short-term debt ratio of 100% is a quality alert, and Interest-Bearing Debt of ¥5.0B consists solely of short-term borrowings. While liquidity is ample, confirmation of refinancing plans and Operating Cash Flow generation capability is important, and upcoming results should be watched for disclosure of the cash flow statement and trends in short-term borrowings. Transparency of the investment portfolio. Investment Securities surged to ¥19.6B, up +36.2% YoY, presumed to be part of surplus fund management or strategic investments. Disclosure of the investment breakdown, valuation gains/losses, and monetization plans will be important information for investors.


This report is an earnings analysis document automatically generated by AI based on XBRL earnings release data. It does not constitute a recommendation to invest in any specific security. The industry benchmark is reference information compiled by our company based on publicly available financial results data. Investment decisions are your own responsibility; consult a professional as needed before making any investment decisions.


AI Financial Analysis

Executive Summary

FY2026 Q3 performance was operationally solid, with revenue and operating income both growing by roughly 14% year on year, although margin expansion was limited. Revenue increased 14.1% year on year to ¥31.02bn. Operating income rose 13.9% to ¥1.89bn, while ordinary income grew 15.7% to ¥1.98bn. Profit attributable to owners increased a more moderate 5.9% to ¥1.30bn. The gross profit margin declined 57bp year on year to 18.9% from approximately 19.5%. This sub-20% gross margin is a quality alert and indicates that project cost inflation, project mix, or pricing conditions absorbed part of the revenue growth. The operating margin was broadly unchanged at 6.1%, as SG&A expenses rose 9.1%, slower than revenue growth of 14.1%. This relative SG&A discipline offset much of the gross-margin compression. Net margin nevertheless declined by approximately 32bp to 4.2%, principally because the prior-year period included a much larger ¥353mn extraordinary gain, including ¥234mn from fixed-asset sales, compared with only a ¥12mn securities-sale gain in the current period. Therefore, the slower net-income growth does not indicate a weakening in underlying operating profit. Completed construction revenue rose 18.3% to ¥24.34bn and remained the main operating activity. Completed construction gross margin, however, declined by approximately 113bp to 19.9%, reinforcing the need to monitor execution costs and project profitability. Q3 cumulative revenue represents 73.8% of the full-year forecast, broadly in line with the standard 75% progress rate. Operating income and ordinary income have reached only 60.9% and 61.8% of their respective full-year targets, 14.1bp and 13.2bp below the standard Q3 progress rate, respectively. The gap implies a sizeable Q4 earnings concentration is embedded in the plan, requiring an operating margin recovery from the Q3 cumulative level. The balance sheet remains conservatively capitalized, with a 241.0% current ratio, 65.5% capital adequacy ratio, and interest-bearing debt equal to only 2.2% of capital. All debt is short term, creating refinancing concentration, but cash covers short-term loans by 1.81x and liquidity headroom is substantial. The full-year ¥90 DPS forecast implies a dividend payout ratio of about 38.3% based on forecast EPS of ¥234.72, which appears moderate relative to reported earnings and the company’s equity base.

Profitability Analysis

The reported annualized ROE is 7.6%, below the 8% threshold generally associated with stronger profitability, but it reflects a sound balance sheet rather than excessive leverage. The DuPont decomposition is net profit margin of 4.2% multiplied by annualized asset turnover of 1.201x and financial leverage of 1.52x. The modest net margin is the principal constraint on ROE; leverage is conservative and is not being used to amplify shareholder returns materially. Annualized asset turnover is healthy for a project-based construction and electrical-installation business, reflecting relatively high revenue generation against the asset base. The operating margin was stable at 6.1%, while the gross margin fell to 18.9%, so improvement in overhead absorption rather than project-level margin drove operating-profit growth. SG&A increased 9.1% year on year, materially below revenue growth of 14.1%, demonstrating positive operating leverage. Completed construction revenue increased 18.3% to ¥24.34bn, but its gross profit increased only 12.0% to ¥4.85bn, lowering the completed-construction gross margin to 19.9% from approximately 21.1%. The low-gross-margin alert is therefore rooted in project economics rather than an SG&A cost-control issue. In construction, margins can be sensitive to labor, subcontractor, and materials costs as well as fixed-price contract execution; the current decline should be monitored for persistence. Ordinary income exceeded operating income by ¥87mn, supported mainly by ¥51mn of dividend income and ¥29mn of interest income, while interest expense was only ¥15mn. Interest coverage of 125.93x confirms that financing costs are immaterial to current profitability. The tax burden was 0.654, equivalent to a 33.1% effective tax rate, and was the main reduction between pre-tax profit and net income. The prior-year comparison also contained larger extraordinary gains, so operating income and ordinary income provide the cleaner indicators of recurring earnings momentum. The ¥12mn gain on sale of investment securities in the current period is immaterial at 0.04% of revenue.

Growth Assessment

Growth was led by completed construction activity, with completed construction revenue of ¥24.34bn accounting for 78.5% of total revenue. Total revenue growth of 14.1% and operating-income growth of 13.9% indicate that the company largely preserved operating profitability while expanding activity. However, the slightly slower growth in operating income than sales and the decline in gross margin indicate that revenue growth has not yet translated into stronger project-level economics. The full-year plan calls for revenue of ¥42.00bn, up 7.0% year on year, operating income of ¥3.10bn, up only 0.6%, and ordinary income of ¥3.20bn, up 1.0%. This guidance profile implies full-year margin compression versus the prior year despite revenue growth. At Q3, the company has achieved 73.8% of revenue guidance, versus the standard 75.0% progress rate, which is broadly normal. Operating-profit progress of 60.9% is 14.1 percentage points below the standard Q3 pace, and ordinary-income progress of 61.8% is 13.2 percentage points below. Net income attributable to owners has reached 63.4% of the ¥2.05bn forecast, also below a standard 75% Q3 run rate. Achieving guidance requires Q4 revenue of ¥10.99bn and operating income of ¥1.21bn, equivalent to an approximately 11.0% Q4 operating margin, well above the 6.1% Q3 cumulative margin. This makes project completion timing, cost control, and high-margin work recognition central to the year-end outcome. Contract liabilities increased to ¥1.60bn from ¥358mn, indicating a higher level of customer advances or billings ahead of performance and supporting near-term activity visibility. The provision for loss on construction contracts fell to ¥19mn from ¥183mn, reducing evidence of currently identified loss-making projects. Nevertheless, the gross-margin trend indicates that inflation in subcontractor, labor, and materials costs remains the primary operational variable to watch.

Financial Health

Financial health is strong. The current ratio of 241.0% and quick ratio of 236.5% are well above minimum liquidity benchmarks, with working capital of ¥15.34bn. Current assets of ¥26.22bn exceed current liabilities of ¥10.88bn by a wide margin. Total equity was ¥22.70bn, equal to 65.9% of total assets, while the reported capital adequacy ratio was 65.5%. Interest-bearing debt consists of ¥499mn of short-term loans, equivalent to 2.2% of capital and approximately 2.2% of owners' equity, indicating limited balance-sheet leverage. The reported debt-to-equity ratio of 0.52x should be viewed alongside the more direct interest-bearing-debt-to-equity measure of about 0.02x, as the latter better captures funding debt disclosed in the balance sheet. The refinancing-risk alert is rooted in the fact that 100% of interest-bearing debt is short term, leaving no term-debt maturity diversification. The practical impact is limited at present because cash and deposits of ¥905mn cover short-term loans by 1.81x, the quick ratio is high, and interest coverage is 125.93x. Investment securities increased ¥522mn, or 36.2%, to ¥1.96bn and now represent 5.7% of total assets. The increase was accompanied by a ¥355mn positive valuation difference on securities in OCI, contributing to accumulated other comprehensive income of ¥1.52bn. This enhances reported equity but introduces greater sensitivity of equity and comprehensive income to market-price movements. Contract liabilities increased by ¥1.25bn to ¥1.60bn, which may provide favorable funding through customer advances. Electronically recorded monetary claims rose sharply to ¥9.70bn from ¥2.45bn, while short-term loans receivable fell to ¥3.12bn from ¥8.36bn; this indicates a substantial shift in the composition of liquid operating and financing receivables. Pension-related net defined benefit assets of ¥4.43bn are material at 12.9% of total assets and should be assessed in the context of discount-rate and asset-return sensitivity.

Notable B/S Changes

Investment securities: +¥522mn (+36.2%) to ¥1.96bn - higher marketable or strategic equity exposure; the related ¥355mn positive valuation difference supported OCI but increases sensitivity to market-price reversals. Electronically recorded monetary claims: +¥7.25bn (+295.9%) to ¥9.70bn - a major increase in operating receivables/settlement claims, requiring continued monitoring of collection quality and counterparty exposure. Short-term loans receivable: -¥5.23bn (-62.6%) to ¥3.12bn - a substantial change in liquid financial-asset composition alongside the increase in electronic monetary claims. Contract liabilities: +¥1.25bn (+348.0%) to ¥1.60bn - increased customer advances or billings ahead of performance may support near-term funding and project execution visibility. Provision for loss on construction contracts: -¥164mn (-89.6%) to ¥19mn - lower identified loss-making-project exposure, although the concurrent decline in completed construction margin warrants ongoing monitoring. Accumulated other comprehensive income: +¥292mn (+23.8%) to ¥1.52bn - mainly reflects favorable securities valuation movements, improving equity but adding unrealized market-value volatility.

Cash Flow Quality

Dividend Sustainability

The company paid an interim Q2 dividend of ¥45 per share and forecasts a full-year dividend of ¥90 per share. Based on forecast EPS of ¥234.72, the forecast dividend payout ratio is approximately 38.3%, below the 60% sustainability reference level. Based on Q3 cumulative EPS of ¥148.88, the ¥45 interim dividend represents 30.2% of earnings per share earned through Q3. The reported calculated payout ratio of 31.1% is similarly moderate. Retained earnings of ¥18.77bn provide a substantial earnings reserve relative to the forecast annual cash dividend requirement of approximately ¥785mn, calculated using 8.73mn average shares. The conservative debt level and substantial liquidity also support dividend capacity. The ¥90 forecast DPS requires delivery of the planned Q4 earnings recovery, but the payout ratio would remain moderate even if earnings were somewhat below plan. No share-buyback information is reported, so total return ratio analysis is not applicable.

Risk Assessment

Business risks include Construction project-margin risk: completed construction gross margin declined to 19.9% from approximately 21.1%, exposing earnings to labor shortages, subcontractor pricing, and material-cost inflation., Year-end execution risk: operating-income progress is 60.9% against a standard Q3 benchmark of 75%, requiring a Q4 operating margin of about 11.0% to meet full-year guidance., Fixed-price contract and project-loss risk: although the loss-on-construction provision declined to ¥19mn, project cost overruns or delays can rapidly affect margins in construction work., Industry-cycle risk: private-sector capital investment, public infrastructure spending, weather disruptions, natural disasters, and changes in safety or building regulations may affect project starts and completion schedules., Receivable and settlement-process risk: electronically recorded monetary claims increased ¥7.25bn year on year to ¥9.70bn, making collection discipline and counterparty credit quality important..

Financial risks include Refinancing concentration: 100% of interest-bearing debt is short term, although the ¥499mn balance is modest and cash covers it by 1.81x., Market-value risk in strategic securities: investment securities rose 36.2% to ¥1.96bn, and the positive securities valuation reserve contributes to equity sensitivity if market prices reverse., Pension valuation sensitivity: the ¥4.43bn net defined benefit asset is material relative to total assets and may fluctuate with discount rates and pension asset returns..

Key concerns include The 18.9% gross margin is below the 20% alert threshold; sustained compression would constrain ROE and make guidance harder to achieve., Full-year guidance implies a substantial fourth-quarter increase in both profit and margin, making earnings dependent on project completion and favorable cost outcomes., Net-income growth of 5.9% trails operating-income growth of 13.9%, largely because prior-year results included larger non-recurring gains; operating income is the more relevant recurring-profit measure..

Investment Implications

Key takeaways include Revenue growth is robust and SG&A growth remains disciplined, supporting stable 6.1% operating profitability., Underlying construction activity expanded, but project-level gross-margin compression is the central operating issue., The balance sheet is conservatively funded, with high liquidity, low interest-bearing debt, and exceptionally strong interest coverage., Full-year profit guidance depends on a materially stronger Q4 than the Q3 cumulative run rate., The forecast ¥90 DPS appears supported by a moderate approximately 38% forecast payout ratio and substantial retained earnings..

Metrics to watch include Completed construction gross margin and total gross margin, Q4 operating margin required to close the gap to ¥3.10bn operating-income guidance, Order intake, order backlog, and the mix of public versus private projects, Provision for loss on construction contracts and any contract-loss recognition, Electronic monetary claims, contract assets, and collection performance, Investment-security valuation movements and their effect on OCI and equity, Short-term debt renewal terms and cash-to-short-term-debt coverage.

Regarding relative positioning, The company combines a conservative capital structure and strong liquidity with mid-single-digit operating profitability. Its annualized ROE of 7.6% is slightly below the stated 8% benchmark, largely because of a 4.2% net margin rather than weak asset utilization or excessive leverage. Relative performance will depend primarily on whether it can restore construction project margins while converting its Q4 completion schedule into earnings.